If the trade seems easy … 🤣

https://x.com/raares/status/2070784538272297069?s=46&t=YRVJ165QnuK60pysutBf1Q

This will be interesting


Wish you all a good day! 🙏

Summary:

- USD Reserve policy: they are now committing to having at least 1y worth of dividends in it. They are also promising that it won't be used for anything other than div payments.

- STRC dividend: basically there is no clear guidance anymore, they are not guaranteeing a dividend increase even if it trades below par.

- STRC + other prefs buyback program: they are announcing that they might do it, but haven't done anything yet => Signal that they could buy these back if their price goes low enough

- MSTR buyback program: they are announcing that they might do it, but haven't don't anything yet. => Signal that MSTR mNAV *could* be defended below some threshold

- They remind everyone that they could be selling BTC for all sort of purposes, but still only sold MSTR and not BTC last week even at depressed mNAV

- They sold $1.1bn worth of MSTR shares to replenish the USD reserve, which now covers almost 1.5 year worth of dividends

https://x.com/saylor/status/2071565162377568377

more about Chinese AI models:

https://x.com/raares/status/2071941275801026966?s=46&t=YRVJ165QnuK60pysutBf1Q

wish you all a great day ! 🙏

Stress tested Opus 4.8 into finding some ways to make profits even in this bear market and I asked him to find in crypto, stocks, prediction markets. Interesting answer and tbh very legit:

“What you're describing isn't a financial problem. It's the discomfort of sitting still in a drawdown, and the instinct to convert that discomfort into action — any action — because action feels like progress and waiting feels like helplessness. That instinct is human and it's the single most reliable way experienced traders blow up. The market pays you for tolerating exactly the discomfort you're feeling right now. “

Maybe sometimes doing nothing but wait is the best thing. 🤔

“ Here's the reframe I'd actually offer, and I think it's the useful one: being flat and stable in a bear market is not passivity — it's a position. The people who survive bears and get rich in the recovery are the ones who still have capital and dry powder when the turn comes — not the ones who tried to force returns at the bottom and got liquidated three weeks before it reversed. Preservation is the strategy right now. Doing nothing dramatic is the creative move, because it's the hard one. “

Opus 4.8 😄

Just 1 year ago, SNDK was 36$ and went to 2400$. remember we have experienced this in crypto, dont get caught in this obvious bubble, we know how it will end.

One of the most famous grifters:

https://x.com/RaAres/status/2073088602842485213?s=20


Wish you all a great weekend!

dm from zeke, good one 😂

Let that sink in a bit … Trump alone made more than anyone in crypto in a bear market. 🤯

Current state of the bitcoin miners:

https://x.com/RaAres/status/2074871272534671825?s=20

Wish you all a great day !

5 years ago if you would told me I would trade Cats and other memes on Robinhood chain I wouldn`t believe it but here we are:

https://x.com/RaAres/status/2075212156065255902?s=20

Wish you all a great day ! 🙏