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GLANCING-BLOW CME: As predicted, a CME brushed Earth's magnetic field during the late hours of Jan. 17th. The glancing blow sparked a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm. The CME was hurled into space on Jan. 14th by a C4-class solar flare (sunspot AR2925). Storm conditions are subsiding now and should continue to wane throughout Jan. 18th.
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VOLCANIC GRAVITY WAVES OVER HAWAII: The eruption of an undersea volcano near Tonga on Jan. 15th was even bigger than anyone thought. It nearly touched the edge of space. Hours after a mushroom cloud burst out of the Pacific Ocean, cameras at the Gemini Observatory on Mauna Kea recorded red waves rippling over Hawaii.

These are gravity waves, a type of atmospheric disturbance excited by intense thunderstorms and volcanic eruptions. Many gravity waves scud through the low atmosphere. The ripples caught by Gemini's Cloudcam, however, are in the mesosphere 85 km high--the realm of meteors, sprites, and noctilucent clouds.

Photographer Steve Cullen spotted the waves in online footage. "I had a hunch that Gemini Cloudcams might detect gravity waves produced by the eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai. So, I just took a look and there they were!"
Solar wind
speed: 582.6 km/sec
density: 1.3 protons/cm3
Updated: Today at 1725 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2 1727 UT Jan18
24-hr: C2 1727 UT Jan18
Updated: Today at: 1730 UT
Solar wind
speed: 590.3 km/sec
density: 6.8 protons/cm3
Updated: Today at 1756 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B5 1643 UT Jan19
24-hr: M1 1759 UT Jan18
Updated: Today at: 1800 UT
Daily Sun: 19 Jan 22

Sunspot AR2929 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 3 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 6 storm
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 3.2 nT
Bz: -0.7 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1755 UT
Coronal Holes: 19 Jan 22

Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from this southern coronal hole. Credit: SDO/AIA
CME UPDATE: Yesterday, Jan. 18th, an M1.5-class solar flare from sunspot AR2929 hurled a CME into space. NOAA forecasters have analyzed the storm cloud and determined that it probably has an Earth-directed component. A glancing blow is possible on Jan. 22-23, bringing minor geomagnetic storms and auroras to the Arctic Circle.
Solar wind
speed: 485.7 km/sec
density: 7.3 protons/cm3
Updated: Today at 0725 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: M5 0601 UT Jan20
24-hr: M5 0601 UT Jan20
Updated: Today at: 0820 UT
Daily Sun: 20 Jan 22

Sunspot AR2929 poses a continued threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field

Btotal: 5.4 nT
Bz: -0.0 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0725 UT
Coronal Holes: 20 Jan 22

Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 24-25. Credit: SDO/AIA
GEOMAGNETIC FORECAST: On Jan. 22nd, a coronal mass ejection (CME) will pass close to Earth and might deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field. Polar geomagnetic unrest is expected when the storm cloud arrives, bringing bright Arctic auroras.
BIG SOLAR FLARE: Sunspot AR2929 erupted again on Jan. 20th (0601 UT), producing a powerful M5.5-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash.

During the flare, a pulse of X-rays ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a shortwave radio blackout around the Indian Ocean: blackout map. Aviators, mariners, and ham radio operators in the area may have noticed unusual propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz.

The explosion probably produced a CME. Confirmation awaits fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs. Stay tuned.
Solar wind
speed: 418.6 km/sec
density: 2.5 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1035 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B5 0822 UT Jan21
24-hr: B9 0002 UT Jan21
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1040 UT
Daily Sun: 21 Jan 22


Departing sunspot AR2929 poses a continued threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 3.3 nT
Bz: 1.2 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1036 UT
Coronal Holes: 21 Jan 22

Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 25. Credit: SDO/AIA