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NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. The information in this channel is provided for education and informational purposes only, without any express or implied warranty of any kind.

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Bitcoin hit ATHโ€ฆ with the lowest exchange reserves in years

Less BTC on exchanges = less sell pressure = why this run already feels different

More inflows, fewer outflows, exchange reserves shrinking... all you need
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Good Monday ladies and gents! Weโ€™re excited to drop our crispy new report: The Science Behind Tokenomics and Launch Performance.

It builds on our earlier analysis of 2025โ€™s token launches, and this time, we went deeper.

Our analysts tested how different tokenomics structures correlate with short- and mid-term returns.

We explored four key questions:

- Does insider allocation hurt performance?
- Does high community allocation help?
- Does a tokenโ€™s listing price shape investor perception?
- And does post-launch circulating supply even matter?


Here are the main takeaways:

1. Maximize community allocation
2. Set a lower launch price
3. Donโ€™t stress over insider shares
4. Circulating-supply unlocks have little impact
5. Prioritize clear tokenomics

๐Ÿ‘‰ Read the full report: https://docsend.com/view/47i874vknexnw5hm
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In 2025, projects that gave a large share of their token supply to the community (e.g. via airdrops, public sales, ecosystem incentives) performed much better after launch.

The top third of projects by community allocation (i.e. those that gave 47% or more of total supply to the community) delivered:

~120% return after 1 week

~350% after 1 month

~200% at the time of analysis


Meanwhile, projects that allocated only 30โ€“47% to the community saw more volatility without consistently better returns.

So basically:
Give the community a lot, or donโ€™t bother.

Read more
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Crypto VC funding in Q2 surpassed Q1 by 35% with 25% fewer rounds

From 441 to 330 rounds, and $7.4B to $10B raised in total

BTC hit ATH as Q3 just kicked offโ€ฆ How will funding in Q3 play out?
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Tokens that launch at a lower unit price (specifically, below $0.075) perform better across all timeframes, both short-term and long-term.

Why?

People tend to think a token priced at $0.01 has โ€œmore room to growโ€ than one priced at $1, even if the market caps are the same.

Full report:
https://docsend.com/view/47i874vknexnw5hm
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Why higher initial market caps = weaker token performance?

Hereโ€™s the math:
If your token launches with a $1M IMC, itโ€™ll perform ~1.37% better than the same token launched at a $2.7M IMC.

So if you go from $1M to $10M IMC, your early performance could drop by ~4โ€“5% purely because of launch size.

Every extra dollar of IMC adds friction to post-TGE performance.

Read more
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Don't over-optimize insider share, other than maybe for optics.

Our report showed that there is no clear correlation between higher or lower insider allocations and token price success.

Learn more
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Your ad copy needs to clearly say what the user gets, why it matters, and what they should do next.

โŒ Left example
Whatโ€™s wrong with it?

- Doesnโ€™t tell the user what youโ€™re offering
- No reason to care
- No clear next step
- Could be literally any project

โœ… Right example
Why it works:

- Tells you what you get: staking rewards + early access
- Tells you why it matters: real yield + governance rights
- Tells you what to do next: stake now, and itโ€™s easy

If you need quality ads for your project, dm @Alex_Simplicity
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Free Tokenomics Master Template ๐ŸŒ

This is the exact tokenomics template we use at Simplicity Group to design the token economy for our clients.

This covers:

โœ… Allocations
โœ… Vesting schedules
โœ… Valuations
โœ… Emissions modelling
โœ… Investor ROI calculator
โœ… 22 charts and graphs
โœ… V3 (and V2) Liquidity model
โœ… TGE Price impact simulations
โœ… Financials (PnL)
โœ… Equity valuations (for equity rounds)

Get it for free here: https://forms.gle/x1AcgBAabwhbj5XP8
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After building token models for 100+ teams, seeing firsthand what passes for โ€œtokenomicsโ€ in this space (and the consequences that follow), we figured it was time to do something about it.

So weโ€™re sharing the exact tokenomics template we use at Simplicity.

Itโ€™s the same structure thatโ€™s helped founders close $10M+ rounds, design emissions schedules, and pressure-test liquidity assumptions before launch.

Now weโ€™re making it public. Because this space needs better token design and gatekeeping helps no one.

If you're designing your own token, or just want to understand what actually matters in supply-side mechanics, grab the template and check the walkthrough video.

Hope it helps. And if it saves you from one overpriced advisor call, even better ๐ŸŒ



๐Ÿ“Watch the full video now:

https://youtu.be/RgGBxm7XSvY?si=HbJVqzQ3QdaBxrI3
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Don't confuse supply side 'tokenomics' with the full token economy, this is what (a fraction of) full economy design looks like.

Our template is purely for the supply side.
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Another serious milestone for our client MetaWealth! ๐Ÿพ

Invited to speak at NASDAQ Trade Talks in New York, on a panel alongside Coinbase, Circle, and Credit Suisse.

Congrats to Darren and the team!
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Your content should match your team's personality

That's what we learned from the best-performing projects in 2025. If the founding team is serious, your Twitter should be serious. If you're degens, lean into it.

Walrus, despite being a heavy infrastructure project with $140M backing, leaned into humour authentically and saw its token jump 357% one month after TGE (still +192% since).

Hyperlane went the other way. Their posts avoided hype and stuck to matter-of-fact updates only, which aligned with their brand the most.

HYPER shot up by 533% in the first week post launch, evidencing that merely posting playful / high energy posts isnโ€™t indicative of community perception of the projectโ€™s token.
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