Brazil vs Norway
Casemiro and Patrick Berg - O0.5 Shots @ 2.15 (1u)
Casemiro stepped up for Brazil after a poor start to the competition by scoring the winner against Japan, shows how much of a set piece threat is he is mainly from his time at Manchester United which is also shown by his shot output. Casemiro has taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for club and country, last season for MUFC he was averaging 0.72 headed shots P90 and 0.64 shots outside the box P90, so a couple different avenues can be explored for Casemiro to register his shot.
Berg blanked a shot against Ivory Coast but he was nowhere as close to the goal as he should’ve been, however took a shot vs France so he’s capable against the tougher countries. Berg has also taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for Norway and Bodo/Glimt, in those 30 starts he’s taken shots against France, Inter Milan, Man City and Juventus, so he’s not just doing it against cannon fodder in Norway.
I have fair odds of around 1.8 here, should be a great game too
Casemiro and Patrick Berg - O0.5 Shots @ 2.15 (1u)
Casemiro stepped up for Brazil after a poor start to the competition by scoring the winner against Japan, shows how much of a set piece threat is he is mainly from his time at Manchester United which is also shown by his shot output. Casemiro has taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for club and country, last season for MUFC he was averaging 0.72 headed shots P90 and 0.64 shots outside the box P90, so a couple different avenues can be explored for Casemiro to register his shot.
Berg blanked a shot against Ivory Coast but he was nowhere as close to the goal as he should’ve been, however took a shot vs France so he’s capable against the tougher countries. Berg has also taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for Norway and Bodo/Glimt, in those 30 starts he’s taken shots against France, Inter Milan, Man City and Juventus, so he’s not just doing it against cannon fodder in Norway.
I have fair odds of around 1.8 here, should be a great game too
👍10❤4🔥3🏆3
Props Model - Macca
Paraguay vs France William Saliba - O0.5 Tackles @ 1.66(1u) min 1.5 Tiny little drift on the original screenshot but won’t complain at all, Saliba has made a tackle in 2/3 starts for France at the World Cup and in 22/30 for Club and Country. For country…
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Unfortunately Opta didn't count this as a tackle. There were a few more too but I won't complain too much, likely there was not a proper touch after gaining possession
❤4
Had this wrote up, dropped on bet365 but available at nice odds in the exchange and some alt books. I’ve put an order in for £50 @ 1.88 (might have to drop my asking price now I’ve shared this :D)
Mexico vs England
Julian Quinones - O0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.7+ (1u)
Quite easily Mexico’s best player this tournament, Quinones has hit the target in every single World Cup game
England have conceded a shot on target against the opponents left sided attacker in 3/4 World Cup games, with Baturina, Rodriguez and Cipenga all hitting the target and with Reece James being injured.
Mexico vs England
Julian Quinones - O0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.7+ (1u)
Quite easily Mexico’s best player this tournament, Quinones has hit the target in every single World Cup game
England have conceded a shot on target against the opponents left sided attacker in 3/4 World Cup games, with Baturina, Rodriguez and Cipenga all hitting the target and with Reece James being injured.
❤12
Where’s the value?
Anonymous Poll
23%
England
11%
Draw
11%
Mexico
33%
England Qualify
16%
Mexico Qualify
12%
None ya fooooool
❤1
Gordon price for a SOT looks good. All below have super sub too
2.0 Betfair
1.91 Sky
1.9 Kambi (With ET)
1.8 Bet365 (With ET)
1u
2.0 Betfair
1.91 Sky
1.9 Kambi (With ET)
1.8 Bet365 (With ET)
1u
❤12🍾6
✅Quinones SOT @ 1.8 (1u)
✅ Gordon SOT @ 2.0 (1u)
✅ Brazil Bet Builder @ 2.15 (1u)
&
✅ England Qualify as chosen by the poll (not a tip, but we’ll celebrate 🥳)
We’ll take that
✅ Gordon SOT @ 2.0 (1u)
✅ Brazil Bet Builder @ 2.15 (1u)
&
✅ England Qualify as chosen by the poll (not a tip, but we’ll celebrate 🥳)
We’ll take that
❤21🔥5
Argentina vs Egypt
Enzo Fernandez O1.5 Shots @ 2.00 (1u)
We were on Enzo’s shot line vs Cape Verde and he easily cleared it, hitting 4 shots and 2 against Austria in the final group stage game.
Enzo has had two or more shots in 17/30 starts for club and country, Argentina should see most of the ball with Egypt looking to soak up pressure and counter. The longer the scoreline stays level or Egypt are winning, should see more desperation from Argentina which means more shots from distance.
Enzo Fernandez O1.5 Shots @ 2.00 (1u)
We were on Enzo’s shot line vs Cape Verde and he easily cleared it, hitting 4 shots and 2 against Austria in the final group stage game.
Enzo has had two or more shots in 17/30 starts for club and country, Argentina should see most of the ball with Egypt looking to soak up pressure and counter. The longer the scoreline stays level or Egypt are winning, should see more desperation from Argentina which means more shots from distance.
👍9❤8🍾2
Argentina vs Egypt
Egypt - O7.5 Shots @ 1.83 (1u) Or 1.95 Kambi books
Feel this line is too low for Egypt, they’ve easily cleared this line in all four World Cup games and Argentina conceded 16 shots vs Cape Verde.
Cape Verde have laid the blueprint for the underdogs how to get at the favourites and if Egypt, who are quite good on the counter attack, can do the same as Cape Verde did with much more quality players like Salah, Marmoush, Ziko, Ashour and Trezeguet, Egypt could hit double figures here especially if they’re a goal down with 10-15 minutes to go.
1.78 for fair odds here on the model compared to the 1.83 given on bet365, thats better if you can get Kambi instead, small bit of value but Egypt hitting this line in 4/4 should give it a bit more value.
Another interesting angle could be pairing this with Argentina to win the first half since Egypt would then rack up the shots in the second.
Egypt - O7.5 Shots @ 1.83 (1u) Or 1.95 Kambi books
Feel this line is too low for Egypt, they’ve easily cleared this line in all four World Cup games and Argentina conceded 16 shots vs Cape Verde.
Cape Verde have laid the blueprint for the underdogs how to get at the favourites and if Egypt, who are quite good on the counter attack, can do the same as Cape Verde did with much more quality players like Salah, Marmoush, Ziko, Ashour and Trezeguet, Egypt could hit double figures here especially if they’re a goal down with 10-15 minutes to go.
1.78 for fair odds here on the model compared to the 1.83 given on bet365, thats better if you can get Kambi instead, small bit of value but Egypt hitting this line in 4/4 should give it a bit more value.
Another interesting angle could be pairing this with Argentina to win the first half since Egypt would then rack up the shots in the second.
❤15
Forwarded from Ekinci44
He is insisting on not taking a shot unfortunately
Switzerland vs Colombia
U25.5 Shots @ 1.80 (1u)
This has won in 3/4 for Switzerland, the only time not being when they battered Qatar’s goal on MD1, this has won in 1/4 for Colombia however the stakes are higher now and should see a tight affair here.
Switzerland’s last 20 international games see them average 21.15 match shots and Colombia average 22.35. It’s hard to see where Switzerland’s shots come from outside of Embolo and N’Doye, with head coach Murat Yakin opting for 4 central midfielders in a 4231, with Jashari and Rieder both push up into attacking positions.
Model rates the fair odds a line lower at least
U25.5 Shots @ 1.80 (1u)
This has won in 3/4 for Switzerland, the only time not being when they battered Qatar’s goal on MD1, this has won in 1/4 for Colombia however the stakes are higher now and should see a tight affair here.
Switzerland’s last 20 international games see them average 21.15 match shots and Colombia average 22.35. It’s hard to see where Switzerland’s shots come from outside of Embolo and N’Doye, with head coach Murat Yakin opting for 4 central midfielders in a 4231, with Jashari and Rieder both push up into attacking positions.
Model rates the fair odds a line lower at least
🔥8🍾3👏1
Forwarded from Óscar Gonzalez Gutiérrez
Are there any bets for today?
🙏14🔥5❤2👏2🎉2🤯1