🔴 BREAKING

The US has failed to understand China

China is such a giant player in the global economy that understanding how the US-China contest of the century for international primacy will evolve has become crucial. Some Westerners, especially those in the United States, feel so threatened that they have resorted to protection, per SCMP.

21:30 UTC · Jul 3

🔴 BREAKING

OPEC pumps 19.43M bpd in June 🛢️

June output rose 3.3M bpd from May’s lows, per Reuters survey. Gulf barrels returned after war disruptions, but pre-crisis levels remain distant, per OilPrice.com.

19:30 UTC · Jul 3

🔴 BREAKING

Lula, Bolsonaro Clash on US Tariff Plan

Brazil's President Lula da Silva and Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro have clashed over U.S. tariffs, per ABC News.

01:50 UTC · Jul 4

🔵 COMMODITIES

120km: Beijing hukou reform leaves families in limbo 🏙️

A 12-year-old boy will attend school 120km from Beijing due to hukou restrictions, per SCMP. Parents with 20+ years in the city still lack residency permits, blocking access to public services.

04:00 UTC · Jul 4

🔴 BREAKING

The end of ‘just in time’? Asia rejigs supply chains post-Hormuz

How many crises does it take to change the way the world trades? For Asia, the answer appears to be three. First Covid closed the factories that fed the logistics networks, then Russia’s invasion of Ukraine choked off Black Sea grain exports and sent energy prices spiralling. Now, per SCMP.

05:00 UTC · Jul 4

Most prediction markets do not fail at the chart.

They fail after the chart.

Resolution.
Custody.
Ledger integrity.
Disputes.
Risk limits.
Settlement.

That is the part PredictAsiaX is building first.

🔴 BREAKING

$XRP Rises 8% Amid Ripple Gains

$XRP price jumps 8%, Ripple-linked token may provide great risk-reward at these levels, per CoinDesk.

07:10 UTC · Jul 4

PAX is live.

Early means unfinished. The thesis is whether PredictAsiaX keeps reducing execution risk in public.

🔵 CRYPTO

Is Bitcoin’s profit ratio at a turning point? 🔄

The Bitcoin profit and loss ratio fell to its lowest in 43 months, according to CoinTelegraph. Bitwise and Swan Bitcoin analysts weighed in on the metric’s implications.

05:05 UTC · Jul 4

🔵 CRYPTO

What happens when Bitcoin hits $1.5T? ❓

The cryptocurrency’s market cap is approaching $1.5 trillion, with CoinDesk noting a $1 trillion milestone as a defining moment in its current cycle, per CoinDesk.

10:07 UTC · Jul 4

Prediction market tokens should not be marketed like memecoins.

- No fake traction.
- No “users are coming” theatre.
- No pretending liquidity means product-market fit.

PAX is live on Polygon.
PredictAsiaX is still pre-user.

The only question for now:
can the infrastructure keep moving before the crowd arrives?

🔵 CRYPTO

Is Bitcoin’s downtrend nearing its final act? 🔍

John Bollinger indicated a 'W'-shaped reversal could mark the end of Bitcoin’s bear market. The pattern’s completion depends on sustained price strength in the rebound, per CoinTelegraph.

13:09 UTC · Jul 4

🔴 BREAKING

Can courts and Congress keep U.S. wind energy on track? 🏛️

After the Trump administration scaled back offshore wind support, federal judges and Congress are intervening to maintain prior policies. OilPrice.com details the clash over green energy mandates, per OilPrice.com.

15:00 UTC · Jul 4

🔴 BREAKING

Bitcoin at $53K as exchange deposits spike 📈

Bitcoin traded near $53,000 after briefly crossing $60,000 this week. Crypto deposits to exchanges rose, signaling potential volatility ahead. Source:, per Decrypt.

16:57 UTC · Jul 4

📅 ASIA WRAP — Sat 4 Jul

Asia supply chains and oil markets face reshaping amid Hormuz and OPEC output shifts

⚡ TOP STORIES
1. The end of ‘just in time’? Asia rejigs supply chains post-Hormuz
2. China Hukou Reform Risks Delay on Local Resistance
3. Bitcoin Nears $53,000 as Exchange Deposits Rise
+ 3 more in image ↑

🛢 PULSE US10Y ▲0.0%

→ Live on PredictAsiaX

🔵 CRYPTO

Vitalik Buterin shares top priorities for new 'Lean Ethereum' strawmap

Part of the Ethereum Foundation’s plan to make Ethereum more private and scalable is to introduce a new virtual machine, with leanISA and RISC-V among the top candidates, per CoinTelegraph.

03:50 UTC · Jul 5

🔴 BREAKING

Oil market opens up as retail traders pour in

CME Group to launch 10-barrel contract after Iran war triggers rush of bets on crude prices, per FT.

04:00 UTC · Jul 5

🔵 COMMODITIES

Wall Street banks recover in China amid trading boom

China securities units of Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan posted record profits last year, per FT.

04:00 UTC · Jul 5

⏰ MACRO ALERT — IN 1 HR

🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls

📊 Actual: Pending (forecast 198K)
📉 Previous: 221K

📚 US Nonfarm Payrolls measures monthly employment changes in non-farm sectors, excluding government, private households, and non-profit organizations. Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 AM ET.

Jul 5, 08:30 AM · Bureau of Labor Statistics

Most tokens wait for hype before showing receipts. $PAX is taking the opposite path.

Live on Polygon.
Public PAX/USDT pool.
Pre-user platform.
Execution risk in the open.

Not a finished story. An early token with a visible thesis.

Watch the risk before the crowd watches the chart.

🔵 CRYPTO

Portnoy Holds Bitcoin Amid Price Decline

Barstool's Portnoy plans to hold bitcoin down to zero after timing it wrong every time, per CoinDesk.

12:23 UTC · Jul 5