💊🔬 ELI LILLY – Surges as $3B Dutch Expansion Fuels Orforglipron Rollout Momentum
🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) extended gains +3.90% for a 3rd session, nearing $900 after unveiling a $3 billion Netherlands facility to expand output of its oral GLP-1 drug Orforglipron and other cardiometabolic therapies. The move reinforces global supply and confidence in the fast-growing obesity-drug market dominated by Novo Nordisk.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 3.90%
📌 Resistance: 899.00 → 929.70
📌 Support: 855.30 → 799.60
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A break above 898.90 opens 929.70. While failure risks 855.30 pullback.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Strategic expansion: $3B Dutch plant to produce orforglipron and other oral GLP-1 therapies. 🇳🇱🏭💉
• International growth: Strong global uptake of Mounjaro; orforglipron seen scaling rapidly.🌐 📈
• Sector tailwind: Novo Nordisk’s Metsera bid highlights intensifying competition in obesity drugs. 🩺🏆
• Institutional activity: Lilly Endowment’s share sale modestly offsets otherwise bullish momentum.🛍 📉
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A break above 898.90 opens 929.70. While failure risks 855.30 pullback.
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The total crypto market cap has surged past $4 trillion in 2025 — the highest level in over three years!
After a strong rebound through Q2 and Q3, the market hit a new record in early October before consolidating slightly at around $3.9–$4 trillion by the end of the month.
* Renewed institutional interest and ETF approvals have driven capital back into the market.
* Bitcoin remains dominant, but Ethereum, Solana, and Layer-2 projects are seeing strong inflows.
* Increased on-chain activity and positive regulatory clarity across key regions are boosting confidence.
* Market momentum is back: Long-term investors see this as a continuation of the broader recovery trend.
* Altcoins could outperform: With Bitcoin stabilizing, capital rotation into promising altcoins is likely.
* Volatility remains high: Sharp pullbacks are still possible — diversification and proper risk management are key.
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🛢 US OIL – Slips as OPEC+ Pause Sparks Oversupply Fears
🔽 WTI crude retreats -1.40% for a 2nd straight session, breaking below $60.50 after OPEC+ announced a pause on output hikes for early 2026. The decision, meant to stabilize prices, instead reinforced fears of growing global oversupply amid weak demand and slower Fed rate-cut expectations.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: 1.50%
📌 Resistance: 61.70 → 65.20
📌 Support: 56.90 → 53.70
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A decisive break below $60.00 opens $56.90, while a rebound above $61.70 renews $65.20 buying interest.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• OPEC+ pause misread: Traders see the Q1 2026 production freeze as an admission of excess supply.⏸
• Demand doubts: Softer U.S. manufacturing data and cautious Fed tone weigh on growth expectations. 🇺🇸📊 📉
• Geopolitical risk: Russian refinery strikes and U.S. sanctions add limited support but fail to offset bearish tone. 🇷🇺🇺🇸
• Dollar strength: A firm greenback pressures commodity prices, curbing speculative buying.💵 📈
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A decisive break below $60.00 opens $56.90, while a rebound above $61.70 renews $65.20 buying interest.
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🚗🔌🔋 TESLA – Climbs Despite Europe Sales Collapse and New Lawsuits Pressure
🔼 TSLA advanced +2.59% for the 2nd straight session ahead of the Nov 6 shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s $1T pay plan, even as data showed sharp sales drops across Europe. Registrations plunged 89% in Sweden, 86% in Denmark, 50% in Norway, and 48% in the Netherlands, highlighting Tesla’s shrinking dominance. Meanwhile, a Wisconsin lawsuit over Model S door defects adds pressure, but reports of a $2 B Samsung SDI battery deal lifted sentiment.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 2.59%
📌 Resistance: 479.90 → 500.00
📌 Support: 433.70 → 413.50
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 480 opens 500, while failure risks 433.70 pullback, as investors weigh lawsuits against upcoming shareholder catalysts.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Investor focus: Key vote this week on Musk’s record-setting compensation package. 🗳🪙
• Europe shock: Registrations plunge across Nordic and Western markets amid weaker demand. 🌍📉
• China slowdown: YTD sales down 5%, heightening pressure on global volumes. 🇨🇳📉
• Legal risk: Door-defect lawsuits and NHTSA probe renew safety scrutiny.⚖️ ⚠️
• Offset: Report of a $2 billion Samsung SDI battery deal lifts sentiment on energy-storage expansion.📱🔋
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A close above 480 opens 500, while failure risks 433.70 pullback, as investors weigh lawsuits against upcoming shareholder catalysts.
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🇦🇺🇯🇵 AUD/JPY – Slips Below 100.00 as RBA Holds; Yen Firms on Intervention Jitters
🔽 The Aussie-Yen cross drops -1.00% after the RBA kept rates at 3.60% and signaled a patient, data-dependent stance, while Japan’s MoF warned about one-sided FX moves, giving the yen a bid. Risk-off tone and a firm USD added pressure.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: 1.00%
📌 Resistance: 101.10 → 102.10
📌 Support: 97.50 → 97.10
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close below 100.00 open bears to 97.50. Reclaiming 101.10 reopens 102.00–102.50.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• RBA on hold: No fresh easing signals; inflation forecasts nudged up making the AUD soft. 🇦🇺📉
• Yen jawboning: Japan’s finance minister flagged “one-sided” moves → intervention risk supports JPY. 🇯🇵📈
• Macro mood: Stronger dollar and softer global PMIs weigh on cyclical FX.💵 📈 x 🇺🇸📊 📉
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close below 100.00 open bears to 97.50. Reclaiming 101.10 reopens 102.00–102.50.
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Both markets offer big opportunities — but they work very differently
* Forex: Open 24 hours, *Monday to Friday*.
* Crypto: Open *24/7*, even on weekends and holidays.
🏦Market Size & Regulation
* Forex: Largest financial market in the world — *highly regulated*.
* Crypto: Smaller but growing fast — *less regulated*, higher volatility.
* Forex: More stable price movements.
* Crypto: Wild swings = *higher profit potential*, but *greater risk*.
* Forex: Currency pairs like *EUR/USD or GBP/USD*.
* Crypto: Digital assets like *BTC, ETH, XRP*, and many more.
Bottom Line:
Forex is perfect for those who prefer stability and structure.
Crypto suits traders who thrive on volatility and innovation.
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🇺🇸✈️ American Airlines – Sells Off on Cost-Cut Headlines & Shutdown Risk
🔽 AAL slid -5.17% after the carrier said it will cut a small number of management/support roles as part of cost savings, while sector sentiment weakened on warnings a prolonged US government shutdown could force partial airspace closures, raising disruption risk.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: -5.17%
📌 Resistance: 13.80 → 14.50
📌 Support: 12.50 → 11.50
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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
A close below 12.50 risks 11.50–11.20. Stabilization above 13.00 is needed to refocus 13.80, with a break there opens 14.50.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Workforce trim: Efficiency push amid $750m+ cost-saving plan.💰 📉
• Macro/sector pressure: “Mass chaos” air-travel warning if shutdown persists → airlines broadly lower.⚠️ ✈️ 🇺🇸🚫
• Normalized demand backdrop: Carriers across NA cutting corporate roles to protect margins. 👨✈️✂️
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A close below 12.50 risks 11.50–11.20. Stabilization above 13.00 is needed to refocus 13.80, with a break there opens 14.50.
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🩺⚕️🐾 Zoetis (ZTS) – Guidance Cut Triggers Selloff; Watch $123 Support
🔽 ZTS plunged -13.78% after Q3 revenue came in a touch light and management trimmed FY25 sales guidance to $9.40–$9.475B, overshadowing an EPS beat ($1.70 vs $1.62). Commentary pointed to muted companion-animal demand, distributor caution, and livestock softness, despite wins in parasiticides/derm and pipeline milestones (Lenivia/Portela).
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: -13.78%
📌 Resistance: 131.10 → 141.10
📌 Support: 123.00 → 117.90
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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
A close below 123.00 risks 118.00. Reclaiming 141.10 eases downside pressure, and closing above 147.50 opens 156.80.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Top-line miss + guide-down: Revenue $2.40B (<$2.41B est.); FY sales range narrowed lower.📊 📉
• Mix headwinds: US livestock weaker; OA mAbs (Librela/Solensia) under pressure; distributors light on inventory.🇺🇸🐄📉
• Longer-term offsets: Regulatory wins and diagnostics expansion, but near-term macro demand is the market focus.📊
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A close below 123.00 risks 118.00. Reclaiming 141.10 eases downside pressure, and closing above 147.50 opens 156.80.
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₿ BITCOIN – Rebounds Above $100K After Sharp Two-Day Slide; Support Holds Firm
🔼 Bitcoin stabilized +1.10% after briefly dipping below the key $100,000 psychological level, finding support as dip-buyers stepped in. The bounce follows heavy liquidation pressure across risk assets, triggered by renewed Fed caution and stretched AI-market valuations spilling into crypto sentiment.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: +1.10%
📌 Resistance: 105,920 → 114,500
📌 Support: 101,200 → 98,430
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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
BTC’s rebound above $101K signals resilience, but buyers must defend 101,200 to avoid retesting sub-$99K levels. A sustained close above 106,700 would restore bullish structure toward 114,500.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Metaplanet catalyst: Japan’s Bitcoin-treasury firm secured a $100M BTC-backed loan to fund new BTC purchases and share buybacks — boosting sentiment.🇯🇵💸 📈
• Macro relief: Fed rate-cut uncertainty weighed earlier in the week, but bargain hunters re-entered after BTC held $99K lows. 🇺🇸✂️
• On-chain signs: Accumulator wallets added 50,000 BTC as price slipped under $100K, showing strong institutional accumulation.👛 💸 📈
• Market view: Analysts call the 21% correction “routine,” noting BTC remains in a structural bull market above $100K.📈 ✔️
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BTC’s rebound above $101K signals resilience, but buyers must defend 101,200 to avoid retesting sub-$99K levels. A sustained close above 106,700 would restore bullish structure toward 114,500.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• ADP surprise: Private payrolls rose more than expected, reinforcing a cautious Fed stance and reducing odds of a December rate cut. 🇺🇸📊 📈
• Safe-haven demand: Broader equity weakness and stretched tech valuations lifted haven bids. 🔐
• Dollar pause: The greenback retreated slightly from 3-month highs, supporting gold’s intraday rebound.💵 📉
• Physical demand risks: China’s removal of a long-standing tax exemption for retailers could weigh on jewelry demand.📈 🇨🇳
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The recovery from the 3,900 floor signals resilient safe-haven interest, but a sustained close above 4,000 is needed to regain bullish traction. Failure to hold above 3,900 risks a 3,800 deeper pullback.
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Anonymous Poll
42%
19%
11%
47%
6%
🛢 Oil, Silver or other Commodities
28%
🔥3
Prop Trader Global | Forex • Crypto • Gold pinned «❓ What do you trade or follow most often?»
Market Snapshot
Markets started midweek on a cautious note as investors weighed the latest US data and shifting expectations around the Federal Reserve’s next move. Strong labor and services figures have revived confidence in the US economy — but also cooled hopes for a rate cut in December, driving volatility across currencies, commodities, and bonds.
⚠️ *Traders now eye whether gold can cross $4K and how the Fed’s outlook shapes year-end momentum.*
Markets started midweek on a cautious note as investors weighed the latest US data and shifting expectations around the Federal Reserve’s next move. Strong labor and services figures have revived confidence in the US economy — but also cooled hopes for a rate cut in December, driving volatility across currencies, commodities, and bonds.
🇺🇸 **USD** rallied to a **5-month high** as hopes for a **Fed rate cut in December** cooled.
💶 Strong **ADP jobs** & **ISM services** data eased slowdown fears, pushing yields higher:📈 10-yr: **4.16%** | 2-yr: **3.64%**🥇 **Gold** jumped **1.2%**, peaking at **$3,990** before closing at **$3,978** — supported by **safe-haven** & **dip-buying**.
A clean break above **$4,000** could mark the end of its consolidation phase.
🛢 **Crude oil** slipped on **oversupply concerns** —
WTI: **$59.48 (-1.28%)** | Brent: **$63.32 (-1.27%)**
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🟢🗽🥤 STARBUCKS – Surges +4.1% After $4B China Stake Sale Despite Union Strike Threats
🔼 Starbucks rallied +4.12% after announcing the $4B sale of its majority China operations to Boyu Capital, unlocking value in its second-largest market while retaining strategic influence. Gains came even as baristas voted 92% in favor of a strike amid stalled contract talks, potentially disrupting sales on Red Cup Day (Nov. 13).
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: +4.12%
📌 Resistance: 87.20 → 89.80
📌 Support: 78.50 → 73.90
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⚠️ Momentum Watch:
$78.00 floor rebound confirms strong buyer interest. Sustained momentum above $83.00 opens a $87.20 retest.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• China restructuring: The deal values the business near $13B and keeps Starbucks tied to future growth through licensing payments. 🇨🇳📈
• Labor tensions: Workers across 25+ cities are set to strike, demanding wage hikes and staffing improvements.🚫
• Turnaround focus: CEO Brian Niccol’s “Back to Starbucks” strategy aims to rebuild margins after six straight quarters of North American sales declines. 💼🔜
• Analyst focus: Q3 results showed revenue beat but EPS miss, as higher staffing and renovation costs weighed on profits.📊
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$78.00 floor rebound confirms strong buyer interest. Sustained momentum above $83.00 opens a $87.20 retest.
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