Forwarded from Jay (Proppr.io)
Right boys never thought something like this would happen to me but around 12pm today the Proppr Servers were subject to a cyber attack.
Now everything is secure and moved to a new server but this is going to hurt me massively. Prior to this the Playerbot had over 900 users, the Teambot around the same and the arbbot a few hundred users.
Whilst most of these were free users it still was essentially all I had in building a basis of providing a platform to eventually turn them into paying customers.
One of the things that was done during the attack was completely wiping the database of any user information I had so things like broadcasts etc can now be sent to absolutely nobody.
Right now I'm devestated and don't really have any words, feels like all the work I've done over the last year or so has just be wiped in seconds and there's nothing I can do to get it back.
For those concerned your details are nothing that can be used against you, would just be your telegram usernames etc which the bot would use to send you the alerts etc.
The attackers are currently holding me at a ransome for 50K USD (lol). I'm currently in contact with those who need to be in an attempt to restore what was lost but I'll be so honest this has killed my motivation at this current moment.
For any premium users of any bots you will need to send /start to that bot again and configure your settings (I apologise) I will try to keep you all in the loop of whats going on but if things are not working as they should be this is the reason why.
For now I can ony apologize for any inconvenience this causes.
Now everything is secure and moved to a new server but this is going to hurt me massively. Prior to this the Playerbot had over 900 users, the Teambot around the same and the arbbot a few hundred users.
Whilst most of these were free users it still was essentially all I had in building a basis of providing a platform to eventually turn them into paying customers.
One of the things that was done during the attack was completely wiping the database of any user information I had so things like broadcasts etc can now be sent to absolutely nobody.
Right now I'm devestated and don't really have any words, feels like all the work I've done over the last year or so has just be wiped in seconds and there's nothing I can do to get it back.
For those concerned your details are nothing that can be used against you, would just be your telegram usernames etc which the bot would use to send you the alerts etc.
The attackers are currently holding me at a ransome for 50K USD (lol). I'm currently in contact with those who need to be in an attempt to restore what was lost but I'll be so honest this has killed my motivation at this current moment.
For any premium users of any bots you will need to send /start to that bot again and configure your settings (I apologise) I will try to keep you all in the loop of whats going on but if things are not working as they should be this is the reason why.
For now I can ony apologize for any inconvenience this causes.
Forwarded from Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
slowly getting back to where we should be. Copytrade hit this huge hit this morning.
if you're interested Β»click hereΒ«
or send me a message @zinqgram with any questions
if you're interested Β»click hereΒ«
or send me a message @zinqgram with any questions
Forwarded from PolyGun π«
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5 (Mar 27)
π Current Prices
β Yes: 48.0Β’
β No: 76.0Β’
π Market Stats
β Volume (All): $4,676.43
β Volume (24h): $4,676.43
β Liquidity: $2,127.31
π Timeline
β Created: Mar 26, 2026 (0 days)
β Expires: Mar 27, 2026
π Trade this market
π View on Polymarket
π Current Prices
β Yes: 48.0Β’
β No: 76.0Β’
π Market Stats
β Volume (All): $4,676.43
β Volume (24h): $4,676.43
β Liquidity: $2,127.31
π Timeline
β Created: Mar 26, 2026 (0 days)
β Expires: Mar 27, 2026
π Trade this market
π View on Polymarket
Forwarded from Jay (Proppr.io)
Overs here looks a nice play
Forwarded from Jay (Proppr.io)
Model has it at a 55.07% chance (55Β’)
Would take for 0.75u and decent volume if the price drops anything below 50c is worth it
Would take for 0.75u and decent volume if the price drops anything below 50c is worth it
Forwarded from Proppr Arb Botπ€π°
π° ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY π°
β½οΈ Atletico La Paz vs Tampico Madero
π²π½ Liga de Expansion MX
β° 28 Mar 26 03:00
βοΈ Over/Under 10.5 Corners
π Paddy Power (Over 10.5 Corners) @ 2.88 | Bet365 (Under 10.5 Corners) @ 1.73
π§ Arb Margin: 7.96%
π· Β£37.49 @ 2.88 (Paddy Power)
π· Β£62.51 @ 1.73 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£7.96 (Either outcome)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Under wins)
β’ Β£34.72 @ 2.88 β Paddy Power
β’ Β£65.28 @ 1.73 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£12.73 (RF ROI: 12.73%)
π° RF High (Over wins)
β’ Β£42.10 @ 2.88 β Paddy Power
β’ Β£57.90 @ 1.73 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£21.24 (RF ROI: 21.24%)
β½οΈ Atletico La Paz vs Tampico Madero
π²π½ Liga de Expansion MX
β° 28 Mar 26 03:00
βοΈ Over/Under 10.5 Corners
π Paddy Power (Over 10.5 Corners) @ 2.88 | Bet365 (Under 10.5 Corners) @ 1.73
π§ Arb Margin: 7.96%
π· Β£37.49 @ 2.88 (Paddy Power)
π· Β£62.51 @ 1.73 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£7.96 (Either outcome)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Under wins)
β’ Β£34.72 @ 2.88 β Paddy Power
β’ Β£65.28 @ 1.73 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£12.73 (RF ROI: 12.73%)
π° RF High (Over wins)
β’ Β£42.10 @ 2.88 β Paddy Power
β’ Β£57.90 @ 1.73 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£21.24 (RF ROI: 21.24%)
Forwarded from PROF X - Arbitrage & Matched Bets - [FREE]
Proppr Arb Botπ€π°
π° ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY π° β½οΈ Atletico La Paz vs Tampico Madero π²π½ Liga de Expansion MX β° 28 Mar 26 03:00 βοΈ Over/Under 10.5 Corners π Paddy Power (Over 10.5 Corners) @ 2.88 | Bet365 (Under 10.5 Corners) @ 1.73 π§ Arb Margin: 7.96% π· Β£37.49 @ 2.88 (Paddyβ¦
free arb from @PropprArbBot
PolyGun π«
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5 (Mar 27) π Current Prices β Yes: 48.0Β’ β No: 76.0Β’ π Market Stats β Volume (All): $4,676.43 β Volume (24h): $4,676.43 β Liquidity: $2,127.31 π
Timeline β Created: Mar 26, 2026 (0 days) β Expires: Mar 27, 2026 π Trade thisβ¦
We win again π
just the 11 rebounds and counting for a man who was rumored to not even be playing tonight.
This is again proof why you trades the prices not the action
just the 11 rebounds and counting for a man who was rumored to not even be playing tonight.
This is again proof why you trades the prices not the action
Forwarded from Professor X - Polymarket Sports [FREE]
I'm now off to bed but new wallet address being sent out already to those who've got in early π₯Ή
As a reminder 10% discount to anyone who renews before 12:00
Start the week in the best way possible
Β» @ProfXPolymarketBot Β«
(Wallet address is sent after I confirm the payment so will send as soon as I wake up)
As a reminder 10% discount to anyone who renews before 12:00
Start the week in the best way possible
Β» @ProfXPolymarketBot Β«
(Wallet address is sent after I confirm the payment so will send as soon as I wake up)
Forwarded from Proppr Player Bot π€β½οΈ
Hi all, hope you're having a good week! As some of you know proppr.io was subject to a cyber attack recently. The servers where all the database files are kept was completely wiped resulting in us losing critical data as well as files needed for all our bots to run, and we also suffered the loss of content for future projects as well.
Whilst devastating the journey continues to try to grow this platform as a one man team.
Since then, we have been in repair mode, trying to restore all of the surfaces back to how they was prior to the attack, and also add improvements. So if you've noticed a degrade in performance, this is the reason why and I sincerely apologize.
With that being said, we are very close to being at a stage where I am happy with everything that is working, and that each bot is running as it should be.
If you have any personal requests or issues that you're facing with any of the bots, Please forward alerts, screenshots or queries to @PropprIO
Thank you very much and I will try and send any more updates as soon as I have them.
Whilst devastating the journey continues to try to grow this platform as a one man team.
Since then, we have been in repair mode, trying to restore all of the surfaces back to how they was prior to the attack, and also add improvements. So if you've noticed a degrade in performance, this is the reason why and I sincerely apologize.
With that being said, we are very close to being at a stage where I am happy with everything that is working, and that each bot is running as it should be.
If you have any personal requests or issues that you're facing with any of the bots, Please forward alerts, screenshots or queries to @PropprIO
Thank you very much and I will try and send any more updates as soon as I have them.
π1
Forwarded from Proppr Player Bot π€β½οΈ
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π MVV vs RKC Waalwijk
π³π± Eerste Divisie
β° 3 Apr 26 18:00
π€ Harrie Kuster (RKC Waalwijk)
π‘ 7.45 Avg Rating
π§© Position: ST (Alt: CM, LCM)
β½οΈ Anytime Goalscorer
π Bookmaker Odds: 4.5 (Kambi)
π₯ Model Odds: 2.7 (37% chance)
π Value: 67.6%
π° Recommended stake: 0.5u
π Appearances (started*): 10 (10) / 10
π£ Avg Mins: 78 | β½οΈ Per game: 0.50
π Per Game (Last 10): 1*, 1*, 1*, 1*, 0*, 0*, 0*, 1*, 0*, 0*
π‘PROPPR INSIGHTπ‘
35% - RKC Waalwijk have been profligate, converting just 8 of 23 big chances (35%). #PropprInsights
π MVV vs RKC Waalwijk
π³π± Eerste Divisie
β° 3 Apr 26 18:00
π€ Harrie Kuster (RKC Waalwijk)
π‘ 7.45 Avg Rating
π§© Position: ST (Alt: CM, LCM)
β½οΈ Anytime Goalscorer
π Bookmaker Odds: 4.5 (Kambi)
π₯ Model Odds: 2.7 (37% chance)
π Value: 67.6%
π° Recommended stake: 0.5u
π Appearances (started*): 10 (10) / 10
π£ Avg Mins: 78 | β½οΈ Per game: 0.50
π Per Game (Last 10): 1*, 1*, 1*, 1*, 0*, 0*, 0*, 1*, 0*, 0*
π‘PROPPR INSIGHTπ‘
35% - RKC Waalwijk have been profligate, converting just 8 of 23 big chances (35%). #PropprInsights
βοΈ THE BIG PROPPR WEEKENDER βοΈ
FOR ONE WEEKEND ONLY ALL 3 PROPPR BOTS ARE OPEN!
β οΈ NO SIGN UP OR CARD DETAILS NEEDED FOR THE FREE BOTS β οΈ
This is the best time to try the full Proppr ecosystem properly:
@PropprPlayerBot
@PropprTeamBot
@PropprArbBot
βββ PROPPR PLAYER PROPS BOT βββ
Get full access to player prop value alerts and commands across markets like shots, shots on target, tackles, fouls, cards, assists and goalscorers.
β Full alerts unlocked
β Commands like /fixture /value /settings
β Brand new BetBuilder command
β Brand new Player Report Card generator
The new BetBuilder lets users create their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on selection count and odds range.
The new Player Report Card generator lets users create clean stat-backed images to share in group chats or on social media.
Example player alert:
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π Gimnasia Mendoza vs Velez Sarsfield
π¦π· Liga Profesional
β° 5 Apr 26 20:00
π€ Agustin Modica (Gimnasia Mendoza)
π― Over 0.5 Shots On Target
π Bookmaker Odds: 2.00 (Vbet)
π₯ Model Odds: 1.60 (62% chance)
π Value: 25.0%
π° Recommended stake: 1.0u
βββ PROPPR TEAM PROPS BOT βββ
Get full access to team prop value alerts and commands across markets like shots, shots on target, corners, cards, tackles and more.
β Full alerts unlocked
β Commands like /fixture /value /settings
β Brand new BetBuilder command
β New Proppr Insight stat context
The Team BetBuilder also lets users build their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on legs and odds range.
Example team alert:
β‘οΈ TEAM PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π Norwich City vs Portsmouth
π΄ Championship
β° 3 Apr 15:00
π― Portsmouth Over 4.5 Shots on Target
π Bookmaker Odds: 3.3 (Kambi)
π₯ Model Odds: 2.33 (43% chance)
π Value: 41.63%
π° Recommended stake: 0.5u
π‘ PROPPR INSIGHT π‘
79 - Portsmouth are ahead for set piece shots with 79 vs Norwich City's 42. League avg (10 games): 39.4. #PropprInsights
βββ PROPPR ARBITRAGE BOT βββ
The Proppr Arbitrage Bot is now live and built for users who want ready-made bookmaker arbitrage opportunities with simple stake splits.
β Standard guaranteed profit options
β RF Low and RF High options
β Easy bookmaker comparisons
β Clear staking plans
β Fast alerts you can act on
Example arb alert:
π° ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY π°
π Jakub Kuzmicz vs Krzysztof Kapik
π TT Elite Series
β° 02 Apr 26 21:30
βοΈ Jakub Kuzmicz / Krzysztof Kapik to Win Match
π Betvictor (J Kuzmicz) @ 1.65 | Bet365 (K Kapik) @ 2.75
π§ Arb Margin: 3.12%
π· Β£62.50 @ 1.65 (Betvictor)
π· Β£37.50 @ 2.75 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£3.12 (Either outcome)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Kuzmicz wins match)
β’ Β£63.64 @ 1.65 β Betvictor
β’ Β£36.36 @ 2.75 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£5.00 (RF ROI: 5.00%)
π° RF High (Kapik wins match)
β’ Β£60.61 @ 1.65 β Betvictor
β’ Β£39.39 @ 2.75 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£8.33 (RF ROI: 8.33%)
βββ NEW FEATURE HIGHLIGHTS βββ
π¦ BetBuilder is now live on both the Player Props Bot and Team Props Bot.
Users can now generate their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on:
β’ number of selections
β’ preferred odds range
β’ value-based legs
Example:
βββ Selection 1 βββ
π€ Cole Palmer
π¦π― Over 0.5 SOT Outside The Box
π Odds: 1.83
π₯ Model: 1.82 (55.1% chance)
π Value: +0.8%
βββ Selection 2 βββ
βοΈ Newcastle
π― Over 3.5 Team Shots On Target
π Odds: 2.00
π₯ Model: 1.32 (75.5% chance)
π Value: +51.5%
βββ Combined βββ
π Raw Odds: 3.66
π₯ Model: 2.4 (41.7% chance)
π Value: +52.5%
π° Stake: 0.50u
The Player Props Bot also now has the Player Report Card generator so users can make shareable stat images to back up their bets.
βββ WEEKEND OFFER βββ
@PropprPlayerBot @PropprArbBot and @PropprTeamBot will be FREE to use for the weekend.
Donβt forget to join @PropprChat for questions, tips and help on how to use the bots
FOR ONE WEEKEND ONLY ALL 3 PROPPR BOTS ARE OPEN!
β οΈ NO SIGN UP OR CARD DETAILS NEEDED FOR THE FREE BOTS β οΈ
This is the best time to try the full Proppr ecosystem properly:
@PropprPlayerBot
@PropprTeamBot
@PropprArbBot
βββ PROPPR PLAYER PROPS BOT βββ
Get full access to player prop value alerts and commands across markets like shots, shots on target, tackles, fouls, cards, assists and goalscorers.
β Full alerts unlocked
β Commands like /fixture /value /settings
β Brand new BetBuilder command
β Brand new Player Report Card generator
The new BetBuilder lets users create their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on selection count and odds range.
The new Player Report Card generator lets users create clean stat-backed images to share in group chats or on social media.
Example player alert:
β‘οΈ PLAYER PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π Gimnasia Mendoza vs Velez Sarsfield
π¦π· Liga Profesional
β° 5 Apr 26 20:00
π€ Agustin Modica (Gimnasia Mendoza)
π― Over 0.5 Shots On Target
π Bookmaker Odds: 2.00 (Vbet)
π₯ Model Odds: 1.60 (62% chance)
π Value: 25.0%
π° Recommended stake: 1.0u
βββ PROPPR TEAM PROPS BOT βββ
Get full access to team prop value alerts and commands across markets like shots, shots on target, corners, cards, tackles and more.
β Full alerts unlocked
β Commands like /fixture /value /settings
β Brand new BetBuilder command
β New Proppr Insight stat context
The Team BetBuilder also lets users build their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on legs and odds range.
Example team alert:
β‘οΈ TEAM PROP VALUE ALERT β‘οΈ
π Norwich City vs Portsmouth
π΄ Championship
β° 3 Apr 15:00
π― Portsmouth Over 4.5 Shots on Target
π Bookmaker Odds: 3.3 (Kambi)
π₯ Model Odds: 2.33 (43% chance)
π Value: 41.63%
π° Recommended stake: 0.5u
π‘ PROPPR INSIGHT π‘
79 - Portsmouth are ahead for set piece shots with 79 vs Norwich City's 42. League avg (10 games): 39.4. #PropprInsights
βββ PROPPR ARBITRAGE BOT βββ
The Proppr Arbitrage Bot is now live and built for users who want ready-made bookmaker arbitrage opportunities with simple stake splits.
β Standard guaranteed profit options
β RF Low and RF High options
β Easy bookmaker comparisons
β Clear staking plans
β Fast alerts you can act on
Example arb alert:
π° ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY π°
π Jakub Kuzmicz vs Krzysztof Kapik
π TT Elite Series
β° 02 Apr 26 21:30
βοΈ Jakub Kuzmicz / Krzysztof Kapik to Win Match
π Betvictor (J Kuzmicz) @ 1.65 | Bet365 (K Kapik) @ 2.75
π§ Arb Margin: 3.12%
π· Β£62.50 @ 1.65 (Betvictor)
π· Β£37.50 @ 2.75 (Bet365)
π° Profit: Β£3.12 (Either outcome)
βΈ»
π° RF Low (Kuzmicz wins match)
β’ Β£63.64 @ 1.65 β Betvictor
β’ Β£36.36 @ 2.75 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£5.00 (RF ROI: 5.00%)
π° RF High (Kapik wins match)
β’ Β£60.61 @ 1.65 β Betvictor
β’ Β£39.39 @ 2.75 β Bet365
β Profit: Β£8.33 (RF ROI: 8.33%)
βββ NEW FEATURE HIGHLIGHTS βββ
π¦ BetBuilder is now live on both the Player Props Bot and Team Props Bot.
Users can now generate their own value bet builders in around 30 seconds based on:
β’ number of selections
β’ preferred odds range
β’ value-based legs
Example:
βββ Selection 1 βββ
π€ Cole Palmer
π¦π― Over 0.5 SOT Outside The Box
π Odds: 1.83
π₯ Model: 1.82 (55.1% chance)
π Value: +0.8%
βββ Selection 2 βββ
βοΈ Newcastle
π― Over 3.5 Team Shots On Target
π Odds: 2.00
π₯ Model: 1.32 (75.5% chance)
π Value: +51.5%
βββ Combined βββ
π Raw Odds: 3.66
π₯ Model: 2.4 (41.7% chance)
π Value: +52.5%
π° Stake: 0.50u
The Player Props Bot also now has the Player Report Card generator so users can make shareable stat images to back up their bets.
βββ WEEKEND OFFER βββ
@PropprPlayerBot @PropprArbBot and @PropprTeamBot will be FREE to use for the weekend.
Donβt forget to join @PropprChat for questions, tips and help on how to use the bots
πΈ PROPPR REFERRALS ARE NOW LIVE πΈ
Send /refer to your bots to get started
This free weekend is the perfect time to start building your Proppr network.
Get your group chat involved, share it in your tipping channel, post your results, show the bots in action and start bringing people in while access is wide open.
Hereβs why this is powerful:
β You only need a few people to stay after the free weekend
β If they subscribe, you earn recurring commission every month for as long as they stay subscribed
β If they go on to refer others too, your network can keep growing underneath you
β Once someone joins through your link or subscribes with your promo code, they are locked to you forever as your referral
Proppr now runs on a 3-layer residual referral system, so this is not just about one sign up and done.
It is built for compounding.
The free weekend gives you the perfect reason to push it:
βNo sign up, no card details, just try the bots properly and see what they do.β
That makes it much easier to:
β’ get your whole group chat to test it
β’ share it in betting communities
β’ promote it in tipping chats
β’ post alerts, results and screenshots with your code
β’ turn a few free users into long-term monthly residuals
The people who will do best with this are not the ones spamming links.
They are the ones showing real use cases, real alerts, real value, and making it obvious why someone should join through them now instead of later.
And when commissions start building, payouts can be taken in different ways:
π³ credit towards future Proppr subscriptions
π¦ bank transfer
πͺ crypto
So whether you want to reduce your own monthly cost or cash out externally, the referral system can work for you.
If you have an audience, a group chat, a betting page, or even just a few friends who would genuinely use Player Bot, Team Bot, or Arb Bot, this is your chance to build something that can pay every month.
Start with the free weekend.
Share your link.
Help a few people get set up.
Let the residuals build.
Send /refer to any of the bots to get started, your referrals are tracked across the whole Proppr ecosystem π
Send /refer to your bots to get started
This free weekend is the perfect time to start building your Proppr network.
Get your group chat involved, share it in your tipping channel, post your results, show the bots in action and start bringing people in while access is wide open.
Hereβs why this is powerful:
β You only need a few people to stay after the free weekend
β If they subscribe, you earn recurring commission every month for as long as they stay subscribed
β If they go on to refer others too, your network can keep growing underneath you
β Once someone joins through your link or subscribes with your promo code, they are locked to you forever as your referral
Proppr now runs on a 3-layer residual referral system, so this is not just about one sign up and done.
It is built for compounding.
The free weekend gives you the perfect reason to push it:
βNo sign up, no card details, just try the bots properly and see what they do.β
That makes it much easier to:
β’ get your whole group chat to test it
β’ share it in betting communities
β’ promote it in tipping chats
β’ post alerts, results and screenshots with your code
β’ turn a few free users into long-term monthly residuals
The people who will do best with this are not the ones spamming links.
They are the ones showing real use cases, real alerts, real value, and making it obvious why someone should join through them now instead of later.
And when commissions start building, payouts can be taken in different ways:
π³ credit towards future Proppr subscriptions
π¦ bank transfer
πͺ crypto
So whether you want to reduce your own monthly cost or cash out externally, the referral system can work for you.
If you have an audience, a group chat, a betting page, or even just a few friends who would genuinely use Player Bot, Team Bot, or Arb Bot, this is your chance to build something that can pay every month.
Start with the free weekend.
Share your link.
Help a few people get set up.
Let the residuals build.
Send /refer to any of the bots to get started, your referrals are tracked across the whole Proppr ecosystem π
β€2
Hi guys hope you all have had a wonderful bank holiday weekend!
As many of you guys know proppr.io and the Cerbro model is what powers @PropprPlayerBot and @PropprTeamBot.
It is time we venture over the pond into the land of πΊπΈ and first start the mission to π.
Now for those who know me personally Proppr was a passion project around my love and knowledge of β½οΈ.
But there's no shame in admitting American sports are not my cup of tea, whilst the logic wont change too much I want to make sure I don't miss anything.
I aiming to have this bot and future bots have a level of detail of the highest standards with some features never seen before across any available tools already on the market.
π Weβre building an NBA player projections bot and want your feedback.
We already project a player based on their usual averages, but weβre testing extra modifiers that can push that projection up or down depending on the matchup.
Simple example
Letβs say a player is normally projected for 20 points.
Now imagine:
- he usually scores better at home
- the opponent is weak against his position
- one of his high-usage teammates is out
- but the game has some blowout risk
So instead of just leaving him at 20 points, the bot might adjust him upward for the good matchup and teammate absence, then slightly downward for blowout risk.
That could turn:
20.0 points β 23.5 projected points
So the idea is:
start with the playerβs normal average, then adjust based on what is different about tonightβs game.
The modifiers weβre currently testing
1. Opponent H2H modifier
How this player has performed against this specific team in the past.
2. Home/Away modifier
Whether they usually perform better at home or away.
3. Opponent defensive modifier (position-based)
How well the opponent defends this playerβs position.
4. Player vs defender modifier
Whether a likely main defender has historically made things easier or harder for them.
5. Teammate impact modifier
How their stats change when certain teammates are out, in, or playing bigger minutes.
6. Minutes modifier
If we expect them to play more or fewer minutes than usual, that can change everything.
7. Shot type compatibility modifier
Does the playerβs scoring style match up well or badly against what the opponent usually gives up?
8. Pace modifier
Fast games usually create more chances for points, rebounds, and assists.
Example of a ripple effect
This is another part weβre building:
If one playerβs expected minutes change, it can affect multiple other players too.
For example:
Yves Missi is expected to play 27 minutes instead of 20
That could mean:
- Missiβs own rebounds and blocks go up
- his teammates may lose some paint touches or rebound chances
- opposing players may find it harder to score inside or grab boards against him
So one update can create a chain reaction across the whole game, not just one player.
A few extra modifiers weβre also considering
- Blowout risk
Stars may lose minutes if the game gets out of hand.
- Close game boost
Top players often stay on the floor longer in competitive games.
- Usage/role change
A player can get the same minutes but more shots, more touches, or more ball-handling responsibility.
- Back-to-back / fatigue
Some players perform differently with less rest.
- Return from injury / minutes restriction
Important for players who are active but not fully back to normal.
- Foul trouble risk
Some matchups make it more likely a player loses minutes through fouls.
What we want to know from you
For each modifier, how important do you think it is?
Please rate each one as:
- Must-have
- Useful but small
- Only in certain spots
- Not important
And is there anything else you think sharp NBA projection models should be taking into account?
there is a google forms here: https://forms.gle/wfoYu8q22PtKoLEa6 the email you use will help you secure priorty access to the beta version of the bot when released.
Thank you in advance to anyone who completes it π
As many of you guys know proppr.io and the Cerbro model is what powers @PropprPlayerBot and @PropprTeamBot.
It is time we venture over the pond into the land of πΊπΈ and first start the mission to π.
Now for those who know me personally Proppr was a passion project around my love and knowledge of β½οΈ.
But there's no shame in admitting American sports are not my cup of tea, whilst the logic wont change too much I want to make sure I don't miss anything.
I aiming to have this bot and future bots have a level of detail of the highest standards with some features never seen before across any available tools already on the market.
π Weβre building an NBA player projections bot and want your feedback.
We already project a player based on their usual averages, but weβre testing extra modifiers that can push that projection up or down depending on the matchup.
Simple example
Letβs say a player is normally projected for 20 points.
Now imagine:
- he usually scores better at home
- the opponent is weak against his position
- one of his high-usage teammates is out
- but the game has some blowout risk
So instead of just leaving him at 20 points, the bot might adjust him upward for the good matchup and teammate absence, then slightly downward for blowout risk.
That could turn:
20.0 points β 23.5 projected points
So the idea is:
start with the playerβs normal average, then adjust based on what is different about tonightβs game.
The modifiers weβre currently testing
1. Opponent H2H modifier
How this player has performed against this specific team in the past.
2. Home/Away modifier
Whether they usually perform better at home or away.
3. Opponent defensive modifier (position-based)
How well the opponent defends this playerβs position.
4. Player vs defender modifier
Whether a likely main defender has historically made things easier or harder for them.
5. Teammate impact modifier
How their stats change when certain teammates are out, in, or playing bigger minutes.
6. Minutes modifier
If we expect them to play more or fewer minutes than usual, that can change everything.
7. Shot type compatibility modifier
Does the playerβs scoring style match up well or badly against what the opponent usually gives up?
8. Pace modifier
Fast games usually create more chances for points, rebounds, and assists.
Example of a ripple effect
This is another part weβre building:
If one playerβs expected minutes change, it can affect multiple other players too.
For example:
Yves Missi is expected to play 27 minutes instead of 20
That could mean:
- Missiβs own rebounds and blocks go up
- his teammates may lose some paint touches or rebound chances
- opposing players may find it harder to score inside or grab boards against him
So one update can create a chain reaction across the whole game, not just one player.
A few extra modifiers weβre also considering
- Blowout risk
Stars may lose minutes if the game gets out of hand.
- Close game boost
Top players often stay on the floor longer in competitive games.
- Usage/role change
A player can get the same minutes but more shots, more touches, or more ball-handling responsibility.
- Back-to-back / fatigue
Some players perform differently with less rest.
- Return from injury / minutes restriction
Important for players who are active but not fully back to normal.
- Foul trouble risk
Some matchups make it more likely a player loses minutes through fouls.
What we want to know from you
For each modifier, how important do you think it is?
Please rate each one as:
- Must-have
- Useful but small
- Only in certain spots
- Not important
And is there anything else you think sharp NBA projection models should be taking into account?
there is a google forms here: https://forms.gle/wfoYu8q22PtKoLEa6 the email you use will help you secure priorty access to the beta version of the bot when released.
Thank you in advance to anyone who completes it π
π₯1