#DXY printed 101.37 β back above the 200D MA at 98.72 for the first time since April's Liberation Day shock ππ΄. 10Y yield anchored at 4.50% with VIX ticking higher to 19.49 by Friday's close πͺ.
Equities absorbed the spring correction with S&P 500 at 7,365 β sitting 14% above April lows. #BTC not participating β trading at $62,651, 18% below its own 200D MA at $76,466. Macro recovery remains an equity story β #DXY reassertion is the dominant signal and it is not constructive for BTC β‘οΈπ―π
Equities absorbed the spring correction with S&P 500 at 7,365 β sitting 14% above April lows. #BTC not participating β trading at $62,651, 18% below its own 200D MA at $76,466. Macro recovery remains an equity story β #DXY reassertion is the dominant signal and it is not constructive for BTC β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BITCOIN Daily TF Update: #BITCOIN still moving sideways but dropped sharply below #Support zone, continuing to reject that same area with sellers firmly in control ππ΄. Bearish market structure remains fully intact with no signs of reversal emerging yet πͺ.β¦
#BITCOIN Daily TF Update:
#BITCOIN had a strong reaction from the major #Support area with a clear shift in market structure becoming visible ππ’πͺ. However this does not necessarily confirm a bullish trend has begun β further confirmation is still very much required before changing bias π΄.
Avoid jumping into longs prematurely based on this single reaction β wait for additional confirmation signals to build into the structure before committing to any position with real conviction β‘οΈπ―π
#BITCOIN had a strong reaction from the major #Support area with a clear shift in market structure becoming visible ππ’πͺ. However this does not necessarily confirm a bullish trend has begun β further confirmation is still very much required before changing bias π΄.
Avoid jumping into longs prematurely based on this single reaction β wait for additional confirmation signals to build into the structure before committing to any position with real conviction β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#TOTAL Update: #TOTAL reacted from #Support with some inflow entering the market, but has now flipped that strong support into a strong #Resistance zone ππ΄. Index currently retesting the area with rejection looking likely, which could trigger another bearishβ¦
#TOTAL Update:
#TOTAL flipped the area and gave a clean #Breakout of the small #FlagPattern ππ’πͺ. Index also flipped alongside #BTC showing early signs of bullishness β however more confluence is still needed before turning fully bullish π΄.
Encouraging signs developing but not yet enough to confirm a sustained move higher β wait for additional confirmation before committing to any aggressive long positions across the broader market β‘οΈπ―π
#TOTAL flipped the area and gave a clean #Breakout of the small #FlagPattern ππ’πͺ. Index also flipped alongside #BTC showing early signs of bullishness β however more confluence is still needed before turning fully bullish π΄.
Encouraging signs developing but not yet enough to confirm a sustained move higher β wait for additional confirmation before committing to any aggressive long positions across the broader market β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC ETF Flow Update:
7D average #SpotETF net flows falling to nearly -$300M/day β one of the most persistent capital withdrawal periods since ETF launch ππ΄. Traditional investors remaining defensive despite #BTC trading near $60Kβ$65K range lows πͺ.
Unlike prior corrections that attracted renewed ETF buying, sustained redemptions signal investors reducing exposure rather than accumulating. #GBTC leading outflows with 16K+ BTC exiting over 90 days β weakness driven by legacy holder liquidation rather than broad ETF complex retreat β‘οΈπ―π
7D average #SpotETF net flows falling to nearly -$300M/day β one of the most persistent capital withdrawal periods since ETF launch ππ΄. Traditional investors remaining defensive despite #BTC trading near $60Kβ$65K range lows πͺ.
Unlike prior corrections that attracted renewed ETF buying, sustained redemptions signal investors reducing exposure rather than accumulating. #GBTC leading outflows with 16K+ BTC exiting over 90 days β weakness driven by legacy holder liquidation rather than broad ETF complex retreat β‘οΈπ―π
#SKL Analysis:
#SKL kept building new #LowerLows while following the #DowntrendChannel pattern with bearish momentum remaining firmly intact ππ΄. Price has now entered a small #Consolidation phase with structure continuing to favor the downside πͺ.
#ShortSelling looks favorable once price breaks below the consolidation range β take the risk accordingly and manage positions carefully as the move develops β‘οΈπ―π
#SKL kept building new #LowerLows while following the #DowntrendChannel pattern with bearish momentum remaining firmly intact ππ΄. Price has now entered a small #Consolidation phase with structure continuing to favor the downside πͺ.
#ShortSelling looks favorable once price breaks below the consolidation range β take the risk accordingly and manage positions carefully as the move develops β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Weekly TF Update: #BTC attempting to close below #Support with the weekly candle close still pending ππ΄. A confirmed close below would turn market sentiment strongly bearish with significant downside momentum expected to follow πͺ. Next week could seeβ¦
#BTC Weekly TF Update:
#BTC attempting a weekly close above the zone with short-term bullishness visible on the Daily TF ππ΄. Bearish sentiment remains firmly intact on higher timeframes despite the encouraging short-term price action πͺ.
Expecting a slight move higher toward #Resistance around $65,500 before price drops back down β don't get caught chasing this move, stay cautious and manage positions carefully heading into the new week β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC attempting a weekly close above the zone with short-term bullishness visible on the Daily TF ππ΄. Bearish sentiment remains firmly intact on higher timeframes despite the encouraging short-term price action πͺ.
Expecting a slight move higher toward #Resistance around $65,500 before price drops back down β don't get caught chasing this move, stay cautious and manage positions carefully heading into the new week β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Weekly TF Update: #BTC attempting a weekly close above the zone with short-term bullishness visible on the Daily TF ππ΄. Bearish sentiment remains firmly intact on higher timeframes despite the encouraging short-term price action πͺ. Expecting a slightβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC closing weekly inside the range again, floating in between key levels with no clear directional conviction ππ΄. Lower timeframe story remains unchanged β indecisive and directionless price action continuing to frustrate both bulls and bears πͺ.
Price nearly entered the major #Resistance area and rejection looks increasingly likely from there β avoid overtrading in this choppy environment and wait for a clean and confirmed break before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC closing weekly inside the range again, floating in between key levels with no clear directional conviction ππ΄. Lower timeframe story remains unchanged β indecisive and directionless price action continuing to frustrate both bulls and bears πͺ.
Price nearly entered the major #Resistance area and rejection looks increasingly likely from there β avoid overtrading in this choppy environment and wait for a clean and confirmed break before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#US30 Update: #US30 printing a new #AllTimeHigh each week with an incredibly consistent pattern of sideways consolidation followed by a strong upward move ππ’πͺ. Structure remains firmly bullish with no signs of trend reversal in sight π΄. Take longs and useβ¦
#US30 Update:
#US30 kept printing new #AllTimeHigh levels exactly as expected β setup playing out perfectly ππ’πͺ. Call already given and positions moving nicely into profit with momentum remaining firmly on the upside π΄.
Hold it, trail your stops and let it run β no reason to close early while structure remains this strong and bullish, see how far this move can go β‘οΈπ―π
#US30 kept printing new #AllTimeHigh levels exactly as expected β setup playing out perfectly ππ’πͺ. Call already given and positions moving nicely into profit with momentum remaining firmly on the upside π΄.
Hold it, trail your stops and let it run β no reason to close early while structure remains this strong and bullish, see how far this move can go β‘οΈπ―π
Recent retest of low $60Ks was spot-led β #SpotCVD falling far faster than #FuturesCVD over the past 10 days ππ΄. Open Interest stayed subdued with funding stubbornly positive β perpetual longs slow to capitulate, pressure not originating from derivatives πͺ.
That is now changing β #OpenInterest spiking sharply as #BTC retests lows with Futures CVD finally turning down alongside spot. Spot did the heavy lifting down, derivatives now catching up β continued OI build alongside falling Futures CVD and softer funding would confirm broad capitulation into lows β‘οΈπ―π
That is now changing β #OpenInterest spiking sharply as #BTC retests lows with Futures CVD finally turning down alongside spot. Spot did the heavy lifting down, derivatives now catching up β continued OI build alongside falling Futures CVD and softer funding would confirm broad capitulation into lows β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC closing weekly inside the range again, floating in between key levels with no clear directional conviction ππ΄. Lower timeframe story remains unchanged β indecisive and directionless price action continuing to frustrate both bulls and bearsβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC slowly rising and nearly reaching the major #Resistance area with a rejection looking likely ππ΄. Another short-term high could form as price enters the resistance zone before sellers step in aggressively πͺ.
Nothing in the current structure suggests genuine bullishness β sit back, relax and avoid forcing any trades until a clear and convincing signal emerges from either direction β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC slowly rising and nearly reaching the major #Resistance area with a rejection looking likely ππ΄. Another short-term high could form as price enters the resistance zone before sellers step in aggressively πͺ.
Nothing in the current structure suggests genuine bullishness β sit back, relax and avoid forcing any trades until a clear and convincing signal emerges from either direction β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC slowly rising and nearly reaching the major #Resistance area with a rejection looking likely ππ΄. Another short-term high could form as price enters the resistance zone before sellers step in aggressively πͺ. Nothing in the current structureβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC started moving lower with an attempted shift in market structure toward bearish continuation ππ΄. Price action clearly favoring the downside with sellers beginning to regain control at current levels πͺ.
Do not enter long positions early β watch closely for #ShortSelling opportunities as structure shifts and let the market confirm the bearish continuation before committing to any trades β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC started moving lower with an attempted shift in market structure toward bearish continuation ππ΄. Price action clearly favoring the downside with sellers beginning to regain control at current levels πͺ.
Do not enter long positions early β watch closely for #ShortSelling opportunities as structure shifts and let the market confirm the bearish continuation before committing to any trades β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC.D Update: #BTC.D had a break below #Support and is now attempting to flip over β however index still looks firmly bearish with no clear signs of strength returning ππ΄. Altcoins likely to remain stuck in sideways price action rather than making any meaningfulβ¦
#BTC.D Update:
#BTC.D hasn't moved much, continuing to move back and forth with no clear directional bias emerging ππ΄. Index forming a #TrianglePattern β placing altcoins at a critical decision point that deserves close attention πͺ.
Wait for some sort of confirmation before taking #Shorts β for additional confidence, hold off until a clean #TrianglePattern breakout occurs in either direction before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC.D hasn't moved much, continuing to move back and forth with no clear directional bias emerging ππ΄. Index forming a #TrianglePattern β placing altcoins at a critical decision point that deserves close attention πͺ.
Wait for some sort of confirmation before taking #Shorts β for additional confidence, hold off until a clean #TrianglePattern breakout occurs in either direction before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC Supply in Loss Update:
10.83M BTC now underwater versus 9.22M BTC in profit β one of the most pronounced profitability deteriorations since the current bull market began ππ΄. Loss-making supply overtaking profitable supply signals elevated financial stress and widespread capitulation among newer participants πͺ.
Historically these conditions create opportunities for stronger hands to absorb coins from weaker holders. Combined with renewed #LTH accumulation, sharp decline in profitability suggests supply increasingly migrating toward higher conviction investors β a necessary step in the bottoming process β‘οΈπ―π
10.83M BTC now underwater versus 9.22M BTC in profit β one of the most pronounced profitability deteriorations since the current bull market began ππ΄. Loss-making supply overtaking profitable supply signals elevated financial stress and widespread capitulation among newer participants πͺ.
Historically these conditions create opportunities for stronger hands to absorb coins from weaker holders. Combined with renewed #LTH accumulation, sharp decline in profitability suggests supply increasingly migrating toward higher conviction investors β a necessary step in the bottoming process β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC started moving lower with an attempted shift in market structure toward bearish continuation ππ΄. Price action clearly favoring the downside with sellers beginning to regain control at current levels πͺ. Do not enter long positions earlyβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC still stuck in a range with no significant price action worth acting on at this stage ππ΄. Structure remains completely indecisive with neither bulls nor bears showing any real commitment to a directional move πͺ.
Price needs to break convincingly in either direction before any meaningful trade setups emerge β once that happens we can rest, relax and ride the move with confidence β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC still stuck in a range with no significant price action worth acting on at this stage ππ΄. Structure remains completely indecisive with neither bulls nor bears showing any real commitment to a directional move πͺ.
Price needs to break convincingly in either direction before any meaningful trade setups emerge β once that happens we can rest, relax and ride the move with confidence β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BCH Analysis: #BCH strongly rejecting the key #Support area around $180β$184 with buyers stepping in aggressively ππ’πͺ. Following a parabolic move structure, price could push up toward #Resistance area around $230β$232 as the next major target π΄. Setup looksβ¦
#BCH Update:
#BCH flipped and retraced back to the same level, now forming a small #ChannelPattern with bullish structure intact ππ’πͺ. Price action showing encouraging signs of strength with buyers defending the level consistently π΄.
Short-term #Longs with tighter stops look like a good strategy here β structure favors the upside and risk to reward looks favorable for a quick and clean move higher β‘οΈπ―π
#BCH flipped and retraced back to the same level, now forming a small #ChannelPattern with bullish structure intact ππ’πͺ. Price action showing encouraging signs of strength with buyers defending the level consistently π΄.
Short-term #Longs with tighter stops look like a good strategy here β structure favors the upside and risk to reward looks favorable for a quick and clean move higher β‘οΈπ―π
WTI crude has run to up 7.9% over the past seven days, with most of that leg happening in the last few hours after reports that the US-Iran memorandum of understanding had lapsed. The shock flipped the cross-asset tape. Bitcoin, up as much as 9.4% on the week, has rolled back to only a 5% weekly gain, while the S&P and Euro Stoxx both turned negative, the European index leading the move lower. For now, Bitcoin is trading strongly in line with risk assets.
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BTC Update: #BTC still stuck in a range with no significant price action worth acting on at this stage ππ΄. Structure remains completely indecisive with neither bulls nor bears showing any real commitment to a directional move πͺ. Price needs to break convincinglyβ¦
#BTC Update:
#BTC jumped again during the NYSE open with clean #Liquidity building just below the major #Resistance area ππ’πͺ. A tap into that zone will surely give a strong reaction worth capitalizing on π΄.
Take short-term low-leverage trades and let the market show its hand β no need to overcommit at this stage, keep positions light and manageable while watching closely for the reaction β‘οΈπ―π
#BTC jumped again during the NYSE open with clean #Liquidity building just below the major #Resistance area ππ’πͺ. A tap into that zone will surely give a strong reaction worth capitalizing on π΄.
Take short-term low-leverage trades and let the market show its hand β no need to overcommit at this stage, keep positions light and manageable while watching closely for the reaction β‘οΈπ―π
As Bitcoin approaches a potential cyclical bottom, the key question is what is driving the selling pressure. Since price fell below the True Market Mean, long-term holders have become the dominant sellers, with their share of realized losses rising from 15% in early February 2026 to 43% today (30D-SMA). This reflects capitulation by investors who bought near the cycle top and are exiting after months of losses, creating persistent sell pressure that has limited Bitcoin's ability to reclaim higher price levels.
Pro Crypto Analyst
#BITCOIN Daily TF Update: #BITCOIN had a strong reaction from the major #Support area with a clear shift in market structure becoming visible ππ’πͺ. However this does not necessarily confirm a bullish trend has begun β further confirmation is still very muchβ¦
#BITCOIN Daily TF Update:
#BITCOIN still stuck in a range on the Daily TF, attempting to turn bullish but lacking clear conviction to make a decisive move ππ΄. Structure remains indecisive with no clear stand from either bulls or bears at this stage πͺ.
Nothing actionable just yet β wait further and watch closely to see if this range breaks with conviction in either direction before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
#BITCOIN still stuck in a range on the Daily TF, attempting to turn bullish but lacking clear conviction to make a decisive move ππ΄. Structure remains indecisive with no clear stand from either bulls or bears at this stage πͺ.
Nothing actionable just yet β wait further and watch closely to see if this range breaks with conviction in either direction before committing to any position β‘οΈπ―π
Pro Crypto Analyst
#TOTAL Update: #TOTAL flipped the area and gave a clean #Breakout of the small #FlagPattern ππ’πͺ. Index also flipped alongside #BTC showing early signs of bullishness β however more confluence is still needed before turning fully bullish π΄. Encouraging signsβ¦
#TOTAL Update:
#TOTAL made a clean flip and successfully retested the zone β short-term upward move now looking increasingly likely ππ’πͺ. Following the #UptrendChannel pattern with structure beginning to turn more constructive π΄.
If channel continues to hold, further upside across the broader market looks favorable β watch closely for confirmation and manage positions carefully as the move develops β‘οΈπ―π
#TOTAL made a clean flip and successfully retested the zone β short-term upward move now looking increasingly likely ππ’πͺ. Following the #UptrendChannel pattern with structure beginning to turn more constructive π΄.
If channel continues to hold, further upside across the broader market looks favorable β watch closely for confirmation and manage positions carefully as the move develops β‘οΈπ―π