Some personal considerations about the Ukrainian "counteroffensive" in the Oleksandrivka direction.

1. First of all, I disagree with figures citing massive Ukrainian gains of up to 400 (!) km².
According to my information, the total recaptured territory by the Ukrainians is around 20 km², and it is all concentrated at the Russian bridgehead over the Haichur River in the Ternuvate direction, which was almost completely liquidated except for Pryluky (photo #1).
Here, a methodical clearing was conducted (not always without losses and with good organization and coordination), positions were taken and consolidated, and Russian forces do not have anymore the possibility to infiltrate like they did some weeks ago at all.
The bulk of the territory that goes in the incorrect 400 km² count is south of Verbove, in the Oleksandrivka direction. Here, first of all, the Ukrainians cleared remainders of old Russian infiltration attempts into Novooleksandrivka, Oleksiivka, and treelines south (the Russians never consolidated those positions, and the Russians had long given up on attempts to capture these settlements, almost totally focusing on Huljajpole: https://t.me/PlayfraOSINT/3452).
Then, the infantry that was (and never left) in Vyshneve, Verbove, Yehorivka, and Privillya moved forward and occupied new positions in the fields towards Uspenivka.
Most importantly, a methodical clearing still hasn't been conducted, and Russian movements and presence continue to be recorded in the four aforementioned villages and nearby fields (photo #2): this is also the reason why DeepState is not transferring these territories in the blue zone, which is the correct choice in this case.
Moving your infantry forward does not mean clearing a territory, just like in Kupyansk. The Russians experience the same problem, but they choose to simply avoid clearing operations and keep pushing, hoping that Ukrainian pockets of resistance will either die, give up, or evacuate to friendly lines.
This, as such, creates situations like on the Kostyantynivka front, where the main action is ongoing very close to the city, but Ukrainian pockets of resistance still remain and fight, for example, near Ivanopillya, Pleshchiivka, or Yablunivka.
Concluding this point, I disagree with maps that color blue any area other than the Ternuvate bridgehead.

2. Unfortunately, I still see people that have great hopes for this "counteroffensive" and think that it will recapture incredibly large amounts of ground (partly fueled by incorrect statistics such as the 400 km² one).
This, in fact, can't be called a counteroffensive. The Ukrainians are simply exploiting the fact that Russian communications worsened after the Starlink and Telegram blockages and their overcommitment to Huljajpole.
In the Ukrainian ranks of the Oleksandrivka front, there aren't enough people for effective defense, let alone big, larger-than-tactical counteroffensive actions. In my opinion, the Ukrainians will slowly gnaw away at territory until it will be possible, just like an advancement by inertia, and stop when it will be impossible or too costly to continue, without overcommitting.
In particular, they might be interested in retaking some of their (quite good) lost defensive lines in the sector.
So, sure, we could see some good results, but one should not take it as the main aim: everything depends on Russian resources here.

Feel free to comment your opinions, critiques, and objections to this thread in the comments: I'm interested in knowing your point of view.

🇺🇦 Шановний бійце,
Якщо ви зараз боретеся в будь-якому з напрямків, згаданих у цій публікації, будь ласка, зв'яжіться зі мною тут у моїх особистих повідомленнях, у Telegram (@Playfra) або в Signal/WhatsApp (передам особисто).
Дякую!