Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC closed its weekly candle with a huge wick, having a 50-50 split between the wick and the candle body. This means it is balanced again, and nothing much can be done here except waiting. On lower time frames, the price flipped below again, so a down-move…
#BTC made a new higher high after a shallow retracement. The price is holding above the sideways resistance, which is also the key area. Buyers are gaining bullish momentum and will continue to do so until war news disrupts the market.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#GOLD is moving decently up and down, with gains of 2% to 3%, and it remains within the range. Price action for #GOLD is still unclear; we need to wait for a clean breakout or for clear price action to develop.
#GOLD continues to face strong resistance and sell-offs from the key area. Price action is now more confused and somewhat sideways. We now need a higher time frame candlestick to close on either side of the zone, at either $4,650 or $4,820.
AVIV Ratio at 0.92, trading below 1 since early February—conditions closely resembling May–June 2022 but well above the extreme lows seen in Q3–Q4 2022. The current environment confirms an active bear market regime.
The True Market Mean at $78K remains the probable ceiling for any relief rally. This is not a prediction of a further drop, but a historical reference point for understanding how deep and long the current bear phase could last.
The True Market Mean at $78K remains the probable ceiling for any relief rally. This is not a prediction of a further drop, but a historical reference point for understanding how deep and long the current bear phase could last.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC made a new higher high after a shallow retracement. The price is holding above the sideways resistance, which is also the key area. Buyers are gaining bullish momentum and will continue to do so until war news disrupts the market.
#BTC made another push higher and had a liquidity sweep of the old high and fake-out high. Also, the price was rejected from the top of the channel pattern.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC.D UPDATE: #BTC.D did not retrace and is now rallying within a sideways market. A rise in dominance indicates that money is flowing out of altcoins, so we need to wait for a sweet spot in the market characterized by a rise in #BTC and a drop in dominance.
#BTC remains rangebound in a conventional #BearMarket — short-term bounce toward #TrueMarketMean $78K plausible but lacking meaningful momentum shift 📉🔴.
Two conditions needed for sustainable recovery — stabilization of #ShortTermHolder cost basis currently trending lower, and meaningful reduction in realized loss pressure from cycle-high buyers 💪.
7D SMA of LTH Realized Loss Volume above 4K BTC daily since November 2025 reflects persistent capitulation. Cooldown toward 1K BTC daily combined with price reclaiming $81.6K would confirm bear phase transitioning toward pre-bull recovery ⚡️🎯👀
Two conditions needed for sustainable recovery — stabilization of #ShortTermHolder cost basis currently trending lower, and meaningful reduction in realized loss pressure from cycle-high buyers 💪.
7D SMA of LTH Realized Loss Volume above 4K BTC daily since November 2025 reflects persistent capitulation. Cooldown toward 1K BTC daily combined with price reclaiming $81.6K would confirm bear phase transitioning toward pre-bull recovery ⚡️🎯👀
Crypto Fear & Greed Index is just moving sideways right now, and honestly, people seem confused.
There’s no clear direction, it’s not really going up, but not dropping much either. Bulls aren’t confident, bears aren’t in control, and most people are just waiting on the sidelines.
It’s one of those slow, uncertain phases where nothing really makes sense.
Eyes on this Index too
There’s no clear direction, it’s not really going up, but not dropping much either. Bulls aren’t confident, bears aren’t in control, and most people are just waiting on the sidelines.
It’s one of those slow, uncertain phases where nothing really makes sense.
Eyes on this Index too
Trading Crypto Guide ™
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