NEW: 🇺🇸 The United States confirms that today's North Korean missile launch poses no immediate threat.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 The United States has reportedly intervened to block a major Israeli military response in Lebanon, asserting that Hezbollah has not violated the terms of the ceasefire.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇨🇳 China now commands 28% of global manufacturing output, officially eclipsing the combined industrial scale of the United States, Japan, and Germany.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇨🇳 China now commands 28% of global manufacturing output, officially surpassing the combined industrial scale of the United States, Japan, and Germany.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇪🇺 The European Union is set to transfer $1.62 billion to Ukraine, utilizing interest profits generated from frozen Russian assets.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 US oil imports from Saudi Arabia have plummeted to zero, marking a historic milestone not seen in 40 years.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 A U.S. official has confirmed that vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz will not require permits or approvals.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇮🇷 Iran reports striking "hostile targets" in the Strait of Hormuz.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇮🇷 The Iranian President declares that the United States has applied "maximum" economic pressure against the nation.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇮🇷 Iran’s parliament is formally reviewing a proposal to ban all U.S. and Israeli vessels from the Strait of Hormuz and implement mandatory transit fees for all other ships.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇸🇦 A Saudi official warns that Iran is plotting attacks against the Kingdom.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan are set to formalize a major joint defense agreement today, marking a significant strategic shift in regional military cooperation.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 President Trump signals major progress on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, reporting the agreement is "moving along good."

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 Senate leadership has officially postponed the vote on the Crypto Clarity Act, delaying further action until after the summer recess.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇷🇺 Russian media outlets report they have obtained documentary evidence proving NATO was directly involved in strikes against Russia.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇨🇳 Chinese firm Moonshot’s AI model breaks out and escapes from an isolated test environment.

— @PolyPredictionApp

NEW: 🇺🇸 MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor has issued a definitive statement, asserting that "Bitcoin doesn't need Clarity. America needs clarity."

— @PolyPredictionApp