Prop Trader Global | Forex • Crypto • Gold
440 subscribers
480 photos
34 videos
4 files
6 links
Free Daily Market Analysis | Forex • Gold • Crypto

Learn price action, market structure, key levels, and chart analysis with daily educational content.

Daily Posts:
• Forex & XAUUSD analysis
• Gold price updates
• Crypto insights

No signals or advice
Download Telegram
💵USD – Dollar Index Ends Little Changed as Bearish Sentiment Persists

📉 The dollar ended little changed after sliding to a fresh 2.75-month low, with macro strength failing to shift broader bearish sentiment.

📊 Despite robust Q3 GDP growth (+4.3%) and lower-than-expected jobless claims (214K vs 226K), the USD struggled to sustain gains as markets stayed focused on longer-term Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026, political pressure on Fed independence, and expanding liquidity through Treasury bill purchases.

🎄🔇Thin, holiday-shortened trading muted volatility, leaving price action choppy and reinforcing the view that recent USD stabilization reflects consolidation rather than a meaningful trend reversal.



💱 Impacted pairs:

💵 USDX: Consolidated near 97.95 after printing a 2.75-month low around 97.75.

🇪🇺🇺🇸 EUR/USD: Stabilised near 1.1778 as USD weakness faded into consolidation.

🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD: Eased back toward 1.3500, showing only mild USD recovery.

🇳🇿🇺🇸 NZD/USD: Held firm near 0.5840–0.5850, supported by ongoing USD softness.

🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD: Remained underpinned near 0.6705 amid broad USD underperformance.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 USD/CAD: Drifted lower toward 1.3670, confirming pressure against commodity FX.

🇺🇸🇨🇭 USD/CHF: Rebound attempts stalled near 0.7880, signaling corrective strength only.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👟✔️ NIKE – Surges Nearly 5% as Tim Cook Buys the Dip, Signaling Insider Confidence

🔼 NKE jumped +4.64% to reclaim the $60 handle, marking its 2nd consecutive session of gains after Apple CEO and long-time Nike board member Tim Cook made a rare open-market purchase of nearly $3 million worth of shares following the post-earnings selloff.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• High-profile insider buy: Tim Cook purchased 50,000 shares at ~$58.97, nearly doubling his stake — a strong confidence signal after Nike’s sharp earnings-driven drop. 📱👨🏻‍🦳👓💰

• Board-level conviction: Another Nike director, Robert Swan, also bought shares on the dip, reinforcing insider alignment during the turnaround phase. 👤💰

• Relief rally after selloff: The stock had plunged over 10% post-earnings and was trading at multi-month lows, setting the stage for a technical rebound. 🔄📈

• Holiday market bias: Thin year-end liquidity and a broadly bullish equity backdrop amplified the upside reaction. 🎄📊




↗️ Daily Gain: +4.64%
📌 Resistance: 60.00 → 63.30
📌 Support: 56.40 → 53.55



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 60 would confirm a short-term base and open room toward 63–65, while rejection at this level could see price rotate back toward 56.40 support as the broader downtrend remains intact.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🥇 GOLD – Explodes Through $4,500 as Safe-Haven Frenzy, Fed Cut Bets & Thin Liquidity Supercharge Rally

🔼 XAU/USD surges +1.5% to print fresh record highs around $4,550, decisively breaking the $4,500 psychological barrier as demand hit fever pitch into year-end. A potent mix of geopolitical escalation, a plunging USD, and rising expectations of Fed rate cuts drove bullion deep into uncharted territory.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Fed easing bets: Markets price in two 25 bps cuts next year, crushing real yields and boosting non-yielding assets. 🇺🇸✂️✂️

• Geopolitical risk: U.S.–Venezuela tensions, Russia–Ukraine escalation, and U.S. strikes in Africa fuel aggressive safe-haven flows. 🇺🇸🇻🇪 , 🇷🇺🇺🇦 , 🇺🇸🇳🇬⚠️
• Dollar weakness: The Dollar Index sinks toward multi-month lows, amplifying upside in USD-priced metals. 💵📉

• Institutional demand: Central-bank buying + sustained ETF inflows continue despite record prices. 🏦💰

• Thin liquidity: Holiday conditions magnify momentum, allowing breakouts to extend faster and further. 🎄⚡️




↗️ Daily Gain: +1.50%
📌 Resistance: 4,600 → 4,700
📌 Support: 4,500 → 4,400



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Gold is technically overbought, raising the risk of short-term consolidation or profit-taking. However, as long as price holds above $4,500, the broader bullish structure targets $4,600–$4,700, with dips likely viewed as buying opportunities unless $4,355 breaks decisively.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🔔 DAILY MARKET DIGEST:

Gold Smashes $4,500 as Rate-Cut Bets, Geopolitics, and Thin Liquidity Collide 🥇🇺🇸🌎

⚔️ Markets closed the week with powerful cross-asset themes in play, led by a historic surge in gold.

🥇 XAU/USD notched its strongest annual performance since 1979, breaking above $4,500 as collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026, central-bank buying, and elevated geopolitical risks drove relentless safe-haven demand.

🛢 Energy markets moved the opposite way, with WTI sliding sharply as optimism around Ukraine–Russia peace talks revived fears of excess global supply despite ongoing geopolitical disruptions.

💴💵 In FX, the yen softened in thin year-end trading as fiscal expansion concerns outweighed the Bank of Japan’s recent hike and intervention warnings, while the US dollar remained under pressure near multi-month lows as rate-cut bets persisted.


🔚 With liquidity thinning and macro narratives dominating price action, volatility remains elevated heading into the final trading days of the year.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
📉📈 DAILY MARKET PULSE:

💵💴 USD/JPY: 156.50 — Rebounds after three days of losses as yen softness returns in thin trade, with the pair pressing back toward the 156.50 resistance zone.

🇦🇺🇯🇵 AUD/JPY: 105.03 — Extends its bullish advance as price holds firmly above key averages, keeping the uptrend intact with 109.00 as the next upside target.

🥇 XAU/USD: 4,532 — Surges to fresh record highs and secures a weekly close above 4,500 as Fed cut expectations and momentum-driven buying accelerate.

🛢 USOIL: 56.90 — Slides for a second session as peace-talk optimism weighs on prices, shifting focus toward the 55.15 support level.

🇺🇸3️⃣0️⃣ US30: 48,688 — Ends marginally lower but remains near record highs as Santa-rally optimism persists despite holiday-thinned volumes.

🇺🇸5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ SP500: 6,929 — Holds just off record territory after a strong two-week run, with bulls defending gains ahead of the 6,950 psychological level.

🟡🐕 DOGE/USD: 0.1222 — Extends losses for a fourth session as heavy derivatives activity fails to lift price, keeping 0.1220 as key near-term support.

🔵ʤ XTZ/USD: 0.4787 — Rallies for a second straight session as buyers push price toward the 0.5007 resistance area.

🚗🔌🔋 TSLA: 475.19 — Drops for a third session after rejecting 488.70 resistance as regulatory scrutiny and Cybertruck concerns pressure sentiment.

🇺🇸✈️ AAL: 15.44 — Slips as widespread winter storm disruptions trigger mass flight cancellations, with downside risk building toward 14.47 support.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🗓 UPCOMING ECONOMIC INDICATORS TO LOOK OUT FOR – DECEMBER 29


🇭🇰 HKD

• Imports YoY (Nov): Forecast: — | Previous: 18.3%
• Exports YoY (Nov): Forecast: — | Previous: 17.5%

Hong Kong trade data offers an early read on regional demand and China-linked trade flows. Strong import and export growth would signal resilient external demand and support broader Asia risk sentiment, while a slowdown could weigh on regional equities and currencies.



🇺🇸 USD

• Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec): Forecast: -2.5 | Previous: -10.4

The Dallas Fed index provides a timely snapshot of US manufacturing conditions. An improvement toward zero would reinforce signs of stabilization in the industrial sector, while a weaker reading would revive growth concerns and strengthen expectations for Fed easing.



💡 Trader Tip:

With thin year-end liquidity and limited data releases, volatility may spike around US manufacturing data. Focus on USD pairs, keep position sizes light, and avoid chasing breakouts unless confirmed by follow-through.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
📊 Weekly Market Movers | December 22 – December 26

Markets closed the year with powerful late-December momentum driven by collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed rate-cut expectations for 2026, and thin holiday liquidity amplifying moves. Gold exploded to fresh all-time highs, commodity and high-beta FX outperformed on USD weakness, while EUR/AUD lagged as AUD strength dominated euro flows. Energy stayed range-bound to soft despite geopolitical risk as oversupply expectations capped rallies. 📣

🥇 XAU/USD up 4.47% → Gold delivered one of its strongest weekly performances of the year, smashing above $4,500 and printing a record weekly close, fueled by collapsing real yields, aggressive Fed cut pricing for 2026, sustained central-bank buying, and heightened geopolitical risk. Thin year-end liquidity magnified upside momentum.

🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD up 1.58% → The Australian dollar pushed to 14-month highs as RBA hike expectations for early 2026 contrasted sharply with a softening USD outlook. Rising Australian inflation, supportive RBA minutes, and broad USD weakness kept AUD firmly bid despite thin liquidity.

🇳🇿🇺🇸 NZD/USD up 1.20% → Kiwi held firm near multi-week highs as persistent USD softness offset risk-off undertones. Broad G10 USD selling and year-end positioning supported NZD even as volatility remained compressed.

🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD up 0.93% → Sterling stabilized and edged higher as USD bearish sentiment dominated despite mixed UK data. Thin holiday trading muted follow-through, but dollar softness allowed GBP to defend gains into the close.

🇪🇺🇦🇺 EUR/AUD down 0.99% → EUR/AUD slid as AUD outperformance overwhelmed the euro, driven by diverging RBA–Fed policy outlooks. While the euro found intermittent support from data, yield differentials and capital flows favored AUD, keeping the cross under pressure.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
📊 Weekly Market Outlook | Key Levels to Watch

📈📉 Traders, this week’s technical outlook highlights major opportunities on:
XAUUSD , GBPUSD , NZDUSD , EURGBP , US500 , BTCUSD


We'll break down each pair's Daily Support & Resistance zones, helping you:
Spot potential breakout or reversal areas
Build your trade plan with confidence
Align setups with this week’s price structure


▶️ Watch the full video for a complete breakdown ⤴️
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🚗🔌🔋 TESLA – Pulls Back From $490 as Regulatory Pressure & Cybertruck Concerns Hit Sentiment

🔽 TSLA slid −2.1% to around $475, marking a 3rd consecutive daily decline after rejecting the 488.70 resistance zone. Selling pressure intensified as investors weighed fresh safety investigations, softer Cybertruck demand, and growing competition in the EV space, overshadowing strength in Tesla’s energy business.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Regulatory scrutiny: U.S. auto safety regulators opened a new probe into Model 3 emergency door releases, reviving safety concerns. 🇺🇸🪧🚗

• Cybertruck challenges: Criticism over price, range, and design changes, with reports of internal purchases by SpaceX to absorb excess inventory. 🤖🛻⚠️

• Demand & competition: Slowing U.S. EV demand and rising pressure from Chinese automakers weigh on sentiment. 🇺🇸🇨🇳📉

• Mixed fundamentals: While Tesla Energy (Megapack) continues to post strong, profitable growth, EV margins remain under strain. 🔀📊

• Seasonal weakness: Tesla has historically underperformed during Santa-rally periods, limiting late-year upside. 🎄🔄📉




📉 Daily Loss: -2.10%
📌 Resistance: 488.70 → 500.00
📌 Support: 468.40 → 455.00



⚠️ Momentum Alert
The rejection near 490 signals near-term exhaustion. A hold above 474–455 could stabilize price action, but failure there risks a deeper pullback toward 455, while bulls need a clean reclaim of 489–500 to revive upside momentum into 2026.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
🛢 WTI CRUDE OIL – Rebounds as Geopolitical Risks & China Demand Support Prices

🔼 USOIL jumps +2.10% above $58, snapping a 2-day losing streak as geopolitical tensions, China’s demand outlook, and stalled Ukraine peace talks combined to underpin crude prices near the upper end of the recent range.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Geopolitics back in focus: Ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict, Middle East tensions, and U.S. enforcement against Venezuelan oil shipments are keeping supply risks elevated. 🇷🇺🇺🇦 , 🇮🇱🇮🇶 , 🇺🇸🇻🇪🚢 ⚠️

• China demand in the spotlight: Beijing signaled expanded fiscal spending in 2026, reinforcing expectations of stronger crude demand from the world’s largest importer. 🇨🇳📈

• Ukraine talks lack breakthrough: While progress has been mentioned, key territorial issues remain unresolved, delaying any easing of sanctions or Russian supply flows. 🇺🇦🏳️🇷🇺

• Range-bound but bid: Despite expectations of a global surplus in 2026, near-term price action is being driven by demand signals and geopolitical headlines rather than OPEC guidance. 🛢📊




↗️ Daily Gain: +2.10%
📌 Resistance: 60.10 → 61.00
📌 Support: 55.15 → 53.70



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
WTI has rebounded from the 55.16 support and is pressing back toward trendline resistance near 59–60. A daily close above 60.13 could open the door toward 61.70+, while failure to hold above 57.00 risks renewed range pressure back toward the mid-55s.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM