These are currently on Unibet (no longer a Kambi book), unfortunately can't do multiples on them so singles only
https://www.unibet.co.uk/betting/odds/football/fifa-world-cup/world-cup-club-rivals/outrights
๐ฉ๐ช Kai Havertz (Arsenal) - 3.30
๐ฐStake: 0.5u
My model projects Havertz as Arsenal's top contributor (4.34 goals + assists), far ahead of Gyokeres (2.74). Germany faces an easy group (Curaรงao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador), ensuring a deep run and more games for Havertz. Model #1, deep run, 3.30 odds.
๐ฉ๐ช Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) - 4.75
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Salah projects slightly higher (4.77 vs 4.09), but Egypt faces a tough group (Belgium, Iran) likely exiting early. Germany's easy group allows Wirtz to play 2-3 extra games. At 4.75 (implied 21%), the odds overpay for this longevity advantage.
๐ง๐ช Jeremy Doku (Man City) - 4.00
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Haaland and Doku project similarly (5.03 vs 4.70), yet Doku is priced lower. Doku is an assist machine (3.798 projected). Norway faces a group of death (France, Senegal) and may exit early. Belgium has a kinder group and deeper run. Similar projection, longer run, better price.
๐ง๐ท Raphinha (Barcelona) - 4.20
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Lamine Yamal is the model favorite (6.16), driving up his price. Raphinha projects 4.14, a clear #2 for Barรงa. Brazil is a lock to go deep. The market undervalues Raphinha as a backup; he is a tournament-long talisman. At 4.20 (24%), the risk is priced in.
https://www.unibet.co.uk/betting/odds/football/fifa-world-cup/world-cup-club-rivals/outrights
๐ฉ๐ช Kai Havertz (Arsenal) - 3.30
๐ฐStake: 0.5u
My model projects Havertz as Arsenal's top contributor (4.34 goals + assists), far ahead of Gyokeres (2.74). Germany faces an easy group (Curaรงao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador), ensuring a deep run and more games for Havertz. Model #1, deep run, 3.30 odds.
๐ฉ๐ช Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) - 4.75
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Salah projects slightly higher (4.77 vs 4.09), but Egypt faces a tough group (Belgium, Iran) likely exiting early. Germany's easy group allows Wirtz to play 2-3 extra games. At 4.75 (implied 21%), the odds overpay for this longevity advantage.
๐ง๐ช Jeremy Doku (Man City) - 4.00
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Haaland and Doku project similarly (5.03 vs 4.70), yet Doku is priced lower. Doku is an assist machine (3.798 projected). Norway faces a group of death (France, Senegal) and may exit early. Belgium has a kinder group and deeper run. Similar projection, longer run, better price.
๐ง๐ท Raphinha (Barcelona) - 4.20
๐ฐStake: 0.25u
Lamine Yamal is the model favorite (6.16), driving up his price. Raphinha projects 4.14, a clear #2 for Barรงa. Brazil is a lock to go deep. The market undervalues Raphinha as a backup; he is a tournament-long talisman. At 4.20 (24%), the risk is priced in.
Sky have boosted Bruno Fernandes most assists @ 15 odds
https://skybet.com/football/s-1 (on the football landing page)
Max Stake is ยฃ10 so no 5000 word thesis on why you should back it.
Laying at 14.00 on the exchange creates immediate value (7.14% implied chance). As well as opportunity to hedge later down the line.
My own model which I've been using ranks these as the top 5:
1. ๐ฆ๐ท Messi: 5.24 proj. assists
2. ๐ต๐น Fernandes: 4.84 proj. assists
3. ๐ซ๐ท Olise: 3.93 proj. assists
4. ๐ง๐ช Doku: 3.79 proj. assists
5. ๐ช๐ธ Yamal: 3.35 proj. assists
Model gives Bruno slightly less of a chance then the exchanges suggest but still worth taking
https://skybet.com/football/s-1 (on the football landing page)
Max Stake is ยฃ10 so no 5000 word thesis on why you should back it.
Laying at 14.00 on the exchange creates immediate value (7.14% implied chance). As well as opportunity to hedge later down the line.
My own model which I've been using ranks these as the top 5:
1. ๐ฆ๐ท Messi: 5.24 proj. assists
2. ๐ต๐น Fernandes: 4.84 proj. assists
3. ๐ซ๐ท Olise: 3.93 proj. assists
4. ๐ง๐ช Doku: 3.79 proj. assists
5. ๐ช๐ธ Yamal: 3.35 proj. assists
Model gives Bruno slightly less of a chance then the exchanges suggest but still worth taking
Found a fun bet to throw 0.25u on ๐ฒ
Any Team To Qualify From a Group Without Winning a Game @ 7 ๐
(BetVictor / TalksportBet / Parimatch / Betano) ๐ฑ
๐ Stats:
โข Qualify without winning: 36% (2.78) ๐
โข Eliminated without losing: 31% (3.23) ๐
Note: Above is just from a pure maths standpoint and doesn't factor in the actual teams/groups (not worth the time+effort)
โข I feel like these may not have taken into consideration fully how much the third place teams could shake this up ๐
โข This is also why "Eliminated without losing" is lower because the most likely scenario of 3 draws would more likely see you go through then go out of the tournament ๐ช
Not a banker of course because you're still relying on there being a team to draw all 3 games whilst not impossible makes the 7 odds justified
โข In the EURO's Since 2016 where the best third place teams have gone through it's happened twice in three editions where only 4 best third-place teams go through, the world cup will see 8 best third-place teams go throughโ
Any Team To Qualify From a Group Without Winning a Game @ 7 ๐
(BetVictor / TalksportBet / Parimatch / Betano) ๐ฑ
๐ Stats:
โข Qualify without winning: 36% (2.78) ๐
โข Eliminated without losing: 31% (3.23) ๐
Note: Above is just from a pure maths standpoint and doesn't factor in the actual teams/groups (not worth the time+effort)
โข I feel like these may not have taken into consideration fully how much the third place teams could shake this up ๐
โข This is also why "Eliminated without losing" is lower because the most likely scenario of 3 draws would more likely see you go through then go out of the tournament ๐ช
Not a banker of course because you're still relying on there being a team to draw all 3 games whilst not impossible makes the 7 odds justified
โข In the EURO's Since 2016 where the best third place teams have gone through it's happened twice in three editions where only 4 best third-place teams go through, the world cup will see 8 best third-place teams go throughโ
I've found another bet I like from the BV group!
๐น Chris Wood to outscore Viktor Gyokeres @ 4
๐ฐ0.25u
(BetVictor / TalksportBet / Parimatch / Betano) ๐ฑ
โ ๏ธ No deadheat rules apply here as you can back the draw, it is a win or lose.
Both I and the model agree that Gyokeres is more likely to score more goals than Wood would. But at the price for Wood, I cannot disagree with taking it.
๐ณ๐ฟ Chris Wood is the main spearhead for the attack for New Zealand. Whilst they are projected to go out in the groups and not score as many goals as Sweden, it is very likely that the play will flow through Chris Wood, and of course, the added bonus of taking penalties too.
But this is the World Cup, it will always be full of surprises! Chris Wood getting two or three goals isn't impossible to rule out.
๐น Chris Wood to outscore Viktor Gyokeres @ 4
๐ฐ0.25u
(BetVictor / TalksportBet / Parimatch / Betano) ๐ฑ
โ ๏ธ No deadheat rules apply here as you can back the draw, it is a win or lose.
Both I and the model agree that Gyokeres is more likely to score more goals than Wood would. But at the price for Wood, I cannot disagree with taking it.
๐ณ๐ฟ Chris Wood is the main spearhead for the attack for New Zealand. Whilst they are projected to go out in the groups and not score as many goals as Sweden, it is very likely that the play will flow through Chris Wood, and of course, the added bonus of taking penalties too.
But this is the World Cup, it will always be full of surprises! Chris Wood getting two or three goals isn't impossible to rule out.
nevermind its Medina starting
Forwarded from Jay (Proppr.io)
๐ค Albert Gudmundsson (Iceland)
๐ค To Assist
๐ Bookmaker Odds: 11 (Bet365)
๐ฅ Model Odds: 9.81 (10% chance)
๐ฐ 0.25u
๐ Per Game (Last 8): 0โ, 0โ, 1โ, 0โ, 1โ, 1โ, 0โ, 0โ
Albert Gudmundsson averages 2.0 key passes, setting up teammates.
Would expect decent mins against what is Argentina's B team.
Score or assist is also viable at 5 odds too
๐ค To Assist
๐ Bookmaker Odds: 11 (Bet365)
๐ฅ Model Odds: 9.81 (10% chance)
๐ฐ 0.25u
๐ Per Game (Last 8): 0โ, 0โ, 1โ, 0โ, 1โ, 1โ, 0โ, 0โ
Albert Gudmundsson averages 2.0 key passes, setting up teammates.
Would expect decent mins against what is Argentina's B team.
Score or assist is also viable at 5 odds too
โค1
Jay (Proppr.io)
๐ค Albert Gudmundsson (Iceland) ๐ค To Assist ๐ Bookmaker Odds: 11 (Bet365) ๐ฅ Model Odds: 9.81 (10% chance) ๐ฐ 0.25u ๐ Per Game (Last 8): 0โ, 0โ, 1โ, 0โ, 1โ, 1โ, 0โ, 0โ Albert Gudmundsson averages 2.0 key passes, setting up teammates. Would expect decent minsโฆ
cashed and taken on sky, better odds and fantasy assist rules
0.75u on Iceland SOT each half. Can take Rulli 2+ Saves to bump it up to 2.37 but not worth it imo.
๐ฏ Iceland - 1st Half Team Shots On Target
โ๏ธ Iceland Projected (Last 10): 1.36
๐ Team Average: 1.30
๐ Last 10 For: 2, 0, 2, 2, 0, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1
๐ Last 10 Opponent Against: 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0, 3, 0, 2, 1
๐ฏ Iceland - 2nd Half Team Shots On Target
โ๏ธ Iceland Projected (Last 10): 3.04
๐ Team Average: 3.20
๐ Last 10 For: 2, 1, 3, 2, 2, 6, 2, 5, 2, 7
๐ Last 10 Opponent Against: 0, 1, 4, 2, 3, 1, 4, 0, 5, 3
๐ฏ Iceland - 1st Half Team Shots On Target
โ๏ธ Iceland Projected (Last 10): 1.36
๐ Team Average: 1.30
๐ Last 10 For: 2, 0, 2, 2, 0, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1
๐ Last 10 Opponent Against: 0, 0, 1, 1, 3, 0, 3, 0, 2, 1
๐ฏ Iceland - 2nd Half Team Shots On Target
โ๏ธ Iceland Projected (Last 10): 3.04
๐ Team Average: 3.20
๐ Last 10 For: 2, 1, 3, 2, 2, 6, 2, 5, 2, 7
๐ Last 10 Opponent Against: 0, 1, 4, 2, 3, 1, 4, 0, 5, 3
๐1
Professor X Bets 25/26 Free Channel - BET365 (Football, Player Props, Cards & Corners)
cashed and taken on sky, better odds and fantasy assist rules
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if this bet doesnt win I have to live with knowing this was the reason why...
Forwarded from Proppr Player Bot ๐คโฝ๏ธ
๐ Market Average Opportunities - Today (Page 1/230)
โ = Predicted to start | ๐ฅ = Potential Injury
๐ค Matheus Nunes (Portugal)
๐ vs Nigeria (10 Jun 26 20:45)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (PricedUp)
๐ Odds: 4.75 (Market Avg: 2.56 | 9 books)
๐ 85.4% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 0.5u
๐ค Terem Moffi (Nigeria)
โ๏ธ vs Portugal (10 Jun 26 20:45)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (Bet365)
๐ Odds: 2.25 (Market Avg: 1.74 | 6 books)
๐ 29.7% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1u
๐ค Jonathan Viera (Las Palmas)
โ๏ธ vs Malaga (10 Jun 26 20:00)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (Bet365)
๐ Odds: 2.62 (Market Avg: 1.95 | 4 books)
๐ 34.4% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1u
๐ค Ivan Toney (England)
๐ vs Costa Rica (10 Jun 26 21:00)
๐ฏ Over 1.5 Shots On Target (Ladbrokes)
๐ Odds: 3.0 (Market Avg: 2.15 | 7 books)
๐ 39.6% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 0.5u
๐ค Harry Kane (England)
๐ vs Costa Rica (10 Jun 26 21:00)
โฝ๏ธ Anytime Goalscorer (Betfair Exchange)
๐ Odds: 1.87 (Market Avg: 1.56 | 13 books)
๐ 20.1% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1.25u
โ = Predicted to start | ๐ฅ = Potential Injury
๐ค Matheus Nunes (Portugal)
๐ vs Nigeria (10 Jun 26 20:45)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (PricedUp)
๐ Odds: 4.75 (Market Avg: 2.56 | 9 books)
๐ 85.4% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 0.5u
๐ค Terem Moffi (Nigeria)
โ๏ธ vs Portugal (10 Jun 26 20:45)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (Bet365)
๐ Odds: 2.25 (Market Avg: 1.74 | 6 books)
๐ 29.7% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1u
๐ค Jonathan Viera (Las Palmas)
โ๏ธ vs Malaga (10 Jun 26 20:00)
๐ฏ Over 0.5 Shots On Target (Bet365)
๐ Odds: 2.62 (Market Avg: 1.95 | 4 books)
๐ 34.4% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1u
๐ค Ivan Toney (England)
๐ vs Costa Rica (10 Jun 26 21:00)
๐ฏ Over 1.5 Shots On Target (Ladbrokes)
๐ Odds: 3.0 (Market Avg: 2.15 | 7 books)
๐ 39.6% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 0.5u
๐ค Harry Kane (England)
๐ vs Costa Rica (10 Jun 26 21:00)
โฝ๏ธ Anytime Goalscorer (Betfair Exchange)
๐ Odds: 1.87 (Market Avg: 1.56 | 13 books)
๐ 20.1% Value
๐ฐ Stake: 1.25u
Forwarded from Jay (Proppr.io)
The /average command is honestly a hidden ๐ finder atm especially for these friendlies in the @PropprPlayerBot
Dropping 5 free trials right now
๐ค Bots & Tiers:
๐ฎ PlayerBot: Club Legend
โฝ TeamBot: Club Legend
โฑ๏ธ Duration: 2 days
๐ข Max Uses: 5 uses
Go to @PropprManagerBot
Send /trial and use the code
โ5freeโ
๐ค Bots & Tiers:
๐ฎ PlayerBot: Club Legend
โฝ TeamBot: Club Legend
โฑ๏ธ Duration: 2 days
๐ข Max Uses: 5 uses
Go to @PropprManagerBot
Send /trial and use the code
โ5freeโ
Those were gone ASAP ๐ณ
Will be dropping more like that across the whole World Cup so stay tuned
Can also follow me on the Proppr socials where thereโs more content and stuff going out everyday
X/Twitter: x.com/propprio
Instagram: instagram.com/proppr.io
TikTok: TikTok.com/propprio
Will be dropping more like that across the whole World Cup so stay tuned
Can also follow me on the Proppr socials where thereโs more content and stuff going out everyday
X/Twitter: x.com/propprio
Instagram: instagram.com/proppr.io
TikTok: TikTok.com/propprio
X (formerly Twitter)
Proppr.io (@PropprIO) on X
Your stats-powered football betting companion try today for Free โฌ๏ธ
Forwarded from DM P
what does it mean void? cant of been voided already surely
ignore the voids was just a bug when importing them all
Proppr Player Bot ๐คโฝ๏ธ
๐ DROPPING ODDS ALERT ๐ ๐ South Korea vs Czechia ๐ World Cup โฐ 12 Jun 26 03:00 ๐ง Showers expected. ๐ค Patrik Schick (Czechia) ๐ก 7.17 Avg Rating ๐งฉ Position: ST (Alt: AM, RAM) ๐ง ๐ฏ Over 0.5 Headed Shots On Target ๐ 3 โ 2.75 (8.3% drop) (Bet365) ๐ง ๐ฏ Over 1.5 Headedโฆ
alerts like these that I forward are just to show you;
1) what the @PropprPlayerBot and @propprteambot can offer you
2) to show what the markets behaving like
3) up to you if you tail them
Any bets I'm actually taking will always include my unit stakes etc ๐
1) what the @PropprPlayerBot and @propprteambot can offer you
2) to show what the markets behaving like
3) up to you if you tail them
Any bets I'm actually taking will always include my unit stakes etc ๐
โค1