💊🔬 LLY – Surges Toward $855 as Weight-Loss Drug Boom Drives Outlook Hike
⬆️ Eli Lilly (LLY) rallied +3.81% after a beat-and-raise Q3, posting EPS of $7.02 on $17.6 B revenue and lifting FY 2025 guidance to $63–63.5 B in sales and $23.00–$23.70 EPS. Strong Zepbound (+185 % YoY) and Mounjaro (+109 % YoY) demand, the Cipla India partnership, and pipeline optimism for oral GLP-1 drug orforglipron strengthened sentiment.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: +3.81%
📍 Resistance: 855.30 → 989.90
📍 Support: 799.60 → 769.00
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
LLY eyes an 855 breakout. A close above 855 opens 898–929, while rejection risks 800–769 pullback.
⬆️ Eli Lilly (LLY) rallied +3.81% after a beat-and-raise Q3, posting EPS of $7.02 on $17.6 B revenue and lifting FY 2025 guidance to $63–63.5 B in sales and $23.00–$23.70 EPS. Strong Zepbound (+185 % YoY) and Mounjaro (+109 % YoY) demand, the Cipla India partnership, and pipeline optimism for oral GLP-1 drug orforglipron strengthened sentiment.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Guidance Lift: Raised 2025 revenue and profit forecasts above Wall Street estimates. 🏦📈
• GLP-1 Demand: Zepbound & Mounjaro dominate. 🌐💊
• Global Reach: Cipla tie-up expands India footprint. 💊🇮🇳
• Pipeline Strength: Oral GLP-1 adds long-term upside 💊🔮📈
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📊 Daily Gain: +3.81%
📍 Resistance: 855.30 → 989.90
📍 Support: 799.60 → 769.00
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
LLY eyes an 855 breakout. A close above 855 opens 898–929, while rejection risks 800–769 pullback.
🔵♾️ META — AI Capex Shock Triggers 11% Slide; Jumbo Bond Sale Adds Pressure
⬇️ Meta sank -11.33% after hiking 2025 capex to $70–72B with a faster ramp in 2026, unveiling a $25–30B multi-tranche bond and posting a GAAP EPS hit from a $16B tax charge. Core ads grew 26% Y/Y, but margin compression, Reality Labs losses, and only in-line Q4 revenue guide kept sellers in control.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: -11.33%
📍 Resistance: 682.90 → 695.20
📍 Support: 659.40 → 626.30
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⚠️ Momentum/Structure:
Below 695–705 keeps downside bias. A close below 659 exposes 626/586. Reclaiming 705 opens 780.
⬇️ Meta sank -11.33% after hiking 2025 capex to $70–72B with a faster ramp in 2026, unveiling a $25–30B multi-tranche bond and posting a GAAP EPS hit from a $16B tax charge. Core ads grew 26% Y/Y, but margin compression, Reality Labs losses, and only in-line Q4 revenue guide kept sellers in control.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Runaway spend narrative: Bigger AI/data-center capex and higher 2026 opex test patience. 🤖💸
• Balance-sheet shift: New bond sale widens spreads; free cash flow pressured by capex. 📊🏦
• Headline miss optics: GAAP EPS $1.05 (tax charge); ex-charge $7.25. 📊📉
• Tape reaction: One of META’s largest 1-day drops in 3 yrs; volatility spike. 📉🗓
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📊 Daily Loss: -11.33%
📍 Resistance: 682.90 → 695.20
📍 Support: 659.40 → 626.30
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⚠️ Momentum/Structure:
Below 695–705 keeps downside bias. A close below 659 exposes 626/586. Reclaiming 705 opens 780.
📊 Weekly Market Movers | October 27 – October 31
The Aussie led gains as risk sentiment improved on upbeat China PMI and BoJ dovishness, while gold and GBP-crosses slipped after the Fed signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026, firming the dollar into month-end. 📣
The Aussie led gains as risk sentiment improved on upbeat China PMI and BoJ dovishness, while gold and GBP-crosses slipped after the Fed signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026, firming the dollar into month-end. 📣
🇦🇺🇯🇵 AUD/JPY up 1.26 % → Strengthened as strong Chinese manufacturing PMI (50.6 vs 49.9 prev) and continued BoJ easing boosted risk appetite and carry trades.
🥇 XAU/USD (Gold) down 2.65 % → Fell below $4 000 intraday as U.S. yields and the dollar rose after the Fed dampened near-term cut hopes.
🇬🇧🇦🇺 GBP/AUD down 1.76 % → Sterling lagged as UK retail sales and confidence weakened while risk-on flows favored the Aussie.
🇪🇺🇦🇺 EUR/AUD down 1.30 % → Euro declined against commodity-linked currencies amid ECB-Fed divergence and stronger China data.
🇬🇧🇺🇸 GBP/USD down 1.21 % → Cable extended its three-week drop as USD demand rose on Fed’s cautious guidance and solid U.S. data.
🔬 ILMN – Explodes 24.78% After Earnings Beat and Forecast Hike
⬆️ Illumina rocketed +24.78% after posting Q3 EPS of $1.34 (vs. $1.17 est.) and lifting FY25 guidance to $4.65–$4.75, powered by strong clinical sequencing demand and cost discipline. NovaSeq X adoption surpassed 75% of total sequencing, while clinical consumables grew in high single digits.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 24.78%
📍 Resistance: 122.50 → 130.90
📍 Support: 7109.90 → 102.30
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Massive breakout above 109.88 confirms trend reversal. Holding above 122.50 opens 130–144.
⬆️ Illumina rocketed +24.78% after posting Q3 EPS of $1.34 (vs. $1.17 est.) and lifting FY25 guidance to $4.65–$4.75, powered by strong clinical sequencing demand and cost discipline. NovaSeq X adoption surpassed 75% of total sequencing, while clinical consumables grew in high single digits.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• EPS +14.7% beat; revenue $1.08B (+0.4% YoY). 📊📈
• FY EPS raised ~4.4% to $4.65–$4.75. 📊📈
• Clinical Strength: High single-digit growth in clinical sequencing consumables. ⚕️📈
• Tech Transition: Over 75% of sequencing volume now on NovaSeq X. 🧬
• Margin Recovery: Cost discipline, improved mix, and R&D stabilization aid sentiment. 🔢
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📊 Daily Gain: 24.78%
📍 Resistance: 122.50 → 130.90
📍 Support: 7109.90 → 102.30
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Massive breakout above 109.88 confirms trend reversal. Holding above 122.50 opens 130–144.
📦🙂 AMAZON – Surges to Record High as AWS Reignites AI Momentum and Earnings Smash Forecasts
⬆️ AMZN surged +9.58% to $250 ATH after smashing Q3 forecasts, powered by a 13% YoY revenue jump to $180.2B and 20% AWS growth, its fastest since 2022. Advertising soared 24% to $17.7B, while CEO Andy Jassy projected $125B 2025 capex to expand AWS capacity and cement Amazon’s AI edge.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 9.58%
📍 Resistance: 250.00 → 255.00
📍 Support: 245.00 → 242.10
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Largest 1-day gain since Apr 2025. Close above 245 opens path to 260, while rejection at 250 may trigger brief consolidation.
⬆️ AMZN surged +9.58% to $250 ATH after smashing Q3 forecasts, powered by a 13% YoY revenue jump to $180.2B and 20% AWS growth, its fastest since 2022. Advertising soared 24% to $17.7B, while CEO Andy Jassy projected $125B 2025 capex to expand AWS capacity and cement Amazon’s AI edge.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Earnings beat: EPS $1.95 vs $1.57 est boosted investor confidence. 📊📈
• AWS revival: Cloud up 20% YoY, Trainium chip revenue +150%. ☁️📈
• AI push: Expanding data centers and custom chips fuel growth. 🤖🗄📈
• Ad surge: +24% YoY, becoming key profit driver.📢📈
• Outlook: Q4 sales $206B–$213B, analysts target $305. 🔎4️⃣
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📊 Daily Gain: 9.58%
📍 Resistance: 250.00 → 255.00
📍 Support: 245.00 → 242.10
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
Largest 1-day gain since Apr 2025. Close above 245 opens path to 260, while rejection at 250 may trigger brief consolidation.
🇭🇰5️⃣0️⃣ HK50 – Climbs as Xi–Trump Trade Truce Lifts Sentiment but Gains Stay Defensive
⬆️ Hang Seng climbs for the first time in 2 sessions after a U.S.–China trade truce between Xi and Trump eased tariff and export curbs, boosting energy and bank stocks while investors stayed defensive. Hong Kong’s Q3 GDP grew 3.8% YoY and retail sales +4.8%, the fastest since 2023, while local shares tracked Wall Street’s gains. Still, factory data showed slower China activity, capping optimism.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 0.80%
📍 Resistance: 27,250 → 27,880
📍 Support: 25,010 → 24,240
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A breakout above 27,250 opens 27,880, while a close below 25,000 risks renewed consolidation.
⬆️ Hang Seng climbs for the first time in 2 sessions after a U.S.–China trade truce between Xi and Trump eased tariff and export curbs, boosting energy and bank stocks while investors stayed defensive. Hong Kong’s Q3 GDP grew 3.8% YoY and retail sales +4.8%, the fastest since 2023, while local shares tracked Wall Street’s gains. Still, factory data showed slower China activity, capping optimism.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Trade truce relief boosts sentiment. 🇺🇸🤝🇨🇳
• Hong Kong GDP +3.8%, retail +4.8% — strongest in nearly 2 years. 🇭🇰📊📈
• Energy +3%, banks +1.3%, tech lagged. 🔌🏦👨💻🌏
• Investors Profit-taking, year-end caution. ⚠️💸
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📊 Daily Gain: 0.80%
📍 Resistance: 27,250 → 27,880
📍 Support: 25,010 → 24,240
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A breakout above 27,250 opens 27,880, while a close below 25,000 risks renewed consolidation.
Here’s how the global markets performed last month
Bitcoin (BTC): –5%
U.S. Stocks (S&P 500): +2.3%
EUR/USD: –1.6%
Gold: +5%
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❤2
🇺🇸🇨🇭 USD/CHF – Extends Winning Streak as Dollar Firms and Swiss CPI Weakens
🔼 Swissie climbs for the 4th consecutive session, buoyed by a stronger U.S. dollar holding near 3-month highs as traders scaled back bets on further Fed rate cuts, while the Swiss Franc weakened after inflation fell to 0.1% YoY and -0.3% MoM, stoking speculation the SNB may resume negative rates in 2026. The divergence in monetary outlooks between the Fed’s cautious stance and the SNB’s deflation risk underpinned bullish momentum in the pair.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 0.50%
📌 Resistance: 0.8090 → 0.8120
📌 Support: 0.8060 → 0.7920
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 0.8087 opens 0.8120–0.8150, while failure to hold above 0.8060 risks a 0.7920 pullback as markets await U.S. private data later this week.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• USD strength: The dollar index (USDX) stays firm near 99.9, supported by reduced rate-cut expectations.💵 📈
• Fed tone: Powell emphasized December cuts are not guaranteed, keeping yield spreads USD-favorable. ✂️⚖️
• Swiss inflation shock: Softer CPI increases pressure on SNB to ease, weakening CHF demand. 🇨🇭📊 📉
• Policy divergence: Fed caution vs. SNB easing prospects widens rate differentials, sustaining upside bias. 🇺🇸🔀🇨🇭
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A close above 0.8087 opens 0.8120–0.8150, while failure to hold above 0.8060 risks a 0.7920 pullback as markets await U.S. private data later this week.
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Stay alert, traders!
Here are the key events that could move the markets this week:
🇬🇧 Nov 3: UK Manufacturing PMI — *9:30 AM UTC*
🇺🇸 Nov 3: US Manufacturing PMI — *2:45 PM UTC*
🇦🇺 Nov 4: Australia Interest Rate Decision — *3:30 AM UTC*
🇺🇸 Nov 5: US Nonfarm Employment Change — *1:15 PM UTC*
🇬🇧 Nov 6: UK Interest Rate Decision — *12:00 PM UTC*
🇺🇸 Nov 7: US Unemployment Rate — *1:30 PM UTC*
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💊🔬 ELI LILLY – Surges as $3B Dutch Expansion Fuels Orforglipron Rollout Momentum
🔼 Eli Lilly (LLY) extended gains +3.90% for a 3rd session, nearing $900 after unveiling a $3 billion Netherlands facility to expand output of its oral GLP-1 drug Orforglipron and other cardiometabolic therapies. The move reinforces global supply and confidence in the fast-growing obesity-drug market dominated by Novo Nordisk.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 3.90%
📌 Resistance: 899.00 → 929.70
📌 Support: 855.30 → 799.60
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A break above 898.90 opens 929.70. While failure risks 855.30 pullback.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Strategic expansion: $3B Dutch plant to produce orforglipron and other oral GLP-1 therapies. 🇳🇱🏭💉
• International growth: Strong global uptake of Mounjaro; orforglipron seen scaling rapidly.🌐 📈
• Sector tailwind: Novo Nordisk’s Metsera bid highlights intensifying competition in obesity drugs. 🩺🏆
• Institutional activity: Lilly Endowment’s share sale modestly offsets otherwise bullish momentum.🛍 📉
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—
A break above 898.90 opens 929.70. While failure risks 855.30 pullback.
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The total crypto market cap has surged past $4 trillion in 2025 — the highest level in over three years!
After a strong rebound through Q2 and Q3, the market hit a new record in early October before consolidating slightly at around $3.9–$4 trillion by the end of the month.
* Renewed institutional interest and ETF approvals have driven capital back into the market.
* Bitcoin remains dominant, but Ethereum, Solana, and Layer-2 projects are seeing strong inflows.
* Increased on-chain activity and positive regulatory clarity across key regions are boosting confidence.
* Market momentum is back: Long-term investors see this as a continuation of the broader recovery trend.
* Altcoins could outperform: With Bitcoin stabilizing, capital rotation into promising altcoins is likely.
* Volatility remains high: Sharp pullbacks are still possible — diversification and proper risk management are key.
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🛢 US OIL – Slips as OPEC+ Pause Sparks Oversupply Fears
🔽 WTI crude retreats -1.40% for a 2nd straight session, breaking below $60.50 after OPEC+ announced a pause on output hikes for early 2026. The decision, meant to stabilize prices, instead reinforced fears of growing global oversupply amid weak demand and slower Fed rate-cut expectations.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Loss: 1.50%
📌 Resistance: 61.70 → 65.20
📌 Support: 56.90 → 53.70
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A decisive break below $60.00 opens $56.90, while a rebound above $61.70 renews $65.20 buying interest.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• OPEC+ pause misread: Traders see the Q1 2026 production freeze as an admission of excess supply.⏸
• Demand doubts: Softer U.S. manufacturing data and cautious Fed tone weigh on growth expectations. 🇺🇸📊 📉
• Geopolitical risk: Russian refinery strikes and U.S. sanctions add limited support but fail to offset bearish tone. 🇷🇺🇺🇸
• Dollar strength: A firm greenback pressures commodity prices, curbing speculative buying.💵 📈
—
—
A decisive break below $60.00 opens $56.90, while a rebound above $61.70 renews $65.20 buying interest.
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🚗🔌🔋 TESLA – Climbs Despite Europe Sales Collapse and New Lawsuits Pressure
🔼 TSLA advanced +2.59% for the 2nd straight session ahead of the Nov 6 shareholder vote on Elon Musk’s $1T pay plan, even as data showed sharp sales drops across Europe. Registrations plunged 89% in Sweden, 86% in Denmark, 50% in Norway, and 48% in the Netherlands, highlighting Tesla’s shrinking dominance. Meanwhile, a Wisconsin lawsuit over Model S door defects adds pressure, but reports of a $2 B Samsung SDI battery deal lifted sentiment.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
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📊 Daily Gain: 2.59%
📌 Resistance: 479.90 → 500.00
📌 Support: 433.70 → 413.50
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⚠️ Momentum Alert:
A close above 480 opens 500, while failure risks 433.70 pullback, as investors weigh lawsuits against upcoming shareholder catalysts.
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🧠 What’s Driving the Move?
• Investor focus: Key vote this week on Musk’s record-setting compensation package. 🗳🪙
• Europe shock: Registrations plunge across Nordic and Western markets amid weaker demand. 🌍📉
• China slowdown: YTD sales down 5%, heightening pressure on global volumes. 🇨🇳📉
• Legal risk: Door-defect lawsuits and NHTSA probe renew safety scrutiny.⚖️ ⚠️
• Offset: Report of a $2 billion Samsung SDI battery deal lifts sentiment on energy-storage expansion.📱🔋
—
—
A close above 480 opens 500, while failure risks 433.70 pullback, as investors weigh lawsuits against upcoming shareholder catalysts.
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