After the failure of the negotiations US will impose a blockade of Ormuz Strait. 🇺🇲

Bab el Mandeb 🇾🇪 ⌛

Well, it looks like Orbán is going to lose. However, if there are any Hungarian followers out there, could you tell me what changes are in store for Hungary? Because I doubt that immigration policy will be scrapped or that relations with Russia—and Hungary’s dependence on Russian gas—will deteriorate. 🇭🇺

"U.S. Central Command: Forces under U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) will begin enforcing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and leaving Iranian ports on April 13 at 10:00 a.m. (Eastern Time), in accordance with the proclamation issued by U.S. President Donald Trump.
The blockade will be applied impartially to vessels of all nations entering or leaving Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. CENTCOM forces will not impede the freedom of navigation of vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz to and from non-Iranian ports". 🇺🇸 🇮🇷

With this, the U.S. military is proposing not only a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz but a total maritime blockade of Iran, deploying a military force from the mouth of the strait to the Indian Ocean. However, to what extent is this possible? Until now, Iran has controlled who enters and exits the strait with its own blockade, which creates the paradox of nullifying the very purpose of the U.S. blockade—to allow passage only to certain ships. This leads to a stalemate that, to be sustained over time, inevitably results in the following: the return of war.

The consequences for the global economy will be significant: approximately 20% of the world’s oil (about 20–21 million barrels per day) and around 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as fertilizers, chemicals, and other goods, pass through the Strait of Hormuz. The price of oil will rise significantly, affecting transportation, energy, and commodity prices, as well as the economic growth of both producer and consumer nations, potentially leading to a phenomenon of stagflation. However, this impact will be even greater now that the U.S. will block the strait, depriving Asian countries (primarily China, India, Japan, and South Korea) of their main source of crude oil. These countries currently hold significant global and regional influence and may exert greater pressure to lift the blockade.

The U.S. will enforce its blockade by targeting Iranian coastal targets and intercepting Iranian attacks on ships, leveraging its naval superiority. However, Iran will compensate for this shortfall by mobilizing the ports and refineries of Gulf countries to disrupt traffic, as it has done in the past, given that the Persian Gulf is effectively an Iranian lake.

The Gulf countries will be affected by millions in lost export revenue. However, a U.S. naval blockade would leave pipelines as an alternative for supplying oil and gas without passing through the Strait of Hormuz, albeit with greater limitations (the East-West Pipeline and the Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline have a combined capacity of 9 million bpd, well below the 20 million bpd offered by the Strait of Hormuz). However, this will not be easy, as Iran would consequently attack these pipelines, further damaging the regional and global economy, and triggering an intensified military response from the U.S., with the possibility of a blockade or control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which would be challenged by attacks from Ansarallah.

The long-term impact is worrying and disheartening. The U.S. has yet to find a way out of the war with Iran, and its missteps are mounting, leading to a loss of confidence and legitimacy as a military power, while its Israeli ally seeks to further inflame the Middle East with a new wave of ethnic cleansing—this time on Lebanese soil—and remains undeterred in its quest to destroy Iran and everything associated with the Axis of Resistance. 🇺🇸🇮🇱 🇮🇷

Spain is reopening its embassy in Tehran. Iran is not our enemy, and for that reason we must not abandon diplomatic relations with that country despite the threats from others who seek to destroy it out of sheer hatred. 🇪🇸 🫂 🇮🇷

A sudden fall shakes Europe after years of dominance
Is Viktor Orbán's era truly over?

What does Péter Magyar's rise mean for the next phase?

An in-depth analysis reveals what lies behind this political earthquake.

video link:https://youtu.be/OdQrWHfQjlM?si=eLUAvFdShv-kyBFw

The “stalemate” on the front lines in Ukraine is beginning to break. This April, we will likely see a resumption of more significant shifts in control. Furthermore, the Ukrainian offensive in the south has slowed, and signs of a Russian recovery are beginning to emerge. 🇺🇦 🇷🇺

US began the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. 🇺🇸

Beijing will continue to use the Strait of Hormuz and enter into energy agreements with Iran despite the U.S. blockade. 🇮🇷🇨🇳 🇺🇸
Chinese Foreign Minister Guo Jiankun has stated that “The Strait of Hormuz is an important international trade route for goods and energy, and maintaining its security, stability, and unimpeded flow is in the broader interest of the international community,”