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During bull market uptrends, the percent of Bitcoin supply in profit breaks above 90%, signaling the Pre-Euphoria phase and incentivizing long-term holders to take profits after enduring the previous bear market. As prices make a new all-time high, the market enters the Euphoria phase where supply in profit fluctuates around 90% for 6-12 months. The current Euphoria phase is relatively young at 2.5 months, with 93.4% of supply in profit now. Long-term holders distributing to new buyers is a recurring pattern driving these cycles.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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#BTC hodl the flip area and made it way to $70,000 again with the news rejected from resistance with #FOMC meeting back to the same area. More news in ahead in time, this week news, gonna drive the market crazy.
#BTC again dip down back to the support area and nearly got there. Potential price gonna have a retest and a up move is expected. Now, its making mess price action within a range.
We can monitor corrections by tracking the magnitude of unrealized losses held by investors, particularly the percentage of coins that have lost their "in-profit" status compared to the local price peak over a 90-day rolling window. This represents new capital entering the market, absorbing sell-side pressure during an uptrend, and subsequently falling into loss during a correction. The depth of these drawdowns in the current uptrend is similar to the 2015-2017 bull run, suggesting a relatively robust market without an excessive volume of coins bought at overly high prices.
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#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on Daily TF, still on a consolidation but instead kept on hodling the supporting up trendline. Price nearly at the resistance area which also getting rejections. Not expecting much from here, only a breakout can lead some…
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#TOTAL MARKETCAP UPDATE : #TOTAL MARKETCAP working well with drawn zones, index made a clean move and breakout too. Index made its upmove with a proper retest though. Now, its retracing and already testing the support. Minor dumps can be also expected, as…
#TOTAL MARKETCAP UPDATE :
#TOTAL MARKETCAP stayed intact with the resistance area and dropped hard. Analysis played well though, market dumped as mentioned. Right now, Index on a support and need to wait for the Daily candle close. Close below will have the clean range to move lower support so stay alert on this.
#TOTAL MARKETCAP stayed intact with the resistance area and dropped hard. Analysis played well though, market dumped as mentioned. Right now, Index on a support and need to wait for the Daily candle close. Close below will have the clean range to move lower support so stay alert on this.
What Your Position ?
Anonymous Poll
57%
In a loss in altcoin and Bitcoin Hodling
26%
Accumulating more with dips
28%
I'll wait for the clear market indication
As prices rise due to increased buying pressure, the role of the opposing selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs) becomes more significant. We can evaluate the unrealized and realized profits of LTHs to gauge their incentive to sell and actual selling activity. The MVRV Ratio for LTHs, reflecting their average unrealized profit multiple, historically trades between 1.5 and 3.5 during the transition from a bear to a bull market, lasting up to two years. If the uptrend persists and new all-time highs are formed, LTHs' unrealized profits will expand, increasing their incentive to sell and potentially exhausting demand-side buying pressure.
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
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#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on Weekly TF, didn't gave a retest but moved straight upwards towards the Resistance drawn and rejected too. Price clearly don't aggressive moving now. Now, a potential retest at $66,000 will be the High Probable.
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :
#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, did exactly what we predicted and rejected played out well though. Due to rejection price dropped back tot he support area and now retesting the support zone as mentioned for it. Candle close will play important role here, so eyes on closure and by next week we need to see a breakout, which will support the either side trend.
#BITCOIN on Weekly TF, did exactly what we predicted and rejected played out well though. Due to rejection price dropped back tot he support area and now retesting the support zone as mentioned for it. Candle close will play important role here, so eyes on closure and by next week we need to see a breakout, which will support the either side trend.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#DXY UPDATE : #DXY did gave break of the market structure and now make a deeper pullback. Price again taking a deeper retest back inside the resistance area, and with the Monday Market Open, we can see some strong moves with the market.
We'll evaluate long-term holders' (LTHs) spending rate via their 30-day net position change. During the run-up to March's ATH, LTHs saw major distribution. In previous bull markets, LTH net distribution peaked at 836k-971k BTC/month. Currently, it peaked at 519k BTC/month in late March, with 20% from Grayscale ETF holders. This high-spending was followed by a cooling period, with LTHs accumulating around +12k BTC/month