#BTC Unrealized Loss Update:
Despite nearly three months of capitulation since mid-May, investor pain remains unusually mild β #RelativeUnrealizedLoss peaked at only 25% compared to over 60% in past cycles ππ΄. Losses far less severe than historical bear markets πͺ.
Many investors bought around the election at prices well below the #AllTimeHigh β creating a lower overall cost basis. While reducing immediate financial stress, evenly distributed supply will take longer to clear out, explaining the prolonged sideways market structure we are currently experiencing β‘οΈπ―π
Despite nearly three months of capitulation since mid-May, investor pain remains unusually mild β #RelativeUnrealizedLoss peaked at only 25% compared to over 60% in past cycles ππ΄. Losses far less severe than historical bear markets πͺ.
Many investors bought around the election at prices well below the #AllTimeHigh β creating a lower overall cost basis. While reducing immediate financial stress, evenly distributed supply will take longer to clear out, explaining the prolonged sideways market structure we are currently experiencing β‘οΈπ―π
#ARB Analysis:
#ARB rose near the strong #Resistance area with sellers beginning to show up at this level ππ’πͺ. Despite the selling pressure, bullish momentum still intact with price capable of pushing further and tapping into the resistance zone π΄.
Take #Buys on LTF targeting that resistance area β enter on lower timeframe confirmation and manage risk carefully, letting price reach the target naturally without forcing any aggressive entries β‘οΈπ―π
#ARB rose near the strong #Resistance area with sellers beginning to show up at this level ππ’πͺ. Despite the selling pressure, bullish momentum still intact with price capable of pushing further and tapping into the resistance zone π΄.
Take #Buys on LTF targeting that resistance area β enter on lower timeframe confirmation and manage risk carefully, letting price reach the target naturally without forcing any aggressive entries β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Weekly Update: #BTC closed the week pretty decently with H4 timeframe now moving through #Consolidation with no signs of structural breakdown ππ’πͺ. Bullish market structure remains firmly intact with price showing clear intentions of pushing further higherβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC started moving lower, breaking the small range to the downside with bearish momentum building ππ΄. Price now heading for a retest of the #FallingWedge pattern with structure turning increasingly uncertain πͺ.
NY session could bring something new and decisive β watch closely for how price reacts at the wedge retest as it will be a key determining factor for the next short-term directional move β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC started moving lower, breaking the small range to the downside with bearish momentum building ππ΄. Price now heading for a retest of the #FallingWedge pattern with structure turning increasingly uncertain πͺ.
NY session could bring something new and decisive β watch closely for how price reacts at the wedge retest as it will be a key determining factor for the next short-term directional move β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#GOLD Update: #GOLD dropped all the way down and might continue printing a new #LowerLow, tapping into the drawn #Support area at $4,380 ππ΄. Structure turning bearish with sellers maintaining firm control throughout the move πͺ. Buys can start from the $4β¦
#GOLD Update:
#GOLD still hovering over the #Support zone and has entered a small sideways market with no clear directional bias emerging yet ππ΄. #Consolidation at this level suggests a #Breakout is brewing beneath the surface and could arrive very soon πͺ.
Enter the move in whichever direction price breaks after a successful close and retest β patience is key here as waiting for confirmation before entering will provide a much cleaner and safer entry point β‘οΈπ―π
#GOLD still hovering over the #Support zone and has entered a small sideways market with no clear directional bias emerging yet ππ΄. #Consolidation at this level suggests a #Breakout is brewing beneath the surface and could arrive very soon πͺ.
Enter the move in whichever direction price breaks after a successful close and retest β patience is key here as waiting for confirmation before entering will provide a much cleaner and safer entry point β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC started moving lower, breaking the small range to the downside with bearish momentum building ππ΄. Price now heading for a retest of the #FallingWedge pattern with structure turning increasingly uncertain πͺ. NY session could bring somethingβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC slowly rising and shifting market structure toward bullish with momentum building steadily ππ’πͺ. Price action looking increasingly constructive with structure aligning in favor of buyers across multiple timeframes π΄.
Appears ready to push up toward #Resistance area around $83,500 β let the move develop naturally and manage positions carefully as price approaches that key level β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC slowly rising and shifting market structure toward bullish with momentum building steadily ππ’πͺ. Price action looking increasingly constructive with structure aligning in favor of buyers across multiple timeframes π΄.
Appears ready to push up toward #Resistance area around $83,500 β let the move develop naturally and manage positions carefully as price approaches that key level β‘οΈπ―π
Predicting the exact cycle bottom is impossible, but seller exhaustion typically comes through time, deeper price declines, or both.
This cycle has seen major sell-offs in January and May 2026 and over seven months in a bear regime. While signs of a bottom are emerging, the capitulation phase remains shorter and shallower than in past cycles, leaving room for another leg down.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio currently sits at 0.75, above the historical 0.5 exhaustion level. Until it recovers above 2, any rebound should be viewed as a local rally rather than a confirmed regime change.
This cycle has seen major sell-offs in January and May 2026 and over seven months in a bear regime. While signs of a bottom are emerging, the capitulation phase remains shorter and shallower than in past cycles, leaving room for another leg down.
The Realized Profit/Loss Ratio currently sits at 0.75, above the historical 0.5 exhaustion level. Until it recovers above 2, any rebound should be viewed as a local rally rather than a confirmed regime change.
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC slowly rising and shifting market structure toward bullish with momentum building steadily ππ’πͺ. Price action looking increasingly constructive with structure aligning in favor of buyers across multiple timeframes π΄. Appears ready to pushβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC again forming a #WedgePattern and moving lower very correctively after the breakout ππ΄. Price action remains cautious and measured with no aggressive moves in either direction at this stage πͺ.
#CPI data dropping at the end of the week could be the catalyst for a strong directional move β stay alert and prepare positions carefully heading into the release as it could spark significant volatility across crypto and broader markets β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC again forming a #WedgePattern and moving lower very correctively after the breakout ππ΄. Price action remains cautious and measured with no aggressive moves in either direction at this stage πͺ.
#CPI data dropping at the end of the week could be the catalyst for a strong directional move β stay alert and prepare positions carefully heading into the release as it could spark significant volatility across crypto and broader markets β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC.D Update: #BTC.D going sideways with the upcoming #Breakout set to determine the next major market move ππ΄. A rise in dominance would directly lead to lower prices across altcoins β a critical level to watch very closely πͺ. If #BTC slows down alongsideβ¦
#BTC.D Update:
#BTC.D gave a fakeout and is now breaking lower, floating between key areas with bearish momentum building ππ΄. A continued move lower in dominance would generate significant money flow into altcoins β as already witnessed with altcoins jumping significantly over the past two weeks πͺ.
Further downside in dominance expected with momentum favoring continuation lower β this could be the catalyst that sustains and accelerates the ongoing #Altcoin rally we have been witnessing recently β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC.D gave a fakeout and is now breaking lower, floating between key areas with bearish momentum building ππ΄. A continued move lower in dominance would generate significant money flow into altcoins β as already witnessed with altcoins jumping significantly over the past two weeks πͺ.
Further downside in dominance expected with momentum favoring continuation lower β this could be the catalyst that sustains and accelerates the ongoing #Altcoin rally we have been witnessing recently β‘οΈπ―π
#BCH Analysis:
#BCH flipped below a strong key area and is now forming a small #ChannelPattern and #FlagPattern while attempting a break ππ΄. Structure has turned bearish with sellers maintaining firm control after the flip below the key level πͺ.
Short-term #Sells look good enough here β take the setup accordingly but avoid holding any long positions as the overall structure clearly favors the downside at this stage β‘οΈπ―π
#BCH flipped below a strong key area and is now forming a small #ChannelPattern and #FlagPattern while attempting a break ππ΄. Structure has turned bearish with sellers maintaining firm control after the flip below the key level πͺ.
Short-term #Sells look good enough here β take the setup accordingly but avoid holding any long positions as the overall structure clearly favors the downside at this stage β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC again forming a #WedgePattern and moving lower very correctively after the breakout ππ΄. Price action remains cautious and measured with no aggressive moves in either direction at this stage πͺ. #CPI data dropping at the end of the week couldβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC dropped lower toward the key #Support area and is now reacting with buyers beginning to show interest ππ΄. Price appears to have completed a deeper retest of the #FallingWedge pattern β a healthy and necessary move before any potential continuation higher πͺ.
Watch closely for confirmation of the reaction holding at this level β a convincing bounce from the wedge retest would be a strong bullish signal and could set the stage for the next meaningful move higher β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC dropped lower toward the key #Support area and is now reacting with buyers beginning to show interest ππ΄. Price appears to have completed a deeper retest of the #FallingWedge pattern β a healthy and necessary move before any potential continuation higher πͺ.
Watch closely for confirmation of the reaction holding at this level β a convincing bounce from the wedge retest would be a strong bullish signal and could set the stage for the next meaningful move higher β‘οΈπ―π
Despite the improvement in perpetual positioning, the Coinbase Premium Index remains persistently negative, signalling that US spot demand has yet to return in a meaningful way. The premium has remained below zero through much of the recent consolidation, even as Bitcoin stabilised around the $60β65k region.
This creates a notable divergence between improving leveraged risk appetite and still-subdued spot participation. A sustained move back into positive Coinbase premium territory would provide stronger evidence that the recovery is being supported by genuine US spot accumulation rather than primarily derivatives-led positioning.
This creates a notable divergence between improving leveraged risk appetite and still-subdued spot participation. A sustained move back into positive Coinbase premium territory would provide stronger evidence that the recovery is being supported by genuine US spot accumulation rather than primarily derivatives-led positioning.