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GEOMAGNETIC FORECAST: On Jan. 22nd, a coronal mass ejection (CME) will pass close to Earth and might deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field. Polar geomagnetic unrest is expected when the storm cloud arrives, bringing bright Arctic auroras.
BIG SOLAR FLARE: Sunspot AR2929 erupted again on Jan. 20th (0601 UT), producing a powerful M5.5-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash.

During the flare, a pulse of X-rays ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a shortwave radio blackout around the Indian Ocean: blackout map. Aviators, mariners, and ham radio operators in the area may have noticed unusual propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz.

The explosion probably produced a CME. Confirmation awaits fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs. Stay tuned.
Solar wind
speed: 418.6 km/sec
density: 2.5 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1035 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B5 0822 UT Jan21
24-hr: B9 0002 UT Jan21
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1040 UT
Daily Sun: 21 Jan 22


Departing sunspot AR2929 poses a continued threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 3.3 nT
Bz: 1.2 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1036 UT
Coronal Holes: 21 Jan 22

Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 25. Credit: SDO/AIA
WEEKEND AURORA OUTLOOK: Updated modeling by NOAA forecasters suggests that only one CME will pass near Earth in the days ahead. A single glancing blow is expected on Jan. 22nd or 23rd when a CME from the Jan. 18th M1.5-class solar flare arrives. The impact could spark bright auroras inside the Arctic Circle.
Solar wind
speed: 433.3 km/sec
density: 6.1 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1452 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 1022 UT Jan22
24-hr: B6 0708 UT Jan22
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1455 UT
Daily Sun: 21 Jan 22
Expand: labels | no labels


Departing sunspot AR2929 poses a continued threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Current Auroral Oval:

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.2 nT
Bz: -2.0 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1450 UT
Coronal Holes: 21 Jan 22



Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 25. Credit: SDO/AIA
Noctilucent Clouds The southern hemisphere season for noctilucent clouds has begun. NASA's AIM spacecraft detected the first electric-blue puffs over Antarctica on Dec. 14th.
(2018 CW2)
Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters

https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2018%20CW2

2022-Feb-18 2018 CW2
👍1
(2018 CW2)
Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters

https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2018%20CW2

2022-Feb-18 2018 CW2
GLANCING-BLOW CMEs: In recent days, the sun has produced multiple coronal mass ejections (CMEs). None of them is heading directly toward Earth; nevertheless, they might touch our planet.

Glancing blows are possible on Jan. 23rd, 24th, and 25th. The impacts, if they occur, are not expected to cause geomagnetic storms but could brighten auroras inside the Arctic Circle.
A SUNSET FROM TONGA? When the sun goes down tonight, take a look at the fading sky. If the twilight turns purple, you might have spotted a "Tonga sunset." Heiko Ulbricht photographed this example Jan. 21st in Großopitz, Germany.
Solar wind
speed: 312.1 km/sec
density: 11.1 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0734 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1 0237 UT Jan24
24-hr: C1 0237 UT Jan24
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0810 UT