France vs Sweden

Odds have dropped a bit on 365 last time i checked, but Kambi books (Betuk, betmgm, virgin, grovesnor, livescorebet and loads more depending on your country have 1.83)

Aurelien Tchouameni and Adrien Rabiot - O0.5 Shots @ 1.75 / 1.83 (1.5u)

Tchouameni has taken a shot in 24/30 starts for club and country including registering one shot against Norway on Match Day 3, registering 1.51 shots P90 in this time frame.

Rabiot was well rested for the game against Norway, in the other two group stage matches he has registered 1,0 shots, when playing for club and country Rabiot has taken a shot in 25/30 starts, taking 1.61 shots P90

France will dominate large parts of this game, with Sweden deploying a low block which is how Tchouameni’s shot from distance came about vs Norway. Rabiot also poses a set piece threat, his only shot against Iraq being a header from open play.

Leave a ❤️ If you're on

Model flagged this up at 1.91 and dropping on all the books but value still left

Australia vs Egypt

Emam Ashour - O1.5 Shots @ 1.90 (1.25u)

Really nice line here for Ashour, won in 20/30 starts for club and country and has taken two or more shots in 2/3 group stage games including against Belgium, only blanking to Iran but he was taken off at half time and was played out of position.

Egypt have taken 14 or more shots in every group stage game and have looked very dangerous going forward, should see plenty of opportunity for Ashour here.

Paraguay vs France

William Saliba - O0.5 Tackles @ 1.66(1u) min 1.5

Tiny little drift on the original screenshot but won’t complain at all, Saliba has made a tackle in 2/3 starts for France at the World Cup and in 22/30 for Club and Country.

For country alone he’s made a tackle in 19/27 (70%)

Saliba will be tasked of stopping Enciso on the counter attack; the Paraguayan has been dispossessed 5 times in his last 2 games.

LCB tackles vs Paraguay: 0,2,2,1,1,0,1,0

I have fair odds closer to 1.4 for a tackle, many other books in and around that region.

Brazil vs Norway

Casemiro and Patrick Berg - O0.5 Shots @ 2.15 (1u)

Casemiro stepped up for Brazil after a poor start to the competition by scoring the winner against Japan, shows how much of a set piece threat is he is mainly from his time at Manchester United which is also shown by his shot output. Casemiro has taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for club and country, last season for MUFC he was averaging 0.72 headed shots P90 and 0.64 shots outside the box P90, so a couple different avenues can be explored for Casemiro to register his shot.

Berg blanked a shot against Ivory Coast but he was nowhere as close to the goal as he should’ve been, however took a shot vs France so he’s capable against the tougher countries. Berg has also taken at least a shot in 23/30 starts for Norway and Bodo/Glimt, in those 30 starts he’s taken shots against France, Inter Milan, Man City and Juventus, so he’s not just doing it against cannon fodder in Norway.

I have fair odds of around 1.8 here, should be a great game too

Had this wrote up, dropped on bet365 but available at nice odds in the exchange and some alt books. I’ve put an order in for £50 @ 1.88 (might have to drop my asking price now I’ve shared this :D)

Mexico vs England

Julian Quinones - O0.5 Shots on Target @ 1.7+ (1u)

Quite easily Mexico’s best player this tournament, Quinones has hit the target in every single World Cup game

England have conceded a shot on target against the opponents left sided attacker in 3/4 World Cup games, with Baturina, Rodriguez and Cipenga all hitting the target and with Reece James being injured.