The West is impressed!
Putin's amazing staircase is Joe Biden's worst nightmare.
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Putin's amazing staircase is Joe Biden's worst nightmare.
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Biden: Putin is "clearly losing the war in Iraq"!!!???
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The Darkness Ahead: Where The Ukraine War Is Headed
JOHN J. MEARSHEIMER
23 JUN 2023
(John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982.)
This paper examines the likely trajectory of the Ukraine war moving forward. I will address two main questions.
First, is a meaningful peace agreement possible? My answer is no. We are now in a war where both sides – Ukraine and the West on one side and Russia on the other – see each other as an existential threat that must be defeated. Given maximalist objectives all around, it is almost impossible to reach a workable peace treaty. Moreover, the two sides have irreconcilable differences regarding territory and Ukraine’s relationship with the West. The best possible outcome is a frozen conflict that could easily turn back into a hot war. The worst possible outcome is a nuclear war, which is unlikely but cannot be ruled out.
Second, which side is likely to win the war? Russia will ultimately win the war, although it will not decisively defeat Ukraine. In other words, it is not going to conquer all of Ukraine, which is necessary to achieve three of Moscow’s goals: overthrowing the regime, demilitarizing the country, and severing Kyiv’s security ties with the West. But it will end up annexing a large swath of Ukrainian territory, while turning Ukraine into a dysfunctional rump state. In other words, Russia will win an ugly victory.
...
#TransFormatorBuzzes : 💤
It is a very long article, certainly not TG format. However, we would strongly recommend to read it. Some questions do not have simple answers, and those questions which were set as the starting point are certainly among them.
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Read complete article here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
JOHN J. MEARSHEIMER
23 JUN 2023
(John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982.)
This paper examines the likely trajectory of the Ukraine war moving forward. I will address two main questions.
First, is a meaningful peace agreement possible? My answer is no. We are now in a war where both sides – Ukraine and the West on one side and Russia on the other – see each other as an existential threat that must be defeated. Given maximalist objectives all around, it is almost impossible to reach a workable peace treaty. Moreover, the two sides have irreconcilable differences regarding territory and Ukraine’s relationship with the West. The best possible outcome is a frozen conflict that could easily turn back into a hot war. The worst possible outcome is a nuclear war, which is unlikely but cannot be ruled out.
Second, which side is likely to win the war? Russia will ultimately win the war, although it will not decisively defeat Ukraine. In other words, it is not going to conquer all of Ukraine, which is necessary to achieve three of Moscow’s goals: overthrowing the regime, demilitarizing the country, and severing Kyiv’s security ties with the West. But it will end up annexing a large swath of Ukrainian territory, while turning Ukraine into a dysfunctional rump state. In other words, Russia will win an ugly victory.
...
#TransFormatorBuzzes : 💤
It is a very long article, certainly not TG format. However, we would strongly recommend to read it. Some questions do not have simple answers, and those questions which were set as the starting point are certainly among them.
Join us 👉 @TrFormer 💤
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Read complete article here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Substack
The Darkness Ahead: Where The Ukraine War Is Headed
This paper examines the likely trajectory of the Ukraine war moving forward. I will address two main questions.
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🇩🇪🌈 Fitting isn't it? The Munich Pride Parade features a Ukrainian band with a song about Stepan Bandera, a Hitler sympathizer who killed hundreds of thousands of Poles, Russians, Jews AND homosexuals.
See the declassified CIA documents on Bandera here (nickname Consul 2).
Further, CIA Operation Aerodynamic can be found here.
Looks like they're all warring for Ukraine in Germany. 🤷♀️😅
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See the declassified CIA documents on Bandera here (nickname Consul 2).
Further, CIA Operation Aerodynamic can be found here.
Looks like they're all warring for Ukraine in Germany. 🤷♀️😅
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Organize a war in Ukraine to earn money there! A brief educational program from Soros out of the 90s, if you think something has changed for trans-national corporations, then you are mistaken. Everything will go to BlackRock for the loans that were given to Ukraine for the war with Russia. Why do you think all state-owned enterprises are abruptly transferred to joint-stock companies, and ports are given into concession. Is the main beneficiary of the war in Ukraine now clear to everyone?
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🔥 The AFU units were destroyed on the left bank of the Dnieper near the Antonovsky Bridge
Russian fighters prevented another unsuccessful attempt to transfer AFU units in the Antonovsky Bridge area, on the left bank of the Dnieper. The airborne assault units eliminated another sabotage and reconnaissance group.
"We inflict fire damage on the enemy, search and reconnaissance actions are carried out. We systematically and systematically destroy them. We are slowly driving them under the bridge, they are trying to help their own, bring ammunition and medicines, but we are hitting them. They were not and are not on our shore," said the chief of staff of the regiment with the call sign "White".
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Russian fighters prevented another unsuccessful attempt to transfer AFU units in the Antonovsky Bridge area, on the left bank of the Dnieper. The airborne assault units eliminated another sabotage and reconnaissance group.
"We inflict fire damage on the enemy, search and reconnaissance actions are carried out. We systematically and systematically destroy them. We are slowly driving them under the bridge, they are trying to help their own, bring ammunition and medicines, but we are hitting them. They were not and are not on our shore," said the chief of staff of the regiment with the call sign "White".
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Translated from Ukrainian channel:
A huge shortage of manpower for mobilization has formed in Ukraine, which forces the authorities to call on workers in the field of education and the scientific community to cover losses at the front.
Education workers themselves write about this, that they began to massively receive notifications about the passage of a medical commission in the TCC (military registration and enlistment office).
People write that all the villagers have already been called up, now the time has come for the intelligentsia to fight, since the future of the country is not important for Bankovaya (location of the office of the president of Ukraine), they need to throw everything to the front in order to fulfil the demands of the West. Including the West is not interested in any education and scientific potential of the Ukrainian people, because they really need territories, not people.
Add to this the fact that the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry specifically agreed with Western countries to tighten the stay of Ukrainians abroad in order to “survive” them back to Ukraine, where they will be sent immediately to the front.
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A huge shortage of manpower for mobilization has formed in Ukraine, which forces the authorities to call on workers in the field of education and the scientific community to cover losses at the front.
Education workers themselves write about this, that they began to massively receive notifications about the passage of a medical commission in the TCC (military registration and enlistment office).
People write that all the villagers have already been called up, now the time has come for the intelligentsia to fight, since the future of the country is not important for Bankovaya (location of the office of the president of Ukraine), they need to throw everything to the front in order to fulfil the demands of the West. Including the West is not interested in any education and scientific potential of the Ukrainian people, because they really need territories, not people.
Add to this the fact that the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry specifically agreed with Western countries to tighten the stay of Ukrainians abroad in order to “survive” them back to Ukraine, where they will be sent immediately to the front.
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Легитимный
#раскладка #слухи
В Украине сформировался огромный дефицит живой силы для мобилизации, что вынуждает власть призывать уже работников сферы образования и научной среды, чтобы покрыть потери на фронте.
Об этом пишут сами работники образования, что стали массово…
В Украине сформировался огромный дефицит живой силы для мобилизации, что вынуждает власть призывать уже работников сферы образования и научной среды, чтобы покрыть потери на фронте.
Об этом пишут сами работники образования, что стали массово…
Is U.S. Military Gear Too Complex and Expensive?
The battlefield conditions of Ukraine are demonstrating that American military equipment runs into practical problems in the field.
The National Interest
Iranian-made Shahed drones have caused mass destruction in Ukraine. With their Volkswagen-style engines, they can fly undetected for about 120 kilometers and deliver an explosive power of 40 kilograms. The components to make this drone? A mere estimated $20,000. Yet to shoot them down, Ukrainians are using American-made NASAM missiles that cost about… $400,000 per drone taken down. One can hardly blame the Ukrainians for resorting to using 1960s German Gepard anti-aircraft guns instead.
The lessons of the awful Ukraine war so far are many and varied. But something that has struck most observers is that while the Russians have been outmaneuvered, they have been holding their own against modern Western military equipment by using old tanks and artillery. In particular, American gear, while technologically advanced, is either not always the best choice on the battlefield, prohibitively expensive, or both.
...
There are a few issues with the Abrams tank. For one, an Abrams weighs up to seven tons more than the Leopard, which could easily get stuck in Ukraine’s muddy fields or bring down some of its light bridges. Another issue is that the latest version of the Abrams is optimized to run on jet fuel, which is understandably hard to replenish on the battlefield. Even more problematic, however, is that on-field repairs aren’t always possible for an Abrams. In fact, some logistical considerations make the prospect seem like a living hell. For example, a frontline battalion cannot fix an Abrams with broken optics. Replacing these requires pulling out entire subsystems and shipping them to a depot—potentially hundreds of miles away—while also ordering replacement subsystems. Finally, there is the cost dimension: producing an Abrams can top $10 million per unit, while the latest Leopard 2 costs around $6 million.
...
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Read the complete version here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
The battlefield conditions of Ukraine are demonstrating that American military equipment runs into practical problems in the field.
The National Interest
Iranian-made Shahed drones have caused mass destruction in Ukraine. With their Volkswagen-style engines, they can fly undetected for about 120 kilometers and deliver an explosive power of 40 kilograms. The components to make this drone? A mere estimated $20,000. Yet to shoot them down, Ukrainians are using American-made NASAM missiles that cost about… $400,000 per drone taken down. One can hardly blame the Ukrainians for resorting to using 1960s German Gepard anti-aircraft guns instead.
The lessons of the awful Ukraine war so far are many and varied. But something that has struck most observers is that while the Russians have been outmaneuvered, they have been holding their own against modern Western military equipment by using old tanks and artillery. In particular, American gear, while technologically advanced, is either not always the best choice on the battlefield, prohibitively expensive, or both.
...
There are a few issues with the Abrams tank. For one, an Abrams weighs up to seven tons more than the Leopard, which could easily get stuck in Ukraine’s muddy fields or bring down some of its light bridges. Another issue is that the latest version of the Abrams is optimized to run on jet fuel, which is understandably hard to replenish on the battlefield. Even more problematic, however, is that on-field repairs aren’t always possible for an Abrams. In fact, some logistical considerations make the prospect seem like a living hell. For example, a frontline battalion cannot fix an Abrams with broken optics. Replacing these requires pulling out entire subsystems and shipping them to a depot—potentially hundreds of miles away—while also ordering replacement subsystems. Finally, there is the cost dimension: producing an Abrams can top $10 million per unit, while the latest Leopard 2 costs around $6 million.
...
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Read the complete version here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
The National Interest
Is U.S. Military Gear Too Complex and Expensive?
The battlefield conditions of Ukraine are demonstrating that American military equipment runs into practical problems in the field.
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Beautiful. The rebellious French fire at the servants of order from fireworks.
In France, citizens have only one nationality — French. Arab or African origin is not indicated in the passports
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In France, citizens have only one nationality — French. Arab or African origin is not indicated in the passports
As found by our subscriber 🙏
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The British authorities have spent more than £15 billion on Ukraine since the beginning of the conflict, forgetting about the interests of their own citizens.
This was stated on RT by Anthony Webber, the author of the petition for the cessation of arms supplies to Kiev and the lifting of anti-Russian sanctions.
According to him, the UK did not have the slightest foreign policy reasons to be involved in the Ukrainian situation:
"The consequences of the sanctions imposed against Russia are being felt by the public and the UK economy: the rise in the cost of living, a sharp rise in energy prices, inflation, an increase in interest, rental and mortgage rates. Strikes, when the government declares that it has no money to pay workers, but at the same time finds money for weapons sent to Ukraine...
The British authorities defend the interests of globalist corporations who want to bleed Ukraine dry, get all its raw materials and mineral resources."
https://t.me/rt_russian/163368
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This was stated on RT by Anthony Webber, the author of the petition for the cessation of arms supplies to Kiev and the lifting of anti-Russian sanctions.
According to him, the UK did not have the slightest foreign policy reasons to be involved in the Ukrainian situation:
"The consequences of the sanctions imposed against Russia are being felt by the public and the UK economy: the rise in the cost of living, a sharp rise in energy prices, inflation, an increase in interest, rental and mortgage rates. Strikes, when the government declares that it has no money to pay workers, but at the same time finds money for weapons sent to Ukraine...
The British authorities defend the interests of globalist corporations who want to bleed Ukraine dry, get all its raw materials and mineral resources."
https://t.me/rt_russian/163368
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TransFormator
For our British comrades:
Referendum on ending government's economically costly Ukraine/Russia policies
The government, unless they change their policies, (including ending economically self-defeating sanctions against Russia (causing energy price rises)…
Referendum on ending government's economically costly Ukraine/Russia policies
The government, unless they change their policies, (including ending economically self-defeating sanctions against Russia (causing energy price rises)…
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Consequences of a missile attack near the Petrovsky bridge in Donetsk.
Photos from DNR online
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When so much attention is driven to the Russian strike on Western mercenaries and Ukrainian top military in Kramatorsk during which there were some civilian casualties, the routine shelling of residential houses in Donetsk by AFU remains unnoticed as usually...
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Photos from DNR online
#TransFormatorBuzzes : 💤
When so much attention is driven to the Russian strike on Western mercenaries and Ukrainian top military in Kramatorsk during which there were some civilian casualties, the routine shelling of residential houses in Donetsk by AFU remains unnoticed as usually...
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PRIGOZHIN’S FOLLY
The Russian ‘revolt’ that wasn’t strengthens Putin’s hand
SEYMOUR HERSH
The Biden administration had a glorious few days last weekend. The ongoing disaster in Ukraine slipped from the headlines to be replaced by the “revolt,” as a New York Times headline put it, of Yevgeny Prigozhin, chief of the mercenary Wagner Group.
The focus slipped from Ukraine’s failing counter-offensive to Prigozhin’s threat to Putin’s control. As one headline in the Times put it, “Revolt Raises Searing Question: Could Putin Lose Power?” Washington Post columnist David Ignatius posed this assessment: “Putin looked into the abyss Saturday—and blinked.”
Secretary of State Antony Blinken—the administration’s go-to wartime flack, who weeks ago spoke proudly of his commitment not to seek a ceasefire in Ukraine—appeared on CBS’s Face the Nation with his own version of reality: “Sixteen months ago, Russian forces were . . . thinking they would erase Ukraine from the map as an independent country,” Blinken said. “Now, over the weekend they’ve had to defend Moscow, Russia’s capital, against mercenaries of Putin’s own making. . . . It was a direct challenge to Putin’s authority. . . . It shows real cracks.”
...
So, below is a look at what is really going that was provided to me by a knowledgeable source in the American intelligence community:
“I thought I might clear some of the smoke. First and most importantly, Putin is now in a much stronger position. We realized as early as January of 2023 that a showdown between the generals, backed by Putin, and Prigo, backed by ultra-nationalist extremists, was inevitable. The age-old conflict between the ‘special’ war fighters and a large, slow, clumsy, unimaginative regular army. The army always wins because they own the peripheral assets that make victory, either offensive or defensive, possible. Most importantly, they control logistics. special forces see themselves as the premier offensive asset. When the overall strategy is offensive, big army tolerates their hubris and public chest thumping because SF are willing to take high risk and pay a high price. Successful offense requires a large expenditure of men and equipment. Successful defense, on the other hand, requires husbanding these assets.
...
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Well, very interesting point of view from Hersh. It may be wrong, but is deserves to be heard/read...
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Read the complete version here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
The Russian ‘revolt’ that wasn’t strengthens Putin’s hand
SEYMOUR HERSH
The Biden administration had a glorious few days last weekend. The ongoing disaster in Ukraine slipped from the headlines to be replaced by the “revolt,” as a New York Times headline put it, of Yevgeny Prigozhin, chief of the mercenary Wagner Group.
The focus slipped from Ukraine’s failing counter-offensive to Prigozhin’s threat to Putin’s control. As one headline in the Times put it, “Revolt Raises Searing Question: Could Putin Lose Power?” Washington Post columnist David Ignatius posed this assessment: “Putin looked into the abyss Saturday—and blinked.”
Secretary of State Antony Blinken—the administration’s go-to wartime flack, who weeks ago spoke proudly of his commitment not to seek a ceasefire in Ukraine—appeared on CBS’s Face the Nation with his own version of reality: “Sixteen months ago, Russian forces were . . . thinking they would erase Ukraine from the map as an independent country,” Blinken said. “Now, over the weekend they’ve had to defend Moscow, Russia’s capital, against mercenaries of Putin’s own making. . . . It was a direct challenge to Putin’s authority. . . . It shows real cracks.”
...
So, below is a look at what is really going that was provided to me by a knowledgeable source in the American intelligence community:
“I thought I might clear some of the smoke. First and most importantly, Putin is now in a much stronger position. We realized as early as January of 2023 that a showdown between the generals, backed by Putin, and Prigo, backed by ultra-nationalist extremists, was inevitable. The age-old conflict between the ‘special’ war fighters and a large, slow, clumsy, unimaginative regular army. The army always wins because they own the peripheral assets that make victory, either offensive or defensive, possible. Most importantly, they control logistics. special forces see themselves as the premier offensive asset. When the overall strategy is offensive, big army tolerates their hubris and public chest thumping because SF are willing to take high risk and pay a high price. Successful offense requires a large expenditure of men and equipment. Successful defense, on the other hand, requires husbanding these assets.
...
#TransFormatorBuzzes : 💤
Well, very interesting point of view from Hersh. It may be wrong, but is deserves to be heard/read...
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Read the complete version here ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Seymour Hersh
PRIGOZHIN’S FOLLY
The Russian ‘revolt’ that wasn’t strengthens Putin’s hand
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