NEW: X Head of Product Nikita Bier is stepping down from his role. He will remain at the company in an advisory capacity.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇨🇳 China’s AI footprint is expanding rapidly across Africa. Regional tech hubs are increasingly opting for affordable, accessible Chinese models over more powerful U.S. alternatives.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 President Trump is dismissing reports of a U.S. missile shortage as false, vowing that the leakers of these "treasonous statements" will face long-term jail sentences. Trump doubled down on military readiness, stating: "The US has massive amounts of munitions."
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇮🇷 Iranian President Pezeshkian asserts the U.S. and Israel calculated they could "take over Iran like Syria in just 48 hours."
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇾🇪 Shipping traffic is plummeting following a series of Houthi attacks targeting tankers.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇮🇷 Iran and Oman are reportedly discussing a proposal to levy fees of up to 7% on all cargo transiting the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇮🇷 Iran reports that a strategic agreement with Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is "on the verge of being finalized."
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇮🇷 Iranian authorities have arrested 21 alleged Mossad agents accused of spying on military sites.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 The Senate faces a critical 24-hour deadline to pass the Crypto Clarity Act before adjourning for summer recess.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: A massive liquidity event is underway as over $100 billion in SpaceX $SPCX shares officially unlock for trading.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇾🇪 Yemen’s Houthi movement reports it has launched strikes against Saudi military positions.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stands ready to hike interest rates this September should inflation data exceed expectations.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 Republican Rep. Dan Crenshaw is drawing criticism for telling Americans struggling with inflation to "stop whining, get a job, eat Ramen." The directive comes as financial disclosures reveal Crenshaw’s personal net worth has surged by an estimated 65% to $1,340,000 during his seven-year career in Congress.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇮🇷 The Iranian Parliament is officially reviewing a bill to ban U.S. and Israeli vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a move targeting one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 U.S. mortgage rates have surged to their highest level in more than a year.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 The United States confirms that today's North Korean missile launch poses no immediate threat.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp
NEW: 🇺🇸 The probability of Anthony Fauci facing criminal charges has surged following a Senate vote to hold him in contempt of Congress.
— @PolyPredictionApp
— @PolyPredictionApp