Bitcoin reached the $72,500 resistance but failed to break through — as expected.

As long as this level caps price, the bias remains to the downside.

For now, the most realistic scenario is continued consolidation in the $62,000–$70,000 range, as outlined last week.

Strategy has acquired 1,142 BTC for ~$90.0 million at ~$78,815 per bitcoin.

As the market moves deeper into this cycle phase, the key question is where a durable bottom may form 📊. The UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) which maps supply at different cost bases shows notable accumulation by newer buyers in the $70K-$80K range suggesting early positioning to absorb weakness ⏸️. Below this, a dense supply cluster between $66.9K and $70.6K stands out as a high-conviction region 💰. Historically, areas with concentrated cost basis act as shock absorbers where sell pressure is met by responsive demand 📈🔥.

Here's the Analysis of #JUP :

#JUP making some fresh lows and on the way to print the new lows. Price can retrace a little towards the resistance area around $0.183 - $0.189. You can attempt for short-selling with stops over previous swing high.

#BTC kept on consolidating (black box) and now, this thing will decide the next market move, as after this sharp drop, if price going sideways indicated, market is trying to stable down and preparing for the next move. Eyes on mentioned level and ride the move in altcoin.

Here's the Analysis of #TWT :

#TWT dropped hard printing new lower lows and hitting the Major Support Zone around $0.25 - $0.48. Price Can react from here and can move 10% - 20% in buy direction but overall momentum is bearish, so take short-term buys and short-sell around $0.54.

#BTC finally broke the consolidation, moving downwards the towards the support zone around $66,000 area. Potential bounce can come along but not so good until we see a full reversal.

#GOLD made an up from the call around 3.6% in profits but back inside the range, goes into the sideways market. A HTF candle close over resistance around $5080, will lead in strong up move.

Realized Loss tracks coins spent at a loss showing investor panic 📉. The 7-day average hit $1.26B per day after losing the True Market Mean showing increased fear ⚠️. Spikes in realized losses historically coincide with seller exhaustion 📊. During the $72K rebound, daily losses surged to $2.4B, nearly twice the average 🔴. Such extremes often mark inflection points where forced selling shifts to stabilization 💰📈.

Here's the Analysis of #AEVO :

#AEVO dropping to new ATL and fresh lows within the downtrend channel pattern, and still expecting the same. Nothing much for the longs, try to get into the shorts and ride the down-move.

#BTC tapped into the support zone drawn, price started consolidating over the support area and have to wait for more clarification for confirmation. Price can still print new lower low, so wait before entering into new positions.

#TWT hits the major support and reversing from there, with a huge rejection wick. Once close over $1.53 - $1.54, we'll have open trading range a minimum of 25, for taking longs.

Major allocator demand has deteriorated with netflows flipping negative as BTC breaks down 📉. Spot ETF, corporate and government flows are fading showing broad retrenchment ⚠️. The market struggles to attract fresh capital 🔴. Without institutional demand, downside risk is elevated and rallies will face resistance unless flows stabilize 💰📈.

Here's the Analysis of #KITE :

#KITE making new ALL TIME HIGH, irrespective of the market conditions and recently got listed too. Price still looks bullish and continue to push, so buys looks favorable here. If dip came, buy at the support zone around $0.11 with stops below swing low.

#BTC printed a new lower low and following the downtrend channel pattern. Price is expected to break below sooner and further new lows around $60,000.

#BTC.D UPDATE :

#BTC.D dropped hard but #BTC too, in between price strong fluctuates, still suffering. Fear and Greed Index hits 5, which indicates market is strongly fears. Index still in confusion and have to wait more, or #BTC make the direction clear.

Spot volumes remain weak with the 30D average depressed despite BTC dropping from $98K to $72K 📉. This shows a demand vacuum where selling isn't met with absorption ⚠️. Durable reversals need aggressive volume expansion but volume only lifted modestly suggesting reactive distribution rather than conviction accumulation 🔴. With thin liquidity, price remains vulnerable as even moderate selling exerts outsized impact without spot bid support 💰📈.