Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 794:
Situation north and west of Avdivka: Russian Army took full control over the locality of Berdichy as the last Ukrainian soldiers retreated westwards. On the other hand Russian forces took control over new trenchs east of Ocheretyne and south of Novokalynove. In this locality Russian troops took control the central part and forced Ukrainian Army to retreat northwards to the trench systems. Also retreat took place from the center of Keramik.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.22298891807117%2C37.64743309071328&z=12 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 794:
Situation on northeastern front: Russian Army continue advancing in Kyslivka and took full control over the eastern part of the locality, thus reaching the northern outskirts of Kotlyarivka from this axis.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.63173280759619%2C37.905865823589345&z=13 ]

During the last days there were reports about Russian Army almost took control over Netailove. There is no truth about this statement. However, progress was made at the eastern part during the last few days. Approximately 30% of Netailove was taken by Russian Army.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 795:
Situation on northeastern front: Clashes between Russian Army and Ukrainian Army continue at the western part of Kyslivka and at the outskirts of Kotlyarivka. Meanwhile, Russian forces began advancing south of Tabaivka in the direction of Pishchane, taking control over a series of positions in the lower ground.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.61968678672371%2C37.86792771689046&z=12 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 795:
Situation north of Donetsk: During the last ten days Ukrainian Army managed to recapture more ground (Blizhniy and Dal'niy forest areas) east of Yampolivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.05435658897856%2C38.03144723465662&z=12 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 795:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army continue increasing the buffer zone around Ocheretyne from west and east.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.23604139352568%2C37.63677550731101&z=13 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 795:
Situation northwest of Donetsk city: During the last days Russian Army took control over 30% of the locality of Netailove. On the other hand, some modifications were made at Nevelske as the warehouses and parts of the buildings remains under grey zone.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.07962847381738%2C37.57624796374634&z=13 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 795:
Situation on Kherson front: Ukrainian Army entered in Nestryga island located at the Dnieper delta.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=46.52860305958665%2C32.39000117368499&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation east of Chasov Yar: After three weeks of combats Russian Army failed to consolidate control over the first houses of "Kanal microdistrict", which were retaken by Ukrainian Army.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.586350406020856%2C37.90905215988931&z=13 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation north of Avdivka: Russian Army made significant advances west and northwest of Ocheretyne in the direction of the railway and Novooleksandrivka (less than one kilometer from this loaclity). On the other hand, map corrections were made at the eastern part of Ocheretyne, where Ukrainian Army still has presence over the garages and some high buildings at the microdistrict of the locality. South of it Russian and Ukrainian forces are clashing at the trench line west of Soloviove, while far northwest Russian troops managed to full control the southern part of Keramik and captured the high positions that overlooks Novokalynove, which is now under full Russian control. The big Ukrainian trench system at the center is surrounded from three sides now.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.22411146335694%2C37.65916256444233&z=12 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 796:
Situation on Zaporizhia front: Russian Army made new advances west of Robotyne taking control over a series of trenches and new parts of the locality and now controls half of it. As a result, Ukrainian Army retreated from most of its positions inside Robotyne.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.44395673874975%2C35.84347163287843&z=13 ]

As a curiosity: The Russian spearhead is located 24 kilometers from the 2014 front line in Avdivka and only 26 kilometers from Pokrovsk. However, this is not the Russian priority target for now....

The breach of the Ukrainian defenses in Ocheretyne has produced a situation of confusion in the Ukrainian command, which is unable to stop the Russian advance. The capture of Ocheretyne is very reminiscent of the capture of Popasna, which allowed the Russian army in 2022 to advance towards Bakhmut, Soledar and the bastions of Lisichansk and Severodonetsk. What is expected after the capture of this new bastion by Russian forces?
Around Ocheretyne there is a high area that runs along the railway and extends towards the north. Taking this and the latest advances in the area into account, we can predict that Russian advances would develop as follows:

Part 1:
The Russian army will continue advancing westwards reaching Prohres (1), where it will maintain its positions. The capture of this town will allow control fire to be established on the Ukrainian troops located east of Karlivske Reservoir, which will hinder Ukrainian logistics in this area, which will withdraw as the Russians continue to advance along that axis (5). Simultaneously, Russian troops will advance along two major axes:
- The first of them will target the road junction located on highway H-32, which connects Pokrovsk with Kostiantynivka (2). This will be a serious blow to the arrival of reinforcements and supplies to the second city as Pokrovsk is the epicenter of the Donbas, leaving only the road to Kramatorsk as the main logistical route.
- The second of the advances will be towards the north, targeting the town of Kalynove (3), it is expected that these advances will allow the reopening of the H-20 highway axis taking the towns of Oleksandropil and Panteleymonivka (4)

Part 2:
After Kalynove Russian advance will continue northwards reaching the town of Zoria (1). The natural barrier of the Kleban-Byk reservoir lake will prevent Russian troops from advancing further due to the danger that Ukrainian Army could easily bombard them from Kostiantynivka.
The situation must be unblocked by advancing along the H-32 highway, located in the high area at the same time that the Russian forces consolidate and expand control over the highway crossing (2). This advance will possibly be the most complex given the extensive defenses that the Ukrainian command has been preparing there for months, since its capture would mean reaching the southwestern outskirts of Kostiantynivka (3).

These advances would leave the Ukrainian agglomerations of Toretsk, Niu-York & Scherbynivka in a kind of semi-encirclement in which only one supply route would remain. The capture of Chasov Yar in the following months by the Russian army (4) would leave the Ukrainian troops in a critical situation, at a time when Russian troops would surely begin to attack Niu-York (5) pushing them from the defense lines 2014.

This analysis is a long-term prediction, which will take the rest of the spring and part of the summer. Furthermore, it does not take into account the development that may exist on other fronts, so the magnitude of Russian advances is difficult to calculate.
However, it will not have the same relative ease as capturing Ocheretyne. The Ukrainian army is sending many reinforcements to this area to stop the Russian advances that will eventually slow down, in addition to the Ukrainian defenses built.
Possibly we are talking about the Russian offensive horizon this year after which there will be a return to the Russian defensive posture in order to recover from wear and tear. On the other hand, the arrival of American aid would give a new boost to the Ukrainian army to prepare counteroffensives on several fronts and recover as much as possible from the losses suffered in recent months. However, the situation of its forces is worsening day after day, especially due to the troop problems that it is suffering and that the new mobilizations will have to solve if the Ukrainian government really wants to continue the conflict for several more years in optimal conditions.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation on northeastern front: During the last two days Russian army made small advances at the western part of Kyslivka and south of the locality in the direction of Kotlyarivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.63895927926819%2C37.90792576011278&z=13 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 797:
Situation north of Donetsk: During the last two days Ukrainian Army continued its momemtum and recaptured new positions east of Yampolivka.
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.04524331689044%2C38.072556486264446&z=12 ]