ALMOST NO CHANCE OF FLARES: According to NOAA forecasters, the chance of a strong flare today is no more than 1%. Blame the simplicity of sunspots. All of the sunspots on the sun today have uncomplicated magnetic fields too stable to explode.
SOLAR WIND, INCOMING: A stream of solar wind is approaching Earth. Estimated time of arrival: Feb. 28th. The gaseous material is flowing from an irregular hole in the sun's atmosphere, and could spark Arctic auroras when it reaches our planet.