As part of a new column about the interpretation of further DeepState updates to better help understand exactly what each advancement means for both sides, let's start with the analysis of today's update.
1. Russian consolidation near Krasnyi Lyman.
This advancement is definitely to refer to past days, if not weeks, and shows consolidation of an area that the Russians have long used as a starting point to attack southeastern Rodynske.
The advancement is not threatening to Rodynske as much as to whichever small Ukrainian groups still remain in Myrnohrad, which are seeing their retreat corridor get smaller and smaller.
Myrnohrad depends on Rodynske.
2. Expansion of the gray zone north of Bilytske.
This advancement is also to refer to some days ago. At that time, I had already reported about Russian attempts to infiltrate into Novyi Donbas through the railway. Here, DeepState confirms my claims.
You can also see how the Russians are starting to create two pincers around Bilytske, definitely too hard to attack from the east.
In general, this gray zone expansion also brings Russian forces slightly closer to Dobropillia itself.
3. Russian consolidation near Vasiukivka and Khromivka.
In Vasyukivka, the Russians, controlling the heights, are replicating the Sviato-Pokrovske situation: attacking from the heights downwards to the settlement and going behind Ukrainian defenders in the eastern part of the latter, then threatening them with encirclement and clearing them out.
This consolidation is generally small, though, and not threatening to the whole direction.
More dangerous is the Russian consolidation on the heights immediately north of Khromivka, which enables them to automatically have Bondarne under fire control, complicating Ukraine's general defense here.
Again, the advancement is quite small and not threatening for the whole direction.
1. Russian consolidation near Krasnyi Lyman.
This advancement is definitely to refer to past days, if not weeks, and shows consolidation of an area that the Russians have long used as a starting point to attack southeastern Rodynske.
The advancement is not threatening to Rodynske as much as to whichever small Ukrainian groups still remain in Myrnohrad, which are seeing their retreat corridor get smaller and smaller.
Myrnohrad depends on Rodynske.
2. Expansion of the gray zone north of Bilytske.
This advancement is also to refer to some days ago. At that time, I had already reported about Russian attempts to infiltrate into Novyi Donbas through the railway. Here, DeepState confirms my claims.
You can also see how the Russians are starting to create two pincers around Bilytske, definitely too hard to attack from the east.
In general, this gray zone expansion also brings Russian forces slightly closer to Dobropillia itself.
3. Russian consolidation near Vasiukivka and Khromivka.
In Vasyukivka, the Russians, controlling the heights, are replicating the Sviato-Pokrovske situation: attacking from the heights downwards to the settlement and going behind Ukrainian defenders in the eastern part of the latter, then threatening them with encirclement and clearing them out.
This consolidation is generally small, though, and not threatening to the whole direction.
More dangerous is the Russian consolidation on the heights immediately north of Khromivka, which enables them to automatically have Bondarne under fire control, complicating Ukraine's general defense here.
Again, the advancement is quite small and not threatening for the whole direction.
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About the Starlink situation.
After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently clarifying.
I will add more information to this post in the near future.
After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently clarifying.
I will add more information to this post in the near future.
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
About the Starlink situation. After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently…
Kostyantynivka - yes. Russian attacks generally slowed down. The biggest difference is noticeable with attacks coming from the Chasiv Yar side, but a slowing down is also noticed in the other parts of the direction.
Continuing to clarify the situation in other directions.
Continuing to clarify the situation in other directions.
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About Starlinks and why they're so important for both sides: https://x.com/externalPilot/status/2019393724745130287
"Once, they laid 3 kilometers of field cable for us across the field to ensure communication between the gun and the drone;
one such time, the guy pulling the field cable arrived only after the shooting had ended (we'd adjusted by coordinates, no time to wait), and he told us that the field he'd been dragging it through was a bit mined.
In the conditions of modern warfare, laying wired communication and maintaining it in proper condition in frontline zones is extremely difficult, even when there's no shelling—cables get gnawed by mice, worn through by wind, torn up by wild boars, twists oxidize, and so on.
So the alternative is Wi-Fi networks, but they're limited too: building a bridge requires radio horizon, where it's absent, you need to set up intermediate nodes, each node needs power and maintenance.
On top of that, the bandwidth of such a network isn't all that high, and it drops with each node, plus if the main line breaks, the whole branch goes down, and an entire section of the front might be left without comms.
In the era of Starlinks, these networks were built for redundancy, but they themselves had to be backed up via Starlink or by connecting to local providers' communication networks.
It works, but it's heavily limited, and laying a dozen streams over such a network to HQ is quite challenging.
That's why Starlink gives such an advantage."
"Once, they laid 3 kilometers of field cable for us across the field to ensure communication between the gun and the drone;
one such time, the guy pulling the field cable arrived only after the shooting had ended (we'd adjusted by coordinates, no time to wait), and he told us that the field he'd been dragging it through was a bit mined.
In the conditions of modern warfare, laying wired communication and maintaining it in proper condition in frontline zones is extremely difficult, even when there's no shelling—cables get gnawed by mice, worn through by wind, torn up by wild boars, twists oxidize, and so on.
So the alternative is Wi-Fi networks, but they're limited too: building a bridge requires radio horizon, where it's absent, you need to set up intermediate nodes, each node needs power and maintenance.
On top of that, the bandwidth of such a network isn't all that high, and it drops with each node, plus if the main line breaks, the whole branch goes down, and an entire section of the front might be left without comms.
In the era of Starlinks, these networks were built for redundancy, but they themselves had to be backed up via Starlink or by connecting to local providers' communication networks.
It works, but it's heavily limited, and laying a dozen streams over such a network to HQ is quite challenging.
That's why Starlink gives such an advantage."
X (formerly Twitter)
зовнішній пілот (@externalPilot) on X
колись для нас прокидали 3 кілометра польовкою тапік, щоб ми мали зв'язок між гарматою та бпла;
один з таких разів хлопець, що тягнув польовку, прийшов вже після закінчення стрільби (скоригували по раціях, не було часу чекати), і розказав, що поле, по якому…
один з таких разів хлопець, що тягнув польовку, прийшов вже після закінчення стрільби (скоригували по раціях, не було часу чекати), і розказав, що поле, по якому…
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
About the Starlink situation. After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently…
Dobropillia - yes. A further decrease in Russian activity is recorded on top of already generally inactive times.
Russian forces are waiting for better weather, and are having difficulties accumulating, as said, because of the harsh weather and open area (Russian aviation flattened many of the treelines that they could've used to hide).
Russian forces are waiting for better weather, and are having difficulties accumulating, as said, because of the harsh weather and open area (Russian aviation flattened many of the treelines that they could've used to hide).
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
About the Starlink situation. After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently…
Kupyansk and Huljajpole, according to preliminary information - no. No big decrease in Russian activity is noticed.
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
About the Starlink situation. After unregistered users were cut off from using the terminal, Russian attack intensity suddenly and sharply dropped, at least in the Ternuvate and Borova directions, and likely dropped in many other areas too, which I'm currently…
According to preliminary information, a decrease in Russian activity is recorded everywhere along the front except Kupyansk and Huljajpole.
Under clarification.
Under clarification.
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Forwarded from KARYMAT
Росіяни від безвиході почали робити з непрацюючих терміналів «Starlink» окопні столики
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
According to preliminary information, a decrease in Russian activity is recorded everywhere along the front except Kupyansk and Huljajpole. Under clarification.
Russian source:
"After the blocking of Starlink, our soldiers on the frontline urgently need our help to launch attacks and repel enemy attacks.
Due to the blocking of Starlink terminals, the command and control of troops has become difficult on almost all fronts. Soldiers are writing to us and asking for help with equipment - radio bridges and radio stations."
"After the blocking of Starlink, our soldiers on the frontline urgently need our help to launch attacks and repel enemy attacks.
Due to the blocking of Starlink terminals, the command and control of troops has become difficult on almost all fronts. Soldiers are writing to us and asking for help with equipment - radio bridges and radio stations."
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Playfra - Maps & Analyses
According to preliminary information, a decrease in Russian activity is recorded everywhere along the front except Kupyansk and Huljajpole. Under clarification.
The Ukrainian side is also experiencing problems with Starlink, while claims of big inconveniences on Ukraine's side are definitely false. In most units, something around 10% of the terminals lost connection, which is definitely not enough to cause big troubles, and such problems will be fixed in the near future.
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Forwarded from Офіцер
Сподіваюсь вище військове командування не буде просто в тупу радіти з усіма стосовно відключення терміналів Starlink у ворога, а будуть вже планувати певні заходи, які допоможуть нам скористатися цією перевагою, адже саме зараз буде найбільш болючий період для ворога.
Потім вони все-таки адаптуються до умов війни і їм це буде простіше зробити, ніж якби ми стикнулись з подібною проблемою, так як майже 2 роки з початку повномасштабного вторгнення противник не використовував Starlink як систему зв’язку у військовій сфері.
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
Потім вони все-таки адаптуються до умов війни і їм це буде простіше зробити, ніж якби ми стикнулись з подібною проблемою, так як майже 2 роки з початку повномасштабного вторгнення противник не використовував Starlink як систему зв’язку у військовій сфері.
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
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Kostyantynivka. Ukrainian logistics continue worsening day by day. Russian drone pressure is extremely high, and there are shortages of supplies in the city.
Everything in the city is destroyed by now, and Russian eyes can monitor it effectively, which is why bad weather gives relief to Ukrainians, too.
Prognoses for the defense of the city in the future aren’t encouraging.
Everything in the city is destroyed by now, and Russian eyes can monitor it effectively, which is why bad weather gives relief to Ukrainians, too.
Prognoses for the defense of the city in the future aren’t encouraging.
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Forwarded from Думки Фронтовика ∆
Підари почали активно збирати військові квитки у наших загиблих та полонених в надії згодом відновити роботу мережі Starlink.
Думки Фронтовика ∆ | Підписатись
Думки Фронтовика ∆ | Підписатись
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Forwarded from MYROSHNYKOV
Покровськ-Мирноград
Оборонна операція все ще триває. Недивлячись на доволі скрутне становище та вкрай несприятливий тактичний стан справ.
Як і раніше, ворог накопичується в південних частинах обидвох міст задля подальших атак на північ, де присутність наших Захисників хоч і є, але контролю території нема.
Масовані наступальні дії окупантів на Гришине та Родинське тривають.
В Гришиному наш контроль складає 50-60%, у Родинському - 20-30%.
Дуже багато сірої зони, де дрони з обидвох боків контролюють будь-які переміщення.
Наші воїни витискають максимум з тих умов, які зараз є.
Логістика продовжує триматися на НРК та дронах. Як довго ще - нікому невідомо.
Покровськ та Мирноград зараз - це міста, в які ані вʼїхати, ані виїхати просто неможливо. Якщо це і відбувається - то пішки та з розрахунком на велике везіння.
Основний удар ворог наносить прямо зараз по Гришиному та Родинському.
Якщо вони впадуть - то, напевне, остаточно впаде вся агломерація.
🇺🇦Підписатися на канал🇺🇦
Оборонна операція все ще триває. Недивлячись на доволі скрутне становище та вкрай несприятливий тактичний стан справ.
Як і раніше, ворог накопичується в південних частинах обидвох міст задля подальших атак на північ, де присутність наших Захисників хоч і є, але контролю території нема.
Масовані наступальні дії окупантів на Гришине та Родинське тривають.
В Гришиному наш контроль складає 50-60%, у Родинському - 20-30%.
Дуже багато сірої зони, де дрони з обидвох боків контролюють будь-які переміщення.
Наші воїни витискають максимум з тих умов, які зараз є.
Логістика продовжує триматися на НРК та дронах. Як довго ще - нікому невідомо.
Покровськ та Мирноград зараз - це міста, в які ані вʼїхати, ані виїхати просто неможливо. Якщо це і відбувається - то пішки та з розрахунком на велике везіння.
Основний удар ворог наносить прямо зараз по Гришиному та Родинському.
Якщо вони впадуть - то, напевне, остаточно впаде вся агломерація.
🇺🇦Підписатися на канал🇺🇦
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Forwarded from Офіцер
Термінали Starlink підрозділів СОУ, котрі нещодавно були заблоковані у зв’язку з нововведеннями SpaceX, потроху починають приходити до тями🥳
Робоча тємка😁
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
Робоча тємка😁
Офіцер ✙ | Підписатись
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https://x.com/Bielitzling/status/2019834359407087643
Bohuslavka, Borova direction. The geolocation indicated above does not represent Russian control, rather, a one-time infiltration in the settlement.
Such infiltrations, as everywhere along the front, are common in this sector, so this is nothing really new or dangerous.
Bohuslavka remains under Ukrainian control.
Bohuslavka, Borova direction. The geolocation indicated above does not represent Russian control, rather, a one-time infiltration in the settlement.
Such infiltrations, as everywhere along the front, are common in this sector, so this is nothing really new or dangerous.
Bohuslavka remains under Ukrainian control.
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Ternuvate. Ukrainian forces were able to clear out the infiltrators that made it to Ternuvate some days ago, but the Russians continue their attempts to send more.
Quite interestingly, one of the biggest factors that prevented further Russian expansion in this area is the fact that many of their drones were grounded due to Starlink problems.
The situation remains unchanged.
Quite interestingly, one of the biggest factors that prevented further Russian expansion in this area is the fact that many of their drones were grounded due to Starlink problems.
The situation remains unchanged.
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Forwarded from MYROSHNYKOV
На даний момент, всього одним рішенням відключити старлінки, які не внесені до "білого списку", ворог фактично зараз знаходиться в тому стані, в якому знаходилося наше військо перший тиждень-два повномасштабної війни.
У них ліг звʼязок так, як ще не лягав.
Звісно, вони намагаються викручуватися, але системно вони не мають нічого взамін.
Згодом вони реалізують меш-системи та LTE-звʼязок по всьому фронту, але це буде згодом. І тому буде протидія.
Зараз окупант не може нормально координувати власні війська та розгортати арту.
Це той момент, який потрібно провести максимально для власної користі.
Бо потім або путін випросить у Трампа свій "білий список" або вони все ж масштабують меш-системи всюди (хоча тому є протидія).
У всій цій історії у мене тільки одне питання: як?
Як ворог зміг закупити сотні тисяч терміналів, які спокійно працювали в рф, і у Маска це бачили, але нічого не казали?
🇺🇦Підписатися на канал🇺🇦
У них ліг звʼязок так, як ще не лягав.
Звісно, вони намагаються викручуватися, але системно вони не мають нічого взамін.
Згодом вони реалізують меш-системи та LTE-звʼязок по всьому фронту, але це буде згодом. І тому буде протидія.
Зараз окупант не може нормально координувати власні війська та розгортати арту.
Це той момент, який потрібно провести максимально для власної користі.
Бо потім або путін випросить у Трампа свій "білий список" або вони все ж масштабують меш-системи всюди (хоча тому є протидія).
У всій цій історії у мене тільки одне питання: як?
Як ворог зміг закупити сотні тисяч терміналів, які спокійно працювали в рф, і у Маска це бачили, але нічого не казали?
🇺🇦Підписатися на канал🇺🇦
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