🇫🇷4️⃣0️⃣ FRA40 – Climbs 1.30% 7-Month High as France’s Government Survives Confidence Vote

⬆️ The CAC 40 surges +1.30% to 8,170 — its highest since March — as Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu’s government survived a no-confidence vote, easing political risk and lifting sentiment across Paris equities.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Suspension of Macron’s pension reform secured Socialist backing, stabilizing markets. 🇫🇷👑

• Sector Gains: Pernod Ricard (+3.2%), Essilor (+2.2%), Renault (+1.5%), Edenred (+1.4%). 📊📈

• Luxury sector Lag: Kering (-1.6%), Teleperformance (-1.0%), Hermès (-0.7%) after a broker downgrade.📊📉

• Macro pulse: Index up 4.4% in 4 weeks and 7.2% YoY, showing resilience amid EU growth fears.. 🇫🇷4️⃣0️⃣ ✖️🇪🇺

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📊 Daily Gain: +1.30%
📍 Resistance: 8,180 → 8,250
📍 Support: 8,080 → 7,900

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 8,180 opens 8,250–8,300. Holding 8,076 keeps bulls in control.

💻🔵 INTC – Rises 4.27% to $37.15 as Intel Secures $2B SoftBank Investment and Unveils New AI Chip Strategy

⬆️ Intel surged after unveiling its next-gen Crescent Island AI chip, announcing a strategic partnership with Nvidia, and confirming a $2B capital injection from SoftBank — reinforcing confidence in its AI turnaround.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Crescent Island GPU 2026 launch targets data-center efficiency and AI performance gains.📈

• Nvidia Partnership: Joint work on next-gen PC/data-center processors marks a shift to open AI ecosystems.💻🔵 🤝👁‍🗨🟩

• $2B investment from SoftBank positions it among Intel’s top-10 shareholders, signaling long-term conviction. 🏦📈

• Sector Boost: AI chipmakers rose broadly as investor enthusiasm fueled semiconductors.📊📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +4.27%
📍 Resistance: 37.80 → 42.00
📍 Support: 27.40

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⚡️ Momentum Alert:
INTC is testing 37.80 — a breakout above 38.00 could open the path toward 42.00

💷💴 GBP/JPY – Rises +0.3% as BoJ Signals Gradual Normalization and UK Data Beats Forecasts

⬆️ GBP/JPY gains +0.30% after BoJ’s Tamura said rates should move “closer to neutral,” hinting at a slow shift from ultra-loose policy. Meanwhile, UK GDP rose 0.1% and manufacturing output climbed 0.7%, keeping the Pound supported ahead of the Autumn Budget.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• BoJ tone shift: Tamura said Japan must gradually adjust easing to approach a 1% neutral rate, slightly lifting the Yen. 🇯🇵📈

• Political uncertainty: LDP–Komeito split clouds Japan’s policy outlook. 🇯🇵🏛

• Macro backdrop: US–China tensions and dovish Fed tone balance safe-haven demand. 🇺🇸⚖️🇨🇳

• UK data: Resilient GDP and factory growth bolster GBP sentiment. 🇬🇧📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +0.3%
📍 Resistance: 204.50
📍 Support: 200.60

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
GBP/JPY stays firm above 200.50. A close above 204.50 opens 207.60, while loss of 200.60 risks 197.80.

🅾️ ORCL – Surges 3.09% to $313.00 as Oracle Raises 2030 Cloud Revenue Forecast to $166B

⬆️ Oracle rose +3.09% after executives upgraded long-term revenue projections and reassured investors on AI cloud margins. Shares touched $322.54 before easing as overall profit guidance moderated optimism.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Oracle raised its cloud infrastructure revenue outlook to $166B by FY2030 (up from $144B), projecting cloud will comprise 75% of total sales. ☁️📈

• Total revenue goal increased to $225B with $21 EPS, beating LSEG’s $18.92 consensus. 🎯📈

• Secured $65B in new contracts, including major deals with Meta ($20B) and OpenAI ($500B multiyear).. ֎ 🔵♾️🤝

• Clarified that AI infrastructure margins average 35%, countering reports of thinner profit.🤖📊

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📊 Daily Gain: +3.09%
📍 Resistance: 328.30 → 350.00
📍 Support: 284.20 → 256.40

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 328.30 opens 350, while a drop below 284 risks a 256 pullback.

🇭🇰5️⃣0️⃣ HK50 – Slides 1.30% to 25,550, It's Worst Week Since April As Trade And AI Jitters Bite

⬇️ The Hang Seng extend losses on renewed US-China trade frictions, AI profit-taking, and caution ahead of next week’s CCP plenum and a heavy China data slate (Q3 GDP, retail sales, IP).

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🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Macro/Geopolitics: Extra port fees, tit-for-tat sanctions, and tariff rhetoric sour risk. 🇺🇸⬜️🇨🇳

• Sector drag: Big Tech/semis unwind recent AI gains; BYD slips on a large recall. 🚘📉

• Positioning: Investors de-risk into the policy conclave; regional bank stress headlines add to risk-off tone. 🏦📉

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📊 Daily Loss: -1.30%
📍 Resistance: 27,250 → 27,880
📍 Support: 24,960 → 24,240

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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Bears in control below 26,000. A close under 24,960 risks 24,240,000. Bulls need a reclaim and above 26,000, then 27,250, to neutralize downside and reopen 27,880.

💻🟦 HPE – Sinks 10.14% to $22.50 on soft FY26 outlook despite capital-return boosts

⬇️ Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) tumbled −10.14% after its FY26 forecast underwhelmed investors, overshadowing dividend and buyback hikes..

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🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Outlook miss: FY26 revenue +5%–10% & EPS $2.20–$2.40 missed Street’s ~+17% rev, ~$2.42 EPS. 📊📉

• Portfolio shift: Focus on networking (Juniper), cloud (GreenLake) & AI; targets ≥$3.0 EPS & >$3.5B FCF by FY28. 🌐☁️🤖

• Capital returns: Dividend +10% (~$0.57/yr) & +$3B buybacks authorized (~$3.7B total). 💲📈

• Restructuring: Juniper synergies ≥$600M; workforce actions (~$240M).

• Context: FY26 excludes 8 months of Juniper’s pre-close results.

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📊 Daily Loss: -10.14%
📍 Resistance: 24.00 → 26.20
📍 Support: 21.90 → 21.00

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⚠️ Momentum watch
Break below 24.00 turned support to resistance; sub-21.90 opens 21.00, while reclaiming 24.00 could refocus bulls on 26.20.

🟦🇺🇸💳 AXP – Jumps 7.3% to 346.6 on Q3 Beat, Raised FY25 Guide & Strong Platinum Card demand

⬆️American Express spikes +7.27% after EPS/revenue beats and a lift to 2025 guidance; demand for the refreshed Platinum card and resilient spend (network volume +8.7–9%) underpin the move.

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🧠 What’s driving the move?

• Earnings beat: EPS $4.14 vs ~$4.00; revenue $18.4B (+11% y/y). 📊📈

• Stronger spend/NII: Network volume ~$479B; NII higher on revolving balances; provisions eased to ~$1.29B. 📊🦾

• Guidance up: FY25 EPS $15.20–$15.50 (raised lower end); revenue growth 9–10%. 📊📈

• Platinum refresh: New signups ~2× pre-launch; travel/restaurant engagement strong; credit metrics “best-in-class.” 💳📈

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📊 Daily Gain: +7.27%
📍 Resistance: 350.20 → 360.00
📍 Support: 342.30 → 316.20

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⚠️ Momentum watch
Bulls stay in control above 342.30. A push through 350.20 opens up 360.00. Failure back below 342.30 risks 316.20 gap-fade.

🛢 USOIL – Slips 1.00% Sub $57.0 as Oversupply Fears Deepen and Trade Tensions Weigh

⬇️ WTI crude oil remains under pressure, hovering near 6-month lows amid growing OPEC+ oversupply expectations and weaker global demand signals. Investors are also cautious ahead of renewed U.S.–China trade talks, with rising tariffs threatening to curb energy consumption.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• OPEC+ surplus risk: IEA sees larger surplus as members incl. Russia lift output. 🛢🇷🇺📈

• Trade headwinds: U.S.–China friction and port/tariff fees cloud flows.🇺🇸🇨🇳

• India–Russia: Indian refiners plan ~20% more Russian crude in Oct despite U.S. pressure. 🇮🇳🇷🇺

• Risk tone: Cooler Mideast tensions and weak U.S. rig data offer only modest support. 🇮🇱

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📊 Daily Loss: -1.00%
📍 Resistance: 51.20 → 60.70
📍 Support: 53.70 → 52.10


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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
Below $57 keeps trend down; close under 53.70 targets 50. Reclaiming 60.68 needed to turn near-term bullish.

🅾️ ORCL – Slumps 6.9% to 291.3 as Long-Term Guidance Triggers Profit-Taking and Margin Fears

⬇️ Oracle tumbled −6.93% after management’s long-term outlook drew skepticism, despite bullish AI ambitions. The company raised its AI cloud revenue forecast to $166B by FY2030, but investors focused on rising capex and slower expected EPS growth, prompting broad profit-taking after a strong YTD rally.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Heavy AI infrastructure spend tightens free cash flow 💸🤏

• Analysts lift targets ($331–$400) but flag weak legacy growth 🏦📈

• $500B backlog, yet data-center scaling still lags 🗃📉

• Margin-compression fears trigger sentiment shift 💰🔒

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📊 Daily Loss: -6.93%
📍 Resistance: 328.30 → 350.00
🔻 Support: 284.20 → 256.40


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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
ORCL breaks snapped a 2-day consecutive rise. Failure to hold 284–281 risk 256.40 extended losses. Recovery above 300 reopens 328.40

🇩🇪4️⃣0️⃣ DE40 – Bounces 1.2% to 24,260 as Tariff Hopes and Defense Stocks Lift Sentiment

⬆️ The DAX rebounded +1.23% sharply, snapping a 4-day losing streak as investor optimism returned following easing U.S. banking fears and signs of thawing U.S.–China trade relations. Defense, banking, and semiconductor sectors led the recovery.

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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?

• Tariff optimism: President Trump hinted at potential tariff reductions if Beijing offers new concessions, boosting trade-exposed stocks. 🇺🇸🇨🇳

• Sector rebound: Defense names Renk (+5.2%), Hensoldt (+4.3%), and Rheinmetall (+3.9%) led gains, alongside Commerzbank (+2.5%) and Infineon (+2.4%). 🛡🏦📈

• Sentiment recovery: Easing concerns about U.S. regional banks supported risk appetite across European equities. 🇺🇸🇪🇺

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📊 Daily Gain: +1.20%
📍 Resistance: 24,630 → 24,800
📍 Support: 23,390

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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
A close above 24,630 opens 24,800, while a drop below risks 23,390.