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Coronal Holes: 26 May 22



Solar wind flowing from these coronal holes should reach Earth on May 27-28. Credit: SDO/AIA
METEOR OUTBURST POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK: Debris from shattered Comet 73P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 3 is approaching Earth. ETA: May 31st. Forecasters aren't certain, but there could be a meteor outburst when the material arrives. North Americans are favored to see the show if it actually happens. Estimates of visual meteor rates range from near zero to thousands per hour, highlighting the uncertainty of the forecast.

Read more: https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2022/05/26/the-tau-herculid-meteor-shower-possible-outburst/
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A DEAD SUNSPOT EXPLODES (UPDATED): A magnetic filament snaking through the corpse of decayed sunspot AR3016 erupted on May 25th (1824 UT), producing a M1-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast. https://www.spaceweather.com/images2022/25may22/deadsunspot_anim_strip2.gif

Coronagraph images from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) confirm that the explosion hurled a CME into space. A first look at the data suggests that the bulk of the CME will miss Earth, but there appears to be an Earth-directed component as well. A fraction of the CME could hit our planet on May 28th or 29th. Computer modeling by NOAA analysts will soon refine the arrival time.
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Solar wind
speed: 316.5 km/sec
density: 34.55 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0746 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1 0230 UT May27
24-hr: C2 1752 UT May26
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0750 UT
Daily Sun: 27 May 22


The chance of X-flares is subsiding as big sunspot AR3014 exits the solar disk--from 10% today to only 1% on May 29th. Credit: SDO/HMI
Current Auroral Oval:

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 2 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 6.80 nT
Bz: -0.55 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0746 UT
Coronal Holes: 27 May 22



Solar wind flowing from these coronal holes should reach Earth on May 27-28. Credit: SDO/AIA
GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on May 28th when a CME is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field. The solar storm cloud was hurled into space by an unstable magnetic filament, which erupted on May 25th. High-latitude auroras are possible this weekend. https://www.spaceweather.com/images2022/25may22/m1_cme.gif
Solar wind
speed: 513.7 km/sec
density: 8.81 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 1031 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1 0646 UT May28
24-hr: C2 1127 UT May27
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1035 UT
GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are underway this weekend as Earth moves through a stream of high-speed (> 500 km/s) solar wind. The gaseous material is flowing from a hole in the sun's atmosphere. Storminess could increase later today, May 28th, when a CME is expected to sideswipe Earth's magnetic field.
Coronal Holes: 28 May 22
LUNAR OCCULTATION OF VENUS: For almost 5 hours yesterday, the planet Venus disappeared. It was hiding behind the Moon. Quentin Gineys photographed the lunar occultation from Réunion Island in the Indian Ocean.

"To observe the occultation, I used an 11-inch Celestron telescope," says Gineys. "The phenomenon was very low, only 10 degrees above the horizon. I had to prepare my shooting location well, between roofs, a relay antenna and many palm trees."
Solar wind
speed: 551.3 km/sec
density: 8.55 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0100 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3 0942 UT May30
24-hr: C1 0226 UT May30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1305 UT
Daily Sun: 30 May 22


None of these sunspots pose a threat for strong solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Current Auroral Oval:

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.71 nT
Bz: 3.86 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0100 UT
Coronal Holes: 30 May 22



There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun. Credit: SDO/AIA
A METEOR OUTBURST MIGHT HAPPEN TONIGHT: Yes, debris from Comet 73P/Schwassmann-Wachmann 3 might actually be approaching Earth. Last Friday, a camera operated by the Spanish Meteor and Fireball Network caught a piece of the broken comet disintegrating over Europe. The fireball they saw could herald a larger cloud of debris following close behind. If it exists, the approaching cloud could cause a meteor outburst over North America on the night of May 30-31. That's tonight! Probably nothing will happen, but for enthusiasts it's worth a look.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1530619943322017794
Solar wind
speed: 519.4 km/sec
density: 7.58 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0712 UT

X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 0146 UT May31
24-hr: B6 1509 UT May30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0715 UT
Daily Sun: 31 May 22

None of these sunspots pose a threat for strong solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
Current Auroral Oval:

Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 2 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 3 quiet
explanation | more data

Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.14 nT
Bz: -0.12 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0712 UT