#BTC made a new higher high after a shallow retracement. The price is holding above the sideways resistance, which is also the key area. Buyers are gaining bullish momentum and will continue to do so until war news disrupts the market.

#GOLD continues to face strong resistance and sell-offs from the key area. Price action is now more confused and somewhat sideways. We now need a higher time frame candlestick to close on either side of the zone, at either $4,650 or $4,820.

AVIV Ratio at 0.92, trading below 1 since early February—conditions closely resembling May–June 2022 but well above the extreme lows seen in Q3–Q4 2022. The current environment confirms an active bear market regime.

The True Market Mean at $78K remains the probable ceiling for any relief rally. This is not a prediction of a further drop, but a historical reference point for understanding how deep and long the current bear phase could last.

Here's the analysis of #TRU:

#TRU had some strong jumps in the market after that downtrend channel pattern. Price kept rejecting the resistance area drawn at $0.0115 - $0.0122. The altcoin market is weak at the moment and kind of messy too, so shorting may be the only good option here.

#BTC made another push higher and had a liquidity sweep of the old high and fake-out high. Also, the price was rejected from the top of the channel pattern.

#BTC.D UPDATE:

#BTC.D had a jump with a sharp move towards the resistance area of 59.90% - 59.94%. This move caused altcoins to suffer and resulted in less movement in the market. Major altcoin moves have been minimal; we need to see a sustained move in the market.

#BTC remains rangebound in a conventional #BearMarket — short-term bounce toward #TrueMarketMean $78K plausible but lacking meaningful momentum shift 📉🔴.

Two conditions needed for sustainable recovery — stabilization of #ShortTermHolder cost basis currently trending lower, and meaningful reduction in realized loss pressure from cycle-high buyers 💪.

7D SMA of LTH Realized Loss Volume above 4K BTC daily since November 2025 reflects persistent capitulation. Cooldown toward 1K BTC daily combined with price reclaiming $81.6K would confirm bear phase transitioning toward pre-bull recovery ⚡️🎯👀

Crypto Fear & Greed Index is just moving sideways right now, and honestly, people seem confused.

There’s no clear direction, it’s not really going up, but not dropping much either. Bulls aren’t confident, bears aren’t in control, and most people are just waiting on the sidelines.

It’s one of those slow, uncertain phases where nothing really makes sense.

Eyes on this Index too

Here is the analysis of #AXL:

#AXL printed an all-time low 10 days ago and gave a shallow break of the downtrend resistance line. Price is trading below the resistance area around $0.050 - $0.052. There are no long setups, and it is not valid as it is a heavy downtrend, so try to attempt shorts.

#BTC is going through a small parabolic move now, after sweeping those highs. Price might print a new Higher High, but looking at the price action, it is very corrective, so any anticipation would be premature. Hope for the best and prepare for the worst.

#C98 has moved up by 11.7% in profits and is now floating above the support area. The price has started moving sideways, which indicates either the beginning of a buy move or that sell-side pressure might continue. Book profits or Hold the trade and scale in once price break the lows again.

Spot demand continues to lag, with Binance 30D relative volume remaining below the 1.0 baseline and showing only a modest recovery. Price has found some stability, but the lack of genuine spot participation tells a cautious story.

Derivatives and short-term positioning are still driving price action rather than organic buying interest. Any rally is likely to remain fragile and unconvincing until a clear expansion in spot volume emerges.