Trading around the short-term holders’ cost basis marks a pivotal phase where the market tests the conviction of investors who bought near recent highs. Historically, a breakdown below this level following a new ATH has driven the Percent of Supply in Profit down to roughly 85%, implying that over 15% of supply sits at a loss.

We are now witnessing this pattern for the third time in the current cycle. If Bitcoin fails to recover above the ~113.1k, a deeper contraction could push a larger share of supply into loss, amplifying stress among recent buyers and potentially setting the stage for broader capitulation across the market.

Less than 30 minutes left⏳

We're going to share strong TA/FA based BINANCE call at 2PM GMT today!🔥 Get ready🚀

Exchange: BINANCE

Get ready for 2X ride🚀

Buying #ARPA here on Binance:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARPA_USDT

Forming falling wedge pattern on 4hours timeframe with #PRIVACY coins pumping like anything massive breakout is inevitable for #ARPA in short term🚀

Short term targets: 10%-30%-50%

#ARPA/BTC looks ready for a major breakout on 1D timeframe

Accumulation going on inside darvas box and looks like its time for a massive breakout now🚀✌️

So build your position before it takeoff ✍️🏻

#ARPA is the NEXT BIG THING right now🚀

This is  world’s FIRST privacy-preserving computation network — an absolute hidden gem like early $ZEC 👀💎 With a tiny $35M market cap, the upside potential is huge🚀

If you missed whole #Privacy alts rally #ARPA is your last chance

Just buy and hold arpa till moonshot🚀

#ARPA delivered fantastic jump with 12.8% spot gain in very short timeframe 🚀💥. With 5x leverage hitting 64% profit real quick 📈💪.

Caught the running train early with precise signal timing 🎯⚡️. Quick momentum capture = efficient profit execution 💵👀.

Hope you seized the early advantage and banked solid gains 🔥📊💯

Here's the Analysis of #ZEN :

#ZEN facing some sell pressure from the an intermediate resistance area, and kinda sideway moving too. Now it totally bullish at the moment, and if price flips over the level, then we can take longs after that. In H4 TF its already looking clear as soon as it starts breaking $22 mark.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, had completely made it wick fill and even surpassed it. Price reached the next major support zone around $99,650, which is already rejecting it. This is a good sign but its tough condition for a reversal now and need to wait for the price.

#TOTAL UPDATE :

#TOTAL gave a strong break below of the trendline after the retest. With that, #BTC dropped below the $100,000 and now retracing. Index also following it and going sideways now. Nothing much clear at the moment, wait for a break over $3.5T mark.

Supply Quantile Cost Basis Analysis:

Reclaiming short-term holder cost basis ($113.1k) pivotal for sustaining bullish phase 📊💪. Supply Quantile model maps critical levels: 0.95, 0.85, 0.75 quantiles showing 5%, 15%, 25% supply held at loss 📉⚡️.

Bitcoin trading below STH cost basis and struggling above 0.85 quantile at $108.6k 🔴💥. Historically, failure to hold this threshold signals structural weakness preceding deeper corrections toward 0.75 quantile near $97.5k 🎯👀.

Key reclaim levels critical - watch $108.6k hold for bullish structure validation ⚠️📈💯

Here's the Analysis of #MINA :

#MINA going through a recovery phrase, shifting to bullish side by breaking structure. Currently, its on a top resistance line of the channel pattern and might drop too, but buys looks well here, so take it accordingly.

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, played an another leg down, breaking the support zone. It now at a fresh support area, which is it rejecting now. Hopefully we can see a closing over the zone where bulls can survive a little. We can only expect something only with the fundamental news event.

NOTE : WEEKLY need to close over $100,000.

#DXY had a little move up and retraced all the way back to major support zone. Next week can be difficult for the financial market as dollar strengthen push other asset down.

Bitcoin rebounded from $116K before retracing to $113K within top-buyers' cluster ($107K–$118K) 📊📉. Mirrors post-ATH bounce patterns - temporary rallies absorbed by overhead supply 💥⚡.

LTH selling amplifies resistance capping upward momentum 🔴🎯⚠️

Here's the Analysis of #ORDI :

#ORDI rejected from the Major Resistance of $5.80 - $6.20, after the break of small channel pattern, and now retesting it. Price is take some easy drop if it closes below the pattern and with that you can take short-selling with the tighter stop.