🏟 South Africa vs Canada
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 28 Jun 26 19:00
📍 SoFi Stadium - Los Angeles
🌤 Fixed canopy, passive cooling (open-air)

📒 Over 3.5 Asian Total Cards @ 1.850 (Bet365)
💰Stake: 0.75u

|  O2.5 |  O3.0 |  O3.5 |  O4.0 |  O4.5 |
| 77.8% | 68.4% | 58.9% | 49.1% | 39.4% |
|  1.28 |  1.46 |  1.70 |  2.03 |  2.54 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 4.12
🏠 South Africa Match Totals: 2, 3, 3, 2, 7, 3, 7, 2, 3
✈️ Canada Match Totals: 3, 2, 5, 3, 4, 6, 2, 4, 7, 4

🔗 Bet365

🏟 Ivory Coast vs Norway
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 30 Jun 26 17:00
📍 AT&T Stadium - Dallas
💾 Retractable roof, fully climate-controlled

🙆‍♂️ Under 35.5 Throw-ins @ 1.8 (Bet365)
💰 Stake: 1.0u

| U23.5 | U27.5 | U31.5 | U35.5 | U39.5 |
|  5.5% | 20.1% | 45.5% | 72.0% | 89.5% |
| 18.14 |  4.97 |  2.20 |  1.39 |  1.12 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 32.30
🏠 Ivory Coast Match Totals:
39, 42, 28, 22, 29, 32, 42, 27, 26, 32
✈️ Norway Match Totals:
35, 36, 36, 28, 33, 48, 31, 25, 31, 24

https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C1/D8/E196964353/F3/I99/I^88/

🏟 Croatia vs Ghana
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 27 Jun 26 22:00

💥 Kamaldeen Sulemana Over 1.5 Fouls @ 3.75
📚 Bet365
💰 Stake: 0.5u

Other odds:
Ladbrokes: 2.45 | Sky Bet: 2.38 | Star Sports: 2.25 | Unibet: 2.20 | QuinnBet: 2.00 | William Hill: 1.95 | VirginBet: 1.84 | BetMGM: 1.70

Forwards/right sided players vs Croatia

"-" = no data/no one occupied that postion

🧩 ST's vs Croatia (Averaged):
2,2,0*,0,1,1,2*,1,0,3 | 💥 Per game: 1.20
🧩 RM's vs Croatia:
3,-,1,-,-,-,-,-,-,- | 💥 Per game: 0.40
🧩 RAM's vs Croatia:
-,0,-,0,-,0,-,-,-,2 | 💥 Per game: 0.20
🧩 RW's vs Croatia:
-,-,-,-,1,-,-,1,0,- | 💥 Per game: 0.20

Sulemana foul ✅⏳

HUGE price play 🪜 for 🇵🇹 vs 🇨🇴

The first step of the ladder has landed in both group games so far and is currently priced @ 3.0!

0.45u @ 3
0.2u @ 7.5
0.1u @ 21

Available on PricedUP, AKBets, McBookie and StarSports.

This bet has no supersub but at these odds this is a justified trade off

🏟 Colombia vs Portugal
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 28 Jun 26 00:30

💥 Player Fouls
Joao Cancelo Over 1.5 Fouls @ 3.00
📚 PricedUP, AKBets, McBookie and StarSports
💰 Stake: 0.45u

Other odds:
Ladbrokes: 2.00 | Unibet: 1.90 | Bet365: 1.83 | Betway: 1.80 | BetVictor: 1.77 | Spreadex: 1.73 | William Hill: 1.65 | 10bet: 1.60

⸻

Player Fouls
💥 Joao Cancelo Over 2.5 Fouls @ 7.50
📚 PricedUP, AKBets, McBookie and StarSports
💰 Stake: 0.2u

Other odds:
Ladbrokes: 4.00 | Bet365: 3.75 | Unibet: 3.50 | BetVictor: 3.40 | Spreadex: 3.30 | QuinnBet: 3.20 | William Hill: 2.88 | VirginBet: 2.40

⸻

💥 Joao Cancelo Over 3.5 Fouls @ 21.00
📚 PricedUP, AKBets, McBookie and StarSports
💰 Stake: 0.1u

Other odds:
Bet365: 8.00 | Unibet: 7.50 | Spreadex: 7.00 | QuinnBet: 6.50 | Betway: 5.50 | William Hill: 5.00 | VirginBet: 4.30 | BetMGM: 4.20

Would back this a million times at these odds but everything is going down the other side

Cancelo forced into just the one duel in 45 mins whilst Nuno Mendes has had 6

Pedro Neto who’s playing just infront of Canecelo has picked up 2 fouls 🤥

Looking like no 🎲

Taking this when I posted turned out to move exactly how I called it 🤞

Ghana will now play Colombia on a more favorable side of the draw, win vs Colombia and we have a very good chance of either a) An outright winner or b) a spit dead heat 🙏

Update on this if anyone took any of them 🤞

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Kane
Goals: 3 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇫🇷 Mbappé
Goals: 4 | Games Played: 3 | ✅ HIT

🇧🇪 Lukaku
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇳🇴 Haaland
Goals: 4 | Games Played: 3 | ✅ HIT (1 more needed for full ladder)

🇦🇷 Álvarez
Goals: 0 | Games Played: 3 | UNDER 2.5

🇵🇹 Fernandes
Goals: 0 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 2

🇪🇸 Oyarzabal
Goals: 2 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇵🇹 Ronaldo
Goals: 2 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇨🇴 Díaz
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇦🇷 Messi
Goals: 6 | Games Played: 3 | ✅ HIT + Full Ladder 🔥

🇩🇪 Wirtz
Goals: 0 | Games Played: 3 | UNDER 1.5

🇧🇷 Vinícius Jr
Goals: 4 | Games Played: 3 | ✅ HIT + Full Ladder 🔥

🇺🇾 Núñez
Goals: 0 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 2 ❌

🇧🇷 Raphinha
Goals: 0 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 2 ❌ unless he gets back fit in time 🤞

🇪🇬 Salah
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇸🇪 Gyökeres
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

🇪🇸 Yamal
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | UNDER 2.5

🇦🇷 Martínez
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | UNDER 2.5

🇨🇭 Embolo
Goals: 1 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 2

🇩🇪 Havertz
Goals: 2 | Games Played: 3 | Goals Needed: 1

Ivory Coast vs Norway
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 30 Jun 26 17:00

Martin Odegaard (Norway) Over 63.5 Passes @ 1.83 (Bet365)
💰Stake: 1.0u

Martin Odegaard (Norway) Over 75.5 Passes @ 5.5 (Bet365)
💰Stake: 0.2u

Was going to only take the main line because of the small chance 76+ lands inside the 90 but these bets carry on into extra time if it happens which in that case the top line will fly in.

📊 -, 45✓, -, 39✓, 106✓, 92✓, 50✓, 76✓, 76✓

|  20+  |  30+  |  50+  |  70+  |
| 83.3% | 83.3% | 82.0% | 28.8% |
|  1.20 |  1.20 |  1.22 |  3.47 |

🧩 LCM's vs Ivory Coast:
48,-,75,-,13,34,36,31,-,34 |

🧩 RCM's vs Ivory Coast:
21,-,60,-,31,52,30,24,-,32 |

https://www.bet365.com/#/AC/B1/C1/D8/E196964353/F3/I17/

⚡️🕐 NEW MARKET RELEASE 🕐⚡️

🏟 Spain vs Austria
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 02 Jul 26 19:00
📍 SoFi Stadium - Los Angeles
🌤 Fixed canopy, passive cooling (open-air)

📚 1st Half Asian Corners

⛳ Over 4.5 1st Half Asian Corners @ 2.050 (Bet365)
📉 Value: -26.58%

|  O3.5 |  O4.0 |  O4.5 |  O5.0 |  O5.5 |
| 55.3% | 45.6% | 35.8% | 28.1% | 20.5% |
|  1.81 |  2.19 |  2.79 |  3.55 |  4.89 |

⛳ Under 4.5 1st Half Asian Corners @ 1.750 (Bet365)
📈 Value: +12.33%

|  U3.5 |  U4.0 |  U4.5 |  U5.0 |  U5.5 |
| 44.7% | 54.4% | 64.2% | 71.9% | 79.5% |
|  2.24 |  1.84 |  1.56 |  1.39 |  1.26 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 3.93
🏠 Spain Match Totals: 5, 5, 4, 4, 3, 5, 3, 5, 4, 6
✈️ Austria Match Totals: 2, 2, 4, 3, 7, 4, 3, 2, 3, 3

🔗 Bet365

⚡️🕐 NEW MARKET RELEASE 🕐⚡️

Germany vs Paraguay
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 29 Jun 26 20:30

🎯 Shots On Target

📈 Currently Value:
👤 Kai Havertz (Germany) Over 1.5 Shots On Target @ 2.375 (Bet365)
📊 1, 1, 4✓, 1, 1, 0, 2✓, 5✓, 1, 2✓ (Avg: 1.80)
📈 Value: +3.27% | 🖥 Model: 2.30 | 🎯 Proj: 1.48

👤 Felix Nmecha (Germany) Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 2.625 (Bet365)
📊 0, 0, 4✓, 0, 0, 1✓, 1✓, -, -, - (Avg: 0.86)
📈 Value: +32.65% | 🖥 Model: 1.98 | 🎯 Proj: 0.70

👤 Matias Galarza (Paraguay) Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 3.4 (Bet365)
📊 0, 2✓, -, -, -, -, 0, -, 0, 0 (Avg: 0.40)
📈 Value: +0.24% | 🖥 Model: 3.39 | 🎯 Proj: 0.35

📉 Currently Negative Value:
👤 Leroy Sane (Germany) Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 1.727 (Bet365)
📊 3✓, 0, 0, 1✓, 0, 0, 0, 4✓, 0, - (Avg: 0.89)
📉 Value: -10.53% | 🖥 Model: 1.93 | 🎯 Proj: 0.73

👤 Damian Bobadilla (Paraguay) Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 3.5 (Bet365)
📊 0, 0, 2✓, -, 0, -, 1✓, 0, 0, 0 (Avg: 0.38)
📉 Value: -2.25% | 🖥 Model: 3.58 | 🎯 Proj: 0.33
└─ +5 more negative value entries

🔗 Bet365

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The exclusive world cup only packagae is available via @PropprManagerBot for £10.99 p/w 🔥

Not a tip but Sengal are 2.9 to reach the round of 16 but best priced at 2.45 to qualify vs Belgium.

Not a price ‘error’ but just a discrepancy due to margins if anyone fancies it 👍

🌍 World Cup
🏆 To Reach the Quarter-Finals

🇨🇦 Canada To Reach the Quarter-Finals @ 5.50
📚 Kambi
💰 Stake: 0.5u

OR

🇨🇦 Canada To Reach the Quarter-Finals @ 18c BUY LIMIT
📚 Polymarket
💰 Stake: 0.5u

Chance: 21.65% (4.62/21.6c)

Been very impressed with the Canadians, slow start and could have very well been down to home nation pressure but Mathday 2 was great and even the matchday 3 loss vs 🇨🇭significant improvements whilst utilising their squad with just two outfielders playing less than 45 minutes so far.

Lucky for us no long waiting as their first RO32 match is tonight vs 🇿🇦

nevermind if you saw that message its been pulled 💔

a few extra out-rights coming, most of them are 'safe' ones you can potentially acca together and then one longshot based on team news

not much value out there the books done a great job of pricing and not a lot of extra 'specials' been added either

🌍 World Cup
⚽️ Portugal Tournament Goals Scored

🇵🇹 Portugal Over 8.5 Tournament Goals @ 1.80
📚 Paddy Power / Sky Bet
💰 Stake: 1u

Fair odds: 1.62

Currently on 6 goals, barring a calamitous RO32 exit vs Croatia this should come in within their next 2 games.

⸻

🌍 World Cup
⚽️ Germany Tournament Goals Scored

🇩🇪 Germany Over 13.5 Tournament Goals @ 1.80
📚 Paddy Power / Sky Bet
💰 Stake: 1u

Fair odds: 1.68

4 more goals needed to achieve this with Paraguay next and then a very tasty RO16 clash vs France or Sweden. As an alternative, Over 14.5 @ 2.40 is also nice as if they do get past France then it 100% comes in.

⸻

🌍 World Cup
🏆 To Reach The Semi Final

🇦🇷 Argentina To Reach The Semi Final @ 2.10
📚 BetVictor
💰 Stake: 1u

Fair odds: 1.73

Given the teams they have to play before this anything less than a Semi-Final would be a failure for the World Champs. Price a little bit shorter than I would have liked but still good enough to take.

⸻

🌍 World Cup
🏆 To Reach the Quarter-Finals

🇸🇳 Senegal To Reach the Quarter-Finals @ 7.00
📚 Bet365
💰 Stake: 0.25u

Fair odds: 5.41

I think they’re 100% capable of getting past Belgium and that sets them up with a RO16 vs the hosts USA or against Bosnia, a team who I genuinely don’t know how they’ve made it this far.

⸻

🌍 World Cup
⚽️ South Africa Top Team Goalscorer

🇿🇦 Evidence Makgopa Top South Africa Goalscorer @ 34.00
📚 BetVictor
💰 Stake: 0.2u

Fair odds: 27.21

South Africa currently have 2 players joint on 1 goal meaning a single goal for Makgopa vs Canada makes this a 3-way dead heat and puts it around 11.30 odds. A brace and it’s very likely a winner.

all the stakes were the same edited them now

🏟 France vs Sweden
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 30 Jun 26 21:00
📍 MetLife Stadium - New York / New Jersey
🌤 Open-air

🎯 Sweden Over 3.5 Shots on Target @ 3.25 (Bet365)
💰 Stake: 0.5u

|  O0.5 |  O0.5 |  O2.5 |  O4.5 |  O6.5 |
| 97.8% | 97.8% | 73.7% | 33.9% |  9.4% |
|  1.02 |  1.02 |  1.36 |  2.95 | 10.59 |

✈️ Sweden Projected (Last 10): 3.84
📊 Team Average: 4.80
🕒 Last 10 For: 5, 8, 7, 5, 5, 5, 4, 2, 3, 4
🕒 Opponent Against: 4, 0, 2, 2, 3, 5, 4, 1, 0, 2

🔗 Bet365

just the 0.5u single on 4+ SOTs