https://t.me/rybar/77566
Quite curious.
Rybar tells about a Ukrainian landing party in Plavni that cut off Russian soldiers in Prymorske, which, coupled with a reported destruction of a Russian bridge in Vasylivka and claims from this post of Ukrainian reconnaissance-in-force operations, might signal that some tactical clearings and counterattacks are ongoing in the Stepnohirsk sector, too, likely in an attempt to improve the long term defense positioning in view of future pressure on Zaporizhzhia.
Obviously, a breakthrough to Vasylivka is completely out of the question, and not just “unlikely” as the source says.
Still, something to keep an eye out on.
Quite curious.
Rybar tells about a Ukrainian landing party in Plavni that cut off Russian soldiers in Prymorske, which, coupled with a reported destruction of a Russian bridge in Vasylivka and claims from this post of Ukrainian reconnaissance-in-force operations, might signal that some tactical clearings and counterattacks are ongoing in the Stepnohirsk sector, too, likely in an attempt to improve the long term defense positioning in view of future pressure on Zaporizhzhia.
Obviously, a breakthrough to Vasylivka is completely out of the question, and not just “unlikely” as the source says.
Still, something to keep an eye out on.
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📝Наступление ВСУ под Степногорском📝
Обстановка на западном фланге Запорожского направления резко осложнилась за минувшие сутки. Противник пытается срезать вклинение к Запорожью на берегу бывшего Каховского водохранилища. Украинские формирования перешли в…
Обстановка на западном фланге Запорожского направления резко осложнилась за минувшие сутки. Противник пытается срезать вклинение к Запорожью на берегу бывшего Каховского водохранилища. Украинские формирования перешли в…
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Forwarded from Говорять Снайпер ✙
Схоже Корейці дали русні черговий транш касетних боєприпасів, підари хаотично засипають ними Херсон, більшість валяється нерозірваними по місту.
Дорогу Миколаїв - Херсон в свою чергу підари засипають шипами та протипіхотними мінами з БПЛА «Молнія»
Дорогу Миколаїв - Херсон в свою чергу підари засипають шипами та протипіхотними мінами з БПЛА «Молнія»
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Work continues near Dobropillia, Ternuvate direction. There are successes and further consolidation. Again without further specifications or comments.
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Forwarded from Офіцер
Спостерігаючи роботу підрозділів противника на різних напрямках є загальний висновок про те, що ворожа логістика на НРК відсутня як така, як і загалом централізоване забезпечення цими засобами підрозділів та їх застосування.
Те, що зустрічається - це реально прям одиниці і вочевидь куплені або організовані за рахунок ентузіазму окремих персоналій серед рядового або офіцерського складу.
Їм в принципі той НРК непотрібен, також непотрібна мінімізація ризиків для життя о/с, адже коли в сучасних умовах вони досі на буханках та квадріках залітають без засобів РЕБ на передній край в один кінець… ні про що більше не може йти мова, бо там воно дійсно непотрібне)
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
Те, що зустрічається - це реально прям одиниці і вочевидь куплені або організовані за рахунок ентузіазму окремих персоналій серед рядового або офіцерського складу.
Їм в принципі той НРК непотрібен, також непотрібна мінімізація ризиків для життя о/с, адже коли в сучасних умовах вони досі на буханках та квадріках залітають без засобів РЕБ на передній край в один кінець… ні про що більше не може йти мова, бо там воно дійсно непотрібне)
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
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Forwarded from ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦
🫡 Пам’ятаємо всіх, хто боровся. Шануємо кожного, хто віддав життя за Україну.
Мапа
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Forwarded from ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦
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Мапа
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Forwarded from Бахмутський Демон 👹
Ми зараз не тільки в обороні. Ми маємо тактичні успіхи в певних місцях. Але в яких не скажу. Просто маєте знати.
Хлопцям і дівчатам з ВКР СБУ безмежна повага. Я роблю все безпечно.
Хлопцям і дівчатам з ВКР СБУ безмежна повага. Я роблю все безпечно.
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Significant Russian advancement. Russian forces consolidated in the well-built trenches near the former block post (red box area), right on top of the dominant hill overlooking Kostyantynivka.
Soon enough, expect Russian drone operators to be transferred to this area to further complicate the already very difficult logistics to Kostyantynivka city.
Soon enough, expect Russian drone operators to be transferred to this area to further complicate the already very difficult logistics to Kostyantynivka city.
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Forwarded from Бешеные псы
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Сооснователь DeepState Роман Погорелый призвал командование ВСУ сосредоточиться на обороне и прекратить разговоры о наступлениях из-за нехватки людей.
«Хватит говорить о наступлениях - мы на сегодня можем наступать. Даже если получится, мы не можем удержать, Курск это показал. Сейчас необходимо сосредоточиться на обороне, научиться не терять своих людей, накапливать ресурсы. У нас нет людей, чтобы даже держать оборону», - заявил военный эксперт Роман Погорелый.
Бешеные псы
«Хватит говорить о наступлениях - мы на сегодня можем наступать. Даже если получится, мы не можем удержать, Курск это показал. Сейчас необходимо сосредоточиться на обороне, научиться не терять своих людей, накапливать ресурсы. У нас нет людей, чтобы даже держать оборону», - заявил военный эксперт Роман Погорелый.
Бешеные псы
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Forwarded from SHALIN ✙
| Написати нам | Зарядити канал | Наш Твіттер | Підтримка |
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An example of what the frontline, in my opinion, might look like in the Ternuvate-Oleksandrivka fronts in southern Ukraine.
Blue circles: fake Ukrainian positions with soldiers inside.
Red circles: fake Russian positions with soldiers inside.
*Not sure about the quantity of positions, and it's also not the focus of this post. Also, obviously, the positions represented were completely invented by me and do not correspond to reality.
The most interesting thing to note, perhaps, is the overlapping of the positions.
The gray zone is totally chaotic, with Ukrainian positions on the farther edges and Russian positions around them in their rear, encircling each other in levels sometimes.
Both sides have rear positions, weaker and solid parts of the line, concentrations of positions for different reasons, and positions completely encircled in their enemy's rear that have no way to resupply and that are as such insignificant.
We can now easily see how hard it is for mappers to map gray, red, and blue zones at this point of the war, where drones forced both sides to displace their positions as the only way to effectively defend.
That is why now, slowly, the gray zone is starting to be defined by some mappers de facto as a no man's land or, more commonly, an infiltration zone or mixed zone, where both sides have a presence and positions.
The red and blue zones, instead, turn out to be defined as areas where only one side has dominant positions, and the enemy side does not infiltrate frequently or consistently. The enemy positions present in these two areas are insignificant and do not contribute in any way to the continuation of combat operations.
Blue circles: fake Ukrainian positions with soldiers inside.
Red circles: fake Russian positions with soldiers inside.
*Not sure about the quantity of positions, and it's also not the focus of this post. Also, obviously, the positions represented were completely invented by me and do not correspond to reality.
The most interesting thing to note, perhaps, is the overlapping of the positions.
The gray zone is totally chaotic, with Ukrainian positions on the farther edges and Russian positions around them in their rear, encircling each other in levels sometimes.
Both sides have rear positions, weaker and solid parts of the line, concentrations of positions for different reasons, and positions completely encircled in their enemy's rear that have no way to resupply and that are as such insignificant.
We can now easily see how hard it is for mappers to map gray, red, and blue zones at this point of the war, where drones forced both sides to displace their positions as the only way to effectively defend.
That is why now, slowly, the gray zone is starting to be defined by some mappers de facto as a no man's land or, more commonly, an infiltration zone or mixed zone, where both sides have a presence and positions.
The red and blue zones, instead, turn out to be defined as areas where only one side has dominant positions, and the enemy side does not infiltrate frequently or consistently. The enemy positions present in these two areas are insignificant and do not contribute in any way to the continuation of combat operations.
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Forwarded from Говорять Снайпер ✙
Питання логістики та евакуації поранених з «червоної зони» дуже проблемне, і особливо критичного образу набуло з появою ударних дронів.
На жаль, реалії зараз такі: кожен хто заходить в населений пункт, в якому точаться бої, потрапляє у вогневе оточення, тому його евакуація, у разі поранення, стає майже нереальною задачею.
Сили оборони вкрай погано забезпечені ББМ з додатковим захистом, які відіграють ключову роль в евакуаціях з червоних зон, або просто не залучаються до виконання бойових задач недобросовісними командирами, тому молодші командири ЗМУШЕНІ здійснювати евакуацію пікапами, через які гине ще більше особового складу, або не мають змоги проводити її взагалі.
Замість пріоритету на танки, БМП та іншу важку техніку, в армії варто зробити ставку на броньовані бойові машини з додатковим захистом, оскільки саме вони мають найвищі шанси на виживання в умовах сучасного поля бою та рятують життя нашим воїнам.
На жаль, реалії зараз такі: кожен хто заходить в населений пункт, в якому точаться бої, потрапляє у вогневе оточення, тому його евакуація, у разі поранення, стає майже нереальною задачею.
Сили оборони вкрай погано забезпечені ББМ з додатковим захистом, які відіграють ключову роль в евакуаціях з червоних зон, або просто не залучаються до виконання бойових задач недобросовісними командирами, тому молодші командири ЗМУШЕНІ здійснювати евакуацію пікапами, через які гине ще більше особового складу, або не мають змоги проводити її взагалі.
Замість пріоритету на танки, БМП та іншу важку техніку, в армії варто зробити ставку на броньовані бойові машини з додатковим захистом, оскільки саме вони мають найвищі шанси на виживання в умовах сучасного поля бою та рятують життя нашим воїнам.
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Kostyantynivka direction, last couple of days.
Green lines: routes of mostly successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly alive)
Yellow lines: routes of partially successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly wounded and dead)
Red lines: routes of failed Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly dead or don't arrive).
Predtechyne sector: Russian artillery is active and shoots from the forests west of Ivanivske inside the indicated circle.
The main attacks lately didn't come from the east as usual but from the Oleksandro-Shultyne side (south) along the red routes, but were nonetheless repelled by Ukrainian drones.
Oleksandro-Shultyne seems to be a good accumulation point for Russians in this sector, which they reach along the indicated yellow routes.
Kostyantynivka sector: from Oleksandro-Shultyne the Russians also move to Yahidka, where they attempted to attack with a very large number of infantry.
The attack was completely repelled by both Ukrainian drones and small arms fire and led to absolutely massive amounts of Russian dead scattered all over Yahidka's territory.
Ivanopillya sector: the Russians attempted a weaker push to the University, which was repelled by Ukrainian drones. Some Russians might still be alive near it, but it's unlikely.
Key accumulation points for the Russians for the Ivanopillya and Berestok direction are Katerynivka and Kleban-Byk, where Ukrainian drones frequently destroy accumulating infantry and positions.
Berestok sector: the most difficult of the whole direction. Russian forces conducted a successful attack along the indicated green route and were able to build the first positions near the village, which is a sign of consolidation.
They also conducted a partially successful attack along the yellow route towards the Landfill, with some Russians that might still be alive and wounded there.
Also, in the Ukrainskyi Khutir district of the city, some Russians were again recorded. It's unclear if they're related to new infiltrations or to the ones who had infiltrated in this area back on February 8th during the fog time.
Stepanivka sector: the Russians conducted a small, but successful attack just east of the village.
Green lines: routes of mostly successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly alive)
Yellow lines: routes of partially successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly wounded and dead)
Red lines: routes of failed Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly dead or don't arrive).
Predtechyne sector: Russian artillery is active and shoots from the forests west of Ivanivske inside the indicated circle.
The main attacks lately didn't come from the east as usual but from the Oleksandro-Shultyne side (south) along the red routes, but were nonetheless repelled by Ukrainian drones.
Oleksandro-Shultyne seems to be a good accumulation point for Russians in this sector, which they reach along the indicated yellow routes.
Kostyantynivka sector: from Oleksandro-Shultyne the Russians also move to Yahidka, where they attempted to attack with a very large number of infantry.
The attack was completely repelled by both Ukrainian drones and small arms fire and led to absolutely massive amounts of Russian dead scattered all over Yahidka's territory.
Ivanopillya sector: the Russians attempted a weaker push to the University, which was repelled by Ukrainian drones. Some Russians might still be alive near it, but it's unlikely.
Key accumulation points for the Russians for the Ivanopillya and Berestok direction are Katerynivka and Kleban-Byk, where Ukrainian drones frequently destroy accumulating infantry and positions.
Berestok sector: the most difficult of the whole direction. Russian forces conducted a successful attack along the indicated green route and were able to build the first positions near the village, which is a sign of consolidation.
They also conducted a partially successful attack along the yellow route towards the Landfill, with some Russians that might still be alive and wounded there.
Also, in the Ukrainskyi Khutir district of the city, some Russians were again recorded. It's unclear if they're related to new infiltrations or to the ones who had infiltrated in this area back on February 8th during the fog time.
Stepanivka sector: the Russians conducted a small, but successful attack just east of the village.
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
Kostyantynivka direction, last couple of days. Green lines: routes of mostly successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly alive) Yellow lines: routes of partially successful Russian movement (groups arrive at the objective mostly wounded…
Shakhove.
The direction continues to remain extremely quiet from the point of view of Russian attacks on the ground.
The only attack that the Russians attempted is along the yellow routes near the lake on the right side of the picture: it was partially successful, with the Russians having been able to hide in some trench systems.
The direction continues to remain extremely quiet from the point of view of Russian attacks on the ground.
The only attack that the Russians attempted is along the yellow routes near the lake on the right side of the picture: it was partially successful, with the Russians having been able to hide in some trench systems.
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Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad direction.
Rodynske sector:
Claims about the loss and occupation of the town do NOT correspond to reality. Ukrainian forces have numerous positions inside it and continue to effectively defend it, although the pressure is extremely high.
The Russians conducted an attack along the red route, which was repelled by Ukrainian drones.
Another attack was conducted along the yellow route straight through Rodynske, which was partially successful since some Russians were able to take shelter inside the former Zaporozhskaya mine.
Further south, the Russians conducted an unsuccessful attack in Krasnyi Lyman.
Myrnohrad city: the city is now home to Russian rear services, roughly located in the orange box, especially related to drone operators, who will now have great positions on the high-rise buildings of the city to fly from. The very last Ukrainians remain in the northwesternmost corners of the city and, likely, even in the red zone (their positions are insignificant and do not change anything in the course of further combat actions).
Their retreat is virtually cut off, so it will be very difficult to evacuate them.
Pokrovsk city: Russian activity was only recorded inside the red area, likely related to accumulations. No attacks were recorded on Ukrainian positions.
Rodynske sector:
Claims about the loss and occupation of the town do NOT correspond to reality. Ukrainian forces have numerous positions inside it and continue to effectively defend it, although the pressure is extremely high.
The Russians conducted an attack along the red route, which was repelled by Ukrainian drones.
Another attack was conducted along the yellow route straight through Rodynske, which was partially successful since some Russians were able to take shelter inside the former Zaporozhskaya mine.
Further south, the Russians conducted an unsuccessful attack in Krasnyi Lyman.
Myrnohrad city: the city is now home to Russian rear services, roughly located in the orange box, especially related to drone operators, who will now have great positions on the high-rise buildings of the city to fly from. The very last Ukrainians remain in the northwesternmost corners of the city and, likely, even in the red zone (their positions are insignificant and do not change anything in the course of further combat actions).
Their retreat is virtually cut off, so it will be very difficult to evacuate them.
Pokrovsk city: Russian activity was only recorded inside the red area, likely related to accumulations. No attacks were recorded on Ukrainian positions.
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