Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC started moving lower, breaking that small range to the downside. Price is now heading for a retest of the falling wedge pattern, and the NY session might bring something new.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC.D is going sideways now, and the breakout will determine market moves, as a rise in dominance will lead to lower prices in altcoins. #BTC slows down, then the market will rise a little.
#BTC.D gave a fakeout and is now breaking lower, with the Index floating between key areas. If the Index moves lower, it will already generate good money flow in altcoins, as we have seen altcoins jump significantly over the past two weeks. Further movement is expected, and it may continue to move lower.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC is again forming the Wedge pattern and, after the breakout, moving lower very correctively. We have #CPI at the end of the week, so we can expect a strong move at the end of the week.
#BTC dropped lower towards the key support area and is now reacting. It looks like price had a deeper retest of the falling wedge pattern.
The 30-day Perpetual Market Directional Premium has rebounded sharply back into positive territory after briefly falling deeply negative during the latest drawdown. This indicates that leveraged traders are once again paying a premium for long exposure, marking a meaningful improvement in speculative risk appetite.
However, the current reading remains modest relative to the extreme positive premiums observed during previous impulsive advances. This suggests derivatives positioning has turned constructive without yet reaching euphoric levels, leaving room for further expansion should price begin to recover more decisively.
However, the current reading remains modest relative to the extreme positive premiums observed during previous impulsive advances. This suggests derivatives positioning has turned constructive without yet reaching euphoric levels, leaving room for further expansion should price begin to recover more decisively.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE: #BITCOIN rose up and tapped into the drawn resistance area, from which it was rejected. Looking at the bullish market structure, we can see a breakout very soon, but the next resistance is very near at $84,600.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#TOTAL UPDATE: #TOTAL had a very sharp move to the upside and is now going to retest. The index looks bullish and can move further higher, which will lead to a bullish market move.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE: #BTC attempted to print a new higher high but is still getting rejected from the major resistance area. On the LTF, it is a higher high, but on the HTF, a wick is forming and today is closing. This week, the wick wiped out both sides…
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#DXY moved back and forth in the major area and now closed below the zone too. The index looks weak and might print a new lower low towards the major support zone at 97.46% - 97.81%. Next week, we might expect short-term bullish moves.
#DXY attempt to form a lower low and built a double bottom, and now index back inside the major resistance area with a rejection candlestick pattern. Now next week strong probability to move lower up-to next support area at 97.46% - 97.81%.
US Spot ETF flows have improved materially from the severe distribution seen through June and early July, when the 7-day average fell toward -5k BTC per day. Since then, flows have repeatedly returned to positive territory, including a strong burst of accumulation in early August.
The latest reading has again moved marginally positive after a brief return to outflows, suggesting institutional selling pressure has eased considerably, but sustained accumulation has yet to take hold. A more persistent run of positive ETF flows would strengthen the case that regulated spot demand is rebuilding beneath the current consolidation.
The latest reading has again moved marginally positive after a brief return to outflows, suggesting institutional selling pressure has eased considerably, but sustained accumulation has yet to take hold. A more persistent run of positive ETF flows would strengthen the case that regulated spot demand is rebuilding beneath the current consolidation.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE: #BTC had a rejection candle from the resistance area and is forming a strong bearish candle. Price is now flipping the support, which might turn the market bearish till the next support area at $73,750 - $74,500.
#BTC closed its weekly candle pretty well with a strong bearish close. On the hourly timeframe, price is still moving back and forth around the support area. Price has now flipped the zone again and is expected to be rejected from the resistance line.
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#US30 UPDATE: #US30 closed below the support area and had a deeper retest. The index is now dipping and might go further lower, but looking at the HTF, it is bullish after the 53,650 mark, so hold off on adding further shorts.
#DVOL falling back toward mid-30s — #ImpliedVolatility near the lower end of its two-year range despite #BTC remaining close to recent lows 📉🔴. Options market pricing a relatively subdued forward volatility environment with expectations for large price swings substantially reduced 💪.
Low implied volatility not directional in itself — but prolonged compression leaves market increasingly sensitive to a sharp #VolatilityExpansion should any meaningful catalyst emerge unexpectedly ⚡️🎯👀
Low implied volatility not directional in itself — but prolonged compression leaves market increasingly sensitive to a sharp #VolatilityExpansion should any meaningful catalyst emerge unexpectedly ⚡️🎯👀
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC closed its weekly candle pretty well with a strong bearish close. On the hourly timeframe, price is still moving back and forth around the support area. Price has now flipped the zone again and is expected to be rejected from the resistance line.
#BTC had a sharp jump in market prices and started moving down after being rejected from resistance. The price broke the resistance trendline and is now back for a retest, looking for a small reaction. However, if there is a flip in the daily timeframe, it could move lower.
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#GOLD is still hovering over the support zone and has entered a small sideways market. Consolidation suggests that a breakout will occur soon, and with it, price will make a directional move. Therefore, enter the move in that direction after a successful close…
#GOLD had a sharp drop in price, narrowly missing the key support area, but our shorts are performing well with a 2.75% move in the market. We are still expecting a bearish price move down to support.
we noted that while the August 19 short squeeze cleared substantial leverage, the advance was running directly into dense overhead structure. That dynamic materialized over the past week. After pushing above $80K on August 27, price met steady supply and turned lower toward $76K, triggering a sequence of long liquidations.
The futures liquidation heatmap demonstrates the bilateral structure bracketing price. While the upward impulse consumed short orders in its path, it stopped short of the dense cluster of short liquidations situated between $83K and $86K. Below spot, the move left behind an intact band of long liquidation fuel between $60K and $63K. Price now trades between these two boundaries.
The futures liquidation heatmap demonstrates the bilateral structure bracketing price. While the upward impulse consumed short orders in its path, it stopped short of the dense cluster of short liquidations situated between $83K and $86K. Below spot, the move left behind an intact band of long liquidation fuel between $60K and $63K. Price now trades between these two boundaries.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC had a sharp jump in market prices and started moving down after being rejected from resistance. The price broke the resistance trendline and is now back for a retest, looking for a small reaction. However, if there is a flip in the daily timeframe, it…
#BTC reacted minorly, broke, and closed below. Price then retested and created a new lower low, holding support from the trendline. It is now officially bearish, so look for shorts in other positions and secure your longs.
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#FOMC in 20 min let's see
The Federal Reserve has officially raised interest rates by 25 basis points, pushing the benchmark target range to 3.75%–4.00%. This move marks the central bank's first rate hike in three years, driven by persistent inflation pressures and elevated oil prices. Markets are now closely watching the updated economic projections and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference for clues on whether a broader tightening cycle lies ahead.