Most traders lose right before the expansion because they react to the first move instead of understanding the sequence...

That “fake breakdown” is a classic ICT Judas Swing — a liquidity raid below lows (SSL) designed to trigger stops and lure breakout sellers into the wrong direction.

Once sell-side liquidity is taken, price often reverses with strong displacement and a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS). That shift confirms the real direction as price expands toward opposing liquidity.

The mistake is entering during the sweep.
The edge is waiting for the raid ➝ then trading the confirmed structure shift.

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