Here's my serious take on $BTC
Assuming we 1D close below $60k today, range lows have been lost. A level that has held for over two months.
It's a significant breakdown and whilst others will say "you should have been bearish at $70k+" I didn't see any reason to be.
Everything is relevant to timeframes and this is a significant move for daily structure.
It will be interesting to see if $60k is quickly reclaimed or retested as resistance. I typically don't like shorting during a bull market but it makes complete sense to punt a short there as a hedge against my spot exposure.
If it is successfully reclaimed, it's ultimately bullish and invalidates my short. I'll happily take the L if it means we're ready to continue heading up.
If the retest never comes, I sit on my hands and do nothing until $52k is reached which is the next area of interest for me with 200DMA confluence (by the time we get there).
I discussed these scenario's in detail on YouTube yesterday: youtu.be/9PWSQyX7_k0
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When looking at the weekly it's important to remember that we was up only for around five months.
We had to see a pull back at some point and create a higher low. When you zoom out, things aren't looking that bad.
Envision the scenario projected... Yes this causes short term pain but prints healthy long term price action.
Stay strong, ride the wave and go touch grass π€
Assuming we 1D close below $60k today, range lows have been lost. A level that has held for over two months.
It's a significant breakdown and whilst others will say "you should have been bearish at $70k+" I didn't see any reason to be.
Everything is relevant to timeframes and this is a significant move for daily structure.
It will be interesting to see if $60k is quickly reclaimed or retested as resistance. I typically don't like shorting during a bull market but it makes complete sense to punt a short there as a hedge against my spot exposure.
If it is successfully reclaimed, it's ultimately bullish and invalidates my short. I'll happily take the L if it means we're ready to continue heading up.
If the retest never comes, I sit on my hands and do nothing until $52k is reached which is the next area of interest for me with 200DMA confluence (by the time we get there).
I discussed these scenario's in detail on YouTube yesterday: youtu.be/9PWSQyX7_k0
------
When looking at the weekly it's important to remember that we was up only for around five months.
We had to see a pull back at some point and create a higher low. When you zoom out, things aren't looking that bad.
Envision the scenario projected... Yes this causes short term pain but prints healthy long term price action.
Stay strong, ride the wave and go touch grass π€
π9β€3π2
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Here's my serious take on $BTC Assuming we 1D close below $60k today, range lows have been lost. A level that has held for over two months. It's a significant breakdown and whilst others will say "you should have been bearish at $70k+" I didn't see anyβ¦
$BTC 1D
Still not filled on my short hedge but I will stick to the plan...
I know where my invalidation level is and I actually hope range lows get reclaimed for the sake of my portfolio.
However, removing emotions and taking the short hedge is the logical thing for me to do.
Still not filled on my short hedge but I will stick to the plan...
I know where my invalidation level is and I actually hope range lows get reclaimed for the sake of my portfolio.
However, removing emotions and taking the short hedge is the logical thing for me to do.
π5β€1
The Post Box π¬
$BTC 1D Still not filled on my short hedge but I will stick to the plan... I know where my invalidation level is and I actually hope range lows get reclaimed for the sake of my portfolio. However, removing emotions and taking the short hedge is the logicalβ¦
$BTC 1D
Short got filled and not looking good (which is ok)
As I mentioned repeatedly, I'm actually happy for this short to fail for the sake of my portfolio π It's serving its purpose as a hedge.
I talked about potential deviation on my youtube channel, saying this would be a decent scenario for bulls in the short term.
Waiting for the weekly close to manually close the short trade unless stop gets hit beforehand.
Short got filled and not looking good (which is ok)
As I mentioned repeatedly, I'm actually happy for this short to fail for the sake of my portfolio π It's serving its purpose as a hedge.
I talked about potential deviation on my youtube channel, saying this would be a decent scenario for bulls in the short term.
Waiting for the weekly close to manually close the short trade unless stop gets hit beforehand.
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$BTC 1D Short got filled and not looking good (which is ok) As I mentioned repeatedly, I'm actually happy for this short to fail for the sake of my portfolio π It's serving its purpose as a hedge. I talked about potential deviation on my youtube channelβ¦
$BTC 1D
Short trade well and truly invalidated and I'm absolutely fine with that
My portfolio is back to Mid-April levels and the hedge served its purpose
Maybe we chop between $60k-$70k for a bit again before the inevitable breakout
Short trade well and truly invalidated and I'm absolutely fine with that
My portfolio is back to Mid-April levels and the hedge served its purpose
Maybe we chop between $60k-$70k for a bit again before the inevitable breakout
π4β€1
The Post Box π¬
$ETH This chart looks much better for a bottom than the $btc chart but we know bitcoin will decide what happens next Getting back above ~$3275 looks pivotal here for structure but I've punted a smol long here in the hope that btc can make a run to $60k minimum
$ETH
Closed 75% of this long and letting a moon bag run
Would add again if we see this pivotal flip
Just locking in some profits to offset against the btc short
Closed 75% of this long and letting a moon bag run
Would add again if we see this pivotal flip
Just locking in some profits to offset against the btc short
π3β€1
π9π1