Standard Capital and Partners πŸ’΅
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경제 λ‰΄μŠ€ λͺ¨μŒ
A - μ „κΈ° μœ ν‹Έλ¦¬ν‹° | μ „λ ₯ κΈ°κΈ° | μ—λ„ˆμ§€ | AI
B - μš΄μ†‘(항곡, 해상, μœ‘μƒ) | μ—¬ν–‰ | μ—λ„ˆμ§€ + else
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μ£Όμš” μ›μΈμœΌλ‘œ 고금리둜 μΈν•œ 주택ν–₯ μˆ˜μš” κ°μ†Œλ₯Ό λ“€μ—ˆλŠ”λ° 타 μ‚¬μ—μ„œλ„ λΉ„μŠ·ν•œ 이야기

β€”-

2024λ…„ κΈ°μ‘΄ 주택 νŒλ§€μ™€ ν•˜λ“œ ν‘œλ©΄ λ°”λ‹₯재 μ§€μΆœμ˜ 잠재적 κ°œμ„  μ‹œκΈ°μ™€ κΈ°μšΈκΈ°μ— λŒ€ν•œ μƒλ‹Ήν•œ λΆˆν™•μ‹€μ„±μ΄ 남아 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

κΈ°μ‘΄ 주택 판맀의 μ ˆλŒ€ νŒλ§€λŸ‰μ€ μž‘λ…„ 10μ›” 385만 μ±„λ‘œ λ°”λ‹₯을 μ°μ—ˆμ§€λ§Œ 2024λ…„ 2μ›” 438만 μ±„λ‘œ 순차적으둜 κ°œμ„ λ˜λ‹€κ°€ 3μ›”μ—λŠ” 419만 μ±„λ‘œ ν•˜λ½ν•˜λŠ” λ“± κ³ λ₯΄μ§€ λͺ»ν•œ λͺ¨μŠ΅μ„ 보이고 μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

1μ›”μ—λŠ” λ§ˆμ΄λ„ˆμŠ€ 10%μ—μ„œ μ‹œμž‘ν•˜μ—¬ ν˜„μž¬λŠ” λ§ˆμ΄λ„ˆμŠ€ 9.3%μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. λ”°λΌμ„œ μ˜¬ν•΄ ν›„λ°˜μœΌλ‘œ 갈수둝 비ꡐ가 더 μ‰¬μ›Œμ§ˆ κ²ƒμœΌλ‘œ μ˜ˆμƒλ©λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ•žμœΌλ‘œ μ–΄λ–»κ²Œ 될지 μ§€μΌœλ³΄κ² μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. κΈˆλ¦¬κ°€ 계속 였λ₯΄κ³  μžˆμ–΄ 영ν–₯을 λ°›κ³  μžˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. ν•˜μ§€λ§Œ μ§€λ‚œ λ³΄κ³ μ„œμ—μ„œλŠ” 7.5%둜 λ‹€μ‹œ 8%에 κ·Όμ ‘ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

μ΄λŠ” μ˜¬ν•΄ λ“€μ–΄ κ°€μž₯ 높은 μˆ˜μΉ˜μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. 이것이 μ–΄λ–€ 영ν–₯을 λ―ΈμΉ μ§€λŠ” μ•Œ 수 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. 3μ›” ν•œ 달 λ™μ•ˆλ§Œ κΈ°μ‘΄ 주택 νŒλ§€λŸ‰μ΄ λ³΄κ³ λ˜μ—ˆκΈ° λ•Œλ¬Έμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. 3월이 μ§€λ‚˜λ©΄ λ‹€μ‹œ κ°μ†Œν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€. λ”°λΌμ„œ μ–΄λ–€ 일이 일어날지 [μ•Œ 수 μ—†μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€] λ§ν•˜κΈ° μ–΄λ ΅μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

κΈˆλ¦¬κ°€ κΈ°μ‘΄ 주택 νŒλ§€μ— 영ν–₯을 미쳐 어렀움을 κ²ͺ을 것이라고 μƒκ°ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.

- Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. - Q1 2024 Earnings Call
Standard Capital and Partners πŸ’΅ pinned «그리고 μ’ŒνŒŒμ—°ν•©μ΄ 잘 ν–ˆλ‹€ X Tactic Voting이 잘 ν–ˆλ‹€ O κ²°μ„ νˆ¬ν‘œ μ „κ΅­ λ“ν‘œμœ¨ κΈ°μ€€ κ΅­λ―Όμ—°ν•©+곡화당 μΉœκ΅­λ―Όμ—°ν•©νŒŒκ°€ 38.05%, 쒌파 25.8%, 마크둱 24.5%, ν”„λž‘μŠ€ ꡭ민의 극우 저지 같은 μ›…μž₯ν•œ 업적이 μ•„λ‹ˆλΌ 쀑도와 쒌파끼리 μ„œλ‘œ κ°ˆλΌλ¨Ήμ–΄μ„œ μ‚¬ν‘œ λ‚˜μ˜¬κ±Έ 막은 덕에 이긴 것. 영ꡭ 보수 계열이 μ„œλ‘œ ν‘œ κ°ˆλΌλ¨Ήλ‹€ 보수 계열 λ“ν‘œμœ¨ ν•©μ‚°μ‹œ 노동당을 μ΄κΈ°λŠ” κ²°κ³Όλ₯Ό 내고도 μ°ΈνŒ¨ν•œ 것과 λ°˜λŒ€. ν–₯ν›„ ꡭ정을 λ°”λΌλ³΄λŠ” μ‹œκ°μ— μžˆμ–΄μ„œ 이 λ‘˜μ„ μž˜β€¦Β»
νŠΈλ‘œμΈ ν‚€μ£Όμ˜μž, 우고 μ°¨λ² μŠ€μ™€ 피델 카슀트둜의 팬... 쉽지 μ•ŠμŒ

이 μ‹œκ°„μ˜ 주인곡은 μ˜μ‹¬ν•  여지 없이 λ©œλ Œμˆ‘μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ‚¬νšŒμ£Όμ˜μž, κ³΅μ‚°μ£Όμ˜μž, λ…Ήμƒ‰λ‹Ήμ˜ μž„μ‹œ 동맹인 μ‹ λ―Όμ „μ„ μ˜ λ‹€λ₯Έ μ§€λ„μžλ“€μ΄ ν•œλ§ˆλ””λ„ ν•˜κΈ° 전에, 극쒌파의 선동가인 κ·ΈλŠ” μΆ”μ’…μžλ“€μ΄ λͺ¨μΈ μžλ¦¬μ—μ„œ 쀑심 λ¬΄λŒ€μ— μ„°μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. "2μ£Ό μ „λ§Œ 해도 이런 일이 일어날 거라고 믿지 λͺ»ν–ˆμ„ κ²λ‹ˆλ‹€." λ©œλ Œμˆ‘μ€ μ›…λ³€μˆ λ‘œ ꡰ쀑을 μ—΄κ΄‘μ‹œν‚€λ©° λ§ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. λ‚˜μ€‘μ— κ·ΈλŠ” ꡭ가인 라 마λ₯΄μ„Έμ˜ˆμ¦ˆλ₯Ό μ—΄μ°½ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

λ©œλ Œμˆ‘μ€ λˆ„κ΅¬μΌκΉŒμš”? μ„ΈκΈ°κ°€ λ°”λ€Œλ©΄μ„œ ν”„λž‘μŠ€ μ•Œμ œλ¦¬λ‘œ μ΄μ£Όν•œ 슀페인인과 μ΄νƒˆλ¦¬μ•„μΈμ˜ 후손인 우체ꡭ 직원과 κ΅μ‚¬μ˜ μ•„λ“€λ‘œ νƒœμ–΄λ‚œ λ©œλž‘μˆ‘μ€ μ§€κΈˆμ˜ λͺ¨λ‘œμ½” 탕헀λ₯΄μ—μ„œ ꡭ제 μ§€μ—­μ΄μ—ˆλ˜ μ‹œμ ˆμ— νƒœμ–΄λ‚¬μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. 11세에 ν”„λž‘μŠ€λ‘œ μ΄μ£Όν•˜μ—¬ 철학을 κ³΅λΆ€ν•˜κ³  μ €λ„λ¦¬μŠ€νŠΈ, κ΅μ •μž λ“± λ‹€μ–‘ν•œ 직업을 거쳐 νŠΈλ‘œμΈ ν‚€μ£Όμ˜ μ •μΉ˜μ— μ°Έμ—¬ν–ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€. 1976λ…„ 25μ„Έμ˜ λ‚˜μ΄μ— μ‚¬νšŒλ‹Ήμ— μž…λ‹Ήν•˜μ—¬ λ‹€μ–‘ν•œ 지역, κ΅­κ°€ 및 유럽 μž…λ²•μ§μ— μ„ μΆœλ˜μ—ˆμŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€.

νˆ¬μžμžλ“€μ΄ κ·Έλ₯Ό λ‘λ €μ›Œν•˜λŠ” μ΄μœ λŠ” λ¬΄μ—‡μΈκ°€μš”? λ©œλ Œμˆ‘μ€ μ’…μ’… "고톡, λΆˆν–‰, 포기λ₯Ό 금과 돈으둜 λ°”κΎΈλŠ” 극단적인 μ‹œμž₯"의 악을 κ΅°μ€‘μ—κ²Œ μ΄μ•ΌκΈ°ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€. μ•„λ§ˆλ„ μ‹œμž₯이 그의 말을 μ§„μ§€ν•˜κ²Œ 받아듀인 것은 이번이 처음일 κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. λ©œλž‘μˆ‘μ€ ν”„λž‘μŠ€λ₯Ό "λ§‰λŒ€ν•œ λΆ€μ˜ λΆ„λ°°κ°€ 잘λͺ»λ˜μ–΄ μžˆλŠ” λ‚˜λΌ"둜 κ°„μ£Όν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€. κ·ΈλŠ” λ² λ„€μˆ˜μ—˜λΌμ˜ μ „ μ§€λ„μž 우고 μ°¨λ² μŠ€μ™€ μΏ λ°”μ˜ 피델 카슀트둜의 팬이며, μ΄λ“€μ²˜λŸΌ ν…”λ ˆν”„λ‘¬ν”„ν„° 없이 μœ λ¨Έμ™€ λΆ„λ…Έλ₯Ό μ„žμ–΄ μžμ‹ μ˜ νŠΈλ ˆμ΄λ“œλ§ˆν¬μΈ λΆˆκ°™μ€ 연섀에 λŒμž…ν•˜κΈ°λ„ ν•©λ‹ˆλ‹€.

μ–΄λŠ μͺ½μ΄λ“  λ‹€νˆΌμ€ 이미 μ‹œμž‘λ˜μ—ˆκ³  μœ λ‘œν™”λ‚˜ ν”„λž‘μŠ€μ˜ 수읡λ₯  μŠ€ν”„λ ˆλ“œ λͺ¨λ‘ νŒŒλ¦¬μ—μ„œ λ‚˜μ˜€λŠ” μ†ŒμŒμ„ μ’‹μ•„ν•˜μ§€ μ•Šμ„ κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€. λ©œλž‘μˆ‘μ˜ λ°˜ν•­μ μΈ μ–΄μ‘°λŠ” 이제 더 이상 κ³΅ν—ˆν•œ μœ„ν˜‘μ΄ μ•„λ‹Œ 그의 μˆ˜μ‚¬κ°€ ν”„λž‘μŠ€ μž¬μ •μ μžμ— λ―ΈμΉ  영ν–₯을 κ²½κ³„ν•˜λŠ” μ±„κΆŒ νˆ¬μžμžλ“€μ—κ²ŒλŠ” 달갑지 μ•Šμ„ κ²ƒμž…λ‹ˆλ‹€.

- Balance of Power French Election Special, Bloomberg Politics
νƒœμ΄ˆμ— ν¬νŠΈλž€μ΄ μžˆμ—ˆκ³  κ·Έ 뒀에 λ§€μŠ€λ§€ν‹°μΉ΄μ™€ μšΈν”„λŸΌμ•ŒνŒŒκ°€ μžˆμ—ˆμœΌλ‹ˆ...
μ±—GPT4o μœ λ£Œλ²„μ „ μ“°λŠ”λ° 이런 것도 μ‹œν‚€λ„€μš”;;;
인간인지 확인해야 ν•œλ‹€λ©°...
μ–΄λ–»κ²Œμ„œλ“  νŠΈλž˜ν”½μ„ μ€„μ—¬λ³΄λ €λŠ” μ˜λ„κ² μ£ .
이런 μ‹μ˜ 캑챠둜 μŒ“μΈ λ°μ΄ν„°λŠ” λŒ€λΆ€λΆ„ 컴퓨터 κ°€λ₯΄μΉ˜λŠ”데 μ‚¬μš©λ©λ‹ˆλ‹€

λ¬Όλ‘  덜 μ“°κ²Œ ν•˜λŠ” νš¨κ³Όλ„ 쑴재...
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κ΄€κ΄‘κ°μ—κ²Œ 꺼지라고 ν•˜λŠ” μœ λŸ½μΈλ“€
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μΈκ°„μ˜ 본성이 문제의 원인을 "μ™ΈλΆ€μ—μ„œ λ“€μ–΄μ˜¨ 심기λ₯Ό 거슀λ₯΄λŠ” 것"μ—μ„œ μš°μ„ ν•΄ 찾도둝 μ§œμ—¬μ§„ 것도 μ›μΈμœΌλ‘œ λ³Ό 수 μžˆκ² μŠ΅λ‹ˆλ‹€
λ°œμΉΈλ°˜λ„μ—λ„ μ „λ ₯κΈ°κΈ° 뢐이 μžˆμ—ˆκ΅°μš”

유고 μ—°λ°© μ‹œμ ˆ 쀑곡업 μ—­λŸ‰μ΄ ν¬λ‘œμ•„ν‹°μ•„μ™€ μŠ¬λ‘œλ² λ‹ˆμ•„ μͺ½μ— λͺ°λ €μžˆμ—ˆλŠ”데 μ „λ ₯기기도 ν¬λ‘œμ•„ν‹°μ•„μ— μžˆμ—ˆλ˜ λͺ¨μ–‘μ΄λ„€μš”

μ„œμœ λŸ½μ˜ μ‹ μž¬μƒ 투자 ν™•λŒ€ -> λ™μœ λŸ½μ—μ„œ μ „λ ₯κΈ°κΈ° 사 감
ν•œκ΅­μ—μ„œ νˆ¬μžν•  방법은 μ—†λŠ” κ΅­κ°€μ§€λ§Œ ν₯미둜운 μ μž…λ‹ˆλ‹€
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VC DEALS
Hebbia, which uses AI to sort through documents, raised $130 million in a round led by Andreessen Horowitz. The company is now valued at about $700 million, which was previously reported by TechCrunch.

Myricx Bio, a UK-based biotech company, raised a Β£90 million Series A led by Novo Holdings and Abingworth.

Planqc, a Munich-based startup developing quantum computers, raised a €50 million Series A led by family office Catron Holding and Germany's DTCF.

Flux Marine, a startup building electric boat motors, raised $50 million, Axios reported.

Sola Security, a new cybersecurity startup founded by Cider Security founder Guy Fletcher, raised a $28 million seed round led by S Capital, Calcalist reported.

Polystyvert, a Montreal-based plastics recycling company, raised a $16 million Series B.

PE DEALS
Vantive, a spinoff of Baxter International focused on kidney-related medical devices, may be acquired by The Carlyle Group in a transaction worth upward of $4 billion, Reuters reported.

Grifols, a Spain-based pharmaceutical company, will be delisted following a takeover bid by Brookfield and the Grifols family, Reuters reported.

Audit firm Grant Thornton UK is considering selling a stake to PE investors.

NestlΓ©'s baby food brands and franchises in France have been acquired by FnB Private Equity.

Capri-Sun, a company known for its juice pouch beverages, is exploring a minority stake sale which could attract PE buyers, Bloomberg reported.

Archwest Capital, a real estate financing services provider, received a growth investment from Bain Capital.

EXITS & IPOS
Moj eRačun, a Croatian company developing software for administrative and document management processes, was acquired by Visma, marking the Norwegian company's first extension into Croatia.

SciAps, an electronic scientific instruments maker, will be acquired by Spectris for up to $260 million.

FUNDRAISING
Norwest Capital Advisors, a Minneapolis-based investment firm, has raised $1.4 billion across two funds, Norwest Equity Partners XI and Norwest Mezzanine Partners V.

MetLife's asset management firm, MetLife Investment Management, has closed its Private Equity Partners Fund II on $1.2 billion.

Orion Infrastructure Capital, a New York-based investment firm, has closed its inaugural Infrastructure Growth Fund on $370 million.

Nuveen, a Chicago-based asset manager focused on climate investments, raised $200 million for its second climate inclusion PE strategy.

JF Lehman & Company has closed a continuation vehicle for Puris, which develops wastewater and stormwater infrastructure.

CORPORATE M&A
Morphic, a Massachusetts-based biopharmaceutical company developing drugs for bowel disease, will be acquired by Eli Lilly and Company for $3.2 billion.