PoliticsGR - Geopolitics, Intel, News, Statistics
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ—บ PoliticsGR is a geopolitical channel that provides factual coverage through analysis, graphics, intel and maps.

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Forwarded from TabZ - Alternative Media (TabZ)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ’ฅ #BREAKING: Israeli warplanes targeted Southern Lebanon moments ago!

The Israeli attacks were carried out in four waves, targeting the valleys situated between the towns of Arabsalim, Houmin al-Fawqa, Deir al-Zahrani, and Rumin.

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿณ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ โ€” Analysis: JNIMโ€™s Strategy Shift Entering 2025.

By our African and Sahelian affairs expert.

In recent months, the largest Islamist group in the Sahel region has undergone a significant strategic shift. This analysis will examine and explain this transformation.

Read More...


๐Ÿ”—Subscribe to our new Substack page for free!
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Forwarded from The Journalyze
Gaza Death Toll Study 2024.pdf
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Death Toll in Gaza Undercounted by 41%, Study Finds
A new peer-reviewed study reveals that the actual death toll from Israelโ€™s air and ground campaign in Gaza during the first 9 months of the war was 64,260, far exceeding the 46,000 deaths reported by official Palestinian figures.


๐Ÿ“Š 59% of those who died were women, children, and seniors over 65.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Poland and Ukraine have agreed to exhume Volyn massacre victims. The procedure is set to begin in April.

In 1943, UPA carried out a series of massacres in the Volyn and Eastern Galicia regions, resulting in the deaths of an estimated 100,000 Polish civilians. The massacre has impacted relations between both countries, as Poland recognises it as a genocide and Ukraine as a conflict in which both sides were responsible, with Polish government and opposition officials stating that Kyiv wonโ€™t join any alliance until the issue is resolved. In an opinion poll carried out by the Mieroszewski Center, the percentage of Ukrainians having a good opinion of Poles has decreased from 67% to 44.5% in the past year.


๐Ÿ“ Euronews, Ukrainska Pravda
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ According to authorities, at least 24 people have died in the wildfires and 23 are missing.

The death toll is expected to rise as more searches are conducted.


๐Ÿ“ AP News
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ In the last hours, there are rumours of a hostage deal between Israel and Hamas, which could pave the way for a ceasefire.

The US is pressing for a deal before Donald Trump takes office on 20 January. Through Trumpโ€™s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, Netanyahu has been forced to accept compromises. While the Israeli PM had been pushing for a temporary ceasefire that only related to the first phase of the three-stage proposal Israel submitted last May, the final agreement is increasingly closer to the original offer, with clauses connecting the first phase with the two others. This will make it harder for Israel to resume fighting once the initial stage goes into place. Itโ€™s also rumoured that Israel will agree to withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor during the first phase, even though most officials deny it up to date.

This evening Netanyahu is meeting with national security minister Itamar Ben Gvir, who is the most fierce opponent of a deal. Tomorrow is the next top level meeting in Doha.


๐Ÿ“ Haaretz, The Guardian, Times of Israel
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Forwarded from TabZ - Alternative Media (TabZ)
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Vice President-Elect JD Vance explained what "hell for Hamas" would look like:

โ€œIt means enabling the Israelis to knock outโ€ฆ Hamas and their leadership. It means very aggressive sanctions and financial penalties on those who are supporting terrorist organizations in the Middle East.โ€


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PoliticsGR - Geopolitics, Intel, News, Statistics
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ In the last hours, there are rumours of a hostage deal between Israel and Hamas, which could pave the way for a ceasefire. The US is pressing for a deal before Donald Trump takes office on 20 January. Through Trumpโ€™s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoffโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ’ฌ @PoliticsGR Commentary:

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ There have been talks about a ceasefire for months, so take that with a grain of salt, both sides could increase their demands tomorrow, especially since the Netanyahu government depends on the extremist vote.

But I am generally more optimistic this time, as Trumpโ€™s term approaches and his containment approach wonโ€™t be any different than the current administration more willingness will be shown to implement a diplomatic solution.
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๐Ÿ“Š Macroeconomic Indicators Update (13/1/2025):

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Trade Balance: ยฅ94.4 billion โฌ†๏ธ ยฅ104.8 billion
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Inflation Rate y/y: 2.8% โฌ†๏ธ 3.0%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Inflation Rate y/y: 2.4% โฌ†๏ธ 2.6%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Inflation Rate y/y: 5.48% โฌ‡๏ธ 5.22%
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Inflation Rate y/y: 2.5% โฌ†๏ธ 3.0%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Inflation Rate y/y: 4.3% โžก๏ธ 4.3%
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Inflation Rate y/y: 5.5% โฌ‡๏ธ 5.2%
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ด Inflation Rate y/y: 28.41% โฌ‡๏ธ 27.5%


๐Ÿ“ Myfxbook, Tradays
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The hostage deal between Israel and Hamas, which could pave the way for a ceasefire, could be announced as early as today.

There is stark opposition from Ben Gvir and Smotrich, while opposition leader Yair Lapid said he would support the deal. Some Israeli media are already calling it a blow.


๐Ÿ“ Haaretz, Jerusalem Post, Times of Israel
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Israel's Minister of national security Ben Gvir:
The deal being formed is a surrender deal to Hamas.

I call on my friend, Minister Bezalel Smotrich, to join me and cooperate together against a surrender deal to Hamas.

Otzma Yehudit (his party) alone does not have the ability to prevent the deal, I suggest that we go together to Netanyahu and inform him that if he passes the deal we will resign from the government.

I emphasize that even if we are in opposition, we will not bring down the Prime Minister, but this cooperation is our only way to prevent the surrender deal, prevent the terrible deal and ensure that the deaths of hundreds of soldiers were not in vain
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Finance minister Bezalel Smotrich said he would not go along with a deal that he said would constitute a โ€œcatastrophe for Israelโ€™s national securityโ€:
We will not be part of a surrender deal that would include releasing terrorists, stopping the war and dissolving the achievements that were bought with much blood, and abandoning many hostages.

Now is the time to continue with all our might, to occupy and cleanse the entire Strip, to finally take control of humanitarian aid from Hamas, and to open the gates of hell on Gaza until Hamas surrenders completely and all the hostages are returned.



๐Ÿ“ Times of Israel
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Qatari Foreign Ministry Spokesperson:
โžก๏ธWe have overcome the main obstacles in the differences between the two parties to reach an agreement to cease fire in Gaza.

โžก๏ธWe have reached the closest point to reaching a ceasefire agreement in Gaza.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Hamas has agreed to the ceasefire deal, although its not yet finalised, according to Blinken.

Meanwhile, Ben Gvir said he now lacks the power to stop the deal because Netanyahu expanded the coalition by bringing in FM Gideon Saโ€™arโ€™s New Hope party in September last year.


๐Ÿ“ Times of Israel
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken also revealed his postwar management plan of Gaza, in which he envisioned the Palestinian Authority (PA) in collaboration with international partners establish an interim administration responsible for running civil sectors in Gaza.

The committee would work with a senior UN official appointed to oversee the international Gaza reconstruction effort. There will also be an interim security mission made up of troops from US-allied countries along with vetted Palestinian personnel, which will enforce security in the Strip. Israel will provide significant funding to all sectors.

In essence, a reformed PA would control both the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.

๐Ÿ’ฌ I donโ€™t see how either Hamas or Israel would agree to this, it depends on how Trump will push the current administrationโ€™s position.


๐Ÿ“ Al Mayadeen, Times of Israel
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” During the ceremony of handing over 1,000 strategic drones to the armed forces, the Iranian Defense Minister said that the drones have the ability to take off and land on water.
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ NATO will deploy frigates, patrol aircraft and naval drones in Baltic Sea to protect critical infrastructure after cable breaches.


๐Ÿ“ Reuters
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