Forwarded from PROF X - Arbitrage & Matched Bets - [FREE]
Free Middle Arb to wake up to some cash
β½οΈ Barcelona U19 vs Gimnastica Manresa U19
πͺπΈ Spain β Division de Honor U19
β° 15 Apr 11:00
βοΈ Barcelona Handicap (-2 / +2.75)
π Betfair Sportsbook (EH -2) @ 2.25 | Bet365 (AH +2.75) @ 2.00
π§ Arb Margin: 5.88%
π Middle opportunity if Barcelona win by exactly 3 goals (0.25 middle).
π· Β£47.06 @ 2.25 (Betfair)
π· Β£52.94 @ 2.00 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£5.88 (Either outcome)
π Middle Return: Β£132.36 (ROI: 32.36%)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Barcelona win by 4+)
β’ Β£50.00 @ 2.25 β Betfair
β’ Β£50.00 @ 2.00 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£12.50 (RF ROI: 12.50%)
π Middle Return: Β£131.25 (ROI: 31.25%)
π° RF High (Barcelona β€2 / donβt win)
β’ Β£44.44 @ 2.25 β Betfair
β’ Β£55.56 @ 2.00 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£11.12 (RF ROI: 11.12%)
π Middle Return: Β£133.34 (ROI: 33.34%)
β½οΈ Barcelona U19 vs Gimnastica Manresa U19
πͺπΈ Spain β Division de Honor U19
β° 15 Apr 11:00
βοΈ Barcelona Handicap (-2 / +2.75)
π Betfair Sportsbook (EH -2) @ 2.25 | Bet365 (AH +2.75) @ 2.00
π§ Arb Margin: 5.88%
π Middle opportunity if Barcelona win by exactly 3 goals (0.25 middle).
π· Β£47.06 @ 2.25 (Betfair)
π· Β£52.94 @ 2.00 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£5.88 (Either outcome)
π Middle Return: Β£132.36 (ROI: 32.36%)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Barcelona win by 4+)
β’ Β£50.00 @ 2.25 β Betfair
β’ Β£50.00 @ 2.00 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£12.50 (RF ROI: 12.50%)
π Middle Return: Β£131.25 (ROI: 31.25%)
π° RF High (Barcelona β€2 / donβt win)
β’ Β£44.44 @ 2.25 β Betfair
β’ Β£55.56 @ 2.00 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£11.12 (RF ROI: 11.12%)
π Middle Return: Β£133.34 (ROI: 33.34%)
Proppr NBA Bot ππ€ [Beta]
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ π Suns vs Trail Blazers πΊπΈ NBA β° 15/04 02:00 Scoot Henderson | POR | PG | @ PHX ββββββββββββββββ π Over 11.5 Points @ 1.80 (Bet365) π Value: +45.5% π Proj. Mins: 30.0 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 14.9 Hit Rate: L5 100% | L10 90% | H2H 0%β¦
usually picks up 30 mins but only played 17 mins last night π
was on 9 points heading into the final quarter but only played a single minute in the 4th so no luck here β
I picked 2 other alerts from @PropprNBABotBetaBot for this game and typical those won
But a reminder the bot is FREE whilst in beta to try for yourself
Automated alerts coming real soon π€
was on 9 points heading into the final quarter but only played a single minute in the 4th so no luck here β
I picked 2 other alerts from @PropprNBABotBetaBot for this game and typical those won
But a reminder the bot is FREE whilst in beta to try for yourself
Automated alerts coming real soon π€
β€1
Forwarded from Proppr NBA Bot ππ€ [Beta]
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π Lakers vs Rockets
πΊπΈ NBA
β° 19/04 01:30
Marcus Smart | LAL | PG | vs HOU
ββββββββββββββββ
π Under 10.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +65.4%
βοΈ Chance: 87.1%
π° Recommended stake: 1.5u
π Proj. Mins: 23.7 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 7.4
Hit Rate: L5 80% | L10 60% | H2H 67%
π Last 10 Games (6/10):
5β 0β 2β 13β 5β 11β 21β 8β 5β 11β
β’ DvP: 26th (HOU weak vs PG)
β’ Home game: -7% historical boost
β’ H2H: Avg 7.3 pts in L3 vs HOU
β’ Teammate OUT: None
π Shot Profile Edge:
β’ Above-Break 3: 39% vs 33% allowed βΌ
β’ Corner 3: 19% vs 39% allowed β
π Lakers vs Rockets
πΊπΈ NBA
β° 19/04 01:30
Marcus Smart | LAL | PG | vs HOU
ββββββββββββββββ
π Under 10.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +65.4%
βοΈ Chance: 87.1%
π° Recommended stake: 1.5u
π Proj. Mins: 23.7 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 7.4
Hit Rate: L5 80% | L10 60% | H2H 67%
π Last 10 Games (6/10):
5β 0β 2β 13β 5β 11β 21β 8β 5β 11β
β’ DvP: 26th (HOU weak vs PG)
β’ Home game: -7% historical boost
β’ H2H: Avg 7.3 pts in L3 vs HOU
β’ Teammate OUT: None
π Shot Profile Edge:
β’ Above-Break 3: 39% vs 33% allowed βΌ
β’ Corner 3: 19% vs 39% allowed β
Proppr NBA Bot ππ€ [Beta]
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ π Lakers vs Rockets πΊπΈ NBA β° 19/04 01:30 Marcus Smart | LAL | PG | vs HOU ββββββββββββββββ π Under 10.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365) π Value: +65.4% βοΈ Chance: 87.1% π° Recommended stake: 1.5u π Proj. Mins: 23.7 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 7.4β¦
Alerts are now live in @PropprNBABotBetaBot
make sure you head to /settings and configure them to your liking.
I've tried to make sure its as similar to the alerts from the other Proppr bots so have a pretty seamless experience if you've come from those bots
as always please do let me know if stuff is up if you're reading this and not in it already I have a chat specifally for feedback on the bot where you can ask questions etc https://t.me/+74QlHFPNckE5ODJk
make sure you head to /settings and configure them to your liking.
I've tried to make sure its as similar to the alerts from the other Proppr bots so have a pretty seamless experience if you've come from those bots
as always please do let me know if stuff is up if you're reading this and not in it already I have a chat specifally for feedback on the bot where you can ask questions etc https://t.me/+74QlHFPNckE5ODJk
Forwarded from Proppr NBA Bot ππ€ [Beta]
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π 76ers vs Magic
πΊπΈ NBA
β° 15/04 19:30
VJ Edgecombe | PHI | PG | vs ORL
ββββββββββββββββ
π Over 16.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +10.1%
π» Model odds: 1.73 | βοΈ Chance: 58.0%
π° Recommended stake: 1u
π Over 19.5 Points @ 2.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +22.1%
π» Model odds: 2.37 | βοΈ Chance: 42.1%
π° Recommended stake: 0.75u
π Proj. Mins: 35.4 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 17.5
Hit Rate: L5 40% | L10 50% | H2H 50%
π Last 10 Games Over 16.5 (5/10):
9β 14β 19β 8β 23β 13β 13β 22β 35β 22β
β’ DvP: 13th (ORL avg vs PG)
β’ Home game: +52% historical boost
β’ H2H: Avg 16.0 pts in L2 vs ORL
β’ Teammate OUT: Tyrese Maxey, Kyle Lowry
π Shot Profile Edge:
β’ Above-Break 3: 34% vs 34% allowed β
β’ Mid-Range: 12% vs 42% allowed β
π Page 3/3
π 76ers vs Magic
πΊπΈ NBA
β° 15/04 19:30
VJ Edgecombe | PHI | PG | vs ORL
ββββββββββββββββ
π Over 16.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +10.1%
π» Model odds: 1.73 | βοΈ Chance: 58.0%
π° Recommended stake: 1u
π Over 19.5 Points @ 2.90 (Bet365)
π Value: +22.1%
π» Model odds: 2.37 | βοΈ Chance: 42.1%
π° Recommended stake: 0.75u
π Proj. Mins: 35.4 | π₯ Proj. PTS: 17.5
Hit Rate: L5 40% | L10 50% | H2H 50%
π Last 10 Games Over 16.5 (5/10):
9β 14β 19β 8β 23β 13β 13β 22β 35β 22β
β’ DvP: 13th (ORL avg vs PG)
β’ Home game: +52% historical boost
β’ H2H: Avg 16.0 pts in L2 vs ORL
β’ Teammate OUT: Tyrese Maxey, Kyle Lowry
π Shot Profile Edge:
β’ Above-Break 3: 34% vs 34% allowed β
β’ Mid-Range: 12% vs 42% allowed β
π Page 3/3
Proppr NBA Bot ππ€ [Beta]
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ π 76ers vs Magic πΊπΈ NBA β° 15/04 19:30 VJ Edgecombe | PHI | PG | vs ORL ββββββββββββββββ π Over 16.5 Points @ 1.90 (Bet365) π Value: +10.1% π» Model odds: 1.73 | βοΈ Chance: 58.0% π° Recommended stake: 1u π Over 19.5 Points @ 2.90β¦
Edgecome 19 points
by name by nature as he edges us for the high line π₯²
reminder this alert was sent for FREE by @PropprNBABotBetaBot
by name by nature as he edges us for the high line π₯²
reminder this alert was sent for FREE by @PropprNBABotBetaBot
Forwarded from Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
Right boys and girls, there's a small chance that I may be away this weekend Due to personal reasons, but I thought I would leave you with some free game that hopefully helps you learn something, and also you can start winning just like we have been doing over the last week.
Whilst I speak a lot about my bots and models, it all comes down to a simple age-old theory of simply betting on positive value.
Now I know 11 minutes might seem like a long time, but you can watch this on 1.5x time speed if you have to Because I know that your TikTok brain attention spans are cooked. π
But in this video I cover the roulette trap by using a classic casino example of the house edge and explain how that also works in betting and trading.
Implied probability and true probability where you will now learn how to convert odds into probabilities and understand whether the likelihood of something happening is better or worse than it seems.
The bookmakers margin which is the equivalent of the roulette zero that bookmakers use to almost guarantee themselves a profit regardless of whether who wins or loses.
And finally how to find your edge. This includes knowing when to NOT place a bet and also when a bet is actually in your favour.
Stop betting on "vibes" and start applying math to your choices to see a real increase in your long-term ROI.
wins like these over the last few days haven't been flukes. Everything explained in this video is the EXACT reason why I took them, not because I did some crazy research or had 'insider' info...
Whilst I speak a lot about my bots and models, it all comes down to a simple age-old theory of simply betting on positive value.
Now I know 11 minutes might seem like a long time, but you can watch this on 1.5x time speed if you have to Because I know that your TikTok brain attention spans are cooked. π
But in this video I cover the roulette trap by using a classic casino example of the house edge and explain how that also works in betting and trading.
Implied probability and true probability where you will now learn how to convert odds into probabilities and understand whether the likelihood of something happening is better or worse than it seems.
The bookmakers margin which is the equivalent of the roulette zero that bookmakers use to almost guarantee themselves a profit regardless of whether who wins or loses.
And finally how to find your edge. This includes knowing when to NOT place a bet and also when a bet is actually in your favour.
Stop betting on "vibes" and start applying math to your choices to see a real increase in your long-term ROI.
wins like these over the last few days haven't been flukes. Everything explained in this video is the EXACT reason why I took them, not because I did some crazy research or had 'insider' info...
Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
Right boys and girls, there's a small chance that I may be away this weekend Due to personal reasons, but I thought I would leave you with some free game that hopefully helps you learn something, and also you can start winning just like we have been doingβ¦
if you have 11 minutes to spare watch this and if you learn one thing your sports picks will improve by at least 17.38%
Forwarded from Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
This game kicks off in 2 hours.
I have acquired a source of a direct feed from the stadium.
With this I'll be using it provide a live dictation of the game for you.
Why?
Polymarket is known for having a considerbale delay on live feeds enough that if you was to know a goal has been scored before it happens you would potentially be able to place a trade before the price adjusts.
This is just a trial and no idea if the delay will be enough but I'm not losing anything by sharing it with you.
There are only 4 markets for this game but if a goal is scored a trade could be placed on any of them to potentially score a winner.
Scenario A:
The most obvious one is, if I say that there's been a goal, you simply place a trade on the over at whatever line you feel like placing a trade on.
If the score in the game is 1-0 and you place a trade on over 1.5, then that would mean that you have placed a trade that has won before the market has adjusted.
Scenario B:
If the score is 0-0 and you place a trade on over 2.5 goals once a goal has been scored, you will not have a winning trade, but you will have a trade now that will have a positive exit price once the prize adjusts to accommodate that, there has now been a goal scored.
Scenario C:
The away team takes a shock lead and you place a trade on them at their crazy high entry price. You will now have a considerable profit to trade out on or you can just let it run for a little bit. This works for placing the home team no bet. Or taking a chance on any of the spreads.
theres more scenarios then then this I'm sure you can think of but these are just a few.
This game is however one of pretty low liquidity, and I can imagine the liquidity will drop even lower once the game is in play. So please do trade with caution and look at how much of the markets are available for you to actually trade if you do go in and try to enter the markets.
The worst possible scenario of course is by not understanding this and losing money, trying to place a trade and it filling in at a wrong price or just not one where you can make any profit from.
I have acquired a source of a direct feed from the stadium.
With this I'll be using it provide a live dictation of the game for you.
Why?
Polymarket is known for having a considerbale delay on live feeds enough that if you was to know a goal has been scored before it happens you would potentially be able to place a trade before the price adjusts.
This is just a trial and no idea if the delay will be enough but I'm not losing anything by sharing it with you.
There are only 4 markets for this game but if a goal is scored a trade could be placed on any of them to potentially score a winner.
Scenario A:
The most obvious one is, if I say that there's been a goal, you simply place a trade on the over at whatever line you feel like placing a trade on.
If the score in the game is 1-0 and you place a trade on over 1.5, then that would mean that you have placed a trade that has won before the market has adjusted.
Scenario B:
If the score is 0-0 and you place a trade on over 2.5 goals once a goal has been scored, you will not have a winning trade, but you will have a trade now that will have a positive exit price once the prize adjusts to accommodate that, there has now been a goal scored.
Scenario C:
The away team takes a shock lead and you place a trade on them at their crazy high entry price. You will now have a considerable profit to trade out on or you can just let it run for a little bit. This works for placing the home team no bet. Or taking a chance on any of the spreads.
theres more scenarios then then this I'm sure you can think of but these are just a few.
This game is however one of pretty low liquidity, and I can imagine the liquidity will drop even lower once the game is in play. So please do trade with caution and look at how much of the markets are available for you to actually trade if you do go in and try to enter the markets.
The worst possible scenario of course is by not understanding this and losing money, trying to place a trade and it filling in at a wrong price or just not one where you can make any profit from.
Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
This game kicks off in 2 hours. I have acquired a source of a direct feed from the stadium. With this I'll be using it provide a live dictation of the game for you. Why? Polymarket is known for having a considerbale delay on live feeds enough that if youβ¦
forgot to send this here πΆβπ«οΈ
2nd half kicks off in 15 mins, easy chance to catch odds like this π
Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
Right boys and girls, there's a small chance that I may be away this weekend Due to personal reasons, but I thought I would leave you with some free game that hopefully helps you learn something, and also you can start winning just like we have been doingβ¦
another β
in the bag
wont be any bets/trades from me this weekend so your best thing to do is watch this video I posted earlier and your weekend will improve minimum 7x
I'll still be active responding to messages and stuff but will be afk for most of it π
wont be any bets/trades from me this weekend so your best thing to do is watch this video I posted earlier and your weekend will improve minimum 7x
I'll still be active responding to messages and stuff but will be afk for most of it π