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Free Daily Market Analysis | Forex • Gold • Crypto

Learn price action, market structure, key levels, and chart analysis with daily educational content.

Daily Posts:
• Forex & XAUUSD analysis
• Gold price updates
• Crypto insights

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🥇 GOLD – Explodes Through $4,500 as Safe-Haven Frenzy, Fed Cut Bets & Thin Liquidity Supercharge Rally

🔼 XAU/USD surges +1.5% to print fresh record highs around $4,550, decisively breaking the $4,500 psychological barrier as demand hit fever pitch into year-end. A potent mix of geopolitical escalation, a plunging USD, and rising expectations of Fed rate cuts drove bullion deep into uncharted territory.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Fed easing bets: Markets price in two 25 bps cuts next year, crushing real yields and boosting non-yielding assets. 🇺🇸✂️✂️

• Geopolitical risk: U.S.–Venezuela tensions, Russia–Ukraine escalation, and U.S. strikes in Africa fuel aggressive safe-haven flows. 🇺🇸🇻🇪 , 🇷🇺🇺🇦 , 🇺🇸🇳🇬⚠️
• Dollar weakness: The Dollar Index sinks toward multi-month lows, amplifying upside in USD-priced metals. 💵📉

• Institutional demand: Central-bank buying + sustained ETF inflows continue despite record prices. 🏦💰

• Thin liquidity: Holiday conditions magnify momentum, allowing breakouts to extend faster and further. 🎄⚡️




↗️ Daily Gain: +1.50%
📌 Resistance: 4,600 → 4,700
📌 Support: 4,500 → 4,400



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Gold is technically overbought, raising the risk of short-term consolidation or profit-taking. However, as long as price holds above $4,500, the broader bullish structure targets $4,600–$4,700, with dips likely viewed as buying opportunities unless $4,355 breaks decisively.
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🔔 DAILY MARKET DIGEST:

Gold Smashes $4,500 as Rate-Cut Bets, Geopolitics, and Thin Liquidity Collide 🥇🇺🇸🌎

⚔️ Markets closed the week with powerful cross-asset themes in play, led by a historic surge in gold.

🥇 XAU/USD notched its strongest annual performance since 1979, breaking above $4,500 as collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026, central-bank buying, and elevated geopolitical risks drove relentless safe-haven demand.

🛢 Energy markets moved the opposite way, with WTI sliding sharply as optimism around Ukraine–Russia peace talks revived fears of excess global supply despite ongoing geopolitical disruptions.

💴💵 In FX, the yen softened in thin year-end trading as fiscal expansion concerns outweighed the Bank of Japan’s recent hike and intervention warnings, while the US dollar remained under pressure near multi-month lows as rate-cut bets persisted.


🔚 With liquidity thinning and macro narratives dominating price action, volatility remains elevated heading into the final trading days of the year.
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📉📈 DAILY MARKET PULSE:

💵💴 USD/JPY: 156.50 — Rebounds after three days of losses as yen softness returns in thin trade, with the pair pressing back toward the 156.50 resistance zone.

🇦🇺🇯🇵 AUD/JPY: 105.03 — Extends its bullish advance as price holds firmly above key averages, keeping the uptrend intact with 109.00 as the next upside target.

🥇 XAU/USD: 4,532 — Surges to fresh record highs and secures a weekly close above 4,500 as Fed cut expectations and momentum-driven buying accelerate.

🛢 USOIL: 56.90 — Slides for a second session as peace-talk optimism weighs on prices, shifting focus toward the 55.15 support level.

🇺🇸3️⃣0️⃣ US30: 48,688 — Ends marginally lower but remains near record highs as Santa-rally optimism persists despite holiday-thinned volumes.

🇺🇸5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ SP500: 6,929 — Holds just off record territory after a strong two-week run, with bulls defending gains ahead of the 6,950 psychological level.

🟡🐕 DOGE/USD: 0.1222 — Extends losses for a fourth session as heavy derivatives activity fails to lift price, keeping 0.1220 as key near-term support.

🔵ʤ XTZ/USD: 0.4787 — Rallies for a second straight session as buyers push price toward the 0.5007 resistance area.

🚗🔌🔋 TSLA: 475.19 — Drops for a third session after rejecting 488.70 resistance as regulatory scrutiny and Cybertruck concerns pressure sentiment.

🇺🇸✈️ AAL: 15.44 — Slips as widespread winter storm disruptions trigger mass flight cancellations, with downside risk building toward 14.47 support.
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🗓 UPCOMING ECONOMIC INDICATORS TO LOOK OUT FOR – DECEMBER 29


🇭🇰 HKD

• Imports YoY (Nov): Forecast: — | Previous: 18.3%
• Exports YoY (Nov): Forecast: — | Previous: 17.5%

Hong Kong trade data offers an early read on regional demand and China-linked trade flows. Strong import and export growth would signal resilient external demand and support broader Asia risk sentiment, while a slowdown could weigh on regional equities and currencies.



🇺🇸 USD

• Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec): Forecast: -2.5 | Previous: -10.4

The Dallas Fed index provides a timely snapshot of US manufacturing conditions. An improvement toward zero would reinforce signs of stabilization in the industrial sector, while a weaker reading would revive growth concerns and strengthen expectations for Fed easing.



💡 Trader Tip:

With thin year-end liquidity and limited data releases, volatility may spike around US manufacturing data. Focus on USD pairs, keep position sizes light, and avoid chasing breakouts unless confirmed by follow-through.
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📊 Weekly Market Movers | December 22 – December 26

Markets closed the year with powerful late-December momentum driven by collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026, and thin holiday liquidity amplifying moves. Gold exploded to fresh all-time highs, commodity and high-beta FX outperformed on USD weakness, while EUR/AUD lagged as AUD strength dominated euro flows. Energy stayed range-bound to soft despite geopolitical risk as oversupply expectations capped rallies. 📣

🥇 XAU/USD up 4.47% → Gold delivered one of its strongest weekly performances of the year, smashing above $4,500 and printing a record weekly close, fueled by collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed cut pricing for 2026, sustained central-bank buying, and heightened geopolitical risk. Thin year-end liquidity magnified upside momentum.

🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD up 1.58% → The Australian dollar pushed to 14-month highs as RBA hike expectations for early 2026 contrasted sharply with a softening USD outlook. Rising Australian inflation, supportive RBA minutes, and broad USD weakness kept AUD firmly bid despite thin liquidity.

🇳🇿🇺🇸 NZD/USD up 1.20% → Kiwi held firm near multi-week highs as persistent USD softness offset risk-off undertones. Broad G10 USD selling and year-end positioning supported NZD even as volatility remained compressed.

🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD up 0.93% → Sterling stabilized and edged higher as USD bearish sentiment dominated despite mixed UK data. Thin holiday trading muted follow-through, but dollar softness allowed GBP to defend gains into the close.

🇪🇺🇦🇺 EUR/AUD down 0.99% → EUR/AUD slid as AUD outperformance overwhelmed the euro, driven by diverging RBA–Fed policy outlooks. While the euro found intermittent support from data, yield differentials and capital flows favored AUD, keeping the cross under pressure.
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📊 Weekly Market Outlook | Key Levels to Watch

📈📉 Traders, this week’s technical outlook highlights major opportunities on:
XAUUSD , GBPUSD , NZDUSD , EURGBP , US500 , BTCUSD


We'll break down each pair's Daily Support & Resistance zones, helping you:
Spot potential breakout or reversal areas
Build your trade plan with confidence
Align setups with this week’s price structure


▶️ Watch the full video for a complete breakdown ⤴️
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🚗🔌🔋 TESLA – Pulls Back From $490 as Regulatory Pressure & Cybertruck Concerns Hit Sentiment

🔽 TSLA slid −2.1% to around $475, marking a 3rd consecutive daily decline after rejecting the 488.70 resistance zone. Selling pressure intensified as investors weighed fresh safety investigations, softer Cybertruck demand, and growing competition in the EV space, overshadowing strength in Tesla’s energy business.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Regulatory scrutiny: U.S. auto safety regulators opened a new probe into Model 3 emergency door releases, reviving safety concerns. 🇺🇸🪧🚗

• Cybertruck challenges: Criticism over price, range, and design changes, with reports of internal purchases by SpaceX to absorb excess inventory. 🤖🛻⚠️

• Demand & competition: Slowing U.S. EV demand and rising pressure from Chinese automakers weigh on sentiment. 🇺🇸🇨🇳📉

• Mixed fundamentals: While Tesla Energy (Megapack) continues to post strong, profitable growth, EV margins remain under strain. 🔀📊

• Seasonal weakness: Tesla has historically underperformed during Santa-rally periods, limiting late-year upside. 🎄🔄📉




📉 Daily Loss: -2.10%
📌 Resistance: 488.70 → 500.00
📌 Support: 468.40 → 455.00



⚠️ Momentum Alert
The rejection near 490 signals near-term exhaustion. A hold above 474–455 could stabilize price action, but failure there risks a deeper pullback toward 455, while bulls need a clean reclaim of 489–500 to revive upside momentum into 2026.
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🛢 WTI CRUDE OIL – Rebounds as Geopolitical Risks & China Demand Support Prices

🔼 USOIL jumps +2.10% above $58, snapping a 2-day losing streak as geopolitical tensions, China’s demand outlook, and stalled Ukraine peace talks combined to underpin crude prices near the upper end of the recent range.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Geopolitics back in focus: Ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict, Middle East tensions, and U.S. enforcement against Venezuelan oil shipments are keeping supply risks elevated. 🇷🇺🇺🇦 , 🇮🇱🇮🇶 , 🇺🇸🇻🇪🚢 ⚠️

• China demand in the spotlight: Beijing signaled expanded fiscal spending in 2026, reinforcing expectations of stronger crude demand from the world’s largest importer. 🇨🇳📈

• Ukraine talks lack breakthrough: While progress has been mentioned, key territorial issues remain unresolved, delaying any easing of sanctions or Russian supply flows. 🇺🇦🏳️🇷🇺

• Range-bound but bid: Despite expectations of a global surplus in 2026, near-term price action is being driven by demand signals and geopolitical headlines rather than OPEC guidance. 🛢📊




↗️ Daily Gain: +2.10%
📌 Resistance: 60.10 → 61.00
📌 Support: 55.15 → 53.70



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
WTI has rebounded from the 55.16 support and is pressing back toward trendline resistance near 59–60. A daily close above 60.13 could open the door toward 61.70+, while failure to hold above 57.00 risks renewed range pressure back toward the mid-55s.
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📊 Weekly Market Report
🗓 29th December – 2nd January

Our latest Weekly Market Report is now available, covering key price action, macro themes, and technical outlooks to start the new trading week.

Inside this report:
📈 Market movers: XAUUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD, EURAUD
🟡 Gold at record highs – momentum vs overbought risk
🛢 Oil volatility amid geopolitical headlines & oversupply expectations
💱 FX outlook: AUD strength, JPY fragility, USD softness
📅 High-impact economic calendar (FOMC Minutes, PMIs, Jobless Claims)
📉 Technical analysis:
– XAUUSD
– USOIL
– AUDUSD
– AUDJPY
– USDJPY
Key themes to monitor as year-end liquidity remains thin

This report is designed to give you structure, context, and clarity for the week ahead — not signals, but informed market insight.

Download the full PDF below:
Weekly Market Report (29 Dec – 2 Jan)

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Prop Trader Global | Forex • Crypto • Gold pinned «📊 Weekly Market Report 🗓 29th December – 2nd January Our latest Weekly Market Report is now available, covering key price action, macro themes, and technical outlooks to start the new trading week. Inside this report: • 📈 Market movers: XAUUSD, AUDUSD,…»
🥇 GOLD – Pulls Back Sharply as Profit-Taking Hits After Record Rally

🔽 XAU/USD plunges −4% below $4,400, marking a sharp profit-booking correction after gold surged to fresh all-time highs near the $4,550 zone. The move reflects year-end liquidation, easing geopolitical optimism, and stretched technical conditions, rather than a breakdown in gold’s broader bull trend.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Heavy profit-taking: After a +70% rally in 2025, traders locked in gains amid thin holiday liquidity, accelerating downside momentum. 💰📉

• Geopolitical optimism: Comments from U.S. President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelensky suggesting progress toward a peace framework reduced immediate safe-haven demand. 🇺🇸🇺🇦🏳️

• Overbought unwind: Gold entered correction territory after parabolic upside, with technical indicators rolling over from extreme levels. 📊📉

• Still dovish Fed backdrop: Despite today’s sell-off, markets continue to price further Fed rate cuts in 2026, keeping longer-term support intact for non-yielding assets like gold. 🇺🇸✂️




📉 Daily Loss: -4.00%
📌 Resistance: 4,550 → 4,600
📌 Support: 4,355 → 4,195



⚠️ Momentum Alert
Gold has broken below the 4,400 short-term support, confirming a corrective phase. A close below 4,355–4,380 exposes 4,195 and 4,045 as next downside magnets. However, as long as price holds above 4,000, pullbacks are likely viewed as reset opportunities within a structurally bullish trend driven by Fed easing, central-bank demand, and lingering geopolitical risk.
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