Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation east of Chasov Yar: After three weeks of combats Russian Army failed to consolidate control over the first houses of "Kanal microdistrict", which were retaken by Ukrainian Army.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.586350406020856%2C37.90905215988931&z=13 ]
Situation east of Chasov Yar: After three weeks of combats Russian Army failed to consolidate control over the first houses of "Kanal microdistrict", which were retaken by Ukrainian Army.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.586350406020856%2C37.90905215988931&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made significant advances west and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the railway and Novooleksandrivka (less than one kilometer from this loaclity). On the other hand, map corrections were made at the eastern part of Ocheretyne, where Ukrainian Army still has presence over the garages and some high buildings at the microdistrict of the locality. South of it Russian and Ukrainian forces are clashing at the trench line west of Soloviove, while far northwest Russian troops managed to full control the southern part of Keramik and captured the high positions that overlooks Novokalynove, which is now under full Russian control. The big Ukrainian trench system at the center is surrounded from three sides now.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.22411146335694%2C37.65916256444233&z=12 ]
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made significant advances west and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the railway and Novooleksandrivka (less than one kilometer from this loaclity). On the other hand, map corrections were made at the eastern part of Ocheretyne, where Ukrainian Army still has presence over the garages and some high buildings at the microdistrict of the locality. South of it Russian and Ukrainian forces are clashing at the trench line west of Soloviove, while far northwest Russian troops managed to full control the southern part of Keramik and captured the high positions that overlooks Novokalynove, which is now under full Russian control. The big Ukrainian trench system at the center is surrounded from three sides now.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.22411146335694%2C37.65916256444233&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation west of Donetsk city: Recent video footage shows new Russian tank attack inside Krasnogorivka. Tanks reached the limits of refractary plant and landed troops there later retreating to the original positions. The streets of konstytutsiyi and Hoholya were completely taken and the assault of the industrial area from this axis began.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.9984951565101%2C37.5292426718667&z=13 ]
Situation west of Donetsk city: Recent video footage shows new Russian tank attack inside Krasnogorivka. Tanks reached the limits of refractary plant and landed troops there later retreating to the original positions. The streets of konstytutsiyi and Hoholya were completely taken and the assault of the industrial area from this axis began.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.9984951565101%2C37.5292426718667&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation on Zaporizhia front: Russian Army made new advances west of Robotyne taking control over a series of trenches and new parts of the locality and now controls half of it. As a result, Ukrainian Army retreated from most of its positions inside Robotyne.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.44395673874975%2C35.84347163287843&z=13 ]
Situation on Zaporizhia front: Russian Army made new advances west of Robotyne taking control over a series of trenches and new parts of the locality and now controls half of it. As a result, Ukrainian Army retreated from most of its positions inside Robotyne.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.44395673874975%2C35.84347163287843&z=13 ]
Suriyakmaps
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796: Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made significant advances west and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the railway and Novooleksandrivka (less than one kilometer from this loaclity). On the other hand, map corrections…
As a curiosity: The Russian spearhead is located 24 kilometers from the 2014 front line in Avdivka and only 26 kilometers from Pokrovsk. However, this is not the Russian priority target for now....
The breach of the Ukrainian defenses in Ocheretyne has produced a situation of confusion in the Ukrainian command, which is unable to stop the Russian advance. The capture of Ocheretyne is very reminiscent of the capture of Popasna, which allowed the Russian army in 2022 to advance towards Bakhmut, Soledar and the bastions of Lisichansk and Severodonetsk. What is expected after the capture of this new bastion by Russian forces?
Around Ocheretyne there is a high area that runs along the railway and extends towards the north. Taking this and the latest advances in the area into account, we can predict that Russian advances would develop as follows:
Around Ocheretyne there is a high area that runs along the railway and extends towards the north. Taking this and the latest advances in the area into account, we can predict that Russian advances would develop as follows:
Part 1:
The Russian army will continue advancing westwards reaching Prohres (1), where it will maintain its positions. The capture of this town will allow control fire to be established on the Ukrainian troops located east of Karlivske Reservoir, which will hinder Ukrainian logistics in this area, which will withdraw as the Russians continue to advance along that axis (5). Simultaneously, Russian troops will advance along two major axes:
- The first of them will target the road junction located on highway H-32, which connects Pokrovsk with Kostiantynivka (2). This will be a serious blow to the arrival of reinforcements and supplies to the second city as Pokrovsk is the epicenter of the Donbas, leaving only the road to Kramatorsk as the main logistical route.
- The second of the advances will be towards the north, targeting the town of Kalynove (3), it is expected that these advances will allow the reopening of the H-20 highway axis taking the towns of Oleksandropil and Panteleymonivka (4)
The Russian army will continue advancing westwards reaching Prohres (1), where it will maintain its positions. The capture of this town will allow control fire to be established on the Ukrainian troops located east of Karlivske Reservoir, which will hinder Ukrainian logistics in this area, which will withdraw as the Russians continue to advance along that axis (5). Simultaneously, Russian troops will advance along two major axes:
- The first of them will target the road junction located on highway H-32, which connects Pokrovsk with Kostiantynivka (2). This will be a serious blow to the arrival of reinforcements and supplies to the second city as Pokrovsk is the epicenter of the Donbas, leaving only the road to Kramatorsk as the main logistical route.
- The second of the advances will be towards the north, targeting the town of Kalynove (3), it is expected that these advances will allow the reopening of the H-20 highway axis taking the towns of Oleksandropil and Panteleymonivka (4)
Part 2:
After Kalynove Russian advance will continue northwards reaching the town of Zoria (1). The natural barrier of the Kleban-Byk reservoir lake will prevent Russian troops from advancing further due to the danger that Ukrainian Army could easily bombard them from Kostiantynivka.
The situation must be unblocked by advancing along the H-32 highway, located in the high area at the same time that the Russian forces consolidate and expand control over the highway crossing (2). This advance will possibly be the most complex given the extensive defenses that the Ukrainian command has been preparing there for months, since its capture would mean reaching the southwestern outskirts of Kostiantynivka (3).
After Kalynove Russian advance will continue northwards reaching the town of Zoria (1). The natural barrier of the Kleban-Byk reservoir lake will prevent Russian troops from advancing further due to the danger that Ukrainian Army could easily bombard them from Kostiantynivka.
The situation must be unblocked by advancing along the H-32 highway, located in the high area at the same time that the Russian forces consolidate and expand control over the highway crossing (2). This advance will possibly be the most complex given the extensive defenses that the Ukrainian command has been preparing there for months, since its capture would mean reaching the southwestern outskirts of Kostiantynivka (3).
These advances would leave the Ukrainian agglomerations of Toretsk, Niu-York & Scherbynivka in a kind of semi-encirclement in which only one supply route would remain. The capture of Chasov Yar in the following months by the Russian army (4) would leave the Ukrainian troops in a critical situation, at a time when Russian troops would surely begin to attack Niu-York (5) pushing them from the defense lines 2014.
This analysis is a long-term prediction, which will take the rest of the spring and part of the summer. Furthermore, it does not take into account the development that may exist on other fronts, so the magnitude of Russian advances is difficult to calculate.
However, it will not have the same relative ease as capturing Ocheretyne. The Ukrainian army is sending many reinforcements to this area to stop the Russian advances that will eventually slow down, in addition to the Ukrainian defenses built.
Possibly we are talking about the Russian offensive horizon this year after which there will be a return to the Russian defensive posture in order to recover from wear and tear. On the other hand, the arrival of American aid would give a new boost to the Ukrainian army to prepare counteroffensives on several fronts and recover as much as possible from the losses suffered in recent months. However, the situation of its forces is worsening day after day, especially due to the troop problems that it is suffering and that the new mobilizations will have to solve if the Ukrainian government really wants to continue the conflict for several more years in optimal conditions.
However, it will not have the same relative ease as capturing Ocheretyne. The Ukrainian army is sending many reinforcements to this area to stop the Russian advances that will eventually slow down, in addition to the Ukrainian defenses built.
Possibly we are talking about the Russian offensive horizon this year after which there will be a return to the Russian defensive posture in order to recover from wear and tear. On the other hand, the arrival of American aid would give a new boost to the Ukrainian army to prepare counteroffensives on several fronts and recover as much as possible from the losses suffered in recent months. However, the situation of its forces is worsening day after day, especially due to the troop problems that it is suffering and that the new mobilizations will have to solve if the Ukrainian government really wants to continue the conflict for several more years in optimal conditions.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation on northeastern front: During the last two days Russian army made small advances at the western part of Kyslivka and south of the locality in the direction of Kotlyarivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.63895927926819%2C37.90792576011278&z=13 ]
Situation on northeastern front: During the last two days Russian army made small advances at the western part of Kyslivka and south of the locality in the direction of Kotlyarivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.63895927926819%2C37.90792576011278&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation north of Donetsk: During the last two days Ukrainian Army continued its momemtum and recaptured new positions east of Yampolivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.04524331689044%2C38.072556486264446&z=12 ]
Situation north of Donetsk: During the last two days Ukrainian Army continued its momemtum and recaptured new positions east of Yampolivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.04524331689044%2C38.072556486264446&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation east of Chasov Yar: Russian Army made new advances south of Mount Baba and reached the water channel in this axis for the first time. Meanwhile, clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place in the last part of this mount.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.58950485881908%2C37.909155607335364&z=13 ]
Situation east of Chasov Yar: Russian Army made new advances south of Mount Baba and reached the water channel in this axis for the first time. Meanwhile, clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place in the last part of this mount.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.58950485881908%2C37.909155607335364&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army advanced west and south of Soloviove towards Sokil and Novopokrovske respectively. In addition, troops continue the advance northwest of Ocheretyne taking control over new plantations adjacent to the eastern outskirts of Novooleksandrivka. Moreover, Russian forces took full control over Keramik following Ukrainian army withdrawal towards Arkhanhelske and increased the pressure over the central trench system, which is almost surrounded.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.24346170253895%2C37.65635150319879&z=12 ]
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army advanced west and south of Soloviove towards Sokil and Novopokrovske respectively. In addition, troops continue the advance northwest of Ocheretyne taking control over new plantations adjacent to the eastern outskirts of Novooleksandrivka. Moreover, Russian forces took full control over Keramik following Ukrainian army withdrawal towards Arkhanhelske and increased the pressure over the central trench system, which is almost surrounded.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.24346170253895%2C37.65635150319879&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 798:
Situation east of Chasov Yar: During the last hours Russian Army took control over the remaining areas of Mount Baba. The intensive bombardment forces Ukrainian Army to withdraw to the trenches of the water channel. In addition, clashes between both sides are taking place in the first buildings of kanal microdistrict.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.58730148818972%2C37.906042520207244&z=13 ]
Situation east of Chasov Yar: During the last hours Russian Army took control over the remaining areas of Mount Baba. The intensive bombardment forces Ukrainian Army to withdraw to the trenches of the water channel. In addition, clashes between both sides are taking place in the first buildings of kanal microdistrict.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.58730148818972%2C37.906042520207244&z=13 ]
The video recorded in Stepove shows the cruel reality that cannot be reflected on a map or aerial video. The deaths from this conflict are countless, as have been those that have preceded it over the centuries and millennia. War is a human condition of man, but at the same time man is the only one capable of putting an end to it. Sometimes it is necessary to make sacrifices to safeguard peace, diplomacy is sometimes unfair and disproportionate, but it is the least painful way and the one that can end senseless wars.
The knowledge, monitoring, analysis and dissemination of a conflict must be done in order to inform and understand its causes, address the problems encountered and that the conclusions allow to avoid a new one; what can never be made of this is a space for entertainment.
That is why I will never understand those who cheer for a great war that will end up splashing them in the end, when they themselves are not the ones fighting and will never understand what it is like to be in hell on earth.
This project will continue its work of monitoring conflicts, but this will not condition the anti-war essence that it has always wanted to defend.
The knowledge, monitoring, analysis and dissemination of a conflict must be done in order to inform and understand its causes, address the problems encountered and that the conclusions allow to avoid a new one; what can never be made of this is a space for entertainment.
That is why I will never understand those who cheer for a great war that will end up splashing them in the end, when they themselves are not the ones fighting and will never understand what it is like to be in hell on earth.
This project will continue its work of monitoring conflicts, but this will not condition the anti-war essence that it has always wanted to defend.
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 798:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army continue advancing southwest and west of Soloviove along the trench lines until Ukrainian Army stopped the attack. In addition, Russian troops are fighting in the southern part of Arkhanhelske and advanced further east of Ocheretyne. As a consequence Ukrainian forces withdrew from the central trench system northwards (white area is being secured by Russians).
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.25237256944078%2C37.63338895388819&z=13 ]
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army continue advancing southwest and west of Soloviove along the trench lines until Ukrainian Army stopped the attack. In addition, Russian troops are fighting in the southern part of Arkhanhelske and advanced further east of Ocheretyne. As a consequence Ukrainian forces withdrew from the central trench system northwards (white area is being secured by Russians).
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.25237256944078%2C37.63338895388819&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 798:
Situation southwest of Donetsk: During the last two days Russian Army made new advances towards Kostyantynivka-Ugledar road and southwest of Novomykhailivka. Clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place close to the outskirts of Paraskoviivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.84783566085788%2C37.443761343958606&z=12 ]
Situation southwest of Donetsk: During the last two days Russian Army made new advances towards Kostyantynivka-Ugledar road and southwest of Novomykhailivka. Clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place close to the outskirts of Paraskoviivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.84783566085788%2C37.443761343958606&z=12 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 798:
Situation on Velikonovoselkovskaya front: During the last six days Russian Army improved the positions at the southern outskirts of Urozhaine.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.7384511897557%2C36.8142790746715&z=13 ]
Situation on Velikonovoselkovskaya front: During the last six days Russian Army improved the positions at the southern outskirts of Urozhaine.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.7384511897557%2C36.8142790746715&z=13 ]
Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 799:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made new advances between Keramik and Arkhanhelske (where troops control now 60% of the locality). Clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place north and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the trench systems located in this area.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.240165619118955%2C37.67076985648758&z=12 ]
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made new advances between Keramik and Arkhanhelske (where troops control now 60% of the locality). Clashes with Ukrainian Army are taking place north and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the trench systems located in this area.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.240165619118955%2C37.67076985648758&z=12 ]