Democrats are not hitting the numbers they need in the Early-in-Person and Vote-by-Mail to counteract a Red Wave on Election Day. We'd expect a turnout drop between a presidential election and a midterm, but the current decrease is jaw-dropping.

The best estimates I've seen show the total early vote has decreased by a whopping 60% compared to 2020, which appears much higher than we'd expect from a presidential to midterm cycle. Early voting in many states will close by this weekend.

Worse for Democrats, their share of the early vote has decreased too. At this point in 2020, Democrats held an estimated 15% advantage in the early vote. Right now, Democrats hold a national lead of about 12%.

In crucial battlegrounds, Democrats have seen significant tightening.

AZ
2020: D-44/R-34
2022: D-40/R-37

FL
2020: D-42/R-37
2022: D-38/R-43

NV
2020: D-43/R-35
2022: D-40/R-38

OR
2020: D-48/R-26
2022: D-42/R-34

Democrats are maintaining their 2020 % share in some states like IA, NM, and PA. But because the volume of early vote is considerably lower, it raises the specter that Democrats may not be able to withstand a large GOP turnout on ED, which appears likely at this point.

Last, there's reason to believe Democrats are struggling in some places to turn out their core consistency groups. For example, in Georgia, the Black early vote turnout has steadily declined. | Follow: @electionwizard

Very interesting tidbit this morning on the radio for PA voters

Frederick's bus tour. He was interviewing local candidates.

They have knocked on 10k+ doors. Specifically targeting Dems.
This is in Lackawanna

They said. Many of the Dem doors they knocked on said something to this effect.
Are you a Dem or GOP?

I am a GOP. Good. If you were a Democrat I would tell you to get off my porch.

Suburban women shift from supporting Democrats to GOP ahead of midterms: poll

https://thepostmillennial.com/suburban-women-shift-from-supporting-democrats-to-gop-ahead-of-midterms-poll?utm_campaign=64502

⬆️ Its the economy. Abortion isnt the holy grail Democrats think it is- people being able to afford their mortgage, their grocery bill & their gas/electric bill are the priorities. Democrats are hurting every household in America & don’t care. People have noticed.

In 2018, the Final result was R + 6.8
In 2014, the Final result was R +5.7

If Baris, Cahaly and Rasmussen are correct in their latest models.

We are getting close to 2010 level turnout. Waiting for their final reports.

If they go up again this week, we will definitely be at 2010 levels.

And if they are right, there should be a reckoning with the polling industry bowing to the left to preserve their narrative.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/02/exclusive-jim-jordan-sends-final-warning-shot-to-doj-fbi-ahead-of-midterms/

Jordan sends a preserve your documents letter.

Dems are toast in NV if this holds up.

I am not sure but perhaps a movement of watchdogs has made it less desirable to defraud elections to save garbage people.

Buyer beware. Trust only after verifying.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ziM4y6iUVMo&feature=share&si=ELPmzJkDCLju2KnD5oyZMQ

Thank you, Captain Obvious. 👇

BREAKING: Fed chair Jerome Powell says 'there's no sense that inflation is coming down'
https://thepostmillennial.com/breaking-fed-chair-jerome-powell-says-theres-no-sense-that-inflation-is-coming-down?utm_campaign=64502

Hidden deep in Biden’s Infrastructure Package is a provision requiring all cars built after 2026 to have a “vehicle kill switch” that is remotely accessible. This would allow police or other government authorities to access it whenever.

https://www.yahoo.com/now/law-install-kill-switches-cars-170000930.html

H/T Harrison Krank

Speak Truth to Power | @TheWashingtonPundit