Footage of "Mopeds" over Kiev and Ukrainian air-defence firing at them
Video 3 shows a SAM fired at one of the drones but missed and hit a building.
"Geran-2" drones have been spotted approaching Kiev again.
According to the Ukrainian General Staff, the Russian Aerospace Forces are switching to a round-the-clock mode of "Geran" raids.
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Video 3 shows a SAM fired at one of the drones but missed and hit a building.
"Geran-2" drones have been spotted approaching Kiev again.
According to the Ukrainian General Staff, the Russian Aerospace Forces are switching to a round-the-clock mode of "Geran" raids.
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👍6👌2
Summary of the conflict made by the most advanced AI based on Western sources:
As of early November 2024, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains intense, with significant developments on multiple fronts.
Current Situation:
Eastern Ukraine: Ukrainian forces are actively countering a substantial Russian offensive, particularly in the Donbas region. General Oleksandr Syrskyi reported that Ukrainian troops are effectively holding back Russian advances, despite Russia's notable territorial gains since September.
REUTERS
Russian Advances: Russian forces have recently claimed control over additional settlements and approximately 200 square kilometres of territory. This marks their most rapid advance since March 2022.
REUTERS
Aerial Attacks: Russia continues to conduct drone and missile strikes across Ukraine. A recent drone attack on Kyiv resulted in injuries and infrastructure damage, with Ukrainian air defences intercepting a significant number of drones.
REUTERS
Foreign Involvement: Reports indicate that North Korean troops are training in Russia's Kursk region, with potential deployment to the Ukrainian front lines. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged allies to act before these troops engage in combat.
AP NEWS
Projections:
Military Stalemate: Analysts suggest that neither Russia nor Ukraine is likely to achieve decisive military action in the near term. The conflict may continue as a protracted war of attrition, with both sides facing significant challenges in manpower and resources.
BBC
International Dynamics: The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could significantly influence the conflict's trajectory. Continued Western support is crucial for Ukraine's defence capabilities.
AP NEWS
Economic and Humanitarian Impact: The ongoing conflict is expected to further strain the economies of both nations and exacerbate humanitarian crises, particularly as winter approaches and infrastructure remains under threat from continued attacks.
In summary, the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains dynamic, with ongoing military engagements and evolving international implications. The situation is fluid, and future developments will depend on both battlefield outcomes and geopolitical decisions.
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As of early November 2024, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine remains intense, with significant developments on multiple fronts.
Current Situation:
Eastern Ukraine: Ukrainian forces are actively countering a substantial Russian offensive, particularly in the Donbas region. General Oleksandr Syrskyi reported that Ukrainian troops are effectively holding back Russian advances, despite Russia's notable territorial gains since September.
REUTERS
Russian Advances: Russian forces have recently claimed control over additional settlements and approximately 200 square kilometres of territory. This marks their most rapid advance since March 2022.
REUTERS
Aerial Attacks: Russia continues to conduct drone and missile strikes across Ukraine. A recent drone attack on Kyiv resulted in injuries and infrastructure damage, with Ukrainian air defences intercepting a significant number of drones.
REUTERS
Foreign Involvement: Reports indicate that North Korean troops are training in Russia's Kursk region, with potential deployment to the Ukrainian front lines. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged allies to act before these troops engage in combat.
AP NEWS
Projections:
Military Stalemate: Analysts suggest that neither Russia nor Ukraine is likely to achieve decisive military action in the near term. The conflict may continue as a protracted war of attrition, with both sides facing significant challenges in manpower and resources.
BBC
International Dynamics: The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could significantly influence the conflict's trajectory. Continued Western support is crucial for Ukraine's defence capabilities.
AP NEWS
Economic and Humanitarian Impact: The ongoing conflict is expected to further strain the economies of both nations and exacerbate humanitarian crises, particularly as winter approaches and infrastructure remains under threat from continued attacks.
In summary, the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains dynamic, with ongoing military engagements and evolving international implications. The situation is fluid, and future developments will depend on both battlefield outcomes and geopolitical decisions.
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🔥3🤔1🤡1
Current Situation (as of early November 2024 as seen by AI), based on Russian sources:
Eastern Ukraine: Russian forces continue their offensive in the Donbas region. According to Russia's Ministry of Defence, approximately 1,000 square kilometres of territory were reclaimed by early September. Ukrainian forces are reportedly experiencing daily losses of up to 2,000 personnel, both killed and wounded. (ria.ru)
Front Line Extent: The front line spans over 1,000 kilometres, highlighting the vast scale and complexity of ongoing operations. (ria.ru)
Drone Attacks: Russian forces have intercepted over 40 Ukrainian drones across the Kursk, Bryansk, and Belgorod regions. (interfax.ru)
Projections:
Military Dynamics: Fighting is expected to continue with shifting advances on both sides. Russian troops aim to solidify their current positions and press on, while Ukrainian forces endeavour to contain these advances.
International Environment: Disappointment is reportedly growing in Kiev due to Western reluctance to open a "second front" against Russia, which could impact Ukraine's strategic stance and capacity to resist Russian advances. (tass.ru)
Economic and Humanitarian Impact: The ongoing conflict is intensifying economic challenges and exacerbating the regional humanitarian crisis, particularly with winter approaching and critical infrastructure under threat.
In summary, the situation remains fluid, with further developments likely to hinge on both military progress and international decisions.
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Eastern Ukraine: Russian forces continue their offensive in the Donbas region. According to Russia's Ministry of Defence, approximately 1,000 square kilometres of territory were reclaimed by early September. Ukrainian forces are reportedly experiencing daily losses of up to 2,000 personnel, both killed and wounded. (ria.ru)
Front Line Extent: The front line spans over 1,000 kilometres, highlighting the vast scale and complexity of ongoing operations. (ria.ru)
Drone Attacks: Russian forces have intercepted over 40 Ukrainian drones across the Kursk, Bryansk, and Belgorod regions. (interfax.ru)
Projections:
Military Dynamics: Fighting is expected to continue with shifting advances on both sides. Russian troops aim to solidify their current positions and press on, while Ukrainian forces endeavour to contain these advances.
International Environment: Disappointment is reportedly growing in Kiev due to Western reluctance to open a "second front" against Russia, which could impact Ukraine's strategic stance and capacity to resist Russian advances. (tass.ru)
Economic and Humanitarian Impact: The ongoing conflict is intensifying economic challenges and exacerbating the regional humanitarian crisis, particularly with winter approaching and critical infrastructure under threat.
In summary, the situation remains fluid, with further developments likely to hinge on both military progress and international decisions.
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👍3❤2
The re-election of Donald Trump as President of the United States introduces significant uncertainties regarding the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. Trump's previous administration was marked by a complex relationship with both Russia and Ukraine, and his return to office is expected to influence the dynamics of this protracted war.
Potential Shifts in U.S. Policy:
During his campaign, Trump frequently criticised the scale of U.S. support for Ukraine and suggested a swift resolution to the conflict through negotiations. He has expressed intentions to reduce or halt military aid to Ukraine, which could substantially weaken Kiev's defensive capabilities. In a recent statement, Trump indicated that he would "have that settled" upon re-election, implying a potential shift in U.S. involvement. [Source: TASS](https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/21445055)
Reactions from Ukraine:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has publicly congratulated Trump on his victory, expressing hope for continued support and a peaceful resolution to the conflict. However, there is underlying concern in Kiev about the possibility of diminished U.S. assistance. Ukrainian officials are wary that a reduction in aid could embolden Russian aggression and compromise Ukraine's territorial integrity. [Source: Financial Times](https://www.ft.com/content/6275096d-c3d2-4351-b621-4c51bd713107)
Russian Perspective:
The Kremlin has responded cautiously to Trump's re-election. While some Russian officials view his victory as an opportunity to reset U.S.-Russia relations, there is scepticism about any immediate changes. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov acknowledged Trump's significant statements on ending the conflict but emphasised the need to see if they will result in action. [Source: Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/russias-medvedev-says-trump-presidency-would-be-blow-ukraine-2024-11-06)
International Concerns:
European allies are apprehensive about the potential for a reduced U.S. role in NATO and a shift towards isolationism under Trump's leadership. Such changes could alter the balance of power in Europe and affect collective security arrangements. The prospect of the U.S. pressuring Ukraine into a peace deal favourable to Russia is a particular concern among NATO members. [Source: AP News](https://apnews.com/article/ff4edf4a804eedae5958d3a674c5c2d1)
Conclusion:
Trump's re-election introduces a period of uncertainty for the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Potential reductions in U.S. support for Ukraine, coupled with a possible realignment of U.S.-Russia relations, could significantly impact the conflict's trajectory. Stakeholders in Kiev, Moscow, and European capitals are closely monitoring developments to assess the implications for regional stability and security.
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Potential Shifts in U.S. Policy:
During his campaign, Trump frequently criticised the scale of U.S. support for Ukraine and suggested a swift resolution to the conflict through negotiations. He has expressed intentions to reduce or halt military aid to Ukraine, which could substantially weaken Kiev's defensive capabilities. In a recent statement, Trump indicated that he would "have that settled" upon re-election, implying a potential shift in U.S. involvement. [Source: TASS](https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/21445055)
Reactions from Ukraine:
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has publicly congratulated Trump on his victory, expressing hope for continued support and a peaceful resolution to the conflict. However, there is underlying concern in Kiev about the possibility of diminished U.S. assistance. Ukrainian officials are wary that a reduction in aid could embolden Russian aggression and compromise Ukraine's territorial integrity. [Source: Financial Times](https://www.ft.com/content/6275096d-c3d2-4351-b621-4c51bd713107)
Russian Perspective:
The Kremlin has responded cautiously to Trump's re-election. While some Russian officials view his victory as an opportunity to reset U.S.-Russia relations, there is scepticism about any immediate changes. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov acknowledged Trump's significant statements on ending the conflict but emphasised the need to see if they will result in action. [Source: Reuters](https://www.reuters.com/world/russias-medvedev-says-trump-presidency-would-be-blow-ukraine-2024-11-06)
International Concerns:
European allies are apprehensive about the potential for a reduced U.S. role in NATO and a shift towards isolationism under Trump's leadership. Such changes could alter the balance of power in Europe and affect collective security arrangements. The prospect of the U.S. pressuring Ukraine into a peace deal favourable to Russia is a particular concern among NATO members. [Source: AP News](https://apnews.com/article/ff4edf4a804eedae5958d3a674c5c2d1)
Conclusion:
Trump's re-election introduces a period of uncertainty for the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Potential reductions in U.S. support for Ukraine, coupled with a possible realignment of U.S.-Russia relations, could significantly impact the conflict's trajectory. Stakeholders in Kiev, Moscow, and European capitals are closely monitoring developments to assess the implications for regional stability and security.
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TACC
Трамп пообещал быстро урегулировать конфликт на Украине после победы на выборах
Кандидат в президенты США от республиканцев отметил, что сделает это еще до инаугурации
🤔4❤1
Military Situation at the Russia-Ukraine Front:
As of early November 2024, the front lines in the Donbas and Kursk regions remain highly active, with intense military engagements continuing to shape the overall conflict dynamics.
Donbas Region:
In Donbas, Russian forces have maintained a consistent offensive, focusing on strategic cities and towns. Reports indicate that Russian troops have gained ground in certain areas while aiming to establish control over Ukrainian defensive positions. In recent weeks, Russia has concentrated its firepower around fortified Ukrainian positions in cities like Avdiivka and Marinka, with the goal of cutting off supply lines and pressuring Ukrainian forces to withdraw. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1727074217)
Despite sustained pressure, Ukrainian troops are reportedly employing effective defence tactics, using both natural terrain advantages and fortified urban areas to resist Russian advances. Casualty reports from both sides suggest a high-intensity conflict, with no clear winner in this sector of the front line. Civilian areas have also seen shelling, leading to increased displacement within the region. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1727059615)
Kursk Region:
In the Kursk region, situated along the Russia-Ukraine border, skirmishes and cross-border incidents have escalated. Russian forces have reported neutralising multiple Ukrainian drone strikes targeting critical infrastructure in the region. Local authorities have tightened security protocols, including implementing temporary restrictions in border areas, to protect key installations and prevent incursions. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730374566)
Russian air defences and ground forces have intercepted a substantial number of drones and attempted cross-border attacks. The strategic importance of the Kursk region lies in its proximity to Ukraine and its role as a logistics hub for Russian forces operating along the front, making it a priority for defence reinforcements. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730374708)
Humanitarian Impact:
The ongoing conflict has led to severe humanitarian concerns, especially in frontline areas within Donbas. Civilians face disrupted access to essential services, including medical assistance and food supplies, as the conflict intensifies. Local government efforts, alongside limited international support, are striving to address these issues, but access remains challenging due to the volatile security environment. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730391037)
Conclusion:
Both the Donbas and Kursk regions continue to experience significant military and humanitarian challenges. In Donbas, Russian forces are advancing steadily but face formidable Ukrainian resistance. In the Kursk region, Russian authorities remain vigilant against Ukrainian attacks on border infrastructure. With winter approaching, conditions on the front are expected to grow harsher, potentially impacting both military operations and humanitarian conditions. The situation is fluid, and future developments will depend on tactical shifts and continued international involvement in the region.
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As of early November 2024, the front lines in the Donbas and Kursk regions remain highly active, with intense military engagements continuing to shape the overall conflict dynamics.
Donbas Region:
In Donbas, Russian forces have maintained a consistent offensive, focusing on strategic cities and towns. Reports indicate that Russian troops have gained ground in certain areas while aiming to establish control over Ukrainian defensive positions. In recent weeks, Russia has concentrated its firepower around fortified Ukrainian positions in cities like Avdiivka and Marinka, with the goal of cutting off supply lines and pressuring Ukrainian forces to withdraw. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1727074217)
Despite sustained pressure, Ukrainian troops are reportedly employing effective defence tactics, using both natural terrain advantages and fortified urban areas to resist Russian advances. Casualty reports from both sides suggest a high-intensity conflict, with no clear winner in this sector of the front line. Civilian areas have also seen shelling, leading to increased displacement within the region. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1727059615)
Kursk Region:
In the Kursk region, situated along the Russia-Ukraine border, skirmishes and cross-border incidents have escalated. Russian forces have reported neutralising multiple Ukrainian drone strikes targeting critical infrastructure in the region. Local authorities have tightened security protocols, including implementing temporary restrictions in border areas, to protect key installations and prevent incursions. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730374566)
Russian air defences and ground forces have intercepted a substantial number of drones and attempted cross-border attacks. The strategic importance of the Kursk region lies in its proximity to Ukraine and its role as a logistics hub for Russian forces operating along the front, making it a priority for defence reinforcements. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730374708)
Humanitarian Impact:
The ongoing conflict has led to severe humanitarian concerns, especially in frontline areas within Donbas. Civilians face disrupted access to essential services, including medical assistance and food supplies, as the conflict intensifies. Local government efforts, alongside limited international support, are striving to address these issues, but access remains challenging due to the volatile security environment. [Source: Русская Весна](https://rusvesna.su/news/1730391037)
Conclusion:
Both the Donbas and Kursk regions continue to experience significant military and humanitarian challenges. In Donbas, Russian forces are advancing steadily but face formidable Ukrainian resistance. In the Kursk region, Russian authorities remain vigilant against Ukrainian attacks on border infrastructure. With winter approaching, conditions on the front are expected to grow harsher, potentially impacting both military operations and humanitarian conditions. The situation is fluid, and future developments will depend on tactical shifts and continued international involvement in the region.
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Русская весна
Участок прорыва к Глушково в Курской области: обстановка сильно изменилась (КАРТА)
ВСУ не оставляют попыток разминировать новые районы в курском приграничье.
👌4👍1
Forwarded from Russian MFA 🇷🇺
🗓 On November 7, 1941, the historic military parade took place on the Red Square in Moscow marking the 24th anniversary of the Great October Socialist Revolution.
The parade was organised and held, when the Nazi forces were already approaching the Soviet capital — at the time an unthinkable endeavour.
Not only was it a defiance of Hitler's war machine and inhumane regime, but a testament to the unbending will of the Soviet people, the parade showed the Red Army soldiers and officers’ resilience and determination.
The march involved some 28'500 servicemen, as well as 140 artillery pieces, 160 tanks, and 232 vehicles. From the Red Square, Soviet soldiers and officers headed directly to the front, ready to defend their Motherland from the Nazis no matter the hardships and seemingly improbable odds.
The military parade became a symbol of the Soviet people’s fortitude and courage, inspired them in their fight against German aggression. It bolstered the USSR’s international prestige and strengthened the Allied coalition.
⚔️ A month later, the “invincible” Wehrmacht suffered its first major defeat, and Hitler’s ambitious blitzkrieg plan against the Soviet Union was thwarted.
In 2004, a federal law was passed designating November 7 as a Day of Military Glory in Russia in honour of the Red Square military parade. Ever since, festive concerts and exhibitions commemorating this event have been held annually across the country.
#Victory79
The parade was organised and held, when the Nazi forces were already approaching the Soviet capital — at the time an unthinkable endeavour.
Not only was it a defiance of Hitler's war machine and inhumane regime, but a testament to the unbending will of the Soviet people, the parade showed the Red Army soldiers and officers’ resilience and determination.
The march involved some 28'500 servicemen, as well as 140 artillery pieces, 160 tanks, and 232 vehicles. From the Red Square, Soviet soldiers and officers headed directly to the front, ready to defend their Motherland from the Nazis no matter the hardships and seemingly improbable odds.
The military parade became a symbol of the Soviet people’s fortitude and courage, inspired them in their fight against German aggression. It bolstered the USSR’s international prestige and strengthened the Allied coalition.
⚔️ A month later, the “invincible” Wehrmacht suffered its first major defeat, and Hitler’s ambitious blitzkrieg plan against the Soviet Union was thwarted.
In 2004, a federal law was passed designating November 7 as a Day of Military Glory in Russia in honour of the Red Square military parade. Ever since, festive concerts and exhibitions commemorating this event have been held annually across the country.
#Victory79
🫡7
Novoalekseevka in the DNR has been liberated by fighters of a motorised rifle battalion from the 80th Tank Regiment, 90th Guards Tank Division, Russian Vesna Voenkory reports.
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❗️Russian President Vladimir Putin is addressing the plenary session of the Valdai International Discussion Club. Key takeaways from his statements:
▪️Putin announced an era of radical, revolutionary changes
▪️Putin expects the next 20 years to be more difficult
▪️The world experiences not merely a fight for power, but a clash of the very principles of relations between countries and nations
▪️Putin stated the threat of mankind plunging into an abyss of aggressive anarchy and the loss of traditional values
▪️Western calls to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia, a nuclear power, are nothing but outrageous adventurism
▪️The Western elites’ blind faith in their own impunity and exceptionalism may turn into a global tragedy
▪️Western “liberalism” has degenerated into intolerance for any alternative or sovereign, independent thought
▪️Chaos and systemic crisis are growing in Western countries
▪️Hegemony is out of the question in the new world order
▪️Russia does not perceive Western civilization as an enemy and does not raise the “either us or them” question
▪️The “if I can’t have it, no one can” principle is visible in the policy of the US and its allies; this is a dangerous formula
▪️The world needs Russia despite any decisions by Washington or Brussels
▪️Putin announced an era of radical, revolutionary changes
▪️Putin expects the next 20 years to be more difficult
▪️The world experiences not merely a fight for power, but a clash of the very principles of relations between countries and nations
▪️Putin stated the threat of mankind plunging into an abyss of aggressive anarchy and the loss of traditional values
▪️Western calls to inflict a strategic defeat on Russia, a nuclear power, are nothing but outrageous adventurism
▪️The Western elites’ blind faith in their own impunity and exceptionalism may turn into a global tragedy
▪️Western “liberalism” has degenerated into intolerance for any alternative or sovereign, independent thought
▪️Chaos and systemic crisis are growing in Western countries
▪️Hegemony is out of the question in the new world order
▪️Russia does not perceive Western civilization as an enemy and does not raise the “either us or them” question
▪️The “if I can’t have it, no one can” principle is visible in the policy of the US and its allies; this is a dangerous formula
▪️The world needs Russia despite any decisions by Washington or Brussels
👏5👍1
❗️More key takeaways from Russian President Vladimir Putin's statements at the plenary session of the Valdai International Discussion Club:
▪️The West’s geopolitical greed is the true source of recent conflicts, from Yugoslavia to Ukraine
▪️There is a conflict between the vast majority of the world’s population and a global minority concerned with maintaining its dominance
▪️The BRICS model represents a new, free, non-bloc nature of relations between countries
▪️No one should feel disadvantaged in the new emerging world, and no country should be considered a loser
▪️No country should impose its patterns on all others
▪️The crisis of international law is a crisis of growth, a rise of nations and cultures
▪️The world moves towards a “polyphonic” order “where all voices must be heard”
▪️NATO is the world’s only remaining bloc, which is “outright anachronism”
▪️Some NATO member states show interest in BRICS, and their number may grow
▪️European leaders complained about the US scaring them with Russia even before the current conflicts
▪️The West escalated the situation to a coup in Ukraine, forcing Russia to begin the special military operation, thus achieving its goal in this sense
▪️The gap between the “golden billion” and other people aggravates migration problems
▪️Russia never initiates the use of force, but is ready to take all measures to defend itself
▪️Russia has repeatedly stopped those seeking world domination and will continue to do so
▪️Ukrainians have been turned into cannon fodder and cynically trained against Russians
▪️The stereotype of the “civilized West” and the “barbarism” of other nations is a racist ideology
▪️Russia’s existence is a guarantee of the world’s successful development
▪️It is useless to pressure Russia; it is necessary to come to terms with it
▪️Putin blamed the West for its creeping intervention aimed at humiliating and destroying Russia
▪️Russia fights not only for its own freedom, but also protects universal rights and freedoms, seeing this as its mission
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▪️The West’s geopolitical greed is the true source of recent conflicts, from Yugoslavia to Ukraine
▪️There is a conflict between the vast majority of the world’s population and a global minority concerned with maintaining its dominance
▪️The BRICS model represents a new, free, non-bloc nature of relations between countries
▪️No one should feel disadvantaged in the new emerging world, and no country should be considered a loser
▪️No country should impose its patterns on all others
▪️The crisis of international law is a crisis of growth, a rise of nations and cultures
▪️The world moves towards a “polyphonic” order “where all voices must be heard”
▪️NATO is the world’s only remaining bloc, which is “outright anachronism”
▪️Some NATO member states show interest in BRICS, and their number may grow
▪️European leaders complained about the US scaring them with Russia even before the current conflicts
▪️The West escalated the situation to a coup in Ukraine, forcing Russia to begin the special military operation, thus achieving its goal in this sense
▪️The gap between the “golden billion” and other people aggravates migration problems
▪️Russia never initiates the use of force, but is ready to take all measures to defend itself
▪️Russia has repeatedly stopped those seeking world domination and will continue to do so
▪️Ukrainians have been turned into cannon fodder and cynically trained against Russians
▪️The stereotype of the “civilized West” and the “barbarism” of other nations is a racist ideology
▪️Russia’s existence is a guarantee of the world’s successful development
▪️It is useless to pressure Russia; it is necessary to come to terms with it
▪️Putin blamed the West for its creeping intervention aimed at humiliating and destroying Russia
▪️Russia fights not only for its own freedom, but also protects universal rights and freedoms, seeing this as its mission
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Donald Trump’s win marks the beginning of the end of the Ukraine war
The Spectator
Donald Trump’s election victory heralds the beginning of the end of the Ukraine war – and is likely to leave Vladimir Putin in control of most, if not all, of the territory he has seized in nearly three years of bloody conflict. To many Ukrainians, such an outcome will be a betrayal of their struggle, a stab in the back by the West that will sow decades of anger and resentment. To others, though, a swift end to the conflict before more land is lost and tens of thousands more young Ukrainians die represents the best hope of actually salvaging a decent future for their country before their infrastructure, economy, and an entire generation are annihilated completely.
There is one indisputable danger for Ukraine in Trump’s victory
‘At this stage we are talking about survival, not victory,’ says a former senior member of Volodymyr Zelensky’s cabinet who is now forming an opposition party in Kyiv. ‘What is important today is not fighting forever for lost territory. It’s making sure that Russia is no longer a military threat to us. That can only be done diplomatically, not militarily.’
Will Trump be a backstabber or a peacemaker? In public, Kamala Harris has come out as the stronger supporter of Kyiv, slamming suggestions that Ukraine should cede territory for the sake of peace with Moscow as ‘dangerous and unacceptable’. ‘They are not proposals for peace,’ Harris said in September, ‘they are proposals for surrender.’ Yet in practice, the Biden administration has effectively ignored Zelensky’s October peace plan, dialled down aid from $60 billion (£47 billion) to $7.9 billion (£5.5 billion), and much of that non-lethal, and crucially refused to allow the Ukrainians to use long-range Western-supplied missiles to hit targets inside Russia. In other words, Harris’s plan was to continue funding Ukraine’s war effort indefinitely, but inadequately.
Trump, on the other hand, has promised to broker a swift end to the conflict. ‘They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians,’ Trump told a CNN Town Hall meeting in May 2023. ‘I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done – I’ll have that done in 24 hours.’ But rather than preside over a Ukrainian capitulation, Trump claims that he will be tough on both sides. ‘I would tell Zelensky: “No more. You got to make a deal,”’ Trump told Fox News in July. ‘I would tell Putin: “If you don’t make a deal, we’re going to give [Zelensky] a lot. We’re going to [give Ukraine] more than they ever got if we have to.”’
In other words, Trump’s plan is to push Russian President Vladimir Putin to negotiate by threatening to open the aid spigots for Ukraine – while also pressing Zelensky to the table by threatening to withhold aid. And many of the people tipped for Trump’s cabinet are strong Russia hawks, not appeasers. Both former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, a possible defence secretary, and former national-security adviser Robert O’Brien, tipped for secretary of state, have criticised the Biden administration for restricting the use of US weapons and called for more sanctions on Russia. Indeed, Pompeo has backed creating a $500 billion (£390 billion) lend-lease programme to help Ukraine defend itself and also supports giving the country Nato membership – though O’Brien said last month that would be ‘too provocative at this point.’
Zelensky told the New Yorker that Trump ‘doesn’t really know how to stop the war’
⬇️⬇️⬇️
The Spectator
Donald Trump’s election victory heralds the beginning of the end of the Ukraine war – and is likely to leave Vladimir Putin in control of most, if not all, of the territory he has seized in nearly three years of bloody conflict. To many Ukrainians, such an outcome will be a betrayal of their struggle, a stab in the back by the West that will sow decades of anger and resentment. To others, though, a swift end to the conflict before more land is lost and tens of thousands more young Ukrainians die represents the best hope of actually salvaging a decent future for their country before their infrastructure, economy, and an entire generation are annihilated completely.
There is one indisputable danger for Ukraine in Trump’s victory
‘At this stage we are talking about survival, not victory,’ says a former senior member of Volodymyr Zelensky’s cabinet who is now forming an opposition party in Kyiv. ‘What is important today is not fighting forever for lost territory. It’s making sure that Russia is no longer a military threat to us. That can only be done diplomatically, not militarily.’
Will Trump be a backstabber or a peacemaker? In public, Kamala Harris has come out as the stronger supporter of Kyiv, slamming suggestions that Ukraine should cede territory for the sake of peace with Moscow as ‘dangerous and unacceptable’. ‘They are not proposals for peace,’ Harris said in September, ‘they are proposals for surrender.’ Yet in practice, the Biden administration has effectively ignored Zelensky’s October peace plan, dialled down aid from $60 billion (£47 billion) to $7.9 billion (£5.5 billion), and much of that non-lethal, and crucially refused to allow the Ukrainians to use long-range Western-supplied missiles to hit targets inside Russia. In other words, Harris’s plan was to continue funding Ukraine’s war effort indefinitely, but inadequately.
Trump, on the other hand, has promised to broker a swift end to the conflict. ‘They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians,’ Trump told a CNN Town Hall meeting in May 2023. ‘I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done – I’ll have that done in 24 hours.’ But rather than preside over a Ukrainian capitulation, Trump claims that he will be tough on both sides. ‘I would tell Zelensky: “No more. You got to make a deal,”’ Trump told Fox News in July. ‘I would tell Putin: “If you don’t make a deal, we’re going to give [Zelensky] a lot. We’re going to [give Ukraine] more than they ever got if we have to.”’
In other words, Trump’s plan is to push Russian President Vladimir Putin to negotiate by threatening to open the aid spigots for Ukraine – while also pressing Zelensky to the table by threatening to withhold aid. And many of the people tipped for Trump’s cabinet are strong Russia hawks, not appeasers. Both former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, a possible defence secretary, and former national-security adviser Robert O’Brien, tipped for secretary of state, have criticised the Biden administration for restricting the use of US weapons and called for more sanctions on Russia. Indeed, Pompeo has backed creating a $500 billion (£390 billion) lend-lease programme to help Ukraine defend itself and also supports giving the country Nato membership – though O’Brien said last month that would be ‘too provocative at this point.’
Zelensky told the New Yorker that Trump ‘doesn’t really know how to stop the war’
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Despairing Dems point to rejoicing in Moscow over Trump’s victory as evidence that a great betrayal is coming. ‘Kamala is finished… Let her keep cackling infectiously,’ gloated former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev, who has frequently threatened nuclear strikes on the West. ‘The objectives of the Special Military Operation remain unchanged and will be achieved.’ Conservative Russian friends of mine have bombarded me and their social media accounts with memes of a young Trump holding a white dove of peace, accompanied by hopeful messages of the imminent end of sanctions and the resumption of flights from Russia to Europe.
But despite years of Democratic accusations that Trump is a Putin shill or even agent, his first-term track record on dealing with Russia is actually pretty hawkish – despite the unfortunate optics of a 2018 summit in Helsinki where Trump appeared unduly sympathetic to the Russian leader. It was Trump who gave the green light for the United States to provide lethal aid to Ukraine in 2017, something Barack Obama had refused to do because of concerns about provoking Moscow. This April, Trump also came out as a supporter of the idea of a half-trillion-dollar lend-lease package for Ukraine as an alternative to aid grants. Trump also recently called Putin’s conditions for peace talks ‘not acceptable’.
After a September meeting with Zelensky at Trump Tower, Trump claimed that ‘we both want to see this end, and we both want to see a fair deal made…It should stop, and the President [Zelensky] wants it to stop, and I’m sure President Putin wants it to stop and that’s a good combination,’ Trump said. In contrast, Zelensky told the New Yorker magazine that Trump ‘doesn’t really know how to stop the war’ and called Vice-President-elect JD Vance ‘too radical’ and ‘dangerous.’
In 2016, the Kremlin and its media were openly triumphant about Trump’s first victory. At the time, I attended an official US election party in Moscow, co-hosted by the Rossiya-1 TV channel, which featured large heroic oil paintings of Putin, Trump, and Marine Le Pen. ‘The world is going our way,’ was the refrain of many of the conservative American revellers interviewed that night, and of the Kremlin’s TV coverage. This time round, however, the Kremlin has been far more cautious. Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said that Putin will not congratulate Trump because the US is an ‘unfriendly’ country – but said that Russia is ‘open to dialogue’ even though peace cannot be achieved ‘overnight.’
There is one indisputable danger for Ukraine in Trump’s victory, however. Between now and the moment Trump takes office, the clock will be ticking for Putin’s forces to try to seize as much Ukrainian territory as possible before a ceasefire is brokered. It’s a critical moment for the Ukrainian war effort. According to Western militaries, up to 8,000 North Korean special forces have deployed in Kursk (inside Russia proper, not so far inside occupied Ukraine) to repel a pocket of Ukrainian counter-invaders. Up to 80 per cent of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure has been destroyed or damaged. If back-channel negotiations currently under way in Qatar between Russia and Ukraine on suspending mutual attacks on energy infrastructure fail, Russian attacks threaten to make major towns and cities effectively uninhabitable during the winter. A grinding Russian push through the northern Donbas is gaining momentum and could eventually threaten Ukraine’s second city, the largely Russian-speaking Kharkiv, with encirclement.
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Despairing Dems point to rejoicing in Moscow over Trump’s victory as evidence that a great betrayal is coming. ‘Kamala is finished… Let her keep cackling infectiously,’ gloated former Russian president Dmitry Medvedev, who has frequently threatened nuclear strikes on the West. ‘The objectives of the Special Military Operation remain unchanged and will be achieved.’ Conservative Russian friends of mine have bombarded me and their social media accounts with memes of a young Trump holding a white dove of peace, accompanied by hopeful messages of the imminent end of sanctions and the resumption of flights from Russia to Europe.
But despite years of Democratic accusations that Trump is a Putin shill or even agent, his first-term track record on dealing with Russia is actually pretty hawkish – despite the unfortunate optics of a 2018 summit in Helsinki where Trump appeared unduly sympathetic to the Russian leader. It was Trump who gave the green light for the United States to provide lethal aid to Ukraine in 2017, something Barack Obama had refused to do because of concerns about provoking Moscow. This April, Trump also came out as a supporter of the idea of a half-trillion-dollar lend-lease package for Ukraine as an alternative to aid grants. Trump also recently called Putin’s conditions for peace talks ‘not acceptable’.
After a September meeting with Zelensky at Trump Tower, Trump claimed that ‘we both want to see this end, and we both want to see a fair deal made…It should stop, and the President [Zelensky] wants it to stop, and I’m sure President Putin wants it to stop and that’s a good combination,’ Trump said. In contrast, Zelensky told the New Yorker magazine that Trump ‘doesn’t really know how to stop the war’ and called Vice-President-elect JD Vance ‘too radical’ and ‘dangerous.’
In 2016, the Kremlin and its media were openly triumphant about Trump’s first victory. At the time, I attended an official US election party in Moscow, co-hosted by the Rossiya-1 TV channel, which featured large heroic oil paintings of Putin, Trump, and Marine Le Pen. ‘The world is going our way,’ was the refrain of many of the conservative American revellers interviewed that night, and of the Kremlin’s TV coverage. This time round, however, the Kremlin has been far more cautious. Spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said that Putin will not congratulate Trump because the US is an ‘unfriendly’ country – but said that Russia is ‘open to dialogue’ even though peace cannot be achieved ‘overnight.’
There is one indisputable danger for Ukraine in Trump’s victory, however. Between now and the moment Trump takes office, the clock will be ticking for Putin’s forces to try to seize as much Ukrainian territory as possible before a ceasefire is brokered. It’s a critical moment for the Ukrainian war effort. According to Western militaries, up to 8,000 North Korean special forces have deployed in Kursk (inside Russia proper, not so far inside occupied Ukraine) to repel a pocket of Ukrainian counter-invaders. Up to 80 per cent of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure has been destroyed or damaged. If back-channel negotiations currently under way in Qatar between Russia and Ukraine on suspending mutual attacks on energy infrastructure fail, Russian attacks threaten to make major towns and cities effectively uninhabitable during the winter. A grinding Russian push through the northern Donbas is gaining momentum and could eventually threaten Ukraine’s second city, the largely Russian-speaking Kharkiv, with encirclement.
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Ultimately, with the practical prospect of Ukraine being able to recapture its lost territories standing at less than zero, it is hard to see any difference between the final deal Harris would make and that which Trump will likely broker. What’s on the table is de facto rather than de jure partition of Ukraine along the line of control – wherever that may be at the moment of armistice – plus security guarantees for Ukraine short of full Nato membership. The only difference is that Trump’s threats to go full tonto on Putin’s backside if he fails to wind up his invasion are more credible than Harris’s empty promises ever were.
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Ultimately, with the practical prospect of Ukraine being able to recapture its lost territories standing at less than zero, it is hard to see any difference between the final deal Harris would make and that which Trump will likely broker. What’s on the table is de facto rather than de jure partition of Ukraine along the line of control – wherever that may be at the moment of armistice – plus security guarantees for Ukraine short of full Nato membership. The only difference is that Trump’s threats to go full tonto on Putin’s backside if he fails to wind up his invasion are more credible than Harris’s empty promises ever were.
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The Spectator
Donald Trump's win marks the beginning of the end of the Ukraine war
Donald Trump’s election victory in the US election heralds the beginning of the end of the Ukraine-Russia war
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The Russian Armed Forces continue their steady advance in the Kurakhove direction. In Novoselidovka, soldiers of the 114th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Russian Army have planted a flag in the centre of the village and are advancing further up to 1,000 metres. Military sources report that the village has been liberated. This strengthens the Russian Army's position north of Kurakhovo and creates conditions for further military action.
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⚡⚡Strike on the Banknote and Mint of the National Bank of Ukraine.
Tonight, November 12, 2024, at about 3:00, Russian attack drones struck the territory of the Banknote and Mint of the National Bank of Ukraine in Kyiv, one of the key objects of the country's financial infrastructure.
Coordinates: 50.5104529, 30.6324872
Reports from the ground suggest that the attack resulted in serious damage to two production workshops used for printing banknotes and minting coins. At the moment, it is confirmed that the strike disabled the equipment for printing banknotes, which poses a threat to the stability of money circulation amid the current economic difficulties in Ukraine.
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Tonight, November 12, 2024, at about 3:00, Russian attack drones struck the territory of the Banknote and Mint of the National Bank of Ukraine in Kyiv, one of the key objects of the country's financial infrastructure.
Coordinates: 50.5104529, 30.6324872
Reports from the ground suggest that the attack resulted in serious damage to two production workshops used for printing banknotes and minting coins. At the moment, it is confirmed that the strike disabled the equipment for printing banknotes, which poses a threat to the stability of money circulation amid the current economic difficulties in Ukraine.
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NEBENZYA AND UNCOMFORTABLE QUESTIONS FOR THE USA.
Vassily Nebenzya asked the representatives of the US and Japan - who carried out the nuclear strike on the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
There was silence in response....
The silence is more eloquent than any words.
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NEBENZYA AND UNCOMFORTABLE QUESTIONS FOR THE USA.
Vassily Nebenzya asked the representatives of the US and Japan - who carried out the nuclear strike on the cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki?
There was silence in response....
The silence is more eloquent than any words.
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A series of strikes on the port of Odessa
Waves of "Geraniums" on the port of Odessa are coming one after another.
An eyewitness counted four explosions in the port in less than a minute. The total number of explosions exceeds several dozen.
Swedish-built landing and assault boats of the CombatBoat 90H (CB90H, Stridsbåt 90H) type are reported destroyed. 12 November 2024 during a visit to Odessa by the commander of the Danish Navy, Rear Admiral Henrik Rüberg. Today, part of it . Part of it is damaged.
Eyewitnesses report that one of the German 35mm Gepard anti-aircraft guns covering the port was firing non-stop until it was interrupted by one of the explosions. Preliminarily, the anti-aircraft gun may have been destroyed by a direct hit.
Earlier, several dry cargo ships carrying weapons were hit in the port of Odessa.
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Waves of "Geraniums" on the port of Odessa are coming one after another.
An eyewitness counted four explosions in the port in less than a minute. The total number of explosions exceeds several dozen.
Swedish-built landing and assault boats of the CombatBoat 90H (CB90H, Stridsbåt 90H) type are reported destroyed. 12 November 2024 during a visit to Odessa by the commander of the Danish Navy, Rear Admiral Henrik Rüberg. Today, part of it . Part of it is damaged.
Eyewitnesses report that one of the German 35mm Gepard anti-aircraft guns covering the port was firing non-stop until it was interrupted by one of the explosions. Preliminarily, the anti-aircraft gun may have been destroyed by a direct hit.
Earlier, several dry cargo ships carrying weapons were hit in the port of Odessa.
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The Russian military liberated the village of Grigorovka in the Donetsk people's republic.
In addition, the liberation of Yurievka in the Krasnoarmeyskiy direction, Makarovka and Leninskiy in the Donetsk people's republic, and Dorozhnyanka in the Zaporizhzhya region is reported.
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In addition, the liberation of Yurievka in the Krasnoarmeyskiy direction, Makarovka and Leninskiy in the Donetsk people's republic, and Dorozhnyanka in the Zaporizhzhya region is reported.
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