LONG-DURATION SOLAR FLARE: Growing sunspot AR3032 exploded on June 13th (0407 UT), producing an M3-class solar flare that lasted more than 3 hours. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the slow-motion blast.
https://www.spaceweather.com/images2022/13jun22/mflare_strip_opt.gif
Extreme ultraviolet radiation from the flare caused a shortwave radio blackout over Japan and southeast Asia, affecting frequencies below 30 MHz: blackout map. Also, the explosion probably hurled a CME into space. The US Air Force detected a Type II solar radio burst, which is usually caused by shock waves in the leading edge of a CME. Confirmation awaits fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs.
https://www.spaceweather.com/images2022/13jun22/mflare_strip_opt.gif
Extreme ultraviolet radiation from the flare caused a shortwave radio blackout over Japan and southeast Asia, affecting frequencies below 30 MHz: blackout map. Also, the explosion probably hurled a CME into space. The US Air Force detected a Type II solar radio burst, which is usually caused by shock waves in the leading edge of a CME. Confirmation awaits fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs.
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CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK: A CME launched by yesterday's slow-motion solar flare (described below) is expected to pass near Earth on June 15th. Geomagnetic storms are possible if the CME makes contact. NOAA forecasters say minor G1-class storms are likely, with a chance for G2 (moderate) and a slight chance of G3 (strong) storms.
CHANCE OF FLARES TODAY: NOAA forecasters say there is a 30% chance of M-class solar flares today. The most likely source would be sunspot AR3031, which has an unstable 'beta-gamma' magnetic field. The sunspot is facing Earth, so any flares it produces will be geoeffective.
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https://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_upload.php?upload_id=185673