#BTC Supply in Loss Update:

10.83M BTC now underwater versus 9.22M BTC in profit — one of the most pronounced profitability deteriorations since the current bull market began 📉🔴. Loss-making supply overtaking profitable supply signals elevated financial stress and widespread capitulation among newer participants 💪.

Historically these conditions create opportunities for stronger hands to absorb coins from weaker holders. Combined with renewed #LTH accumulation, sharp decline in profitability suggests supply increasingly migrating toward higher conviction investors — a necessary step in the bottoming process ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update:

#BTC still stuck in a range with no significant price action worth acting on at this stage 📉🔴. Structure remains completely indecisive with neither bulls nor bears showing any real commitment to a directional move 💪.

Price needs to break convincingly in either direction before any meaningful trade setups emerge — once that happens we can rest, relax and ride the move with confidence ⚡️🎯👀

#BCH Update:

#BCH flipped and retraced back to the same level, now forming a small #ChannelPattern with bullish structure intact 📈🟢💪. Price action showing encouraging signs of strength with buyers defending the level consistently 🔴.

Short-term #Longs with tighter stops look like a good strategy here — structure favors the upside and risk to reward looks favorable for a quick and clean move higher ⚡️🎯👀

WTI crude has run to up 7.9% over the past seven days, with most of that leg happening in the last few hours after reports that the US-Iran memorandum of understanding had lapsed. The shock flipped the cross-asset tape. Bitcoin, up as much as 9.4% on the week, has rolled back to only a 5% weekly gain, while the S&P and Euro Stoxx both turned negative, the European index leading the move lower. For now, Bitcoin is trading strongly in line with risk assets.

#BTC Update:

#BTC jumped again during the NYSE open with clean #Liquidity building just below the major #Resistance area 📈🟢💪. A tap into that zone will surely give a strong reaction worth capitalizing on 🔴.

Take short-term low-leverage trades and let the market show its hand — no need to overcommit at this stage, keep positions light and manageable while watching closely for the reaction ⚡️🎯👀

As Bitcoin approaches a potential cyclical bottom, the key question is what is driving the selling pressure. Since price fell below the True Market Mean, long-term holders have become the dominant sellers, with their share of realized losses rising from 15% in early February 2026 to 43% today (30D-SMA). This reflects capitulation by investors who bought near the cycle top and are exiting after months of losses, creating persistent sell pressure that has limited Bitcoin's ability to reclaim higher price levels.

#BITCOIN Daily TF Update:

#BITCOIN still stuck in a range on the Daily TF, attempting to turn bullish but lacking clear conviction to make a decisive move 📉🔴. Structure remains indecisive with no clear stand from either bulls or bears at this stage 💪.

Nothing actionable just yet — wait further and watch closely to see if this range breaks with conviction in either direction before committing to any position ⚡️🎯👀

#TOTAL Update:

#TOTAL made a clean flip and successfully retested the zone — short-term upward move now looking increasingly likely 📈🟢💪. Following the #UptrendChannel pattern with structure beginning to turn more constructive 🔴.

If channel continues to hold, further upside across the broader market looks favorable — watch closely for confirmation and manage positions carefully as the move develops ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Weekly TF Update:

#BTC flipped above with this week close to forming a #PinBar candlestick — a potential reversal signal worth watching closely 📈🟢💪. Price still stuck within the range with no clear directional bias confirmed yet 🔴.

Expecting a potential ride toward $65,500–$66,300 in the near term — however overall nothing can be determined with confidence until the market makes its direction very clear and breaks convincingly in either direction ⚡️🎯👀

#DXY Update:

#DXY faced a strong rejection from #Resistance but a long #UptrendChannel pattern remains clearly visible with a small #FlagPattern forming within it 📉💪. Index appears strongly bullish despite the rejection — structure continues to favor the upside 🔴.

Expecting a bullish continuation next week as the flag resolves higher — stay alert as continued dollar strength could add pressure on crypto and other risk assets heading into the new week ⚡️🎯👀

#SNX Analysis:

#SNX kept making new #LowerLows after breaking the support formation with bearish momentum remaining firmly intact 📉🔴. Price now going into a small #Consolidation after the break — a classic pause before potential continuation lower 💪.

#ShortSelling looks like a great opportunity once a proper setup forms on the retracement — wait for price to retrace and confirm before entering, manage risk carefully and let the trade develop at its own pace ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update:

#BTC finally tapped into the #Resistance area and faced a strong rejection as expected 📉🔴. Price has moved back into the middle of the large range with bearish bias continuing to dominate the structure 💪.

Drop likely to persist toward #Support area around $58,200–$59,550 as the next major target — hold existing short positions and avoid catching any bounces prematurely until price reaches that key level ⚡️🎯👀

Shifting from on-chain data to off-chain market dynamics, ETF investor behavior offers another view of institutional demand. The 30-day SMA of ETF Netflow smooths daily flows into and out of US spot Bitcoin ETFs, highlighting the underlying trend.

Since mid-May 2026, the indicator has remained in a net outflow regime, reaching -$193M per day in early June before improving to -$88.9M currently. Although outflows have slowed, institutional demand has yet to stabilize. A move closer to neutral would be an important signal before expecting renewed expansion in ETF inflows.

#BITCOIN Daily TF Update:

#BITCOIN following a small #ChannelPattern on the Daily TF, moving near the highs with price still consolidating at this level 📉🔴. Structure remains uncertain with no convincing breakout to the upside materializing yet 💪.

Price could easily move lower again back toward the #Support area from here — avoid getting caught in premature longs and wait for a clear and confirmed directional move before committing to any position ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC pressure this quarter driven by rising real rates — not broad risk-off sentiment 📉🔴. 10Y real yields climbing to 2026 highs near 2.4% with #DXY holding above its 200D MA since May 💪.

Notably the broader risk complex shows no stress — equities near highs, credit spreads tight and volatility subdued. This is a rate and dollar story weighing specifically on #BTC rather than a broad market panic ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Weekly TF Update:

#BTC closed the week indecisively with a retest encountering the drawn #Resistance once again 📉🔴. Price currently going through #Consolidation with no clear directional bias emerging from either side 💪.

Need to see a confirmed #Breakout sooner — either above $66,000 to the upside or below $61,500 to the downside before any meaningful trade setups become available. Patience remains the best approach until market makes its intention clear ⚡️🎯👀

BTC correlation with US equities easing since winter while inverse relationship with the #Dollar continues deepening 📉🔴. Price trading less like a stock proxy and more like an asset that firms specifically when dollar weakens 💪.

Dollar and liquidity channel now matters more than equity sentiment for #BTC direction. If macro conditions ease from here, dollar weakness remains the most likely catalyst to move price first ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update:

#BTC attempted to break the area again but faced another rejection — bulls still struggling to push through with conviction 📉🔴. Price holding internal bullish structure intact despite the repeated rejections, which remains an encouraging sign 💪.

Weekly close remains very indecisive with no clear confirmation yet — need this week's closing too before making any definitive call on direction. A clean flip of the area would be the key signal to watch for ⚡️🎯👀

#DXY Update:

#DXY broke the long #UptrendChannel pattern, invalidating both channels and shifting the outlook significantly 📉🔴. Index now sitting below major #Resistance and #Support areas with no clear directional bias emerging 💪.

Market remains unclear and messy at this stage — avoid making any aggressive directional bets until structure clarifies and price shows a convincing move in either direction ⚡️🎯👀

Strategy (MSTR) has raised $263.5 million by selling shares but chose not to buy any Bitcoin this time. Its cash reserves have now grown to more than $3.2 billion.

Long-term holder profit selling has dried up almost completely — what old hands sell now they sell at a loss 📉🔴. Combined losses from both #LTH and #STH cohorts now dominate on-chain activity — a classic late-stage #BearMarket signature 💪.

Most importantly, the long-term holder loss share has stopped growing — the wave of selling that met every rally this year is no longer building, a potentially significant shift in market dynamics worth watching closely ⚡️🎯👀