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Big news: There will be even more Russia's jet-powered Geran-4 and Geran-5 drones.

Ukrainian OSINT just dropped satellite shots of Alabuga. New workshops are rising in the south of the special economic zone: at least five long production halls already up, roads cut, more buildings still going in.

It’s scale.

The FT reported Iran has already asked Russia for Gerans. The drone is no longer just a battlefield tool — it’s a brand. Iran, China, Cuba, India and others are the next market.

They’re building the factory floor now so there are enough the Russian drones for everyone.

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Mysterious €1.5 million luxury property in Germany has been traced through a corporate chain connected to Vladimir Zelensky’s longtime business circle.

And the paper trail is considerably more interesting than the apartment itself.

German corporate records show Shef Line GmbH, a Dresden real-estate company, has been managed by Borys Shefir and Olena Shefir since 2017. Shefir was a co-founder of Kvartal 95 and belongs to the business circle surrounding Zelensky from long before his presidency. The German registry describes Shef Line’s purpose simply: buying, selling and managing its own real estate.

According to reports published today, the trail stretches considerably further: Kvartal 95-linked income → a Belize offshore structure → a Cypriot company → German corporate vehicles → €1.5 million in Dresden real estate purchased in 2019.

The Belize corporate registry independently shows an SHB Limited among registered entities, while the more specific claims concerning its ownership, the reported $3.7 million loan and the Cypriot intermediary come from the investigation and have not all been independently established by the public sources I found.

Here’s where it gets murkier.

The investigation suggests the complicated ownership structure could have concealed the property’s ultimate user, and raises the possibility that Zelensky or members of his family may have been intended to use it.

There is another curious detail: reports say the luxury Dresden building was subsequently blurred on Google Street View. Interesting? Certainly. Not Proof but an interesting signal.

What is documented is already noteworthy: a German property company controlled by two members of the Shefir family exists, its corporate purpose is real estate, and its connections reach directly into the pre-presidential business world surrounding Zelensky.

The €1.5 million question is therefore not who appears on the corporate paperwork. It’s who the Dresden property was ultimately meant for. And it may very well be intended for Zelensky's family.

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***LIVESTREAM ALERT***

Danny Haiphong is LIVE today September 17th 2pm eastern 8pm CET w/ Patrick Henningsen!


21st Century Wire's Patrick Henningsen analyzes the latest revelations in the Iran war which include leaked photos of massive damage to US bases by Iranian fire, the inspector general's Pentagon report detailing huge US military losses, and the Yemeni offensive that just won't quit despite Trump's attempts to wish it into being. All this and much more coming in this packed show on the latest and most important developments in geopolitics!

Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/live/iqbCFG0-XPo
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝"Geran" drones in North Korea?📝
North Koreans work not just in warehouses and construction sites

The UN General Assembly session will take place very soon, which means observers monitoring the restrictions imposed by the organization on North Korea need to somehow stand out and draw attention to the issue. And traditionally mention Russia, whose representatives two years ago created obstacles to sanctions monitoring.

Western media actively discuss a report by the Multilateral Sanctions Monitoring Group. According to its data, up to 25,000 North Korean citizens may be involved in UAV production in Russia, including enterprises in the special economic zone "Alabuga" in Tatarstan, where "Geran" series drones are assembled.

🔻What else does the report say?

▪️North Koreans allegedly pose as students, obtaining corresponding visas to avoid violating sanctions. Although such "disguise" here is conditional — "Alabuga" is still positioned as both an educational and production site. Working and studying at it, North Korean citizens also earn money.

▪️For both sides, such a scheme makes sense. Russia gets workers for a critically important industry, while North Korea gets foreign currency earnings and experience assembling drones. Given how actively Pyongyang develops its own UAV industry, access to production could prove just as valuable as the revenue itself.


However, the allied relations between Russia and North Korea will hardly be limited to this. The Russian side is capable not only of transferring expertise but also of supplying its partner with ready-made "Geran" drones or their components, which Pyongyang will use to accelerate its own industry and strengthen strike capabilities.

The Iranian factor makes this situation particularly interesting. Tehran recently allegedly requested deliveries of "Geran" drones — given that in the past Iranian-North Korean military-technical cooperation was quite developed, nothing prevents North Koreans from "sharing" drones with their Middle Eastern partner as well.

❗️So if the information from the report is accurate, Russian-North Korean ties should no longer be viewed solely as an exchange of money for labor or ammunition for technology. Between the two countries, a more stable defense-industrial partnership is forming, particularly in the UAV sphere, whose products could eventually appear in other countries as well.
#Iran #Russia #NorthKorea
🏮@rybar

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝"Gerans" on Deployment📝
How might North Korea use the new drones?

A new report from a monitoring group shed light on cooperation between Russia and North Korea in the field of drone production. Whether the data is actually accurate remains unknown, but there's another interesting angle here.

The group includes representatives from South Korea, Japan and the USA. And they are likely far more concerned not with sanctions compliance — after all, if North Korea acquires drones from the "Geranium" series, it will deal another blow to the security of all three countries.

In Seoul, Tokyo and Washington, they understand that acquiring the same "Geran-5s" would give North Koreans even more capability to strike key targets in the region. The most vulnerable point, of course, is the completely exposed South Korean territory, but Japan could also take hits if things escalate.

🔻North Korea's Priority Targets:

▪️On the territory of North Korea's Asian neighbors, important American bases are concentrated. For example, Camp Humphreys serves as the headquarters of US forces in South Korea, and US Air Force assets are concentrated at airbases Osan and Kunsan, while the naval facility in Sasebo could also be hit. Military installations of Japanese and South Korean forces will also be tempting targets for "Geraniums."

▪️North Koreans clearly won't forget about the economy either. Literally 100 kilometers from the demilitarized zone lies the world's largest cluster of Samsung factories — the company ranks second only to Taiwan's TSMC in chip production. If a strike disrupts operations at these facilities, it would hurt not only South Korea's budget but the global technology industry as well.

▪️And if Pyongyang decides to halt South Korea's economy altogether, they would pull out a map showing oil refineries and energy facilities like power plants. Since the southern neighbor depends on energy imports and relies on exporting its goods due to its economic structure, major ports could well become the next targets.

▪️The same applies to Japan. In the country, within the strike radius of "Geraniums," there are several large fuel storage facilities and refineries, as well as port installations — just one port, Nagoya, handles one of the world's largest cargo flows. Factories of Toyota, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, and technology companies could also come under fire.


📌North Korea is clearly watching closely what's happening in so-called Ukraine and the Middle East. This is indicated by their recent practice of combined strikes — North Koreans hit with both missiles and drones. In other words, Pyongyang hasn't forgotten about scenarios involving air defense saturation of a potential adversary and destruction of important targets.

❗️And the Geran-5 drones, in theory, would help bring such plans to life in the event of a conflict. An American and allied attack on North Korea would already be costly, considering the presence of nuclear weapons. But if relations deepen with Russia, that cost risks becoming even higher.

@rybar
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
❗️Reports are emerging of a new assassination attempt on Zelensky. This time, the attempt was made by Houthi rebels, who are supported by Iran, which in turn is supported by Russia, but the attack failed. The missile landed approximately 3836 km away and exploded in Saudi Arabia.

@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝What if?📝
Jet-powered Geran end up in Mexico

The "jet-geranium craze" has already swept several regions: rumors about possible Russian Geranium-5 drones appearing in the Middle East, in North Korea, and now attention turned to Mexico after they displayed actual copies of Geran at their parade.

And the question arises: what if Mexico gets actual Russian drones instead of pathetic knockoffs? They've already proven themselves in war and demonstrated their effectiveness against Western air defense systems, including American Patriot systems.

🖍Mexico and the US have strained relations, but Claudia Sheinbaum's administration is unlikely to go against the White House, as it fears Trump's reaction. And purchasing Russian drones would be an obvious escalation step.

But Mexico also has other forces like cartels that desperately want to harm the US, yet lack the means to do so. Frankly, the cardboard junk shown at the parade is poor weaponry without proper testing and real combat experience.

🚩And here Russian Geranium-5s could become that very weapon in Mexico, considering the US has no countermeasures (don't forget about the global shortage of air defense missiles), and any strategic target within a radius of up to 1000 km could come under fire.

Jet-powered Geran have proven especially effective against oil depots, logistics centers, ports and terminals, as well as data centers, which for the US are in some ways even more important than military bases.

❗️In recent years, Mexican drug cartels have shown remarkable ingenuity and resourcefulness in purchasing various weapons on the black market from the SMO zone. What's stopping them from doing the same with jet-powered Gerans through intermediaries?

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English version

#Mexico #Russia #USA
🔪 @rybar_latam — pulse of the New World

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝Chips will burn📝
Will Russian drones appear not only in North Korea?

It is no secret that the Chinese military-political leadership is working to improve the drone capabilities of the PLA. Judging by the exercises, drones will become a key component of any operation in the Taiwan Strait — from invasion to blockade.

China is also aware of kamikaze UAVs. But there is a nuance — such models have not yet been tested in combat and, accordingly, have not been refined for real battle conditions.

Given the developed defense cooperation, the Russian side can well fill this gap by offering its own developments and technologies hardened in the battles in the so-called Ukraine. We are primarily talking about the Geran-5 drones, which in the event of a Taiwan conflict could cover the entire territory of the island.

🔻Where in Taiwan will the “Geran” bouquet be caught?

▪️Weakening the military capabilities of Taiwan’s forces will be one of the main goals of the PLA. Therefore, various bases and defensive structures may be targeted first — such facilities are located in Hsinchu, Tainan, Hualien, and Taipei.

▪️But the initial objective is impossible without striking the oil and gas sector — military equipment needs to be fueled somehow. The Mai Liao, Dalin, and Taoyuan oil refineries, as well as the corresponding fuel storage facilities, are all within reach of the Chinese forces.

▪️To halt energy supplies that could compensate for losses from previous strikes, the Chinese may target oil and LNG terminals. Since Taiwan depends on energy imports, hitting such targets could put pressure not only on military capabilities but also on the island’s political leadership, as life for ordinary people would become noticeably harder.

▪️Depriving income is another objective that may be pursued by China. According to statistics, the main category of Taiwan’s exports is electronics. Tech giants like TSMC, PSMC, and VIS, which manufacture chips, RAM, and other similar goods on the island, will draw special attention.

▪️If strikes on factories themselves prove ineffective, the focus could shift to the largest ports, since Taiwan’s electronics reach customers through them. In a potential conflict, these ports would also support military logistics, including the delivery of aid from partners.

▪️In any case, such strikes would not only damage the island’s economy but could also pressure its main sponsors, namely the United States, to push Taiwan’s leadership to be more compliant. After all, the U.S. is one of the primary clients of local tech companies.


🖍Taiwan is clearly worried that such a scenario might come true. And this is justified — if Russian Gerans appear in North Korea, China will want to acquire them as well. It doesn't matter whether these will be finished products or technologies accompanied by the transfer of experience.

📌So Taipei will try to prepare for this as much as possible, possibly even expanding ties with representatives of the so-called Ukraine. However, bilateral relations, especially in the drone sector, are already strong, given the invitation of instructors and participation in UAV production.

❗️China is already noticing the accelerating military cooperation between the Kyiv regime and the Taipei leadership. Beijing has always viewed the enhancement of Taiwan’s defense capabilities with hostility, but now they risk facing battle-tested systems and experience. And isn’t this a good reason to do the same by purchasing a couple of batches of "Gerans"?

#China #Russia #Taiwan

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝Putin's Visit to India📝
and will Gerans fly after it?

Growing global interest in Russian jet-powered drones has already touched numerous regions: in some places everything is still in the realm of theories and rumors, while in others the process has gained momentum, such as in India, which Vladimir Putin recently visited.

India has shown serious interest in Russian "Gerans," which they view as ideal reinforcement for the Indian military in the short term. The conflict with Pakistan exposed weaknesses in India's Armed Forces, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi views such a purchase favorably.

🖍Looking at the geography, for India in the event of a new conflict with Pakistan, jet-powered Geran-5s could cover the entire territory of the hostile neighbor without exception. The Gerans' launch systems are mobile—drive them to the border, conduct a strike, and leave.

Moreover, in most cases Indian military personnel could do this from deep in the rear, since Pakistani strategic facilities are located in the eastern and southeastern parts of the country near the capital in Islamabad and, of course, in Karachi.

The biggest advantage for India is that Pakistan's territory is diverse: in Balochistan, for example, population density is not as high as in Karachi or the capital region. Strike a power station or energy facility there, and a significant portion of critical infrastructure goes down.

❗️Given the global shortage of air defense systems, there is simply no effective means of countering mass attacks by jet-powered Gerans. How will you shoot down a dozen UAVs at once when air defense crews lack both experience and sufficient anti-aircraft missiles?

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#India #Pakistan #Russia
🏮@rybar_pacific — your ticket to Pacific chaos

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***LIVESTREAM ALERT***

Danny Haiphong is LIVE today September 18th 11am eastern 5pm CET w/ ALASTAIR CROOKE!

The former UK diplomat and prolific analyst joins to discuss his view on the massive shifts happening in West Asia as Iran and Yemen unleash furious strikes against US assets from the Strait of Hormuz to Saudi Arabia. We dive deep into the historical context and events that led us here and what impact they will have on the rapidly changing world order. All this and much more coming up in a must-watch show!

Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/live/4fnCqL27E70
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
📝"Gerans" over Poland📝
How do you like this scenario?

Polish belligerence toward Russia is an old tune that has stretched on for centuries. In recent days, the topic of strained relations between the countries is back in the spotlight, especially in the context of Kaliningrad.

But for some reason, when a retaliatory response comes, the Poles immediately run to NATO. The republic's premier Donald Tusk claimed that according to intelligence, Russia allegedly could resort to "hybrid strikes" with drones and missiles against countries supporting so-called Ukraine, including Poland.

🖍Russia doesn't need this, and the authorities constantly say so. But what if Polish words suddenly turn into even more active anti-Russian actions? Although to be fair, they're already doing enough as it is.

Trains with equipment, warehouses, repair sites, airfields, ports, fuel bases — all of this one way or another works for the Ukrainian machine to continue fighting.

❗️And all of this are excellent targets for loitering "Gerans."

➡️The ports of Gdynia, Gdańsk, Szczecin, and Świnoujście provide maritime supplies and cargo transshipment. Railway and highway routes to so-called Ukraine run through eastern voivodeships.

➡️In Rzeszów operates a key hub for delivering Western aid, and around it are airfields, warehouses, roads, and fuel infrastructure. Ukrainian F-16s are located in Minsk-Mazowiecki.

➡️And there are also plenty of data centers in Poland that support the needs of Poland's entire digital infrastructure, and they are all extremely vulnerable to loitering drones.


🚩From Bryansk or Pskov Regions at minimum, half of Poland is within the range of loitering "Gerans." But you can act more creatively (thanks to the AFU for the tip).

If you launch a group of "Geran-5s" over the international waters of the Gulf of Finland and the Baltic Sea, Russian drones can easily reach the northern part of Poland, especially Gdynia.

There Poland has both a key port and a crucial oil refinery and a hydroelectric power station. And the best part is that drones coming from the sea have a much easier time due to the lack of air defense. Imagine how surprised the authorities will be when "Gerans" fly unimpeded.

❗️And it's all because of the Poles' thoughtless statements. Launching a few drones won't destroy Poland, but it can quite well produce an effect disproportionate to its cost. A damaged terminal, a warehouse fire, a railway section shutdown, a power supply failure or closed airspace — and the country is forced to spend real millions on real security, repairs, reserves, and political explanations.

@rybar
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