Inflation is rising due to the war. If the conflict continues, oil prices will stay high, driving up gold and causing further market dumping. Higher inflation strengthens the USD, forcing the Fed to raise interest rates.
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This video explained how NFP work in a simpler way 🤝🥂
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🚨 THE FED’S SEPTEMBER RATE HIKE WILL BE DECIDED IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
Tuesday: U.S. consumer inflation expectations drop, giving the Fed its first major inflation signal of the week.
Wednesday: Treasury’s bigger long-term bond buybacks continue with the expected amount around $12.5 billion.
Thursday: PPI and Core PPI will show whether inflation is building again at the producer level.
Friday: CPI and Core CPI arrive, potentially the most important numbers before the Fed’s September 16th interest rate meeting.
Rate hike odds have already surged after the strong jobs report, with recent market pricing around 60%.
Even Fed Governor Waller says an unexpected inflation spike could push him toward a hike.
If inflation comes in hot, a September rate hike will be certain, and it'll be brutal for the markets.
Tuesday: U.S. consumer inflation expectations drop, giving the Fed its first major inflation signal of the week.
Wednesday: Treasury’s bigger long-term bond buybacks continue with the expected amount around $12.5 billion.
Thursday: PPI and Core PPI will show whether inflation is building again at the producer level.
Friday: CPI and Core CPI arrive, potentially the most important numbers before the Fed’s September 16th interest rate meeting.
Rate hike odds have already surged after the strong jobs report, with recent market pricing around 60%.
Even Fed Governor Waller says an unexpected inflation spike could push him toward a hike.
If inflation comes in hot, a September rate hike will be certain, and it'll be brutal for the markets.
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🚨 THE NEXT 10 DAYS COULD BE ABSOLUTE CHAOS FOR THE MARKETS.
Five major events are coming back to back, and each one has the potential to move the markets.
September 10: PPI
The first major inflation test as it measures price changes from the producer side, so another hot reading will signal inflationary pressure.
That could immediately push the Fed to be more hawkish.
September 11: CPI
This is the big one, as the CPI will show whether consumer inflation is cooling or heating up again.
July CPI was 3.4%, so a hot print will almost confirm the Fed rate hike.
September 15: CLARITY ACT VOTING
This could be one of the most important days for crypto this year, as the Senate will hold a procedural vote on advancing the CLARITY Act.
September 16: FED RATE DECISION
This is where things could get wild.
The Fed will decide its next move on interest rates after seeing both PPI and CPI.
The decision, Warsh's press conference, and the Fed's new economic projections will pave the way for how markets will move next.
September 18: BANK OF JAPAN RATE DECISION
The BOJ interest rate decision will happen on September 18.
If BOJ turns more hawkish, USD/JPY could crash and cause turmoil in the markets.
PPI → CPI → CLARITY → FED → BOJ.
Five major catalysts in just 10 days, and this will cause a volatility explosion.
Five major events are coming back to back, and each one has the potential to move the markets.
September 10: PPI
The first major inflation test as it measures price changes from the producer side, so another hot reading will signal inflationary pressure.
That could immediately push the Fed to be more hawkish.
September 11: CPI
This is the big one, as the CPI will show whether consumer inflation is cooling or heating up again.
July CPI was 3.4%, so a hot print will almost confirm the Fed rate hike.
September 15: CLARITY ACT VOTING
This could be one of the most important days for crypto this year, as the Senate will hold a procedural vote on advancing the CLARITY Act.
September 16: FED RATE DECISION
This is where things could get wild.
The Fed will decide its next move on interest rates after seeing both PPI and CPI.
The decision, Warsh's press conference, and the Fed's new economic projections will pave the way for how markets will move next.
September 18: BANK OF JAPAN RATE DECISION
The BOJ interest rate decision will happen on September 18.
If BOJ turns more hawkish, USD/JPY could crash and cause turmoil in the markets.
PPI → CPI → CLARITY → FED → BOJ.
Five major catalysts in just 10 days, and this will cause a volatility explosion.