Peter Zeihan: RT @Tendar: Finally!

Ukrainian army has reached the main town square of Kherson.

Total victory!
#Kherson #Ukraine https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1591057238810308609/video/1
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Peter Zeihan: The Ukrainians have a lot to do. Inventory and rehabilitate captured equipment, investigate a massive stack of war crimes, let their soldiers get some sleep, but I don’t expect a long pause. Killing Crimea is how Ukraine can win this war. The next phase of the war wont be long.
"Additionally, using ATACMS, whole Crimea is now in firing range of HIMARS, including Kerch and the damaged Kerch Bridge. #Ukraine #Crimea #HIMARS #Kerch https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1591091156410331137/photo/1" - (((Tendar)))
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Peter Zeihan: Note: if the Russians blow up the dam, that destroys their position in Crimea. The reservoir above the dam feeds the canal that is responsible for 80% of Crimea’s food production.
"The bridge explosion is Nova Kakhovka looks quite dramatic and it should concern us. Even when it is hard to bust a dam that kind of explosion can still cause a chain reaction were eventually the dam breaks. #NovaKakhovka #Ukraine #Kherson https://twitter.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1591326926131662849/video/1" - (((Tendar)))
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Peter Zeihan: That too
"The right colors are coming back. #Ukraine #Kherson https://twitter.com/KyivPost/status/1591462459726069761/video/1" - (((Tendar)))
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Peter Zeihan: I can neither confirm nor deny, but novovossiysk just isn’t that far considering modern drone tech. It is also the Russian port of note in the black sea furthest from all things Ukraine. If Russian ships can’t be safe there, their IS no black sea fleet.
"***BREAKING***

Indications that a #Ukraine 'maritime drone' attacked Novorossiysk last night

Story was reported in local Russian sources but some are now being taken down. Story may be being suppressed in #RussiaIsLosing

#OSINT unconfirmed but credible

https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2022/11/ukraine-maritime-drone-strikes-again-reports-indicate-attack-on-novorossiysk/" - H I Sutton
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Peter Zeihan: Anyone remember that famous #Napoleon quote - "Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake." Well, if there was a time in history when that quote rang true, it would be right now, watching the war in #Ukraine unfold.

My Latest: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/ukrainian-consequences-american-strategy https://twitter.com/PeterZeihan/status/1595394283548336135/photo/1
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Peter Zeihan: RT @SpencerGuard: An insane photo from Kharkiv, Ukraine today. Two police officers looking at a fragment pile of Russian rockets that hit Ukraine's second largest city. h/t @alexbakus #Kharkiv #Ukraine️ #ArmUkraineNow #RussianWarCrimes https://twitter.com/SpencerGuard/status/1599244013764505600/photo/1
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Peter Zeihan: Part of the reason that the Ukrainians have been trying to get these for a while. If you can use a weapon that is NOT a missile to shoot down a missile, the cost and logistics are much more manageable.
"#Ukraine: The first footage of a German-supplied Flakpanzer Gepard SPAAG in use with Ukrainian forces appeared today, seen shooting down an incoming Russian cruise missile using its two 35mm autocannons. https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1599810159236112406/video/1" - 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
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Peter Zeihan: Since the onset of the war in Ukraine, discussions of a #Chinese invasion of #Taiwan have escalated. However, the first 3 months of fighting in #Ukraine negated almost every assumption that predicated that invasion.

My Latest: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/taiwan-and-china-war-on-the-horizon https://twitter.com/PeterZeihan/status/1601192529038278661/photo/1
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Peter Zeihan: The #JDAM technology has the ability to change the #tactical and #strategic scope of this war. Given #Ukraine's unrestricted airspace, they could hit any target within range with pinpoint accuracy.

My Latest: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/jdams-ukrainian-bombs-get-smarter https://twitter.com/PeterZeihan/status/1604809022779146243/photo/1
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Peter Zeihan: FYI
"President Zelensky is flying to Washington DC right now. Congress and Senate members have been asked to be physically present.

President Zelensky hasn’t left Ukraine ever since Russia unleashed the full-scale war on February 24. #Ukraine #USA" - (((Tendar)))
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Peter Zeihan: As #Russia becomes increasingly bogged down in #Ukraine, its influence everywhere else is quickly trending down. That's a v big deal in the Southern Caucuses where Russia has been the dominant power for over a century. Here's an ethnic pop map from Disunited Nations.
1/2 https://twitter.com/PeterZeihan/status/1621529638303576064/photo/1
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Peter Zeihan: Considering the Russians consider Serbia a vassal, this is a sexy little story.
"#Ukraine: Recently information resurfaced that Serbia sold "3500 Grad rockets" to Ukraine via a third party- we can confirm that 🇷🇸 Grad rockets were indeed delivered to Ukraine.

More interestingly they are not standard, but ER Grad 2000- with a max range of 40km instead of ~20. https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1630679031078084611/photo/1" - 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker
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