4 games started, 1+ shot created in each with 2+ landing twice.

However England's CB's have shut up shop to any strikers trying to play off them

🧩 ST's vs England:
0,0,1,0,0 | 🪄🔫 Per game: 0.20

So just the 0.5u spread across these two lines

🪄🔫 Erling Haaland 2+ shots Created @ 3.3 (SkyBet)
💰 Stake: 0.35u

🪄🔫 Erling Haaland 3+ shots Created @ 9.0 (SkyBet)
💰 Stake: 0.15u

📊Per Match: 2✓, 1✓, -, 2✓, 1✓

🖥 Shots Created Probabilities/Fair Odds:

|   1+  |   2+  |   3+  |   4+  |   5+  |
| 75.9% | 41.7% | 17.3% |  5.7% |  1.5% |
|  1.32 |  2.40 |  5.79 | 17.67 | 65.52 |

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🏟 Norway vs England
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 11 Jul 26 22:00

Haaland & Bellingham to have 3 or more headed shots on target between them @ 15 (SkyBet)

💰Stake 0.2u

👤 Erling Haaland (Norway)
└─ 📊 Projected: 0.58 Headed Shots On Target

👤 Jude Bellingham (England)
└─ 📊 Projected: 0.52 Headed Shots On Target

➕ Combined Projection: 1.09 Headed Shots On Target

Probability the two combine for at least:

|   1+  |   2+  |   3+  |   4+  |
| 66.5% | 29.8% |  9.8% |  2.5% |
|  1.50 |  3.35 | 10.18 | 39.63 |

0.2u
Both Teams To Score in 1st Half

⭐️ Yes @ 9.00
Min odds: 7.80

🎲 Implied probability: 12.92% chance

0.2u
Both Teams To Score in 2nd Half

⭐️ Yes @ 5.0

0.1u
Both Teams To Score in Both Halves

⭐️ Yes @ 29

🏟 ASA v Ivinhema
📅 12 Jul 26 21:00
🇧🇷 Brazil Serie D

Little bit of context this is a 2ND Leg fixture. These two played already with the away side getting a red card in 10th min, managing to score once and only lose 2-1

They are on paper terrible but the kinda terrible that results in some high scoring games.

🔗 https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C1/D8/E197602295/F3/I6/

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4.55x cash 😬

But we NEVER cash

nevermind they've changed it a shot off target shoulda took the cash

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WillHill + 365 inplay arb

Around 8% atm

Place the unders first and then the overs.

Can also place the unders and wait for the over odds to tick up hoping theres no corners for a couple mins

Free Longshot for tonight

Gl if tailing 🤞

🏟 Denver Summit vs Houston Dash
🇺🇸 NWSL
⏰ 13 Jul 26 00:00

⚽️ Denver Summit Over 1.5 First Half Goals
📚 Odds: 4.540 (22¢)
⚖️ Chance: 25.50% (26¢)

💰 Stake: 0.25u
📊 Potential Profit: +0.89u (+356%)

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1u here, wanted to take over 2.5 @ 1.9 but odds dropped

but this market price hasn't adjusted as much

fair odds on this around 4.88 rn

0.25u on

https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C1/D8/E197804002/F3/I3/

🏟 England vs Argentina
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 15 Jul 20:00
📍 Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta
💾 Retractable roof, fully climate-controlled

England's most recent game went to ET where TI's, FKs, & GKs do not count, similar to 2/3 of Argentina's games have also gone to ET highlighted by the *

🙆‍♂️ England U 8.5 1st Half Team Throw-ins @ 1.9
💰 Stake 0.8u
⚖️ Chance: 68.2% | 🖥 Model Odds: 1.47

| U0.5 |  U4.5 |  U8.5 | U12.5 | U16.5 |
| 0.1% | 14.3% | 68.2% | 96.3% | 99.8% |
|  -   |  6.97 |  1.47 |  1.04 |  1.00 |

🏠 England Projected: 7.35
📊 Team Average: 8.20
🕒 Last 10 For: 10, 7, 8, 7, 13, 8, 5, 9, 3, 12
🕒 Last 10 Opponent Against: 7, 12, 8, 5, 11, 6, 3, 7, 2, 4
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🙆‍♂️ England U 12.5 Team Throw-ins @ 5.5
💰 Stake 0.2u
⚖️ Chance: 23.6% | 🖥 Model Odds: 4.24

| U4.5 |  U8.5 | U12.5 | U16.5 | U20.5 |
| 0.1% |  3.0% | 23.6% | 62.5% | 89.9% |
|  -   | 32.94 |  4.24 |  1.60 |  1.11 |

🏠 England Projected: 15.40
📊 Team Average: 16.20
(* = game went to ET)
🕒 Last 10 For: 27*, 12, 15, 14, 22, 15, 16, 13, 12, 16
🕒 Last 10 Opponent Against: 16*, 25, 18*, 11, 20, 19, 9, 9, 10, 9

5 bets (3 markets) were posted in the Props VIP for tonights game.

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