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Free Daily Market Analysis | Forex • Gold • Crypto

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🅾️ ORCL – Surges 3.09% to $313.00 as Oracle Raises 2030 Cloud Revenue Forecast to $166B

⬆️ Oracle rose +3.09% after executives upgraded long-term revenue projections and reassured investors on AI cloud margins. Shares touched $322.54 before easing as overall profit guidance moderated optimism.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Oracle raised its cloud infrastructure revenue outlook to $166B by FY2030 (up from $144B), projecting cloud will comprise 75% of total sales. ☁️📈

• Total revenue goal increased to $225B with $21 EPS, beating LSEG’s $18.92 consensus. 🎯📈

• Secured $65B in new contracts, including major deals with Meta ($20B) and OpenAI ($500B multiyear).. ֎ 🔵♾️🤝

• Clarified that AI infrastructure margins average 35%, countering reports of thinner profit.🤖📊




📊 Daily Gain: +3.09%
📍 Resistance: 328.30 → 350.00
📍 Support: 284.20 → 256.40



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 328.30 opens 350, while a drop below 284 risks a 256 pullback.
🇭🇰5️⃣0️⃣ HK50 – Slides 1.30% to 25,550, It's Worst Week Since April As Trade And AI Jitters Bite

⬇️ The Hang Seng extend losses on renewed US-China trade frictions, AI profit-taking, and caution ahead of next week’s CCP plenum and a heavy China data slate (Q3 GDP, retail sales, IP).



🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Macro/Geopolitics: Extra port fees, tit-for-tat sanctions, and tariff rhetoric sour risk. 🇺🇸⬜️🇨🇳

• Sector drag: Big Tech/semis unwind recent AI gains; BYD slips on a large recall. 🚘📉

• Positioning: Investors de-risk into the policy conclave; regional bank stress headlines add to risk-off tone. 🏦📉




📊 Daily Loss: -1.30%
📍 Resistance: 27,250 → 27,880
📍 Support: 24,960 → 24,240



⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Bears in control below 26,000. A close under 24,960 risks 24,240,000. Bulls need a reclaim and above 26,000, then 27,250, to neutralize downside and reopen 27,880.
💻🟦 HPE – Sinks 10.14% to $22.50 on soft FY26 outlook despite capital-return boosts

⬇️ Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) tumbled −10.14% after its FY26 forecast underwhelmed investors, overshadowing dividend and buyback hikes..



🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Outlook miss: FY26 revenue +5%–10% & EPS $2.20–$2.40 missed Street’s ~+17% rev, ~$2.42 EPS. 📊📉

• Portfolio shift: Focus on networking (Juniper), cloud (GreenLake) & AI; targets ≥$3.0 EPS & >$3.5B FCF by FY28. 🌐☁️🤖

• Capital returns: Dividend +10% (~$0.57/yr) & +$3B buybacks authorized (~$3.7B total). 💲📈

• Restructuring: Juniper synergies ≥$600M; workforce actions (~$240M).

• Context: FY26 excludes 8 months of Juniper’s pre-close results.




📊 Daily Loss: -10.14%
📍 Resistance: 24.00 → 26.20
📍 Support: 21.90 → 21.00



⚠️ Momentum watch
Break below 24.00 turned support to resistance; sub-21.90 opens 21.00, while reclaiming 24.00 could refocus bulls on 26.20.
📊 Weekly Market Movers | October 13 – October 17

The week closed with gold clearing the $4 000 mark, yen crosses surging after the BoJ kept policy ultra-loose, and oil sliding below $60 as supply data turned sharply bearish. 📣

🥇 XAU/USD (Gold) up 5.81% → Soared to all-time highs as rate-cut expectations and haven flows intensified.

🇬🇧🇨🇦 GBP/CAD up 0.69% → Sterling edged higher after U.K. GDP met forecasts while softer oil kept the Loonie capped.

🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD up 0.56% → Pound advanced as the dollar eased from two-month peaks on lower yields.

🇬🇧🇳🇿 GBP/NZD up 0.53% → Kiwi underperformed after weak China trade data and cautious RBNZ minutes.

🛢 USOIL down 0.86 % → Fell for a third straight week as the IEA trimmed demand growth forecasts and EIA data showed rising U.S. crude inventories.
🟦🇺🇸💳 AXP – Jumps 7.3% to 346.6 on Q3 Beat, Raised FY25 Guide & Strong Platinum Card demand

⬆️American Express spikes +7.27% after EPS/revenue beats and a lift to 2025 guidance; demand for the refreshed Platinum card and resilient spend (network volume +8.7–9%) underpin the move.



🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Earnings beat: EPS $4.14 vs ~$4.00; revenue $18.4B (+11% y/y). 📊📈

• Stronger spend/NII: Network volume ~$479B; NII higher on revolving balances; provisions eased to ~$1.29B. 📊🦾

• Guidance up: FY25 EPS $15.20–$15.50 (raised lower end); revenue growth 9–10%. 📊📈

• Platinum refresh: New signups ~2× pre-launch; travel/restaurant engagement strong; credit metrics “best-in-class.” 💳📈




📊 Daily Gain: +7.27%
📍 Resistance: 350.20 → 360.00
📍 Support: 342.30 → 316.20



⚠️ Momentum watch
Bulls stay in control above 342.30. A push through 350.20 opens up 360.00. Failure back below 342.30 risks 316.20 gap-fade.
🛢 USOIL – Slips 1.00% Sub $57.0 as Oversupply Fears Deepen and Trade Tensions Weigh

⬇️ WTI crude oil remains under pressure, hovering near 6-month lows amid growing OPEC+ oversupply expectations and weaker global demand signals. Investors are also cautious ahead of renewed U.S.–China trade talks, with rising tariffs threatening to curb energy consumption.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• OPEC+ surplus risk: IEA sees larger surplus as members incl. Russia lift output. 🛢🇷🇺📈

• Trade headwinds: U.S.–China friction and port/tariff fees cloud flows.🇺🇸🇨🇳

• India–Russia: Indian refiners plan ~20% more Russian crude in Oct despite U.S. pressure. 🇮🇳🇷🇺

• Risk tone: Cooler Mideast tensions and weak U.S. rig data offer only modest support. 🇮🇱




📊 Daily Loss: -1.00%
📍 Resistance: 51.20 → 60.70
📍 Support: 53.70 → 52.10




⚠️ Momentum Watch:
Below $57 keeps trend down; close under 53.70 targets 50. Reclaiming 60.68 needed to turn near-term bullish.
🅾️ ORCL – Slumps 6.9% to 291.3 as Long-Term Guidance Triggers Profit-Taking and Margin Fears

⬇️ Oracle tumbled −6.93% after management’s long-term outlook drew skepticism, despite bullish AI ambitions. The company raised its AI cloud revenue forecast to $166B by FY2030, but investors focused on rising capex and slower expected EPS growth, prompting broad profit-taking after a strong YTD rally.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Heavy AI infrastructure spend tightens free cash flow 💸🤏

• Analysts lift targets ($331–$400) but flag weak legacy growth 🏦📈

• $500B backlog, yet data-center scaling still lags 🗃📉

• Margin-compression fears trigger sentiment shift 💰🔒




📊 Daily Loss: -6.93%
📍 Resistance: 328.30 → 350.00
🔻 Support: 284.20 → 256.40




⚠️ Momentum Alert:
ORCL breaks snapped a 2-day consecutive rise. Failure to hold 284–281 risk 256.40 extended losses. Recovery above 300 reopens 328.40
🇩🇪4️⃣0️⃣ DE40 – Bounces 1.2% to 24,260 as Tariff Hopes and Defense Stocks Lift Sentiment

⬆️ The DAX rebounded +1.23% sharply, snapping a 4-day losing streak as investor optimism returned following easing U.S. banking fears and signs of thawing U.S.–China trade relations. Defense, banking, and semiconductor sectors led the recovery.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Tariff optimism: President Trump hinted at potential tariff reductions if Beijing offers new concessions, boosting trade-exposed stocks. 🇺🇸🇨🇳

• Sector rebound: Defense names Renk (+5.2%), Hensoldt (+4.3%), and Rheinmetall (+3.9%) led gains, alongside Commerzbank (+2.5%) and Infineon (+2.4%). 🛡🏦📈

• Sentiment recovery: Easing concerns about U.S. regional banks supported risk appetite across European equities. 🇺🇸🇪🇺




📊 Daily Gain: +1.20%
📍 Resistance: 24,630 → 24,800
📍 Support: 23,390



⚠️ Momentum Watch:
A close above 24,630 opens 24,800, while a drop below risks 23,390.
🍏🖥📱 AAPL – Breaks Out to New Record High on iPhone 17 Strength

⬆️ Apple popped +3.94% to a fresh $264.38 ATH and a new record close after data pointed to a robust iPhone 17 launch and multiple analyst upgrades.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• iPhone 17 launch outperforms: First 10 days of sales running ~+14% vs. iPhone 16 in the US & China (base model leading in CN; Pro Max strongest in US). 📱1️⃣7️⃣📈

• Upgrades & targets: Loop Capital → Buy, PT $315; Evercore ISI → Tactical Outperform citing upside into December quarter. 🏦📈

• Mega-cap tailwind: Market rebound plus Apple reclaiming #2 global market cap (~$3.9T). 🥈




📊 Daily Gain: +.394%
📍 Resistance: 270.00 → 280.00
🔻 Support: 258.20 →245.20



⚠️ Momentum Watch:
Breakout above 258.20 opens 270. A failed retest back below 258 risks a 245 - 240 pullback .
🎬🍿NFLX – Pops +3.27% Ahead of Q3; Breaks 1,230 resistance

Netflix climbed +3.27% for a 2nd straight session and cleared 1,230, as upbeat analyst chatter rolled in ahead of tomorrow’s earnings.



🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Earnings setup (Oct 21): Street looks for EPS ~$6.96 on revenue ~$11.51B (+17% y/y). 📊

• Ad-tier momentum: ad-supported MAUs ~94M (Sept) and viewed as higher-margin; password-sharing crackdown still tailwind. 📣📈

• Subs optimism: several desks see >6M net adds vs ~5.6M consensus; focus on ads, pricing, and live/content cadence. 📊💲📈

• Fresh votes of confidence: recent reiterations and PTs (e.g., ~$1.39k–$1.50k range) keep sentiment firm into the print. 🗳




📊 Daily Gain: +3.27%
📍 Resistance: 1,260 → 1,270
📍 Support: 1,228 →1,150



⚠️ Momentum Watch:
• Holding above 1,228 keeps bulls in control. A close above 1,263 opens 1,339–1,350. A post-print fade back below 1,228 risks 1,153.
🇺🇸🇯🇵 USD/JPY – Yen Weakens as Takaichi Takes Office; Dollar Firms Above 151.70

⬆️ The Gopher rises +0.65%, reclaiming the 151.70 handle after Japan’s parliament confirmed Sanae Takaichi as the nation’s first female prime minister.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Political shift: Takaichi’s win signals fiscal stimulus and Abenomics continuity, weighing on the yen. 🇯🇵⚖️📉

• Cabinet pick: Finance Minister Katayama’s stronger-yen stance offered only brief support. 👩🏻‍⚖️🏛💴📈

• Dollar demand: Broader USD strength returned as U.S. credit risks eased and traders priced in an Oct 29 Fed cut.💵📈

• Yield gap: With BoJ likely on hold, rate differentials still favor the dollar.💵🇯🇵📈




📊 Daily Gain: +0.65%
📍 Resistance: 153.00 → 155.10
📍 Support: 147.00 → 146.50



⚠️ Momentum Watch:
Bulls eye a retest of 153.00, while bears will look for fades below 150.80 as political clarity meets global rate divergence.
🥤𝒸𝑜𝒸𝒶𝒸𝑜𝓁𝒶 KO – Pops 4% on Strong Earnings Beat and Africa Unit Sale

⬆️ Coca-Cola climbed +4.06% for a 4th straight session, breaking $70.70 after topping Q3 forecasts and announcing a $2.6B sale of its Africa bottling stake to Coca-Cola HBC.



🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• EPS $0.82 vs $0.78 est, revenue $12.46B (+5% y/y) — marking its 21st straight quarterly beat. 📊📈

• Organic revenue +6%, margin up to 32%.🏷📈

• Coke Zero +14% growth offsets Asia weakness.🥤0️⃣📈

• Africa stake sale streamlines ops, fuels digital growth.🥤🌍💸🏦

• FY 2025 outlook: rev +5–6%, EPS +3%, CEO confident in pricing discipline. 📊




📊 Daily Gain: +4.06%
📍 Resistance: 71.70 → 72.30
📍 Support: 70.70 → 66.80



⚠️ Momentum Watch:
Above 71.00 targets 72.30; below 70.70 risks 68.50–67.00.