🥇 XAU/USD – Gold Extends Record Run, Hits $4,218 as Fed Cut Bets and Trade War Fears Ignite Safe-Haven Rush

⬆️ Gold surges +1.30% to a fresh $4,218 ATH, supported by intensifying U.S.–China trade tensions, a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, and firm expectations of back-to-back Fed rate cuts. It continues to shine as global uncertainty and central bank demand (led by the PBoC) sustain safe-haven flows.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Trump’s latest threat to terminate select China trade ties fuels global risk aversion.🇺🇸⚖️🇨🇳

• Markets price a 97% chance of an October rate cut and another in December. 🇺🇸✂️

• U.S. shutdown, Middle East tensions, and IMF growth warnings boost flows. 🇺🇸🇮🇱🏦📈

• Global gold reserves rise as ETFs hit record inflows. 🏦📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +1.30%
📍 Resistance: 4,200 → 4,300
📍 Support: 4,100 →3,900

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⚡️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 4,220 opens 4,300, while a drop below 4,100 may hint short-term exhaustion.

⌞ ⌝ AMD – Soars 9.40% to $238.60 as OpenAI Deal and Analyst Upgrades Ignite Rally

⬆️ Advanced Micro Devices surged near ATHs, after announcing a multibillion-dollar AI data center partnership with OpenAI and receiving a wave of bullish analyst upgrades.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Multiyear, multibillion-dollar OpenAI deal to supply AI chips and co-develop data centers, with OpenAI able to acquire up to 10% of AMD. Seeing up to $80B in AI chip revenue over 5 years. ֎🤝

• Oracle to deploy 50,000 AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs for its AI cloud, expanding AMD’s enterprise reach. 🅾️📈

• Analyst upgrades: Wedbush ($190 → $270) & HSBC ($185 → $310). 🏦📈

• Sector strength: ASML’s strong earnings lifted semiconductors, with AMD leading Nasdaq 100 gains. 📊📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +9.40%
📍 Resistance: 240.00 → 250.00
📍 Support: 211.40

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⚡️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 240 triggers a 250 run , though RSI nearing overbought may invite short-term profit-taking.

🇫🇷4️⃣0️⃣ FRA40 – Climbs 1.30% 7-Month High as France’s Government Survives Confidence Vote

⬆️ The CAC 40 surges +1.30% to 8,170 — its highest since March — as Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu’s government survived a no-confidence vote, easing political risk and lifting sentiment across Paris equities.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Suspension of Macron’s pension reform secured Socialist backing, stabilizing markets. 🇫🇷👑

• Sector Gains: Pernod Ricard (+3.2%), Essilor (+2.2%), Renault (+1.5%), Edenred (+1.4%). 📊📈

• Luxury sector Lag: Kering (-1.6%), Teleperformance (-1.0%), Hermès (-0.7%) after a broker downgrade.📊📉

• Macro pulse: Index up 4.4% in 4 weeks and 7.2% YoY, showing resilience amid EU growth fears.. 🇫🇷4️⃣0️⃣ ✖️🇪🇺

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📊 Daily Gain: +1.30%
📍 Resistance: 8,180 → 8,250
📍 Support: 8,080 → 7,900

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 8,180 opens 8,250–8,300. Holding 8,076 keeps bulls in control.

💻🔵 INTC – Rises 4.27% to $37.15 as Intel Secures $2B SoftBank Investment and Unveils New AI Chip Strategy

⬆️ Intel surged after unveiling its next-gen Crescent Island AI chip, announcing a strategic partnership with Nvidia, and confirming a $2B capital injection from SoftBank — reinforcing confidence in its AI turnaround.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Crescent Island GPU 2026 launch targets data-center efficiency and AI performance gains.📈

• Nvidia Partnership: Joint work on next-gen PC/data-center processors marks a shift to open AI ecosystems.💻🔵 🤝👁‍🗨🟩

• $2B investment from SoftBank positions it among Intel’s top-10 shareholders, signaling long-term conviction. 🏦📈

• Sector Boost: AI chipmakers rose broadly as investor enthusiasm fueled semiconductors.📊📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +4.27%
📍 Resistance: 37.80 → 42.00
📍 Support: 27.40

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⚡️ Momentum Alert:
INTC is testing 37.80 — a breakout above 38.00 could open the path toward 42.00

💷💴 GBP/JPY – Rises +0.3% as BoJ Signals Gradual Normalization and UK Data Beats Forecasts

⬆️ GBP/JPY gains +0.30% after BoJ’s Tamura said rates should move “closer to neutral,” hinting at a slow shift from ultra-loose policy. Meanwhile, UK GDP rose 0.1% and manufacturing output climbed 0.7%, keeping the Pound supported ahead of the Autumn Budget.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• BoJ tone shift: Tamura said Japan must gradually adjust easing to approach a 1% neutral rate, slightly lifting the Yen. 🇯🇵📈

• Political uncertainty: LDP–Komeito split clouds Japan’s policy outlook. 🇯🇵🏛

• Macro backdrop: US–China tensions and dovish Fed tone balance safe-haven demand. 🇺🇸⚖️🇨🇳

• UK data: Resilient GDP and factory growth bolster GBP sentiment. 🇬🇧📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +0.3%
📍 Resistance: 204.50
📍 Support: 200.60

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
GBP/JPY stays firm above 200.50. A close above 204.50 opens 207.60, while loss of 200.60 risks 197.80.

🅾️ ORCL – Surges 3.09% to $313.00 as Oracle Raises 2030 Cloud Revenue Forecast to $166B

⬆️ Oracle rose +3.09% after executives upgraded long-term revenue projections and reassured investors on AI cloud margins. Shares touched $322.54 before easing as overall profit guidance moderated optimism.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Oracle raised its cloud infrastructure revenue outlook to $166B by FY2030 (up from $144B), projecting cloud will comprise 75% of total sales. ☁️📈

• Total revenue goal increased to $225B with $21 EPS, beating LSEG’s $18.92 consensus. 🎯📈

• Secured $65B in new contracts, including major deals with Meta ($20B) and OpenAI ($500B multiyear).. ֎ 🔵♾️🤝

• Clarified that AI infrastructure margins average 35%, countering reports of thinner profit.🤖📊

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📊 Daily Gain: +3.09%
📍 Resistance: 328.30 → 350.00
📍 Support: 284.20 → 256.40

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 328.30 opens 350, while a drop below 284 risks a 256 pullback.

🇭🇰5️⃣0️⃣ HK50 – Slides 1.30% to 25,550, It's Worst Week Since April As Trade And AI Jitters Bite

⬇️ The Hang Seng extend losses on renewed US-China trade frictions, AI profit-taking, and caution ahead of next week’s CCP plenum and a heavy China data slate (Q3 GDP, retail sales, IP).

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🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Macro/Geopolitics: Extra port fees, tit-for-tat sanctions, and tariff rhetoric sour risk. 🇺🇸⬜️🇨🇳

• Sector drag: Big Tech/semis unwind recent AI gains; BYD slips on a large recall. 🚘📉

• Positioning: Investors de-risk into the policy conclave; regional bank stress headlines add to risk-off tone. 🏦📉

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📊 Daily Loss: -1.30%
📍 Resistance: 27,250 → 27,880
📍 Support: 24,960 → 24,240

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Bears in control below 26,000. A close under 24,960 risks 24,240,000. Bulls need a reclaim and above 26,000, then 27,250, to neutralize downside and reopen 27,880.

💻🟦 HPE – Sinks 10.14% to $22.50 on soft FY26 outlook despite capital-return boosts

⬇️ Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) tumbled −10.14% after its FY26 forecast underwhelmed investors, overshadowing dividend and buyback hikes..

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🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Outlook miss: FY26 revenue +5%–10% & EPS $2.20–$2.40 missed Street’s ~+17% rev, ~$2.42 EPS. 📊📉

• Portfolio shift: Focus on networking (Juniper), cloud (GreenLake) & AI; targets ≥$3.0 EPS & >$3.5B FCF by FY28. 🌐☁️🤖

• Capital returns: Dividend +10% (~$0.57/yr) & +$3B buybacks authorized (~$3.7B total). 💲📈

• Restructuring: Juniper synergies ≥$600M; workforce actions (~$240M).

• Context: FY26 excludes 8 months of Juniper’s pre-close results.

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📊 Daily Loss: -10.14%
📍 Resistance: 24.00 → 26.20
📍 Support: 21.90 → 21.00

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⚠️ Momentum watch
Break below 24.00 turned support to resistance; sub-21.90 opens 21.00, while reclaiming 24.00 could refocus bulls on 26.20.