One more I like for this game

💥 Merchas Doski Over 2.5 Fouls @ 4.33
📚 Bet365
💰 Stake: 0.5u

🔍 Other Bookmakers:
Unibet: 3.30 | Spreadex: 3.00 | Sporting Index: 3.00 | QuinnBet: 2.88 Betway: 2.62

0.1u and a dream

haven't posted a longshot like this in a min so one for the degens

gl 🍀

Barely any liquidity at this price so not gonna tip it but 6 odds for Saljba shot is value

Norway had about 5 shots directly from free kicks or corners with Saliba being the tallest player in the French XI

next best price is 4.75 @ PricedUp

He’s 4 odds for a header shot on target on 365 🤮

HUGE price play coming up.

0.5u on Boylesports gonna post in 2 mins

🤝 Sarr Over 0.5 Assist @ 23
📚 BoyleSports
💰 Stake: 0.5u

Other odds:
Ladbrokes: 7.50 | Coral: 7.50 | William Hill: 6.50 | Bet365: 6.00 | Spreadex: 6.00

🏟 Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 27 Jun 26 00:00
📍 NRG Stadium - Houston
💾 Retractable roof, fully climate-controlled

🚫 Under 5.5 Match Offsides @ 2.000 (Bet365)
💰Stake: 1.0u

|  U3.5 |  U4.5 |  U5.5 |  U6.5 |  U7.5 |
| 44.2% | 63.7% | 79.2% | 89.4% | 95.1% |
|  2.26 |  1.57 |  1.26 |  1.12 |  1.05 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 3.96
🏠 Cape Verde Match Totals: 3, 5, 1, 4
✈️ Saudi Arabia Match Totals: 5, 6, 5, 1, 2, 4, 6, 3, 7

🔗 Bet365

🏟 Ecuador vs Germany
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 25 Jun 26 20:00
📍 MetLife Stadium - New York / New Jersey
🌤 Open-air

📒 Under 3.5 Asian Total Cards @ 1.900 (Bet365)
💰1.0u

|  U2.5 |  U3.0 |  U3.5 |  U4.0 |  U4.5 |
| 41.2% | 52.4% | 63.6% | 72.1% | 80.7% |
|  2.43 |  1.91 |  1.57 |  1.39 |  1.24 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 3.05
🏠 Ecuador Match Totals: 6, 4, 4, 2, 2, 1, 1, 4, 6, 4
✈️ Germany Match Totals: 0, 0, 4, 0, 4, 0, 1, 5, 6, 1

🔗 Bet365

1 more coming

🏟 Japan vs Sweden
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 25 Jun 26 23:00
📍 AT&T Stadium - Dallas
💾 Retractable roof, fully climate-controlled

📒 Under 3.0 Asian Total Cards @ 2.050 (Bet365)
💰 Stake 1.0u

|  U2.0 |  U2.5 |  U3.0 |  U3.5 |  U4.0 |
| 43.6% | 56.6% | 67.1% | 77.6% | 83.9% |
|  2.29 |  1.77 |  1.49 |  1.29 |  1.19 |

📊 Match Projected (Last 10): 2.41
🏠 Japan Match Totals: 0, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 0, 2, 1, 3
✈️ Sweden Match Totals: 3, 1, 2, 1, 5, 3, 3, 5, 2, 2

🔗 Bet365

Lost too much money on the world cup? Some free arbs to claw back some coins 🙏

⏰ 18:00 | 🇵🇹 Portugal vs Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
📒 Total Cards: Over 3.5 vs Under 3.5
• Profit: 3.11%
• Selection 1: Over 3.5 @ 3.4 (William Hill) | Stake: £30.33
• Selection 2: Under 3.5 @ 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | Stake: £69.67
• Returns: £103.11
💰 RF High: £32.43 @ 3.40 - £67.57 @ 1.48 → Profit: £10.27

⛳️ Total Corners - 1st Half: Over 2.5 vs Under 3
• Profit: 4.49%
• Selection 1: Over 2.5 @ 1.29 (William Hill) | Stake: £81.00
• Selection 2: Under 3 @ 5.5 (Sky Bet) | Stake: £19.00
• Returns: £104.49
💰 RF High: £77.52 @ 1.29 - £22.48 @ 5.5 → Profit: £23.64
—

⏰ 21:00 | 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Ghana 🇬🇭
🥅 Penalty In Match: No vs Yes
• Profit: 2.13%
• Selection 1: No @ 1.5 (Bet365) | Stake: £68.09
• Selection 2: Yes @ 3.2 (William Hill) | Stake: £31.91
• Returns: £102.13
💰 RF High: £66.67 @ 1.50 – £33.33 @ 3.20 → Profit: £6.67

⛳️ Total Corners - 1st Half: Over 2.5 vs Under 3
• Profit: 2.66%
• Selection 1: Over 2.5 @ 1.33 (William Hill) | Stake: £77.19
• Selection 2: Under 3 @ 4.5 (Sky Bet) | Stake: £22.81
• Returns: £102.66
💰 RF High: £75.19 @ 1.33 – £24.81 @ 4.55 → Profit: £12.89

Getting today’s price fancies out nice and early. Again, for anyone who’s never seen these lists before, these are a load of singles I like purely based on the prices being too high. Whether the stats are great or the player will even start is irrelevant.

The picks I do like with stats/reasonings will be in a separate post with unit stakes etc 🙏

📅 Today

⏰ 18:00
🇵🇹 Portugal vs Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
🔫 Abduqodir Khusanov O 0.5 Shots @ 5 (365)

💥 Shomurodov O 1.5 Fouls @ 3.1 (BetMGM)
Other: Ladb: 2.25 | Unibet: 2.10 | BetVic: 1.95 | QuinnBet: 1.91 | WillHill: 1.83 | 365: 1.80

🔫 Total Shots O 29.5 @ 3.75 (WillHill)
Other: BetMGM: 2.80 | 365: 3.40 | Spreadex: 2.75 | BF Exchange: 2.74 | QuinnBet: 2.25 | SkyBet: 2.20 | Paddy: 2.10

📒 Shukurov Booked @ 5.61 (BF Exchange)
Other: SkyBet: 5.00 | VirginBet: 4.30 | BetMGM: 4.10 | WillHill: 3.75 | Ladb: 3.70 | Spreadex: 3.60 | Boyles: 3.50 | 365: 3.40 | BetVic: 2.90

📒 Khusanov Booked @ 4.75 (365)
Other: BF Exchange: 4.63 | SkyBet: 4.00 | Spreadex: 3.80 | Star Sports: 3.75 | BetVic: 3.60 | 10bet: 3.35 | WillHill: 3.25 | Ladb: 3.20 | VirginBet: 2.88 | BetMGM: 2.75

🎯 B. Fernandes O 1.5 Shots On Target @ 3.6 (BetVic)
Other: 365: 3.50 | Unibet: 3.40 | BF Exchange: 2.84 | BetMGM: 2.75 | VirginBet: 2.70 | Boyles: 2.60 | Betway: 2.40 | WillHill: 2.38 | Paddy: 2.30 | QuinnBet: 2.25 | Ladb: 2.15

⚔️ Ronaldo O 0.5 Tackles @ 3.6 (Boyles)
Other: Ladb: 3.25 | 365: 3.00 | BetVic: 2.90 | Betway: 2.60 | QuinnBet: 2.38 | Spreadex: 2.00

⏰ 21:00
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Ghana 🇬🇭

📒 Mensah Booked @ 5.6 (Spreadex)
Other: 10bet: 5.00 | Star Sports: 4.20 | WillHill: 4.00 | BF Exchange: 3.94 | 365: 3.75 | BetMGM: 3.70 | Ladb: 3.60 | SkyBet: 3.50 | QuinnBet: 3.40 | Boyles: 3.25 | BetVic: 3.10

🤝 Bellingham O 0.5 Assist @ 4.5 (Ladb)
Other: Boyles: 4.00 | WillHill: 3.80 | 365: 3.75 | BetVic: 3.70 | VirginBet: 3.50 | Unibet: 3.40 | Star Sports: 3.10 | SkyBet: 3.00

🎯 R. James O 0.5 SOTs @ 3.7 (BetMGM)
Other: Ladb: 3.50 | Boyles: 3.30 | Paddy: 3.20 | 365: 3.00 | Betway: 2.90 | Unibet: 2.88 | QuinnBet: 2.80 | WillHill: 2.75 | BetVic: 2.62

🎯 Semenyo O 0.5 SOTs @ 2.6 (Ladb)
Other: Coral: 2.60 | BF Exchange: 2.59 | Boyles: 2.38 | BetMGM: 2.32 | WillHill: 2.30 | Unibet: 2.25 | VirginBet: 2.20 | QuinnBet: 2.10 | 365: 2.00

📅 Wednesday, 24th June

⏰ 00:00
🇵🇦 Panama vs Croatia 🇭🇷

💥 Blackman O 1.5 Fouls @ 3.7 (VirginBet)
Other: BetMGM: 3.60 | Ladb: 2.10 | Spreadex: 2.00 | Unibet: 1.95 | QuinnBet: 1.83 | Betway: 1.73 | BetVic: 1.67 | 365: 1.57 | WillHill: 1.44

🎯 Vuskovic O 0.5 SOTs @ 4.2 (BetMGM)
Other: Ladb: 3.20 | BF Exchange: 3.06 | 365: 3.00 | WillHill: 2.90 | QuinnBet: 2.60 | BetVic: 2.55 | Betway: 2.50 | Unibet: 2.40 | SkyBet: 2.38

📒 C. Harvey Booked @ 5 (365)
Other: VirginBet: 4.50 | BetMGM: 4.40 | BetVic: 4.20 | Star Sports: 4.00 | Spreadex: 3.40 | Paddy: 3.30 | SkyBet: 3.25 | WillHill: 3.00 | 10bet: 2.95 | Ladb: 2.87 | Boyles: 2.75

🔫 Gvardiol O 0.5 Shots @ 1.87 (BetMGM)
Other: VirginBet: 1.79 | Spreadex: 1.70 | Ladb: 1.61 | Boyles: 1.55 | 365: 1.53 | WillHill: 1.50 | QuinnBet: 1.44 | BetVic: 1.40 | Unibet: 1.37 | Paddy: 1.33

🔫 Gvardiol O 1.5 Shots @ 5 (BetMGM)
Other: Spreadex: 4.33 | Ladb: 4.00 | Coral: 3.90 | Boyles: 3.75 | 365: 3.40 | WillHill: 3.00 | QuinnBet: 2.88 | BetVic: 2.70 | Unibet: 2.60

⏰ 03:00
🇨🇴 Colombia vs DR Congo 🇨🇩

💥 Mojica O 1.5 Fouls @ 4.4 (BetMGM)
Other: VirginBet: 4.40 | Paddy: 2.88 | SkyBet: 2.75 | Ladb: 2.70 | Spreadex: 2.63 | Betway: 2.50 | Unibet: 2.38 | BetVic: 2.30 | 365: 2.25 | QuinnBet: 2.15 | WillHill: 2.05

⚔️ Lerma O 1.5 Tackles @ 3 (BetMGM)
Other: VirginBet: 3.00 | 365: 2.50 | Boyles: 2.40 | BetVic: 2.20 | Betway: 2.15 | WillHill: 2.00 | QuinnBet: 1.87 | Spreadex: 1.85

🩹 Moutoussamy O 1.5 Fouls Won @ 5 (365)
Other: WillHill: 3.75 | Paddy: 3.20 | SkyBet: 3.00

🔫 L. Diaz O 2.5 Shots @ 2.45 (Ladb)
Other: Coral: 2.45 | Spreadex: 2.38 | WillHill: 2.10 | QuinnBet: 2.00 | BetVic: 1.93 | 365: 1.91 | Boyles: 1.83 | SkyBet: 1.67 | Paddy: 1.57 | BetMGM: 1.38 | VirginBet: 1.32

And now the tracked picks a few Proppr ones thorwn in there too

📅 Today

⏰ 18:00
🇵🇹 Portugal vs Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
📍 NRG Stadium - Houston
💾 Retractable roof, fully climate-controlled

🔫 Abduqodir Khusanov O 0.5 Shots @ 5 (365)
💰 Stake: 0.2u

⚽️ Bruno Fernandes Anytime Goalscorer @ 2.7 (37¢) (Polymarket)
💰 Stake: 0.5u

📦🎯 Joao Neves Over 0.5 SOT Outside Box @ 9 (Bet365)
💰 Stake: 0.2u

📕 Ronaldo To Be Sent Off @ 101 (Bet365)
🖥 Model Odds: 91.02 (1% chance)
💰 Stake: 0.1u

🤝 Otabek Shukurov To Assist @ 12 (365)
💰 Stake: 0.1u

80 - Otabek Shukurov has moved the ball forward with 80 final third passes in his last 10 games across all competitions.

Otabek Shukurov Last 10 Passes Into Final Third: 6, 4, -, 5, 5, 5, 14, 10, 18, 13 #PropprInsights

⏰ 21:00
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Ghana 🇬🇭
📍 Gillette Stadium - Boston
🌤 Open-air
🌧 Showers expected.

🤝 Bellingham O 0.5 Assist @ 4.5 (Ladb)
💰 Stake: 0.25u

🎯 Semenyo O 0.5 SOTs @ 2.6 (Ladb)
💰 Stake: 0.5u

🎯 Kane Over 2.5 Shots On Target @ 5 (20¢) (Polymarket)
💰 Stake: 0.25u

📅 Wednesday, 24th June

⏰ 00:00
🇵🇦 Panama vs Croatia 🇭🇷
📍 BMO Field - Toronto
🌤 Open-air

💥 Blackman O 1.5 Fouls @ 3.7 (VirginBet)
💰 Stake: 0.25u

📦🎯 Carlos Harvey Over 0.5 SOT Outside Box @ 7 (Bet365)
💰 Stake: 0.2u

🔫 Gvardiol O 0.5 Shots @ 1.87 (BetMGM)
💰 Stake: 0.75u

⏰ 03:00
🇨🇴 Colombia vs DR Congo 🇨🇩
📍 Estadio Akron - Guadalajara
🌤 Covered stands, open-air

⚔️ Lerma O 1.5 Tackles @ 3 (BetMGM)
💰 Stake: 0.5u

🩹 Moutoussamy O 1.5 Fouls Won @ 5
💰 Stake: 0.2u

🤝 Masuaku To Assist @ 10 (Bet365)
💰 Stake: 0.1u

A Haaland FGS prevent the boost sweep yesterday and no surprise the books have gone England crazy but the ball keeps rolling up to £755 on the boost tracker now 📈

🇵🇹 Portugal vs Uzbekistan 🇺🇿
📅 23 Jun 26 | 🕕 18:00

🔹 Cristiano Ronaldo To Score or Assist @ 2.00 (Betfred)
🔹 Portugal To Win & Bruno Fernandes To Score or Assist (Bet365)

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Ghana 🇬🇭
📅 23 Jun 26 | 🕘 21:00

🔹 Harry Kane 2+ Goals @ 4.50 (PricedUp)
🔹 Jude Bellingham 1+ Shot On Target
• 1.90 (NetBet) | 2.00 (Paddy Power) | 2.00 (GrandIvy)
🔹 Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer
• 2.00 (Unibet) | 2.00 (247Bet) | 2.10 (Dabble) | 1.90 (FairPlay)
🔹 England To Score in the 1st Half @ 2.00 (BoyleSports)
🔹 England Lead at Half Time @ 2.00 (William Hill)
🔹 England to Score in Both Halves @ 2.50 (Betano)
🔹 Harry Kane 1+ Shot On Target in First Half (Sky Bet)
🔹 Harry Kane 2+ Shots On Target @2.0 (Midnite)
🔹 Harry Kane & Antoine Semenyo Each 1+ Shot On Target (Tote)

🇵🇦 Panama vs Croatia 🇭🇷
📅 24 Jun 26 | 🕛 00:00

🔹 Croatia Win To Nil @ 2.88 (Unibet)

boost bet coming on Skybet, can get £250 on so will track it at 0.5u

⏰ 21:00
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Ghana 🇬🇭
📍 Gillette Stadium - Boston
🌤 Open-air
🌧 Showers expected.

📦🎯 Declan Rice 0.5 SOT Outside Box @ 4 (Skybet)
💰 Stake: 0.5u

https://skybet.com/football/fifa-world-cup/england-v-ghana/e-35546840

One more being added to tracker

£375 max stake on this on non restricted accounts 🤤

@3.75 on 365

Around 4.8 lay price on the exchanges

he got his 2nd tackle on the 49th min and gonna finish on 2 🕊😢

This one's simple, if England start well and maintain it we could see the lower line come in. The longer Ghana are in the game much more likely we go bust but take risks and propsper 🙏

🙆‍♂️ Under 29.5 Throw Ins @ 2.1

🙆‍♂️ Under 22.5 Throw Ins @ 9.00

🏠 England Match Totals:
33, 28, 26, 20, 26, 32, 30, 30, 22, 20
✈️ Ghana Match Totals:
44, 34, 31, 33, 31, 22, 35

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Last 10 games:
3x 25 Throw-Ins or less
6x 29 Throw-Ins or less

It's the opposite for the Ghanaians who in their last 7 games have seen 30 or more Throw-Ins in 6 of them, the game that went under was a 1-0 friendly loss to South Korea which had 22 throw ins.

An unstoppable force vs an immovable object here.

Lovely arb here

⚽️ Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Women vs EL Nacional Women
🇪🇨 Ecuador. Primera Women
⏰ 24 Jun 26 19:30

⭐️ Over/Under 2.5 1st Half Goals
📚 Skybet (Over 2.5 1st Half Goals) @ 3.0 | Bet365 (Under 2.5 1st Half Goals) @ 1.975

🧠 Arb Margin: 19.10%

💷 £38.13 @ 3.0 (Skybet)
💷 £57.92 @ 1.975 (Bet365)
💰 Profit: £18.34 (Either outcome)

⸻

💰 RF Low (Under wins)
• £32.02 @ 3.0 – Skybet
• £64.03 @ 1.975 – Bet365
→ Profit if Under wins: £30.42 (RF ROI: 31.67%)

💰 RF High (Over wins)
• £47.42 @ 3.0 – Skybet
• £48.63 @ 1.975 – Bet365
→ Profit if Over wins: £46.20 (RF ROI: 48.10%)

🏟 Croatia vs Ghana
🌍 World Cup
⏰ 27 Jun 26 21:00
📍 Lincoln Financial Field - Philadelphia
🌤 Open-air
🌧 Showers expected.

⛳ Croatia Over 5.5 Corners & Croatia Most Corners @ 3 (Bet365)
💰Stake: 0.5u

|  O1.5 |  O3.5 |  O5.5 |  O7.5 |  O9.5 |
| 98.2% | 84.4% | 54.6% | 24.9% |  8.1% |
|  1.02 |  1.18 |  1.83 |  4.01 | 12.42 |

🏠 Croatia Projected (Last 10): 5.95
📊 Team Average: 5.90
🕒 Last 10 For: 2, 2, 8, 3, 2, 4, 3, 11, 18, 6
🕒 Opponent Against: 9, 2, 5, 9, 9, 5, 5, 4
——————————————
✈️ Ghana Projected (Last 10): 3.76
📊 Team Average: 2.75
🕒 Last 10 For: 2, 2, 4, 3, 4, 3, 3, 1
🕒 Opponent Against: 7, 8, 4, 4, 2, 6, 5, 2, 0, 5

🔗 Bet365

Perfect example of how gamestate can affect these bets.

Ghana get their way with securing a 0-0 that will fell like a win for them.

Main line was looking good till about the 85th where England desperate for a goal had a bout 4 throws back to back and killed it.

Final group games so will be a lot of good games but also a lot of games to avoid so please pay attention to the context, team rotations etc 🙏